Super Bowl LXIEvery figure as of Oct 23, 7:35 PM ET

The market-implied chance the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +537, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (16.0%), Polymarket (15.60%) and Polymarket US (15.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the San Francisco 49ers a 16% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-23 (150 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

The market-implied chance the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +783, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (11.0%), Polymarket (12.50%) and Polymarket US (10.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Buffalo Bills a 11% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-23 (150 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

The market-implied chance the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +824, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (10.5%), Polymarket (11.45%) and Polymarket US (10.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Kansas City Chiefs a 11% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-23 (150 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

The market-implied chance the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1420, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (6.5%), Polymarket (6.75%) and Polymarket US (6.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Baltimore Ravens a 7% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-23 (150 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

The market-implied chance the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1438, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (6.5%), Polymarket (6.50%) and Polymarket US (6.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Los Angeles Rams a 7% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-23 (150 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

The market-implied chance the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1470, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (6.5%), Polymarket (6.10%) and Polymarket US (6.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Jacksonville Jaguars a 6% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-23 (150 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

The market-implied chance the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1480, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (6.5%), Polymarket (6.00%) and Polymarket US (6.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Chicago Bears a 6% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-23 (150 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

The market-implied chance the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +1718, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (5.5%), Polymarket (5.50%) and Polymarket US (5.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Seattle Seahawks a 6% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-23 (150 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

The market-implied chance the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2451, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (4.5%), Polymarket (3.75%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Denver Broncos a 4% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-23 (150 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

The market-implied chance the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2451, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (4.5%), Polymarket (3.75%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Minnesota Vikings a 4% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-23 (150 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

Stale

The market-implied chance the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2655, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%) and Polymarket (3.75%). Polymarket US lists this team but has no current quote in our feed, so it’s left out. Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Cincinnati Bengals a 4% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-23 (150 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

The market-implied chance the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2867, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.10%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Detroit Lions a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-23 (150 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

Stale

The market-implied chance the New England Patriots win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2885, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%) and Polymarket (3.20%). Polymarket US lists this team but has no current quote in our feed, so it’s left out. Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New England Patriots a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-23 (150 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

The market-implied chance the Houston Texans win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +2885, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (3.5%), Polymarket (3.05%) and Polymarket US (3.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Houston Texans a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-23 (150 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

The market-implied chance the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +3853, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (2.5%), Polymarket (2.60%) and Polymarket US (2.5%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Green Bay Packers a 3% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-23 (150 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

Stale

The market-implied chance the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +4102, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (2.5%) and Polymarket (2.25%). Polymarket US lists this team but has no current quote in our feed, so it’s left out. Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Dallas Cowboys a 2% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-23 (150 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

Stale

The market-implied chance the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +6703, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.5%) and Polymarket (1.45%). Polymarket US lists this team but has no current quote in our feed, so it’s left out. Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Carolina Panthers a 1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-23 (150 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

Stale

The market-implied chance the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +10209, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%) and Polymarket (0.95%). Polymarket US lists this team but has no current quote in our feed, so it’s left out. Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Pittsburgh Steelers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-23 (150 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

Stale

The market-implied chance the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +10653, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%) and Polymarket (0.85%). Polymarket US lists this team but has no current quote in our feed, so it’s left out. Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Atlanta Falcons a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-23 (150 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

The market-implied chance the New York Giants win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +11665, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.55%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New York Giants a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-23 (150 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

Stale

The market-implied chance the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +11948, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.50%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Las Vegas Raiders a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-23 (150 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

The market-implied chance the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12721, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.35%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Indianapolis Colts a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-23 (150 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

Stale

The market-implied chance the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +12887, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%) and Polymarket (0.55%). Polymarket US lists this team but has no current quote in our feed, so it’s left out. Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Cleveland Browns a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-23 (149 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

The market-implied chance the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +13233, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.25%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Tampa Bay Buccaneers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-23 (150 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

Stale

The market-implied chance the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +13789, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%) and Polymarket (0.45%). Polymarket US lists this team but has no current quote in our feed, so it’s left out. Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Philadelphia Eagles a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-23 (150 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

The market-implied chance the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +13789, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.15%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Los Angeles Chargers a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-23 (150 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

Stale

The market-implied chance the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +13789, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%) and Polymarket (0.45%). Polymarket US lists this team but has no current quote in our feed, so it’s left out. Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New Orleans Saints a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-23 (150 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

The market-implied chance the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +13789, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.15%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Arizona Cardinals a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-23 (148 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

The market-implied chance the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +13789, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.15%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Miami Dolphins a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-23 (148 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

The market-implied chance the New York Jets win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +13789, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.15%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the New York Jets a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-23 (150 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

The market-implied chance the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +13789, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%), Polymarket (0.15%) and Polymarket US (1.0%). Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Tennessee Titans a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate).

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-23 (150 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

Stale

The market-implied chance the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl LXI in February 2027. American odds equivalent: +14825, before fees.

Equal-weight average of Kalshi (1.0%) and Polymarket (0.35%). Polymarket US lists this team but has no current quote in our feed, so it’s left out. Each venue’s price is the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise its last trade; the team table also shows Polymarket’s price to buy.

Quote type: Midpoint of bid and ask, else last trade. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Washington Commanders a <1% chance of winning Super Bowl LXI” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

History: Kalshi daily close, 2026-05-27 to 2026-10-23 (150 rows). Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate. Full history (CSV)

Last trade

The combined chance that one of the six current favorites wins Super Bowl LXI.

Sum of the six teams' averaged prices. Prices across all 32 teams add up to a little over 100% because of the venues' built-in margin.

Quote type: Last traded price. Cited as: “The six favorites combine for about a 57% chance” (DeFi Rate calculation).