The snapshot from Oct 24, 10:36 PM ET isn’t kept: this page’s figures are live, and older snapshots aren’t stored yet. This is the latest, at its own permanent address: https://defirate.com/odds/crypto/snapshot/2026-10-24T2346/.
Permanent snapshot · never updated
Crypto marketsEvery figure as of Oct 24, 11:46 PM ET
A frozen record for citation. Numbers on the live page change as markets move; these don’t. Methodology · Live source records
Bitcoin finishes the 15-minute window up
–Single venue
Bitcoin’s 15-minute window closing 11:45 PM ET (target price 80,846.21) has closed, and Kalshi hasn’t settled it yet. The next window isn’t in our feed yet, so there’s no current price.
Kalshi settles each window on the CF Benchmarks Real Time Index. A closed window shows its result only once Kalshi has settled it, never one read from a price.
Quote type: Kalshi settlement. Cited as: “Bitcoin’s 15-minute window closing 11:45 PM ET has closed, and Kalshi hasn’t settled it yet” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXBTC15M-26OCT242345-45 | direct contract | kalshi settlement | closed | Contract ↗ |
Ethereum finishes the 15-minute window up
43%The chance Ethereum settles above its target price (2,360.56) at the end of the window closing 12:00 AM ET, on Kalshi.
Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in. Polymarket showed 52% up.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives Ethereum a 43% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXETH15M-26OCT250000-00 | direct contract | 42.0¢ | 43.0¢ | 42.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 38s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | reference only | 52.00¢ | midpoint | fresh | Not averaged: different target and settlement source. |
XRP finishes the 15-minute window up
–Single venue
XRP’s 15-minute window closing 11:45 PM ET (target price 1.3099) settled Up on Kalshi. The next window isn’t in our feed yet, so there’s no current price.
Kalshi settles each window on the CF Benchmarks Real Time Index. A closed window shows its result only once Kalshi has settled it, never one read from a price.
Quote type: Kalshi settlement. Cited as: “XRP’s 15-minute window closing 11:45 PM ET settled Up on Kalshi” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXXRP15M-26OCT242345-45 | direct contract | kalshi settlement | settled | Contract ↗ |
Dogecoin finishes the 15-minute window up
49%The chance Dogecoin settles above its target price (0.0777957) at the end of the window closing 12:00 AM ET, on Kalshi.
Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in. Polymarket showed 50% up.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives Dogecoin a 49% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXDOGE15M-26OCT250000-00 | direct contract | 48.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 49.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 38s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | reference only | 50.00¢ | midpoint | fresh | Not averaged: different target and settlement source. |
Solana finishes the 15-minute window up
45%The chance Solana settles above its target price (102.3595) at the end of the window closing 12:00 AM ET, on Kalshi.
Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in. Polymarket showed 50% up.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives Solana a 45% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXSOL15M-26OCT250000-00 | direct contract | 44.0¢ | 45.0¢ | 44.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 38s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | reference only | 50.00¢ | midpoint | fresh | Not averaged: different target and settlement source. |
NEAR finishes the 15-minute window up
50%Single venue
The chance NEAR settles above its target price (4.4645) at the end of the window closing 12:00 AM ET, on Kalshi.
Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives NEAR a 50% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXNEAR15M-26OCT250000-00 | direct contract | 49.0¢ | 51.0¢ | 50.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 38s old | Contract ↗ |
Hyperliquid finishes the 15-minute window up
57%The chance Hyperliquid settles above its target price at the end of the window closing 12:00 AM ET, on Kalshi.
Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in. Polymarket showed 53% up.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives Hyperliquid a 57% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXHYPE15M-26OCT250000-00 | direct contract | 56.0¢ | 58.0¢ | 57.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 58s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | reference only | 53.00¢ | midpoint | fresh | Not averaged: different target and settlement source. |
Zcash finishes the 15-minute window up
43%Single venue
The chance Zcash settles above its target price (1,212.0859) at the end of the window closing 12:00 AM ET, on Kalshi.
Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives Zcash a 43% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXZEC15M-26OCT250000-00 | direct contract | 42.0¢ | 44.0¢ | 43.00¢ | midpoint | fresh · 36s old | Contract ↗ |
BNB finishes the 15-minute window up
50%The chance BNB settles above its target price (743.82) at the end of the window closing 12:00 AM ET, on Kalshi.
Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in. Polymarket showed 48% up.
Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives BNB a 50% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).
| Venue | Contract | Role | Bid | Ask | Price | Price type | Quote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | KXBNB15M-26OCT250000-00 | direct contract | 49.0¢ | 50.0¢ | 49.50¢ | midpoint | fresh · 36s old | Contract ↗ |
| Polymarket | reference only | 48.50¢ | midpoint | fresh | Not averaged: different target and settlement source. |
Crypto’s share of prediction-market volume
14%Crypto contracts made up 13.9% of prediction-market volume in the 24 hours to Oct 24, 2026: about $185 million of the $1336 million traded.
Crypto-category volume divided by all-category volume, last 24 hours.
Measure: Traded volume. Cited as: “Crypto’s share of prediction-market volume” (DeFi Rate volume data).
Data sources (1)
Kalshi crypto volume, 30 days
$5.1BDollars traded in Kalshi’s crypto markets from Sep 25 to Oct 24, 2026, up 18% on the prior 30 days.
Sum of Kalshi crypto-category volume over 30 days.
Measure: Traded volume. Cited as: “Kalshi crypto volume, 30 days” (DeFi Rate volume data).