Patriots vs Bears OddsThursday Night Spread, Line & Prediction Markets
The Patriots arrive on a short week with a healthier receiving corps and a banged-up offensive line. A.J. Brown was activated off injured reserve for Week 6, but Alijah Vera-Tucker, Morgan Moses and Ben Brown all left Sunday’s win over the Jets, and TreVeyon Henderson is still working through a high-ankle sprain. Chicago gets Caleb Williams back from a Grade 2 hamstring strain, while Kyle Monangai remains out with thumb and toe injuries. Traders have the Bears at 60% to win, with the spread sitting at Bears −3.5 and $60K traded on this game in the past 24 hours.
About 3 in 5 (−152)
Prices to buy now. $100 on Polymarket US at the ask pays $166 if correct, before fees.
About 2 in 5 (+152)
Prices to buy now. $100 on Kalshi at the ask pays $250 if correct, before fees.
Kalshi's lines closest to a coin flip
Best price to buy
Fees included- Kalshi7% fee · bid 60¢62.7¢61¢ + fee$160per $100
- Polymarket USBest price6.95% fee · bid 59.8¢61.7¢60¢ + fee$162per $100
Ranked by price with each venue’s taker fee on one contract. Polymarket’s international site isn’t open to US traders, so it’s never marked best.
Markets’ projected final
From the spread & totalThe Bears by 3 with 49.9 total points: the lines Kalshi’s spread and total markets price at even odds. Before the game: CHI -2.5, total 49.5.
Patriots vs. Bears moneyline odds
Prices to buy each team. Tap a price to open Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini.
| Team | Average | Kalshi | Polymarket US | Gemini | Sources |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago BearsHome · −152 | 60% $100 on Polymarket US at the ask pays $166 | Kalshi61¢ | Polymarket US60¢ | Gemini61¢ | |
| New England PatriotsAway · +152 | 40% $100 on Kalshi at the ask pays $250 | Kalshi40¢ | Polymarket US40.3¢ | Gemini40¢ |
Best prices to buy: Chicago at 60¢ on Polymarket US; New England at 40¢ on Kalshi and Gemini. Buying both costs exactly the $1 payout: no arbitrage. Traded in the past 24 hours: $50K on Kalshi and $9K on Polymarket US.
Kalshi: OpenPolymarket US: OpenGemini: Open Average is the mean of each venue's price for the outcome, where it lists one: the midpoint of Kalshi's bid and ask; Polymarket US's displayed price; the midpoint of Gemini's bid and ask. Source: Kalshi / Polymarket US / Gemini via DeFi Rate, observed between Oct 19, 12:58 AM and 1:00 AM ET.
Source: Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate, Oct 13 to Oct 18 (UTC days). A day without a close is left out.
Patriots vs. Bears spread and over/under
Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini price a ladder of margins and totals: tap a price to buy that line. The line closest to a coin flip is tagged.
All 24 spread lines
All 19 total lines
Open Chance is the midpoint of Kalshi's bid and ask. Fair odds are that chance as American odds, before fees. Polymarket US lists one team’s spread both ways: an underdog line there is bought as No on the favorite’s line. Source: Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini via DeFi Rate, observed between Oct 18, 11:55 PM ET and Oct 19, 1:00 AM ET.
Patriots vs. Bears team totals
Polymarket US prices how many points each team scores: tap a price to buy that line. The line closest to a coin flip is tagged.
All 17 team total lines
All 17 team total lines
Open Chance is the midpoint of Polymarket US's bid and ask. Fair odds are that chance as American odds, before fees. Source: Polymarket US via DeFi Rate, observed Oct 19, 1:01 AM ET.
Patriots vs. Bears player props
Every NFL player prop this week, with projections and best picks →
| Player | Prop | Chance | Yes | No |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NE Patriots D/STNE | First touchdown | 5% | 5¢ | – |
| CHI Bears D/STCHI | First touchdown | 4% | 6¢ | 98¢ |
| NE Patriots D/STNE | Anytime touchdown | 11% | 15¢ | 93¢ |
| CHI Bears D/STCHI | Anytime touchdown | 10% | 17¢ | 94¢ |
| Caleb WilliamsCHI | 2+ touchdowns | 2% | 3¢ | 99¢ |
| Kyle WilliamsNE | Anytime touchdown | 8% | 9¢ | 93¢ |
| Colston LovelandCHI | First touchdown | 6.5% | 9¢ | 96¢ |
| Hunter HenryNE | Anytime touchdown | 25% | 27¢ | 77¢ |
| Cole KmetCHI | First touchdown | 3% | 4¢ | 98¢ |
| A.J. BrownNE | 60+ receiving yards | 51% | 53¢ | 51¢ |
| A.J. BrownNE | 2+ touchdowns | 6% | 9¢ | 97¢ |
| A.J. BrownNE | First touchdown | 5.5% | 9¢ | 98¢ |
The busiest props on the game, each at the line priced closest to even. Chance: the midpoint of the bid and ask, or the last trade. Yes and No: the price to buy one contract that pays $1. Source: Kalshi via AllTop, observed Oct 19, 1:00 AM ET.
Live at kickoff
8:15 PM- Every play, with how the price moved on it
- The win chance, play by play, against ESPN’s model
- Live best prices on each venue, fees included
- Big bets as they land, and the money behind each side
- Quarter winners and player props as they settle
This page turns live by itself at kickoff; there’s no need to refresh.
NFL Week 7 games 3 games
- Thu 8:15 PM ETThis gameNE PatriotsCHI BearsCHI 60%
- Sun 9:30 AM ETPIT SteelersNO SaintsPIT 56%
- Sun 4:25 PM ETGB PackersDET LionsDET 57%
Matchup reporting checked Oct. 16, 2026. Source: NFL news roundup: Bears QB Caleb Williams (hamstring) practices in full again.
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