DeFi RatePromo codes

NFL Week 3Where every number comes from

The contracts, rate or quote types and calculation behind each figure on the NFL Week 3 page. Data observed Sep 25, 4:05 PM ET; this page updates with it. For a frozen copy, use the snapshot.

MethodologyHow DeFi Rate prices, averages and labels figures
Datasets (CSV)NFL Week 3 moneylines by venue
Every figure and contract
Figures32 records below, each with its own link (#id)

Atlanta Falcons beat the Packers

Won

Whether the Atlanta Falcons won their Week 3 game (ATL at GB, Thu, Sep 24, 8:15pm ET), including overtime, as the venue settles it.

Kalshi settled this contract Yes on Sep 24, 11:23 PM ET: the Falcons won. The result is the venue’s settlement, never read from a price.

Quote type: Settlement. Cited as: “The Falcons beat the Packers in Week 3, settled on Kalshi” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26SEP24ATLGB-ATLdirect contractsettlement, Sep 24, 11:23 PM ETsettled YesContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-atl-gb-2026-09-24direct contractno price after trading stoppedclosed · 72860s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xa8c72b8c2fc217438caad58074ff0fe0878b1d7b06daf6d588b87b78020152badirect contractsettlement, Sep 24, 11:35 PM ETsettled YesContract ↗

Green Bay Packers beat the Falcons

Lost

Whether the Green Bay Packers won their Week 3 game (ATL at GB, Thu, Sep 24, 8:15pm ET), including overtime, as the venue settles it.

Kalshi settled this contract No on Sep 24, 11:23 PM ET: the Falcons won. The result is the venue’s settlement, never read from a price.

Quote type: Settlement. Cited as: “The Packers lost to the Falcons in Week 3, settled on Kalshi” (Kalshi via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26SEP24ATLGB-GBdirect contractsettlement, Sep 24, 11:23 PM ETsettled NoContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-atl-gb-2026-09-24direct contractno price after trading stoppedclosed · 72860s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xa8c72b8c2fc217438caad58074ff0fe0878b1d7b06daf6d588b87b78020152badirect contractsettlement, Sep 24, 11:35 PM ETsettled NoContract ↗

Carolina Panthers beat the Browns

57%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Carolina Panthers win their Week 3 game (CAR at CLE, Sun, Sep 27, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (57.5%), Polymarket US (57.8%), Polymarket (56.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Panthers a 57% chance to win in Week 3” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26SEP27CARCLE-CARdirect contract57.50¢midpointstale · 1499s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-car-cle-2026-09-27direct contract57.5¢58.0¢57.75¢midpointfresh · 163s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xabe1b08804513d42b9eeccd04b9b5cb5f25612ce4b2939f0c18ccfaeafc42cf6direct contract56.0¢57.0¢56.50¢midpointfresh · 105s oldContract ↗

Cleveland Browns beat the Panthers

43%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Cleveland Browns win their Week 3 game (CAR at CLE, Sun, Sep 27, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (42.5%), Polymarket US (42.2%), Polymarket (43.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Browns a 43% chance to win in Week 3” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26SEP27CARCLE-CLEdirect contract42.50¢midpointstale · 1526s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-car-cle-2026-09-27direct contract42.0¢42.5¢42.25¢1 − other side's pricefresh · 163s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xabe1b08804513d42b9eeccd04b9b5cb5f25612ce4b2939f0c18ccfaeafc42cf6direct contract43.0¢44.0¢43.50¢midpointfresh · 105s oldContract ↗

Cincinnati Bengals beat the Steelers

63%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Cincinnati Bengals win their Week 3 game (CIN at PIT, Sun, Sep 27, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (62.5%), Polymarket US (62.7%), Polymarket (62.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Bengals a 63% chance to win in Week 3” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26SEP27CINPIT-CINdirect contract62.50¢midpointstale · 1499s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-cin-pit-2026-09-27direct contract62.5¢63.0¢62.75¢midpointfresh · 116s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xc4c47aa2f37a68d5f500939cf2be654fce34a003e8e5dafe0ad9fb6e36878811direct contract62.50¢midpointstale · 699s oldContract ↗

Pittsburgh Steelers beat the Bengals

37%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Pittsburgh Steelers win their Week 3 game (CIN at PIT, Sun, Sep 27, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (37.5%), Polymarket US (37.2%), Polymarket (37.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Steelers a 37% chance to win in Week 3” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26SEP27CINPIT-PITdirect contract37.50¢midpointstale · 1465s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-cin-pit-2026-09-27direct contract37.0¢37.5¢37.25¢1 − other side's pricefresh · 116s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xc4c47aa2f37a68d5f500939cf2be654fce34a003e8e5dafe0ad9fb6e36878811direct contract37.50¢midpointstale · 699s oldContract ↗

Houston Texans beat the Colts

54%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Houston Texans win their Week 3 game (HOU at IND, Sun, Sep 27, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (54.5%), Polymarket US (53.8%), Polymarket (53.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Texans a 54% chance to win in Week 3” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26SEP27HOUIND-HOUdirect contract54.50¢midpointstale · 618s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-hou-ind-2026-09-27direct contract53.75¢midpointstale · 3789s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x14cc6f806bf7f724433747c8a56b9a8a3f5f68ea3fc17b0c82a5ae2515a3e868direct contract53.50¢midpointstale · 348s oldContract ↗

Indianapolis Colts beat the Texans

46%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Indianapolis Colts win their Week 3 game (HOU at IND, Sun, Sep 27, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (46.5%), Polymarket US (46.2%), Polymarket (46.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Colts a 46% chance to win in Week 3” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26SEP27HOUIND-INDdirect contract46.50¢midpointstale · 582s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-hou-ind-2026-09-27direct contract46.25¢1 − other side's pricestale · 3789s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x14cc6f806bf7f724433747c8a56b9a8a3f5f68ea3fc17b0c82a5ae2515a3e868direct contract46.50¢midpointstale · 348s oldContract ↗

Kansas City Chiefs beat the Dolphins

85%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Kansas City Chiefs win their Week 3 game (KC at MIA, Sun, Sep 27, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (85.5%), Polymarket US (85.2%), Polymarket (84.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Chiefs a 85% chance to win in Week 3” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26SEP27KCMIA-KCdirect contract85.50¢midpointstale · 1254s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-kc-mia-2026-09-27direct contract85.20¢displayed pricestale · 2141s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xed537832cbf6774d5b54da06732b53ce6866d82941e593ca71292f8e247babc5direct contract84.0¢85.0¢84.50¢midpointfresh · 98s oldContract ↗

Miami Dolphins beat the Chiefs

15%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Miami Dolphins win their Week 3 game (KC at MIA, Sun, Sep 27, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (14.5%), Polymarket US (14.8%), Polymarket (15.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Dolphins a 15% chance to win in Week 3” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26SEP27KCMIA-MIAdirect contract14.50¢midpointstale · 1472s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-kc-mia-2026-09-27direct contract14.80¢1 − other side's pricestale · 2141s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xed537832cbf6774d5b54da06732b53ce6866d82941e593ca71292f8e247babc5direct contract15.0¢16.0¢15.50¢midpointfresh · 98s oldContract ↗

Los Angeles Chargers beat the Bills

25%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Los Angeles Chargers win their Week 3 game (LAC at BUF, Sun, Sep 27, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (24.5%), Polymarket US (24.7%), Polymarket (24.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Chargers a 25% chance to win in Week 3” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26SEP27LACBUF-LACdirect contract24.50¢midpointstale · 2460s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-lac-buf-2026-09-27direct contract24.70¢displayed pricestale · 653s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x837a47d804fa81dec254d758531ccb88da58990790aceb0e0872e3d3f220e99bdirect contract24.0¢25.0¢24.50¢midpointfresh · 181s oldContract ↗

Buffalo Bills beat the Chargers

75%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Buffalo Bills win their Week 3 game (LAC at BUF, Sun, Sep 27, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (75.5%), Polymarket US (75.3%), Polymarket (75.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Bills a 75% chance to win in Week 3” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26SEP27LACBUF-BUFdirect contract75.50¢midpointstale · 1104s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-lac-buf-2026-09-27direct contract75.30¢1 − other side's pricestale · 653s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x837a47d804fa81dec254d758531ccb88da58990790aceb0e0872e3d3f220e99bdirect contract75.0¢76.0¢75.50¢midpointfresh · 181s oldContract ↗

New England Patriots beat the Jaguars

41%

Stale

The market-implied chance the New England Patriots win their Week 3 game (NE at JAC, Sun, Sep 27, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (40.5%), Polymarket (40.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Patriots a 41% chance to win in Week 3” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26SEP27NEJAC-NEdirect contract40.50¢midpointstale · 1909s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x78d330c13885ac6fd36f082f2c502aefdb2a9bd53cc6a5765ce4375b650b9d35direct contract40.50¢midpointstale · 398s oldContract ↗

Jacksonville Jaguars beat the Patriots

60%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Jacksonville Jaguars win their Week 3 game (NE at JAC, Sun, Sep 27, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (59.5%), Polymarket (59.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Jaguars a 60% chance to win in Week 3” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26SEP27NEJAC-JACdirect contract59.50¢midpointstale · 1104s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x78d330c13885ac6fd36f082f2c502aefdb2a9bd53cc6a5765ce4375b650b9d35direct contract59.50¢midpointstale · 398s oldContract ↗

New York Jets beat the Lions

27%

Stale

The market-implied chance the New York Jets win their Week 3 game (NYJ at DET, Sun, Sep 27, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (27.5%), Polymarket US (27.3%), Polymarket (27.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Jets a 27% chance to win in Week 3” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26SEP27NYJDET-NYJdirect contract27.50¢midpointstale · 1489s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-nyj-det-2026-09-27direct contract27.0¢27.5¢27.25¢midpointfresh · 156s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x9971d93943dc93d5c4a4efe9c2908107fed8d34662d4494e8169c4701df7c819direct contract27.0¢28.0¢27.50¢midpointfresh · 183s oldContract ↗

Detroit Lions beat the Jets

73%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Detroit Lions win their Week 3 game (NYJ at DET, Sun, Sep 27, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (72.5%), Polymarket US (72.8%), Polymarket (72.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Lions a 73% chance to win in Week 3” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26SEP27NYJDET-DETdirect contract72.50¢midpointstale · 1489s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-nyj-det-2026-09-27direct contract72.5¢73.0¢72.75¢1 − other side's pricefresh · 156s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x9971d93943dc93d5c4a4efe9c2908107fed8d34662d4494e8169c4701df7c819direct contract72.0¢73.0¢72.50¢midpointfresh · 183s oldContract ↗

Seattle Seahawks beat the Commanders

76%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Seattle Seahawks win their Week 3 game (SEA at WAS, Sun, Sep 27, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (76.5%), Polymarket US (76.2%), Polymarket (76.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Seahawks a 76% chance to win in Week 3” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26SEP27SEAWAS-SEAdirect contract76.50¢midpointstale · 1499s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-sea-was-2026-09-27direct contract76.0¢76.5¢76.25¢midpointfresh · 134s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xd5021817f63063feb5556d3183ee1912b9e2902bbbf669146e45560487ca6ddedirect contract76.50¢midpointstale · 393s oldContract ↗

Washington Commanders beat the Seahawks

24%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Washington Commanders win their Week 3 game (SEA at WAS, Sun, Sep 27, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (24.5%), Polymarket US (23.8%), Polymarket (23.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Commanders a 24% chance to win in Week 3” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26SEP27SEAWAS-WASdirect contract24.50¢midpointstale · 1245s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-sea-was-2026-09-27direct contract23.5¢24.0¢23.75¢1 − other side's pricefresh · 134s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xd5021817f63063feb5556d3183ee1912b9e2902bbbf669146e45560487ca6ddedirect contract23.50¢midpointstale · 393s oldContract ↗

Tennessee Titans beat the Giants

44%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Tennessee Titans win their Week 3 game (TEN at NYG, Sun, Sep 27, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (44.5%), Polymarket US (44.2%), Polymarket (44.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Titans a 44% chance to win in Week 3” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26SEP27TENNYG-TENdirect contract44.50¢midpointstale · 1957s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-ten-nyg-2026-09-27direct contract44.0¢44.5¢44.25¢midpointfresh · 166s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x00c5537715464238fe3548f938a5ee91a7e8c6642451e9ebaa890a96ce8310b9direct contract44.0¢45.0¢44.50¢midpointfresh · 230s oldContract ↗

New York Giants beat the Titans

56%

Stale

The market-implied chance the New York Giants win their Week 3 game (TEN at NYG, Sun, Sep 27, 1:00pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (55.5%), Polymarket US (55.8%), Polymarket (55.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Giants a 56% chance to win in Week 3” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26SEP27TENNYG-NYGdirect contract55.50¢midpointstale · 1507s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-ten-nyg-2026-09-27direct contract55.5¢56.0¢55.75¢1 − other side's pricefresh · 166s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x00c5537715464238fe3548f938a5ee91a7e8c6642451e9ebaa890a96ce8310b9direct contract55.0¢56.0¢55.50¢midpointfresh · 230s oldContract ↗

Arizona Cardinals beat the 49ers

22%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Arizona Cardinals win their Week 3 game (ARI at SF, Sun, Sep 27, 4:05pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (22.5%), Polymarket US (22.2%), Polymarket (22.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Cardinals a 22% chance to win in Week 3” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26SEP27ARISF-ARIdirect contract22.50¢midpointstale · 2057s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-ari-sf-2026-09-27direct contract22.0¢22.5¢22.25¢midpointfresh · 233s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x7896eecdb75ad7b76b3cd7fcec10c26c6c03fa3b0c359e3498e3b1eaa1e3ef50direct contract22.50¢midpointstale · 451s oldContract ↗

San Francisco 49ers beat the Cardinals

78%

Stale

The market-implied chance the San Francisco 49ers win their Week 3 game (ARI at SF, Sun, Sep 27, 4:05pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (77.5%), Polymarket US (77.8%), Polymarket (77.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the 49ers a 78% chance to win in Week 3” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26SEP27ARISF-SFdirect contract77.50¢midpointstale · 1626s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-ari-sf-2026-09-27direct contract77.5¢78.0¢77.75¢1 − other side's pricefresh · 233s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x7896eecdb75ad7b76b3cd7fcec10c26c6c03fa3b0c359e3498e3b1eaa1e3ef50direct contract77.50¢midpointstale · 451s oldContract ↗

Minnesota Vikings beat the Buccaneers

53%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Minnesota Vikings win their Week 3 game (MIN at TB, Sun, Sep 27, 4:05pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (52.5%), Polymarket US (52.8%), Polymarket (52.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Vikings a 53% chance to win in Week 3” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26SEP27MINTB-MINdirect contract52.50¢midpointstale · 726s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-min-tb-2026-09-27direct contract52.75¢midpointstale · 3789s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xfddf61ec7e14707fe765917ef9b9aa626c63abae0585df1346ad220a3804746bdirect contract52.0¢53.0¢52.50¢midpointfresh · 191s oldContract ↗

Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the Vikings

47%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win their Week 3 game (MIN at TB, Sun, Sep 27, 4:05pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (47.5%), Polymarket US (47.2%), Polymarket (47.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Buccaneers a 47% chance to win in Week 3” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26SEP27MINTB-TBdirect contract47.50¢midpointstale · 726s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-min-tb-2026-09-27direct contract47.25¢1 − other side's pricestale · 3789s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xfddf61ec7e14707fe765917ef9b9aa626c63abae0585df1346ad220a3804746bdirect contract47.0¢48.0¢47.50¢midpointfresh · 191s oldContract ↗

Baltimore Ravens beat the Cowboys

63%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Baltimore Ravens win their Week 3 game (BAL at DAL, Sun, Sep 27, 4:25pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (62.5%), Polymarket US (62.7%), Polymarket (62.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Ravens a 63% chance to win in Week 3” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26SEP27BALDAL-BALdirect contract62.50¢midpointstale · 2189s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-bal-dal-2026-09-27direct contract62.5¢63.0¢62.75¢midpointfresh · 191s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xca6189581f97c5b82d256a196e708e21f6b95e1a982b9928e29eb69fe7ca222edirect contract62.0¢63.0¢62.50¢midpointfresh · 217s oldContract ↗

Dallas Cowboys beat the Ravens

37%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Dallas Cowboys win their Week 3 game (BAL at DAL, Sun, Sep 27, 4:25pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (37.5%), Polymarket US (37.2%), Polymarket (37.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Cowboys a 37% chance to win in Week 3” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26SEP27BALDAL-DALdirect contract37.50¢midpointstale · 1104s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-bal-dal-2026-09-27direct contract37.0¢37.5¢37.25¢1 − other side's pricefresh · 191s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xca6189581f97c5b82d256a196e708e21f6b95e1a982b9928e29eb69fe7ca222edirect contract37.0¢38.0¢37.50¢midpointfresh · 217s oldContract ↗

Las Vegas Raiders beat the Saints

38%

The market-implied chance the Las Vegas Raiders win their Week 3 game (LV at NO, Sun, Sep 27, 4:25pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (38.5%), Polymarket US (37.8%), Polymarket (37.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Raiders a 38% chance to win in Week 3” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26SEP27LVNO-LVdirect contract38.0¢39.0¢38.50¢midpointfresh · 151s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-lv-no-2026-09-27direct contract37.5¢38.0¢37.75¢midpointfresh · 188s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xeed1ff210ca4a6760d0127927efdeb9a6d6e48adcb29218dcd41618831962dc2direct contract37.0¢38.0¢37.50¢midpointfresh · 221s oldContract ↗

New Orleans Saints beat the Raiders

62%

Stale

The market-implied chance the New Orleans Saints win their Week 3 game (LV at NO, Sun, Sep 27, 4:25pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (62.5%), Polymarket US (62.3%), Polymarket (62.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Saints a 62% chance to win in Week 3” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26SEP27LVNO-NOdirect contract62.50¢midpointstale · 2225s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-lv-no-2026-09-27direct contract62.0¢62.5¢62.25¢1 − other side's pricefresh · 188s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xeed1ff210ca4a6760d0127927efdeb9a6d6e48adcb29218dcd41618831962dc2direct contract62.0¢63.0¢62.50¢midpointfresh · 221s oldContract ↗

Los Angeles Rams beat the Broncos

55%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Los Angeles Rams win their Week 3 game (LAR at DEN, Sun, Sep 27, 8:20pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (54.5%), Polymarket US (54.8%), Polymarket (54.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Rams a 55% chance to win in Week 3” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26SEP27LARDEN-LARdirect contract54.50¢midpointstale · 1526s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-lar-den-2026-09-27direct contract54.5¢55.0¢54.75¢midpointfresh · 163s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xd007ef5d658f3a99ec7a39624bf0c59f0d2b18ccd5cffd61e65e6c7e77304e25direct contract54.0¢55.0¢54.50¢midpointfresh · 105s oldContract ↗

Denver Broncos beat the Rams

45%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Denver Broncos win their Week 3 game (LAR at DEN, Sun, Sep 27, 8:20pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (45.5%), Polymarket US (45.2%), Polymarket (45.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Broncos a 45% chance to win in Week 3” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26SEP27LARDEN-DENdirect contract45.50¢midpointstale · 1465s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-lar-den-2026-09-27direct contract45.0¢45.5¢45.25¢1 − other side's pricefresh · 163s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0xd007ef5d658f3a99ec7a39624bf0c59f0d2b18ccd5cffd61e65e6c7e77304e25direct contract45.0¢46.0¢45.50¢midpointfresh · 105s oldContract ↗

Philadelphia Eagles beat the Bears

68%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Philadelphia Eagles win their Week 3 game (PHI at CHI, Mon, Sep 28, 8:15pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (68.5%), Polymarket US (67.7%), Polymarket (67.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Eagles a 68% chance to win in Week 3” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26SEP28PHICHI-PHIdirect contract68.50¢midpointstale · 2189s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-phi-chi-2026-09-28direct contract67.70¢displayed pricestale · 3428s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x3ce1a8eb83552ffab3794a33b4ab7d7da750a9cd2246da324b37c5e5b0478575direct contract67.0¢68.0¢67.50¢midpointfresh · 236s oldContract ↗

Chicago Bears beat the Eagles

32%

Stale

The market-implied chance the Chicago Bears win their Week 3 game (PHI at CHI, Mon, Sep 28, 8:15pm ET), including overtime.

Average of Kalshi (31.5%), Polymarket US (32.3%), Polymarket (32.5%). Each venue’s displayed price: the midpoint of its bid and ask where it has both; each contract says which.

Quote type: Displayed price. Cited as: “Prediction markets give the Bears a 32% chance to win in Week 3” (average of Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket via DeFi Rate).

VenueContractRoleBidAskPricePrice typeQuote
KalshiKXNFLGAME-26SEP28PHICHI-CHIdirect contract31.50¢midpointstale · 1049s oldContract ↗
Polymarket USaec-nfl-phi-chi-2026-09-28direct contract32.30¢1 − other side's pricestale · 3428s oldContract ↗
Polymarket0x3ce1a8eb83552ffab3794a33b4ab7d7da750a9cd2246da324b37c5e5b0478575direct contract32.0¢33.0¢32.50¢midpointfresh · 236s oldContract ↗