The snapshot from Oct 24, 5:55 PM ET isn’t kept: this page’s figures are live, and older snapshots aren’t stored yet. This is the latest, at its own permanent address: https://defirate.com/odds/crypto/snapshot/2026-10-24T1904/.

Permanent snapshot · never updated

Crypto marketsEvery figure as of Oct 24, 7:04 PM ET

A frozen record for citation. Numbers on the live page change as markets move; these don’t. Methodology · Live source records

Data observedOct 24, 7:04 PM ET

Live page updatedOct 24, 7:04 PM ET

Permanent URLhttps://defirate.com/odds/crypto/snapshot/2026-10-24T1904

DownloadAll figures and contracts (CSV)
15-minute markets, window closing 7:15 PM ET (CSV)

Bitcoin finishes the 15-minute window up

68%

The chance Bitcoin settles above its target price (80,479.18) at the end of the window closing 7:15 PM ET, on Kalshi.

Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in. Polymarket showed 72% up.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives Bitcoin a 68% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXBTC15M-26OCT241915-15	direct contract	67.0¢	68.0¢	67.50¢	midpoint	fresh · 20s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket		reference only			72.50¢	midpoint	fresh	Not averaged: different target and settlement source.

Ethereum finishes the 15-minute window up

70%

The chance Ethereum settles above its target price (2,342.64) at the end of the window closing 7:15 PM ET, on Kalshi.

Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in. Polymarket showed 77% up.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives Ethereum a 70% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXETH15M-26OCT241915-15	direct contract	69.0¢	71.0¢	70.00¢	midpoint	fresh · 40s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket		reference only			77.00¢	midpoint	fresh	Not averaged: different target and settlement source.

XRP finishes the 15-minute window up

48%

The chance XRP settles above its target price (1.2922) at the end of the window closing 7:15 PM ET, on Kalshi.

Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in. Polymarket showed 58% up.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives XRP a 48% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXXRP15M-26OCT241915-15	direct contract	47.0¢	49.0¢	48.00¢	midpoint	fresh · 40s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket		reference only			58.50¢	midpoint	fresh	Not averaged: different target and settlement source.

Dogecoin finishes the 15-minute window up

22%

The chance Dogecoin settles above its target price (0.0772822) at the end of the window closing 7:15 PM ET, on Kalshi.

Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in. Polymarket showed 34% up.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives Dogecoin a 22% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXDOGE15M-26OCT241915-15	direct contract	21.0¢	23.0¢	22.00¢	midpoint	fresh · 40s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket		reference only			33.50¢	midpoint	fresh	Not averaged: different target and settlement source.

Solana finishes the 15-minute window up

52%

Last tradeStale

The chance Solana settles above its target price (101.468) at the end of the window closing 7:15 PM ET, on Kalshi.

Kalshi’s last trade for the Up contract in this window: its bid and ask weren’t read in the last minute, so no price to buy is shown. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in.

Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “Kalshi gives Solana a 52% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXSOL15M-26OCT241915-15	direct contract			52.00¢	last trade	stale · 198s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket		reference only			62.50¢	last trade	fresh	Not averaged: different target and settlement source.

NEAR finishes the 15-minute window up

44%

Single venue

The chance NEAR settles above its target price (4.4689) at the end of the window closing 7:15 PM ET, on Kalshi.

Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives NEAR a 44% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXNEAR15M-26OCT241915-15	direct contract	41.0¢	46.0¢	43.50¢	midpoint	fresh · 40s old	Contract ↗

Hyperliquid finishes the 15-minute window up

36%

The chance Hyperliquid settles above its target price (76.3841) at the end of the window closing 7:15 PM ET, on Kalshi.

Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in. Polymarket showed 50% up.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives Hyperliquid a 36% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXHYPE15M-26OCT241915-15	direct contract	35.0¢	36.0¢	35.50¢	midpoint	fresh · 40s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket		reference only			50.00¢	midpoint	fresh	Not averaged: different target and settlement source.

Zcash finishes the 15-minute window up

30%

Single venue

The chance Zcash settles above its target price (1,202.7888) at the end of the window closing 7:15 PM ET, on Kalshi.

Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives Zcash a 30% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXZEC15M-26OCT241915-15	direct contract	28.0¢	31.0¢	29.50¢	midpoint	fresh · 38s old	Contract ↗

BNB finishes the 15-minute window up

65%

The chance BNB settles above its target price (735.55) at the end of the window closing 7:15 PM ET, on Kalshi.

Kalshi’s midpoint for the Up contract. Polymarket’s similar market uses a different target and settlement source, so it isn’t averaged in. Polymarket showed 48% up.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask. Cited as: “Kalshi gives BNB a 65% chance of finishing the 15-minute window up” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

Venue	Contract	Role	Bid	Ask	Price	Price type	Quote
Kalshi	KXBNB15M-26OCT241915-15	direct contract	64.0¢	65.0¢	64.50¢	midpoint	fresh · 56s old	Contract ↗
Polymarket		reference only			48.00¢	midpoint	fresh	Not averaged: different target and settlement source.

Crypto’s share of prediction-market volume

15%

Crypto contracts made up 15.2% of prediction-market volume in the 24 hours to Oct 24, 2026: about $191 million of the $1254 million traded.

Crypto-category volume divided by all-category volume, last 24 hours.

Measure: Traded volume. Cited as: “Crypto’s share of prediction-market volume” (DeFi Rate volume data).

Data sources (1)

DeFi Rate market data

Prediction-market volume by venue and categoryEndpoint /v1/partner/volumeDeFi Rate’s licensed data feed.

Kalshi crypto volume, 30 days

$5.1B

Dollars traded in Kalshi’s crypto markets from Sep 24 to Oct 23, 2026, up 18% on the prior 30 days.

Sum of Kalshi crypto-category volume over 30 days.

Measure: Traded volume. Cited as: “Kalshi crypto volume, 30 days” (DeFi Rate volume data).

Data sources (1)

DeFi Rate market data

Prediction-market volume by venue and categoryEndpoint /v1/partner/volumeDeFi Rate’s licensed data feed.