Prediction markets give England a 51% chance of beating Norway in regulation time when the teams meet in Miami for a World Cup quarterfinal clash this evening. The Three Lions are priced at 65% to advance to the semifinals at Norway’s expense, a market that also includes extra time and penalties, if necessary.
Prediction sites are also offering a long list of props on the big game, which kicks off at 5 p.m. ET on FOX from Hard Rock Stadium. We’ve highlighted the most interesting Norway vs. England props and explored where the value lies.
The action then shifts to Kansas City, where Argentina will take on Switzerland at Arrowhead Stadium. We’ve also rounded up the best props for that matchup.
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Norway vs. England, 5 p.m. ET
Kalshi vs. Polymarket props on Norway vs. England (*trading available in 49 states)
This game will feature two of the world’s most devastating strikers. Erling Haaland has scored seven goals in four games for Norway at this tournament, while England captain Harry Kane has scored six times. Both men should have plenty of chances to get on the score sheet in this game, so it promises to be an entertaining contest.
| Market | Polymarket | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|
| Both Teams to Score (Yes) | 61% | 62% |
| Both Teams to Score (No) | 40% | 39% |
| Erling Haaland to Score | 46% | 47% |
| Harry Kane to Score | 49% | 50% |
| Jude Bellingham to Score | 27% | 28% |
| Martin Ødegaard to Assist | 19% | 17% |
| Bukayo Saka to Assist | 18% | N/A |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 51% | 58% |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 50% | 43% |
Best Norway vs. England props
Both teams to score has paid off in all five of Norway’s games so far at this tournament. The Norwegians began their campaign with a 4-1 win against Iraq, and they then beat Senegal 3-2. Manager Ståle Solbakken fielded a reserve team against France on Matchday 3, and Norway duly lost 4-1.
However, his team bounced back with a 2-1 win against Ivory Coast in the Round of 32, and Norway then clinched a shock 2-1 victory over Brazil. Both teams to score is trading at 61% with Polymarket for this game, which could prove to be a popular market. Over 2.5 goals has also landed in all five of Norway’s matches so far. Polymarket will let you combine both teams to score with over 2.5 goals, which offers greater value.
England is coming off a 3-2 win against Mexico in the Round of 16. The Three Lions have scored an average of 2.5 goals per game at this tournament, but they’ve only kept two clean sheets. They could struggle to contain Haaland today. England received a major boost when Declan Rice, Marc Guehi, and Reece James all returned to training ahead of this game. That will improve England’s chances of advancing to the next round, but it will still be difficult for the Three Lions to stop Norway’s rampant attack.
Haaland has found the back of the net every 51 minutes during this tournament. He scored twice against Brazil in the previous round, and he has the pace, movement, and aerial ability to cause all sorts of problems for England’s defense. He’s trading at 46% with Polymarket to score in this matchup. Norway captain Martin Ødegaard is the team’s creator-in-chief, with three assists in four appearances, and he’s priced at 17% with Kalshi to get another assist today.
Kane scored twice in England’s 2-1 win against DR Congo in the Round of 32, and he was also on target against Mexico. He’s scored a goal every 74 minutes – a strike rate bettered only by Haaland, Lionel Messi, and Kylian Mbappé. Norway’s defense is vulnerable, so Kane is priced at 49% with Polymarket to score. Jude Bellingham scored twice against Mexico, taking his tally to four for the tournament, and he’s trading at 27% to strike again in Miami today.
England has been awarded 6.2 corners per game at the 2026 World Cup, while Norway has earned 4.4 corners per match. Over 9.5 corners is trading at 51% with Polymarket and 58% with Kalshi for this game, which is a significant spread.
Argentina vs. Switzerland, 9 p.m. ET
Kalshi vs. Polymarket props on Argentina vs. Switzerland (*trading available in 49 states)
Lionel Messi will try to lead Argentina to another victory when his team faces Switzerland at Arrowhead Stadium tonight. He has scored eight goals in five games at this tournament, so it will be difficult for the Swiss defense to stop him.
| Market | Polymarket | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|
| Both Teams to Score (Yes) | 46% | 47% |
| Both Teams to Score (No) | 55% | 54% |
| Lionel Messi to Score | 52% | 51% |
| Lionel Messi to Assist | 28% | 27% |
| Breel Embolo to Score | 19% | 20% |
| Argentina to Score Over 1.5 Goals | 49% | 51% |
| Switzerland to Score Over 0.5 Goals | 55% | 55% |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 46% | 55% |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 55% | 46% |
Best Argentina vs. Switzerland props
Argentina’s air of invincibility has faded over the past week. The reigning world champion swept aside Algeria, Austria, and Jordan during the group stage, but La Albiceleste have struggled during the knockout stage. They needed extra time to beat Cape Verde 3-2 in the Round of 32, and they were fortunate to clinch a 3-2 win against Egypt in the Round of 16.
Egypt led that game 2-0 with just 11 minutes left on the clock. The Pharaohs felt they should have been 3-0 up, as Mostafa Ziko’s goal was controversially ruled out. Messi then took over. He delivered a tantalizing cross into the box, which Cristian Romero headed in, and Messi then fired in a powerful equalizer. Egypt thought they should have been awarded a penalty in the dying stages, but the referee waved play on, and Argentina went up the pitch and Enzo Fernández scored a last-gasp winner.
Both teams to score has now landed in Argentina’s last three games. It’s priced at 46% with Polymarket for this matchup, which looks interesting. Switzerland scored in its first four games at this tournament: a 1-1 draw with Qatar, a 4-1 win against Bosnia and Herzegovina, a 2-1 victory over Canada, and a 2-0 win against Algeria. The Swiss then drew 0-0 with Colombia in the Round of 16, before winning the subsequent penalty shootout.
Star forward Johan Manzambi will miss this game with an injury, but Switzerland still has plenty of firepower in its ranks. Striker Breel Embolo is trading at 19% with Polymarket to score in this game, while the likes of Dan Ndoye and Rubén Vargas are also dangerous.
Argentina forwards Lautaro Martínez and Julián Álvarez have struggled to make an impact at this tournament, so La Albiceleste have been heavily reliant on Messi. He has found the back of the net in every game so far, and he’s leading the Golden Boot race. Messi is priced at 51% to score with Kalshi tonight, and 27% to provide an assist. Argentina has scored an average of 2.8 goals per game at this tournament, and it’s trading at 49% with Polymarket to score over 1.5 goals in this game. Switzerland is priced at 55% to score at least one goal.
These teams don’t earn too many corners – 4.6 per game for Argentina, 5.2 per match for the Swiss – so the main total corners line has been set at 8.5. Over 8.5 corners is trading at 46% with Polymarket, compared to 55% at Kalshi, which is another large spread. Argentina had eight corners against Cape Verde and six against Egypt, so over 8.5 corners could be popular.
World Cup semifinals begin on Tuesday
The World Cup quarterfinals will conclude today. The semifinals will then get underway on Tuesday, with a heavyweight clash between France and Spain in Dallas.
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