The snapshot from Oct 23, 10:14 PM ET isn’t kept: this page’s figures are live, and older snapshots aren’t stored yet. This is the latest, at its own permanent address: https://defirate.com/odds/crypto/snapshot/2026-10-23T2301/.
Permanent snapshot · never updated
Crypto marketsEvery figure as of Oct 23, 11:01 PM ET
A frozen record for citation. Numbers on the live page change as markets move; these don’t. Methodology · Live source records
Bitcoin finishes the 15-minute window up
54%Last tradeStale
The chance Bitcoin settles above its target price (80,875.28) at the end of the window closing 11:15 PM ET, on Kalshi.
Kalshi’s last trade for the Up contract in this window: its bid and ask weren’t read in the last minute, so no price to buy is shown. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in.
Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “Kalshi gives Bitcoin a 54% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXBTC15M-26OCT232315-15 | direct contract | 54.00¢ | last trade | stale · 92s old | Contract ↗ | ||
| Polymarket | reference only | 50.50¢ | last trade | fresh | Not averaged: different target and settlement source. |
Ethereum finishes the 15-minute window up
56%The chance Ethereum settles above its target price (2,381.84) at the end of the window closing 11:15 PM ET, on Kalshi.
Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in. Polymarket showed 48% up.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives Ethereum a 56% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXETH15M-26OCT232315-15 | direct contract | 55.0¢ | 56.0¢ | 55.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 55s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | reference only | 48.50¢ | midpoint | fresh | Not averaged: different target and settlement source. |
XRP finishes the 15-minute window up
–Single venue
XRP’s 15-minute window closing 11:00 PM ET (target price 1.2916) settled Up on Kalshi. The next window isn’t in our feed yet, so there’s no current price.
Kalshi settles each window on the CF Benchmarks Real Time Index. A closed window shows its result only once Kalshi has settled it, never one read from a price.
Quote type: Kalshi settlement. Cited as: “XRP’s 15-minute window closing 11:00 PM ET settled Up on Kalshi” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXXRP15M-26OCT232300-00 | direct contract | kalshi settlement | settled | Contract ↗ |
Dogecoin finishes the 15-minute window up
–Single venue
Dogecoin’s 15-minute window closing 11:00 PM ET (target price 0.0788343) has closed, and Kalshi hasn’t settled it yet. The next window isn’t in our feed yet, so there’s no current price.
Kalshi settles each window on the CF Benchmarks Real Time Index. A closed window shows its result only once Kalshi has settled it, never one read from a price.
Quote type: Kalshi settlement. Cited as: “Dogecoin’s 15-minute window closing 11:00 PM ET has closed, and Kalshi hasn’t settled it yet” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXDOGE15M-26OCT232300-00 | direct contract | kalshi settlement | closed | Contract ↗ |
Solana finishes the 15-minute window up
–Single venue
Solana’s 15-minute window closing 11:00 PM ET (target price 102.47) settled Up on Kalshi. The next window isn’t in our feed yet, so there’s no current price.
Kalshi settles each window on the CF Benchmarks Real Time Index. A closed window shows its result only once Kalshi has settled it, never one read from a price.
Quote type: Kalshi settlement. Cited as: “Solana’s 15-minute window closing 11:00 PM ET settled Up on Kalshi” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSOL15M-26OCT232300-00 | direct contract | kalshi settlement | settled | Contract ↗ |
NEAR finishes the 15-minute window up
–Single venue
NEAR’s 15-minute window closing 11:00 PM ET (target price 4.6439) settled Up on Kalshi. The next window isn’t in our feed yet, so there’s no current price.
Kalshi settles each window on the CF Benchmarks Real Time Index. A closed window shows its result only once Kalshi has settled it, never one read from a price.
Quote type: Kalshi settlement. Cited as: “NEAR’s 15-minute window closing 11:00 PM ET settled Up on Kalshi” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNEAR15M-26OCT232300-00 | direct contract | kalshi settlement | settled | Contract ↗ |
Hyperliquid finishes the 15-minute window up
–Single venue
Hyperliquid’s 15-minute window closing 10:45 PM ET (target price 77.0876) settled Up on Kalshi. The next window isn’t in our feed yet, so there’s no current price.
Kalshi settles each window on the CF Benchmarks Real Time Index. A closed window shows its result only once Kalshi has settled it, never one read from a price.
Quote type: Kalshi settlement. Cited as: “Hyperliquid’s 15-minute window closing 10:45 PM ET settled Up on Kalshi” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXHYPE15M-26OCT232245-45 | direct contract | kalshi settlement | settled | Contract ↗ |
Zcash finishes the 15-minute window up
–Single venue
Zcash’s 15-minute window closing 10:45 PM ET (target price 1,175.0407) settled Down on Kalshi. The next window isn’t in our feed yet, so there’s no current price.
Kalshi settles each window on the CF Benchmarks Real Time Index. A closed window shows its result only once Kalshi has settled it, never one read from a price.
Quote type: Kalshi settlement. Cited as: “Zcash’s 15-minute window closing 10:45 PM ET settled Down on Kalshi” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXZEC15M-26OCT232245-45 | direct contract | kalshi settlement | settled | Contract ↗ |
BNB finishes the 15-minute window up
–Single venue
BNB’s 15-minute window closing 11:00 PM ET (target price 739.46) has closed, and Kalshi hasn’t settled it yet. The next window isn’t in our feed yet, so there’s no current price.
Kalshi settles each window on the CF Benchmarks Real Time Index. A closed window shows its result only once Kalshi has settled it, never one read from a price.
Quote type: Kalshi settlement. Cited as: “BNB’s 15-minute window closing 11:00 PM ET has closed, and Kalshi hasn’t settled it yet” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXBNB15M-26OCT232300-00 | direct contract | kalshi settlement | closed | Contract ↗ |
Crypto’s share of prediction-market volume
21%Crypto contracts made up 21.2% of prediction-market volume in the 24 hours to Oct 23, 2026: about $197 million of the $926 million traded.
Crypto-category volume divided by all-category volume, last 24 hours.
Measure: Traded volume. Cited as: “Crypto’s share of prediction-market volume” (DeFi Rate volume data).
Data sources (1)
Kalshi crypto volume, 30 days
$5.0BDollars traded in Kalshi’s crypto markets from Sep 24 to Oct 23, 2026, up 18% on the prior 30 days.
Sum of Kalshi crypto-category volume over 30 days.
Measure: Traded volume. Cited as: “Kalshi crypto volume, 30 days” (DeFi Rate volume data).