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Prediction market odds Every market’s answer, its best price and its source

Kalshi, Polymarket and more, compared in plain English.

Featured prediction markets

Market moves

Biggest moves, last 7 days

Fed hikes Oct. 28Fed · Kalshi
16% → 13%
−3 pts
Kalshi12.5¢

Change in percentage points over 7 days, from daily closing prices to the latest observation (Oct 16, 8:39 AM ET).

Today · Oct 16

More questions people are asking

Volume$3.9B traded in the last 24 hoursOn 9 prediction market exchanges, contracts counted at $1.Volume tracker →
Disagreements

Where the sources don’t match

Venue gap

Polymarket is 2.2 points higher than Kalshi on a Democratic Senate

Kalshi’s figure is built from two contracts, so the comparison is close, not exact.

Midterms →
Like-for-like

A Republican sweep costs 10.5¢ on Kalshi and 8.5¢ on Polymarket

Matching contracts on both venues. Long shots are often pricier on one.

Midterms →
Same venue, two contracts

Kalshi prices an October hike at 13.0% in one market and 13.5% in another

Two contracts that settle on the same outcome.

Fed →
Explore

Every market, by topic

DeFi

DeFi rates today

USDC lending rate
5.1%

Weighted across the biggest DeFi lending pools.

USDC borrowing rate
5.3%

Weighted by the $7.3B borrowed across 142 markets.

Bitcoin price
$82,290

Up 2.0%in 24 hours

Traded on DEXs, 24 hours
$8.2B

Up 2.2%vs. the day before

Across 659 exchanges.

News

Latest news

All news →
  1. Illustration for "Kalshi promo code RATE: Claim $25 for NFL Week 6, MLB playoffs & more"Kalshi promo code RATE: Claim $25 for NFL Week 6, MLB playoffs & more
  2. Illustration for "California wealth tax chances low"California’s Billionaire Tax Has a Polling Lead, Traders Give It a One-in-Four Shot
  3. Google prediction markets adsGoogle Blocks Prediction Market Ads in Fifth State as Legal Pressure Builds
  4. Michigan Kalshi contemptMichigan Wants Kalshi Held in Contempt as State Crackdown Moves Beyond Trading
Tools

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Bonuses

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KalshiTrade $10, Get $25 · code RATE
$25for $10
Polymarket USDeposit $10 get a $25 trading bonus · code RATE
$25for $10
FanDuel PredictsTrade $5, Get $100
$100for $5

Compare all six offers →

How we work

Every number has receipts

SourcesTap any figure to see the exact contracts, bid and ask, quote age and history.
One methodHeadline figures average Kalshi and Polymarket where both list the question. One venue alone is labeled.
TimestampsData observation and editorial updates are shown separately.
CitableEvery page has a permanent snapshot and downloadable data.