The snapshot from Oct 5, 2:13 PM ET isn’t kept: this page’s figures are live, and older snapshots aren’t stored yet. This is the latest, at its own permanent address: https://defirate.com/odds/super-bowl/snapshot/2026-10-05T1448/.
Permanent snapshot · never updated
Super Bowl LXIEvery figure as of Oct 5, 2:48 PM ET
A frozen record for citation. Numbers on the live page change as markets move; these don’t. Methodology · Live source records
Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl LXI
12%The market-implied chance the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +745, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (11.5%), Polymarket (12.50%) and Polymarket US (11.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Los Angeles Rams a 12% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-LAR | direct contract | 11.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 296s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-los-angeles-rams-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 12.0¢ | 13.0¢ | 12.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 85s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-losram | direct contract | 11.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 89s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 11.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 11.5% |
| 2026-10-03 | 11.5% |
| 2026-10-02 | 11.5% |
| 2026-10-01 | 11.5% |
| 2026-09-30 | 11.5% |
Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl LXI
12%The market-implied chance the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +770, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (10.5%), Polymarket (12.50%) and Polymarket US (11.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Buffalo Bills a 12% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-BUF | direct contract | 10.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 87s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-buffalo-bills-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 12.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 344s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-bufbil | direct contract | 11.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 260s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 10.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 11.0% |
| 2026-10-03 | 12.5% |
| 2026-10-02 | 12.5% |
| 2026-10-01 | 12.5% |
| 2026-09-30 | 12.5% |
San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LXI
10%The market-implied chance the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +934, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (9.5%), Polymarket (10.00%) and Polymarket US (9.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the San Francisco 49ers a 10% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-SF | direct contract | 9.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 87s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-san-francisco-49ers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 9.7¢ | 10.3¢ | 10.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 100s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-saners | direct contract | 9.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 112s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 9.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 9.5% |
| 2026-10-03 | 9.5% |
| 2026-10-02 | 9.5% |
| 2026-10-01 | 9.5% |
| 2026-09-30 | 9.5% |
Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LXI
9%The market-implied chance the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1043, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (8.5%), Polymarket (9.25%) and Polymarket US (8.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Kansas City Chiefs a 9% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-KC | direct contract | 8.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 318s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-kansas-city-chiefs-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 9.2¢ | 9.3¢ | 9.25¢ | midpoint | fresh · 83s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-kanchi | direct contract | 8.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 124s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 8.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 8.5% |
| 2026-10-03 | 7.5% |
| 2026-10-02 | 7.5% |
| 2026-10-01 | 7.5% |
| 2026-09-30 | 7.5% |
Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl LXI
8%The market-implied chance the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1233, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (7.5%), Polymarket (7.50%) and Polymarket US (7.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Seattle Seahawks a 8% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-SEA | direct contract | 7.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 581s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-seattle-seahawks-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 7.0¢ | 8.0¢ | 7.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 147s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-seasea | direct contract | 7.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 124s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 7.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 7.5% |
| 2026-10-03 | 7.5% |
| 2026-10-02 | 7.5% |
| 2026-10-01 | 6.5% |
| 2026-09-30 | 6.5% |
Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl LXI
7%The market-implied chance the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1255, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (7.5%), Polymarket (7.15%) and Polymarket US (7.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Baltimore Ravens a 7% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-BAL | direct contract | 7.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 159s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-baltimore-ravens-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 7.1¢ | 7.2¢ | 7.15¢ | midpoint | fresh · 129s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-balrav | direct contract | 7.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 3189s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 7.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 7.5% |
| 2026-10-03 | 8.5% |
| 2026-10-02 | 8.5% |
| 2026-10-01 | 8.5% |
| 2026-09-30 | 8.5% |
Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl LXI
5%The market-implied chance the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1780, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (5.5%), Polymarket (4.95%) and Polymarket US (5.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Jacksonville Jaguars a 5% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-JAC | direct contract | 5.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 159s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-jacksonville-jaguars-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 4.95¢ | midpoint | fresh · 348s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-jacjag | direct contract | 5.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 131s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 5.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 5.5% |
| 2026-10-03 | 4.5% |
| 2026-10-02 | 4.5% |
| 2026-10-01 | 4.5% |
| 2026-09-30 | 4.5% |
Chicago Bears win Super Bowl LXI
4%The market-implied chance the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2640, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.95%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Chicago Bears a 4% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-CHI | direct contract | 3.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 86s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-chicago-bears-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 3.95¢ | midpoint | fresh · 356s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-chibea | direct contract | 3.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 88s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 3.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 4.5% |
| 2026-10-03 | 3.5% |
| 2026-10-02 | 3.5% |
| 2026-10-01 | 3.5% |
| 2026-09-30 | 3.5% |
Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl LXI
4%The market-implied chance the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2693, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.75%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Dallas Cowboys a 4% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-DAL | direct contract | 3.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 146s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-dallas-cowboys-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 3.5¢ | 4.0¢ | 3.75¢ | midpoint | fresh · 103s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-dalcow | direct contract | 3.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 128s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 3.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 3.5% |
| 2026-10-03 | 2.5% |
| 2026-10-02 | 2.5% |
| 2026-10-01 | 2.5% |
| 2026-09-30 | 2.5% |
Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl LXI
4%The market-implied chance the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2717, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.65%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Cincinnati Bengals a 4% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-CIN | direct contract | 3.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 587s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-cincinnati-bengals-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 3.6¢ | 3.7¢ | 3.65¢ | midpoint | fresh · 170s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-cinben | direct contract | 3.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 2817s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 3.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 3.5% |
| 2026-10-03 | 4.5% |
| 2026-10-02 | 4.5% |
| 2026-10-01 | 4.5% |
| 2026-09-30 | 4.5% |
Denver Broncos win Super Bowl LXI
3%The market-implied chance the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2774, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.45%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Denver Broncos a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-DEN | direct contract | 3.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 587s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-denver-broncos-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 3.4¢ | 3.5¢ | 3.45¢ | midpoint | fresh · 140s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-denbro | direct contract | 3.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 124s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 3.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 3.5% |
| 2026-10-03 | 4.5% |
| 2026-10-02 | 4.5% |
| 2026-10-01 | 4.5% |
| 2026-09-30 | 4.5% |
Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl LXI
3%Stale
The market-implied chance the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2859, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.15%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Minnesota Vikings a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-MIN | direct contract | 3.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 81s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-minnesota-vikings-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 3.15¢ | midpoint | stale · 3853s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-minvik | direct contract | 3.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 114s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 3.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 3.5% |
| 2026-10-03 | 3.5% |
| 2026-10-02 | 3.5% |
| 2026-10-01 | 3.5% |
| 2026-09-30 | 3.5% |
Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl LXI
3%The market-implied chance the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +3290, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (2.5%), Polymarket (2.85%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Philadelphia Eagles a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-PHI | direct contract | 2.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 587s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-philadelphia-eagles-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 2.8¢ | 2.9¢ | 2.85¢ | midpoint | fresh · 318s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-phieag | direct contract | 3.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 2830s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 2.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 2.5% |
| 2026-10-03 | 3.5% |
| 2026-10-02 | 3.5% |
| 2026-10-01 | 3.5% |
| 2026-09-30 | 3.5% |
New England Patriots win Super Bowl LXI
3%The market-implied chance the New England Patriots win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +3576, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (2.5%), Polymarket (3.15%) and Polymarket US (2.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New England Patriots a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-NE | direct contract | 2.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 498s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-new-england-patriots-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 3.1¢ | 3.2¢ | 3.15¢ | midpoint | fresh · 233s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-newpat | direct contract | 2.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 2822s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 2.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 2.5% |
| 2026-10-03 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-02 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-01 | 1.5% |
| 2026-09-30 | 1.5% |
Detroit Lions win Super Bowl LXI
3%The market-implied chance the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +3631, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (2.5%), Polymarket (3.05%) and Polymarket US (2.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Detroit Lions a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-DET | direct contract | 2.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 159s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-detroit-lions-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 3.05¢ | midpoint | fresh · 344s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-detlio | direct contract | 2.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 2820s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 2.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 4.5% |
| 2026-10-03 | 3.5% |
| 2026-10-02 | 3.5% |
| 2026-10-01 | 3.5% |
| 2026-09-30 | 3.5% |
Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl LXI
1%The market-implied chance the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +6797, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (1.35%) and Polymarket US (1.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Green Bay Packers a 1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-GB | direct contract | 1.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 587s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-green-bay-packers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 1.35¢ | midpoint | fresh · 352s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-grepac | direct contract | 1.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 2813s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-03 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-02 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-01 | 1.5% |
| 2026-09-30 | 1.5% |
Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl LXI
1%The market-implied chance the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +6942, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (1.25%) and Polymarket US (1.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Las Vegas Raiders a 1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-LV | direct contract | 1.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 87s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-las-vegas-raiders-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 1.1¢ | 1.4¢ | 1.25¢ | midpoint | fresh · 183s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-lasrai | direct contract | 1.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 2827s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-03 | 2.5% |
| 2026-10-02 | 2.5% |
| 2026-10-01 | 2.5% |
| 2026-09-30 | 2.5% |
New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl LXI
1%The market-implied chance the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +7199, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (1.10%) and Polymarket US (1.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New Orleans Saints a 1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-NO | direct contract | 1.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 210s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-new-orleans-saints-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 1.10¢ | midpoint | fresh · 356s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-newsai | direct contract | 1.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 2829s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-03 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-02 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-01 | 1.5% |
| 2026-09-30 | 1.0% |
Houston Texans win Super Bowl LXI
1%The market-implied chance the Houston Texans win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +7712, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%), Polymarket (0.85%) and Polymarket US (1.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Houston Texans a 1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-HOU | direct contract | 1.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 87s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-houston-texans-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 0.8¢ | 0.9¢ | 0.85¢ | midpoint | fresh · 198s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-houtex | direct contract | 1.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 2810s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-04 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-03 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-02 | 1.5% |
| 2026-10-01 | 1.5% |
| 2026-09-30 | 1.5% |
Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl LXI
<1%The market-implied chance the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +10104, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.95%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Indianapolis Colts a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-IND | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 587s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-indianapolis-colts-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 0.95¢ | midpoint | fresh · 2367s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-indcol | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 2846s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-04 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-03 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-02 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-01 | 1.0% |
| 2026-09-30 | 1.0% |
Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl LXI
<1%The market-implied chance the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +10426, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.85%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Carolina Panthers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-CAR | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 537s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-carolina-panthers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 0.85¢ | midpoint | fresh · 2367s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-carpan | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 133s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-04 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-03 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-02 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-01 | 1.0% |
| 2026-09-30 | 1.0% |
New York Giants win Super Bowl LXI
<1%The market-implied chance the New York Giants win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +11264, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.65%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New York Giants a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-NYG | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 401s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-new-york-giants-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 0.65¢ | midpoint | fresh · 297s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-newgia | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 119s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-04 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-03 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-02 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-01 | 1.0% |
| 2026-09-30 | 1.0% |
Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl LXI
<1%The market-implied chance the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +11264, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.65%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Atlanta Falcons a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-ATL | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 587s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-atlanta-falcons-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 0.65¢ | midpoint | fresh · 2367s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-atlfal | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 2827s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-04 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-03 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-02 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-01 | 1.0% |
| 2026-09-30 | 1.0% |
Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl LXI
<1%The market-implied chance the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +11665, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.55%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Pittsburgh Steelers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-PIT | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 316s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-pittsburgh-steelers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 0.55¢ | midpoint | fresh · 290s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-pitste | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 2825s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-04 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-03 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-02 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-01 | 1.0% |
| 2026-09-30 | 1.0% |
Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl LXI
<1%The market-implied chance the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +11665, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.55%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Cleveland Browns a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-CLE | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 587s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-cleveland-browns-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 0.55¢ | midpoint | fresh · 348s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-clebro | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 124s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (131 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-04 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-03 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-02 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-01 | 1.0% |
| 2026-09-30 | 1.0% |
Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl LXI
<1%The market-implied chance the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12095, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.45%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Los Angeles Chargers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-LAC | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 587s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-los-angeles-chargers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 0.45¢ | midpoint | fresh · 2376s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-loscha | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 124s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-04 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-03 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-02 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-01 | 1.0% |
| 2026-09-30 | 1.0% |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl LXI
<1%The market-implied chance the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12095, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.45%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Tampa Bay Buccaneers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-TB | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 303s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-tampa-bay-buccaneers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 0.45¢ | midpoint | fresh · 2367s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-tambuc | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 2827s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-04 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-03 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-02 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-01 | 1.0% |
| 2026-09-30 | 1.0% |
Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl LXI
<1%Stale
The market-implied chance the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12095, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.45%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Arizona Cardinals a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-ARI | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 587s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-arizona-cardinals-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 0.45¢ | midpoint | stale · 3853s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-aricar | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 2849s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (130 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-04 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-03 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-02 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-01 | 1.0% |
| 2026-09-30 | 1.0% |
New York Jets win Super Bowl LXI
<1%The market-implied chance the New York Jets win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12095, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.45%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New York Jets a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-NYJ | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 587s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-new-york-jets-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 0.45¢ | midpoint | fresh · 2372s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-newjet | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 2804s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-04 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-03 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-02 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-01 | 1.0% |
| 2026-09-30 | 1.0% |
Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl LXI
<1%The market-implied chance the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12721, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.35%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Miami Dolphins a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-MIA | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 587s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-miami-dolphins-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 0.35¢ | midpoint | fresh · 297s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-miadol | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 2820s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (130 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-04 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-03 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-02 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-01 | 1.0% |
| 2026-09-30 | 1.0% |
Washington Commanders win Super Bowl LXI
<1%The market-implied chance the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12721, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.35%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Washington Commanders a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-WAS | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 587s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-washington-commanders-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 0.3¢ | 0.4¢ | 0.35¢ | midpoint | fresh · 255s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-wascom | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 2822s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-04 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-03 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-02 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-01 | 1.0% |
| 2026-09-30 | 1.0% |
Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl LXI
<1%The market-implied chance the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12721, before fees.
Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.35%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Tennessee Titans a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSB-27-TEN | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 587s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | will-the-tennessee-titans-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship | direct contract | 0.35¢ | midpoint | fresh · 344s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket US | tec-nfl-champ-2027-02-14-w-tentit | direct contract | 1.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 2822s old | Contract ↗ |
History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-05 (132 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)
| Date | Value |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-04 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-03 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-02 | 1.0% |
| 2026-10-01 | 1.0% |
| 2026-09-30 | 1.0% |
The top six teams combined
57%Last trade
The combined chance that one of the six current favorites wins Super Bowl LXI.
Sum of the six teams' averaged prices. Prices across all 32 teams add up to a little over 100% because of the venues' built-in margin.
Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “The six favorites combine for about a 57% chance” (DeFi Rate calculation).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi + Polymarket | KXSB-27-LAR, KXSB-27-BUF, KXSB-27-SF, KXSB-27-KC, KXSB-27-SEA, KXSB-27-BAL | inputs | last trade | fresh |