The snapshot from Sep 28, 1:37 PM ET isn’t kept: this page’s figures are live, and older snapshots aren’t stored yet. This is the latest, at its own permanent address: https://defirate.com/prediction-markets/super-bowl-odds/snapshot/2026-09-28T1411/.

Permanent snapshot · never updated

Super Bowl LXIEvery figure as of Sep 28, 2:11 PM ET

A frozen record for citation. Numbers on the live page change as markets move; these don’t. Methodology · Live source records

Data observedSep 28, 2:11 PM ET

Live page updatedSep 28, 2:11 PM ET

Permanent URLhttps://defirate.com/prediction-markets/super-bowl-odds/snapshot/2026-09-28T1411

DownloadAll figures and contracts (CSV)
Super Bowl LXI odds, all 32 teams (CSV)

Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl LXI

14%

Last trade

The market-implied chance the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +641, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (13.5%) and Polymarket (13.50%). This snapshot has Kalshi's last traded price, not its bid and ask, so both venues are priced at their last trade here.

Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Buffalo Bills a 14% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXSB-27-BUF	direct contract			13.50¢	last trade	fresh · 178s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket	will-the-buffalo-bills-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship	direct contract	13.0¢	14.0¢	13.50¢	last trade	fresh · 216s old	Contract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-09-28 (125 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

Date	Value
2026-09-28	13.5%
2026-09-27	12.5%
2026-09-26	12.5%
2026-09-25	12.5%
2026-09-24	12.0%
2026-09-23	12.0%

Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl LXI

11%

Last tradeStale

The market-implied chance the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +809, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (11.5%) and Polymarket (10.50%). This snapshot has Kalshi's last traded price, not its bid and ask, so both venues are priced at their last trade here.

Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Los Angeles Rams a 11% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXSB-27-LAR	direct contract			11.50¢	last trade	stale · 828s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket	will-the-los-angeles-rams-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship	direct contract			10.50¢	last trade	stale · 447s old	Contract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-09-28 (125 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

Date	Value
2026-09-28	11.5%
2026-09-27	12.5%
2026-09-26	12.5%
2026-09-25	12.5%
2026-09-24	12.5%
2026-09-23	12.5%

San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LXI

10%

Last trade

The market-implied chance the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +938, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (10.5%) and Polymarket (8.75%). This snapshot has Kalshi's last traded price, not its bid and ask, so both venues are priced at their last trade here.

Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the San Francisco 49ers a 10% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXSB-27-SF	direct contract			10.50¢	last trade	fresh · 206s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket	will-the-san-francisco-49ers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship	direct contract	8.7¢	8.8¢	8.75¢	last trade	fresh · 144s old	Contract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-09-28 (125 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

Date	Value
2026-09-28	10.5%
2026-09-27	9.5%
2026-09-26	8.5%
2026-09-25	8.5%
2026-09-24	9.5%
2026-09-23	8.5%

Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LXI

Last tradeStale

The market-implied chance the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1139, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (7.5%) and Polymarket (8.65%). This snapshot has Kalshi's last traded price, not its bid and ask, so both venues are priced at their last trade here.

Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Kansas City Chiefs a 8% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXSB-27-KC	direct contract			7.50¢	last trade	stale · 352s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket	will-the-kansas-city-chiefs-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship	direct contract			8.65¢	last trade	stale · 774s old	Contract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-09-28 (125 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

Date	Value
2026-09-28	7.5%
2026-09-27	7.5%
2026-09-26	7.5%
2026-09-25	7.5%
2026-09-24	7.5%
2026-09-23	7.5%

Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl LXI

Last tradeStale

The market-implied chance the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1221, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (7.5%) and Polymarket (7.65%). This snapshot has Kalshi's last traded price, not its bid and ask, so both venues are priced at their last trade here.

Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Baltimore Ravens a 8% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXSB-27-BAL	direct contract			7.50¢	last trade	stale · 507s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket	will-the-baltimore-ravens-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship	direct contract	7.6¢	7.7¢	7.65¢	last trade	fresh · 122s old	Contract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-09-28 (125 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

Date	Value
2026-09-28	7.5%
2026-09-27	7.5%
2026-09-26	6.5%
2026-09-25	6.5%
2026-09-24	6.5%
2026-09-23	6.5%

Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl LXI

Last tradeStale

The market-implied chance the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1329, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (6.5%) and Polymarket (7.50%). This snapshot has Kalshi's last traded price, not its bid and ask, so both venues are priced at their last trade here.

Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Seattle Seahawks a 7% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXSB-27-SEA	direct contract			6.50¢	last trade	stale · 530s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket	will-the-seattle-seahawks-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship	direct contract	7.0¢	8.0¢	7.50¢	last trade	fresh · 146s old	Contract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-09-28 (125 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

Date	Value
2026-09-28	6.5%
2026-09-27	5.5%
2026-09-26	8.5%
2026-09-25	8.5%
2026-09-24	8.5%
2026-09-23	7.5%

Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl LXI

Last trade

The market-implied chance the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1762, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (5.5%) and Polymarket (5.25%). This snapshot has Kalshi's last traded price, not its bid and ask, so both venues are priced at their last trade here.

Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Philadelphia Eagles a 5% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXSB-27-PHI	direct contract			5.50¢	last trade	fresh · 198s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket	will-the-philadelphia-eagles-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship	direct contract	5.2¢	5.3¢	5.25¢	last trade	fresh · 158s old	Contract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-09-28 (125 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

Date	Value
2026-09-28	5.5%
2026-09-27	5.5%
2026-09-26	5.5%
2026-09-25	5.5%
2026-09-24	5.5%
2026-09-23	5.5%

Denver Broncos win Super Bowl LXI

Last tradeStale

The market-implied chance the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2162, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (4.5%) and Polymarket (4.35%). This snapshot has Kalshi's last traded price, not its bid and ask, so both venues are priced at their last trade here.

Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Denver Broncos a 4% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXSB-27-DEN	direct contract			4.50¢	last trade	stale · 308s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket	will-the-denver-broncos-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship	direct contract			4.35¢	last trade	stale · 1033s old	Contract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-09-28 (125 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

Date	Value
2026-09-28	4.5%
2026-09-27	3.5%
2026-09-26	3.5%
2026-09-25	3.5%
2026-09-24	3.5%
2026-09-23	3.5%

Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl LXI

Last tradeStale

The market-implied chance the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2215, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (4.5%) and Polymarket (4.15%). This snapshot has Kalshi's last traded price, not its bid and ask, so both venues are priced at their last trade here.

Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Cincinnati Bengals a 4% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXSB-27-CIN	direct contract			4.50¢	last trade	stale · 520s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket	will-the-cincinnati-bengals-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship	direct contract			4.15¢	last trade	fresh · 130s old	Contract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-09-28 (125 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

Date	Value
2026-09-28	4.5%
2026-09-27	5.5%
2026-09-26	6.5%
2026-09-25	6.5%
2026-09-24	6.5%
2026-09-23	6.5%

Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl LXI

Last tradeStale

The market-implied chance the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2581, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%) and Polymarket (3.95%). This snapshot has Kalshi's last traded price, not its bid and ask, so both venues are priced at their last trade here.

Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Jacksonville Jaguars a 4% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXSB-27-JAC	direct contract			3.50¢	last trade	stale · 520s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket	will-the-jacksonville-jaguars-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship	direct contract	3.9¢	4.0¢	3.95¢	last trade	fresh · 190s old	Contract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-09-28 (125 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

Date	Value
2026-09-28	3.5%
2026-09-27	3.5%
2026-09-26	2.5%
2026-09-25	2.5%
2026-09-24	2.5%
2026-09-23	2.5%

Detroit Lions win Super Bowl LXI

Last trade

The market-implied chance the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2617, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%) and Polymarket (3.85%). This snapshot has Kalshi's last traded price, not its bid and ask, so both venues are priced at their last trade here.

Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Detroit Lions a 4% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXSB-27-DET	direct contract			3.50¢	last trade	fresh · 233s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket	will-the-detroit-lions-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship	direct contract	3.8¢	3.9¢	3.85¢	last trade	fresh · 233s old	Contract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-09-28 (125 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

Date	Value
2026-09-28	3.5%
2026-09-27	3.5%
2026-09-26	3.5%
2026-09-25	3.5%
2026-09-24	3.5%
2026-09-23	3.5%

Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl LXI

Last tradeStale

The market-implied chance the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2903, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%) and Polymarket (3.15%). This snapshot has Kalshi's last traded price, not its bid and ask, so both venues are priced at their last trade here.

Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Minnesota Vikings a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXSB-27-MIN	direct contract			3.50¢	last trade	fresh · 124s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket	will-the-minnesota-vikings-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship	direct contract			3.15¢	last trade	stale · 1790s old	Contract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-09-28 (125 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

Date	Value
2026-09-28	3.5%
2026-09-27	2.5%
2026-09-26	2.5%
2026-09-25	2.5%
2026-09-24	2.5%
2026-09-23	2.5%

Chicago Bears win Super Bowl LXI

Last tradeStale

The market-implied chance the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +4102, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (2.5%) and Polymarket (2.25%). This snapshot has Kalshi's last traded price, not its bid and ask, so both venues are priced at their last trade here.

Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Chicago Bears a 2% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXSB-27-CHI	direct contract			2.50¢	last trade	stale · 429s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket	will-the-chicago-bears-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship	direct contract			2.25¢	last trade	stale · 1790s old	Contract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-09-28 (125 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

Date	Value
2026-09-28	2.5%
2026-09-27	2.5%
2026-09-26	2.5%
2026-09-25	2.5%
2026-09-24	2.5%
2026-09-23	2.5%

Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl LXI

Last tradeStale

The market-implied chance the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +4305, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (2.5%) and Polymarket (2.05%). This snapshot has Kalshi's last traded price, not its bid and ask, so both venues are priced at their last trade here.

Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Dallas Cowboys a 2% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXSB-27-DAL	direct contract			2.50¢	last trade	stale · 530s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket	will-the-dallas-cowboys-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship	direct contract	2.0¢	2.1¢	2.05¢	last trade	fresh · 172s old	Contract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-09-28 (125 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

Date	Value
2026-09-28	2.5%
2026-09-27	2.5%
2026-09-26	3.5%
2026-09-25	3.5%
2026-09-24	2.5%
2026-09-23	3.5%

New England Patriots win Super Bowl LXI

Last tradeStale

The market-implied chance the New England Patriots win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +5248, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%) and Polymarket (2.25%). This snapshot has Kalshi's last traded price, not its bid and ask, so both venues are priced at their last trade here.

Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New England Patriots a 2% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXSB-27-NE	direct contract			1.50¢	last trade	stale · 2368s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket	will-the-new-england-patriots-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship	direct contract	2.2¢	2.3¢	2.25¢	last trade	fresh · 158s old	Contract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-09-28 (125 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

Date	Value
2026-09-28	1.5%
2026-09-27	1.5%
2026-09-26	3.5%
2026-09-25	3.5%
2026-09-24	3.5%
2026-09-23	3.5%

Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl LXI

Last tradeStale

The market-implied chance the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +5680, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (2.0%) and Polymarket (1.45%). This snapshot has Kalshi's last traded price, not its bid and ask, so both venues are priced at their last trade here.

Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Las Vegas Raiders a 2% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXSB-27-LV	direct contract			2.00¢	last trade	fresh · 142s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket	will-the-las-vegas-raiders-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship	direct contract			1.45¢	last trade	stale · 1775s old	Contract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-09-28 (125 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

Date	Value
2026-09-28	2.0%
2026-09-27	2.0%
2026-09-26	1.0%
2026-09-25	1.0%
2026-09-24	1.0%
2026-09-23	1.0%

Houston Texans win Super Bowl LXI

Last tradeStale

The market-implied chance the Houston Texans win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +6703, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%) and Polymarket (1.45%). This snapshot has Kalshi's last traded price, not its bid and ask, so both venues are priced at their last trade here.

Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Houston Texans a 1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXSB-27-HOU	direct contract			1.50¢	last trade	stale · 507s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket	will-the-houston-texans-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship	direct contract			1.45¢	last trade	stale · 1790s old	Contract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-09-28 (125 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

Date	Value
2026-09-28	1.5%
2026-09-27	1.5%
2026-09-26	2.5%
2026-09-25	2.5%
2026-09-24	2.5%
2026-09-23	2.5%

Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl LXI

Last tradeStale

The market-implied chance the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +7307, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%) and Polymarket (1.20%). This snapshot has Kalshi's last traded price, not its bid and ask, so both venues are priced at their last trade here.

Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Green Bay Packers a 1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXSB-27-GB	direct contract			1.50¢	last trade	stale · 498s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket	will-the-green-bay-packers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship	direct contract			1.20¢	last trade	stale · 1790s old	Contract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-09-28 (125 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

Date	Value
2026-09-28	1.5%
2026-09-27	1.5%
2026-09-26	1.5%
2026-09-25	1.5%
2026-09-24	2.5%
2026-09-23	2.5%

Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl LXI

Last tradeStale

The market-implied chance the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +9609, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%) and Polymarket (1.05%). This snapshot has Kalshi's last traded price, not its bid and ask, so both venues are priced at their last trade here.

Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Pittsburgh Steelers a 1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXSB-27-PIT	direct contract			1.00¢	last trade	stale · 498s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket	will-the-pittsburgh-steelers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship	direct contract			1.05¢	last trade	stale · 1790s old	Contract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-09-28 (125 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

Date	Value
2026-09-28	1.0%
2026-09-27	1.0%
2026-09-26	1.0%
2026-09-25	1.0%
2026-09-24	1.0%
2026-09-23	1.0%

Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Last tradeStale

The market-implied chance the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +10653, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%) and Polymarket (0.85%). This snapshot has Kalshi's last traded price, not its bid and ask, so both venues are priced at their last trade here.

Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Los Angeles Chargers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXSB-27-LAC	direct contract			1.00¢	last trade	stale · 1017s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket	will-the-los-angeles-chargers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship	direct contract			0.85¢	last trade	fresh · 130s old	Contract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-09-28 (125 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

Date	Value
2026-09-28	1.0%
2026-09-27	1.0%
2026-09-26	1.5%
2026-09-25	1.5%
2026-09-24	1.5%
2026-09-23	1.5%

New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Last tradeStale

The market-implied chance the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +10653, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%) and Polymarket (0.85%). This snapshot has Kalshi's last traded price, not its bid and ask, so both venues are priced at their last trade here.

Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New Orleans Saints a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXSB-27-NO	direct contract			1.00¢	last trade	stale · 507s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket	will-the-new-orleans-saints-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship	direct contract			0.85¢	last trade	stale · 1790s old	Contract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-09-28 (125 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

Date	Value
2026-09-28	1.0%
2026-09-27	1.0%
2026-09-26	1.5%
2026-09-25	1.5%
2026-09-24	1.5%
2026-09-23	1.5%

Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Last tradeStale

The market-implied chance the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +10653, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%) and Polymarket (0.85%). This snapshot has Kalshi's last traded price, not its bid and ask, so both venues are priced at their last trade here.

Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Atlanta Falcons a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXSB-27-ATL	direct contract			1.00¢	last trade	stale · 442s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket	will-the-atlanta-falcons-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship	direct contract			0.85¢	last trade	stale · 1790s old	Contract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-09-28 (125 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

Date	Value
2026-09-28	1.0%
2026-09-27	1.0%
2026-09-26	1.0%
2026-09-25	1.0%
2026-09-24	1.0%
2026-09-23	1.0%

Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Last tradeStale

The market-implied chance the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +11264, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%) and Polymarket (0.75%). This snapshot has Kalshi's last traded price, not its bid and ask, so both venues are priced at their last trade here.

Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Carolina Panthers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXSB-27-CAR	direct contract			1.00¢	last trade	stale · 436s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket	will-the-carolina-panthers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship	direct contract			0.75¢	last trade	stale · 1790s old	Contract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-09-28 (125 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

Date	Value
2026-09-28	1.0%
2026-09-27	1.0%
2026-09-26	1.0%
2026-09-25	1.0%
2026-09-24	1.0%
2026-09-23	1.0%

Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Last tradeStale

The market-implied chance the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +11665, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%) and Polymarket (0.70%). This snapshot has Kalshi's last traded price, not its bid and ask, so both venues are priced at their last trade here.

Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Indianapolis Colts a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXSB-27-IND	direct contract			1.00¢	last trade	stale · 324s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket	will-the-indianapolis-colts-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship	direct contract			0.70¢	last trade	fresh · 130s old	Contract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-09-28 (125 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

Date	Value
2026-09-28	1.0%
2026-09-27	1.0%
2026-09-26	1.0%
2026-09-25	1.0%
2026-09-24	1.0%
2026-09-23	1.0%

New York Giants win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Last tradeStale

The market-implied chance the New York Giants win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +11948, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%) and Polymarket (0.65%). This snapshot has Kalshi's last traded price, not its bid and ask, so both venues are priced at their last trade here.

Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New York Giants a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXSB-27-NYG	direct contract			1.00¢	last trade	stale · 2161s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket	will-the-new-york-giants-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship	direct contract			0.65¢	last trade	stale · 1150s old	Contract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-09-28 (125 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

Date	Value
2026-09-28	1.0%
2026-09-27	1.0%
2026-09-26	1.0%
2026-09-25	1.0%
2026-09-24	1.0%
2026-09-23	1.0%

Washington Commanders win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Last tradeStale

The market-implied chance the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +11948, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%) and Polymarket (0.65%). This snapshot has Kalshi's last traded price, not its bid and ask, so both venues are priced at their last trade here.

Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Washington Commanders a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXSB-27-WAS	direct contract			1.00¢	last trade	stale · 3224s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket	will-the-washington-commanders-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship	direct contract	0.6¢	0.7¢	0.65¢	last trade	fresh · 255s old	Contract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-09-28 (125 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

Date	Value
2026-09-28	1.0%
2026-09-27	1.0%
2026-09-26	1.0%
2026-09-25	1.0%
2026-09-24	1.0%
2026-09-23	1.0%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Last tradeStale

The market-implied chance the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +13789, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%) and Polymarket (0.45%). This snapshot has Kalshi's last traded price, not its bid and ask, so both venues are priced at their last trade here.

Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Tampa Bay Buccaneers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXSB-27-TB	direct contract			1.00¢	last trade	stale · 3224s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket	will-the-tampa-bay-buccaneers-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship	direct contract			0.45¢	last trade	stale · 1790s old	Contract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-09-28 (125 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

Date	Value
2026-09-28	1.0%
2026-09-27	1.0%
2026-09-26	1.0%
2026-09-25	1.0%
2026-09-24	1.0%
2026-09-23	1.0%

Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Last tradeStale

The market-implied chance the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +13789, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%) and Polymarket (0.45%). This snapshot has Kalshi's last traded price, not its bid and ask, so both venues are priced at their last trade here.

Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Arizona Cardinals a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXSB-27-ARI	direct contract			1.00¢	last trade	stale · 3224s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket	will-the-arizona-cardinals-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship	direct contract			0.45¢	last trade	stale · 561s old	Contract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-09-28 (123 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

Date	Value
2026-09-28	1.0%
2026-09-27	1.0%
2026-09-26	1.0%
2026-09-25	1.0%
2026-09-24	1.0%
2026-09-23	1.0%

New York Jets win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Last tradeStale

The market-implied chance the New York Jets win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +13789, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%) and Polymarket (0.45%). This snapshot has Kalshi's last traded price, not its bid and ask, so both venues are priced at their last trade here.

Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New York Jets a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXSB-27-NYJ	direct contract			1.00¢	last trade	stale · 304s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket	will-the-new-york-jets-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship	direct contract			0.45¢	last trade	stale · 793s old	Contract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-09-28 (125 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

Date	Value
2026-09-28	1.0%
2026-09-27	1.0%
2026-09-26	1.0%
2026-09-25	1.0%
2026-09-24	1.0%
2026-09-23	1.0%

Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Last tradeStale

The market-implied chance the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +14825, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%) and Polymarket (0.35%). This snapshot has Kalshi's last traded price, not its bid and ask, so both venues are priced at their last trade here.

Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Miami Dolphins a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXSB-27-MIA	direct contract			1.00¢	last trade	fresh · 233s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket	will-the-miami-dolphins-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship	direct contract			0.35¢	last trade	stale · 1775s old	Contract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-09-28 (123 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

Date	Value
2026-09-28	1.0%
2026-09-27	1.0%
2026-09-26	1.0%
2026-09-25	1.0%
2026-09-24	1.0%
2026-09-23	1.0%

Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Last tradeStale

The market-implied chance the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +14825, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%) and Polymarket (0.35%). This snapshot has Kalshi's last traded price, not its bid and ask, so both venues are priced at their last trade here.

Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Cleveland Browns a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXSB-27-CLE	direct contract			1.00¢	last trade	stale · 427s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket	will-the-cleveland-browns-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship	direct contract			0.35¢	last trade	stale · 1790s old	Contract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-09-28 (124 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

Date	Value
2026-09-28	1.0%
2026-09-27	1.0%
2026-09-26	1.0%
2026-09-25	1.0%
2026-09-24	1.0%
2026-09-23	1.0%

Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl LXI

<1%

Last tradeStale

The market-implied chance the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +14825, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%) and Polymarket (0.35%). This snapshot has Kalshi's last traded price, not its bid and ask, so both venues are priced at their last trade here.

Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Tennessee Titans a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXSB-27-TEN	direct contract			1.00¢	last trade	stale · 1144s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket	will-the-tennessee-titans-win-the-2027-nfl-league-championship	direct contract			0.35¢	last trade	stale · 1775s old	Contract ↗

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-09-28 (125 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

Date	Value
2026-09-28	1.0%
2026-09-27	1.0%
2026-09-26	1.0%
2026-09-25	1.0%
2026-09-24	1.0%
2026-09-23	1.0%

The top six teams combined

57%

Last trade

The combined chance that one of the six current favorites wins Super Bowl LXI.

Sum of the six teams' averaged prices. Prices across all 32 teams add up to a little over 100% because of the venues' built-in margin.

Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “The six favorites combine for about a 57% chance” (DeFi Rate calculation).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi + Polymarket	KXSB-27-BUF, KXSB-27-LAR, KXSB-27-SF, KXSB-27-KC, KXSB-27-BAL, KXSB-27-SEA	inputs				last trade	fresh