Kalshi Promo Code RATE: $25 Bonus for UFC Edmonton Malott vs. Buckley Predictions

UFC Edmonton comes to Rogers Place on Saturday, Oct. 17, with Canadian Mike Malott (14-2-1) headlining against Joaquin Buckley (21-8) in a welterweight main event.

The prelims start at 5 p.m. ET and the main card at 8 p.m. ET on Paramount+, with women's flyweights Erin Blanchfield and Jasmine Jasudavicius in the co-main.

Here's your fight-by-fight breakdown through the lens of Kalshi, which offers a $25 bonus for new users who sign up with the promo code RATE.

How to Claim the Kalshi $25 Bonus for UFC Edmonton

Use the Kalshi promo code RATE to receive a $25 bonus:

• Visit Kalshi and tap the "Sign Up" button

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• Enter the promo code RATE when prompted

• Fund your account and make your first qualifying trade of $10

• Receive your $25 trading bonus once the trades settle.

Please note that you must be physically located in an eligible state to create an account and claim the bonus. For a complete breakdown of the offer and a full map of supported states, head over to our detailed Kalshi prediction market review.

Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley Main Event

This is a five-round welterweight fight with a hometown fighter on one side and one of the division's most explosive strikers on the other. Malott has the crowd and the more complete skill set. Buckley has the power to end the fight with one shot.

Malott wins by mixing his looks. He can work the jab and leg kicks, then change levels for takedowns or clinch pressure, and his submission game gives him a finishing route on the mat. His best path is to avoid long stand-up exchanges, keep Buckley's back near the fence, and make him work off his back foot. If Malott gets Buckley down in the early rounds, five-round cardio could work in his favor.

Buckley wins by staying heavy and unpredictable. He throws spinning attacks, big counters, and fast combinations, and he is most dangerous when an opponent lunges in with a bad entry. His route is to stuff the first takedowns, make the fight messy on the feet, and land one clean shot before Malott can build a lead. His defensive wrestling will be tested, and a long fight asks more of his cardio.

Kalshi has Malott at 55% and Buckley at 46%, so the prices lean slightly home but give Buckley real respect. The method prices show how differently the two win. Buckley's biggest contract is KO/TKO at 31%, while Malott's is decision at 24%, followed by KO/TKO at 19% and submission at 12%.

Roughly two-thirds of Buckley's win probability comes from a knockout, so a bet on him is a bet on a finish. Malott's wins are spread across three methods, which suggests traders see several ways for him to win. Buckley's 14% decision price also shows little belief that he can win a long fight on the cards. If Malott survives the first round, the 24% decision price looks more attractive. If Buckley lands early, the 31% KO/TKO price is the sharpest way to back the upset.

Erin Blanchfield vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius Co-Main Event

Blanchfield (14-2, 8-1 UFC) is No. 4 in the women's flyweight rankings and Jasudavicius (15-4, 9-3 UFC) is No. 6. They were scheduled to meet in August before Blanchfield withdrew from UFC 330 with an injury, so she is making her first appearance of 2026. Both women are known for their grappling, and Jasudavicius has the Canadian crowd behind her.

Blanchfield wins by dictating where the fight happens. She chains takedowns, pins opponents against the fence, and works for back control and top pressure for long stretches. Her route is to control the clinch, win the scrambles, and grind out rounds so Jasudavicius can't build any rhythm. Ring rust after the delay is her main risk, because her timing on entries has to be sharp.

Jasudavicius wins by making the fight ugly. She is a strong grappler in her own right, a technical submission threat, and she has been steadily improving her striking. Her path is to defend the first takedowns, win scrambles back to her feet, and make Blanchfield work for every position. A competitive grappling exchange would help the underdog, and a Canadian crowd could be a boost late in rounds.

Kalshi has Blanchfield at 76% and Jasudavicius at 25%, a clear favorite and a clear underdog. Blanchfield by decision at 56% is the standout contract, more than twice any other single outcome on the board. Her submission price is 14% and her KO/TKO price is 8%, while Jasudavicius by decision sits at 14%.

The prices describe a controlled three-round fight, with Blanchfield picking up rounds on top. Only 14% on Blanchfield's submission shows that traders expect Jasudavicius to survive the mat exchanges. If you think the layoff slows Blanchfield down, the 14% Jasudavicius decision contract is the more realistic upset price than any finish.

Prelims and Early Prelims: What to Watch

The rest of the main card has plenty of intrigue. Nate Landwehr takes on Mandel Nallo in a lightweight fight with real finishing potential, and Kyle Nelson meets Cristian Perez at lightweight. Marc-Andre Barriault faces Kyle Daukaus at middleweight, and Louis Jourdain meets Timmy Cuamba at bantamweight.

The prelims open with heavyweights Tanner Boser and Jhonata Diniz, a fight where one clean shot can change everything. Julien Leblanc faces Nick Galanti at middleweight, and heavyweights Javad Mahjoub and Joel Faglier also meet. Katlyn Cerminara takes on Mackenzie Stiller at women's flyweight, while Chad Anheliger faces Steven Koslow and SuYoung You meets Cody Chovancek at bantamweight. Melissa Croden against Chelsea Chandler rounds out the women's bantamweight action.

Trading on UFC Fight Night at Kalshi

Kalshi is a leading prediction market platform where users trade with one another as opposed to wagering at a sportsbook that takes the other side of your bet. A live order book sets contract prices, which evolve as buyers and sellers act.

Each contract trades from $0.01 to $0.99. If the outcome happens, it pays $1.00. If it doesn’t, it pays $0.00. Prices can move throughout the fight card. You can hedge your bets, take profits, and even live trade based on new developments.

Trading UFC prediction markets carries real financial risk. Probabilities are not guarantees of how a market will resolve. Losing contracts settle at zero, so you can lose your entire position. Trade responsibly, and only with funds you can afford to lose.