2026 World Cup Winner Odds and Predictions

Vol $5.1K 0.1–0.2¢

Scotland

Vol $7.0M Spread 0.1%

Agg +28,471

— +0.0%

P +28,471

K +39,900

Polymarket +28,471

Vol $7.0M 0.3–0.4¢

Kalshi +39,900

Vol $311 0.2–0.3¢

South Korea

Vol $7.4M Spread 0.1%

Agg +28,471

↓ -0.1%

P +28,471

K +39,900

Polymarket +28,471

Vol $7.4M 0.3–0.4¢

Kalshi +39,900

Vol $180 0.2–0.3¢

Algeria

Vol $7.2M Spread 0.1%

Agg +39,900

— +0.0%

P +39,900

K +66,567

Polymarket +39,900

Vol $7.2M 0.2–0.3¢

Vol $1.1K 0.1–0.2¢

Australia

Vol $6.0M Spread 0.1%

Agg +39,900

↓ -0.1%

P +39,900

K +66,567

Polymarket +39,900

Vol $6.0M 0.2–0.3¢

Vol $2.0K 0.1–0.2¢

Ghana

Vol $8.3M Spread 0.1%

Agg +39,900

— +0.0%

P +39,900

K +66,567

Polymarket +39,900

Vol $8.3M 0.2–0.3¢

Vol $1.1K 0.1–0.2¢

Iran

Vol $6.8M Spread 0.1%

Agg +39,900

↑ +0.1%

P +39,900

K +66,567

Polymarket +39,900

Vol $6.8M 0.2–0.3¢

Vol $1.3K 0.1–0.2¢

Saudi Arabia

Vol $6.4M Spread 0.2%

Agg +39,900

— +0.0%

P +39,900

K +199,900

Polymarket +39,900

Vol $6.4M 0.2–0.3¢

South Africa

Vol $6.6M Spread 0.2%

Agg +39,900

— +0.0%

P +39,900

K +199,900

Polymarket +39,900

Vol $6.6M 0.2–0.3¢

Vol $26.4K 0–0.1¢

Tunisia

Vol $7.6M Spread 0.2%

Agg +39,900

— +0.0%

P +39,900

K +199,900

Polymarket +39,900

Vol $7.6M 0.2–0.3¢

Cape Verde

Vol $9.5M Spread 0.1%

Agg +66,567

— +0.0%

P +66,567

K +199,900

Polymarket +66,567

Vol $9.5M 0.1–0.2¢

Curacao

Vol $18.7M Spread 0.1%

Agg +66,567

— +0.0%

P +66,567

K +199,900

Polymarket +66,567

Vol $18.7M 0.1–0.2¢

Haiti

Vol $7.6M Spread 0.1%

Agg +66,567

— +0.0%

P +66,567

K +199,900

Polymarket +66,567

Vol $7.6M 0.1–0.2¢

Jordan

Vol $7.4M Spread 0.1%

Agg +66,567

— +0.0%

P +66,567

K +199,900

Polymarket +66,567

Vol $7.4M 0.1–0.2¢

New Zealand

Vol $9.8M Spread 0.1%

Agg +66,567

— +0.0%

P +66,567

K +199,900

Polymarket +66,567

Vol $9.8M 0.1–0.2¢

Vol $2.1K 0–0.1¢

Qatar

Vol $8.0M Spread 0.1%

Agg +66,567

↓ -0.1%

P +66,567

K +199,900

Polymarket +66,567

Vol $8.0M 0.1–0.2¢

Uzbekistan

Vol $8.4M Spread 0.1%

Agg +66,567

— +0.0%

P +66,567

K +199,900

Polymarket +66,567

Vol $8.3M 0.1–0.2¢

Vol $60.9K 0–0.1¢

Panama

Vol $2.0K Spread —

Agg +199,900

↓ -0.5%

K +199,900

Denmark

Vol $106.9K Spread —

Agg —

↓ -0.5%

K —

Vol $106.9K 0–0.1¢

Ireland

Vol $25.0K Spread —

Agg —

↓ -0.5%

K —

Vol $25.0K 0–0.1¢

Italy

Vol $2.6M Spread 0.0%

Agg —

↓ -2.0%

K —

P —

Vol $110.7K 0–0.1¢

Polymarket —

Vol $2.5M 0.1¢

Northern Ireland

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg —

↓ -0.5%

K —

Vol $0 0–0.1¢

Poland

Vol $24.0K Spread —

Agg —

↓ -0.5%

K —

Vol $24.0K 0.1–0.2¢

Romania

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg —

↓ -0.5%

K —

Vol $0 0–0.1¢

Ukraine

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg —

↓ -0.5%

K —

Vol $0 0–0.1¢

Wales

Vol $98.9K Spread —

Agg —

↓ -0.5%

K —

Vol $98.9K 0–0.1¢

Outcome	Aggregated	Spread	Volume	Kalshi	Polymarket
SP Spain	+522 ↑ +0.6%	1.1%	$10.9M	Kalshi +483 17.1–17.2¢ Vol $124.2K	Polymarket +523 16–16.1¢ Vol $10.8M
FR France	+522 ↑ +5.5%	0.6%	$12.9M	Kalshi +502 16.3–16.9¢ Vol $426.6K	Polymarket +523 16–16.1¢ Vol $12.4M
EN England	+804 ↓ -2.0%	0.8%	$9.1M	Kalshi +740 11.8–12¢ Vol $47.3K	Polymarket +805 11–11.1¢ Vol $9.0M
AR Argentina	+1,013 ↓ -2.0%	0.7%	$8.6M	Kalshi +942 9.4–9.8¢ Vol $91.5K	Polymarket +1,017 8.9–9¢ Vol $8.5M
BR Brazil	+1,083 ↓ -0.2%	1.0%	$8.0M	Kalshi +958 9.3–9.6¢ Vol $121.2K	Polymarket +1,083 8.4–8.5¢ Vol $7.9M
PO Portugal	+1,260 ↑ +0.4%	0.3%	$6.7M	Kalshi +1,207 7.6–7.7¢ Vol $118.0K	Polymarket +1,261 7.3–7.4¢ Vol $6.6M
GE Germany	+1,801 — +0.0%	0.3%	$6.5M	Kalshi +1,702 5.3–5.8¢ Vol $97.1K	Polymarket +1,805 5.2–5.3¢ Vol $6.5M
NE Netherlands	+2,977 ↑ +0.1%	0.2%	$7.1M	Kalshi +2,799 3.4–3.5¢ Vol $178.9K	Polymarket +2,977 3.2–3.3¢ Vol $6.9M
NO Norway	+4,157 ↓ -0.9%	0.2%	$5.9M	Kalshi +4,551 2.1–2.2¢ Vol $59.8K	Polymarket +4,155 2.3–2.4¢ Vol $5.9M
JA Japan	+4,345 ↑ +0.8%	0.5%	$7.9M	Kalshi +5,614 1.5–2¢ Vol $47.5K	Polymarket +4,344 2.2–2.3¢ Vol $7.9M
BE Belgium	+5,614 — +0.0%	0.2%	$6.5M	Kalshi +6,352 1.5–1.6¢ Vol $3.4K	Polymarket +5,614 1.7–1.8¢ Vol $6.5M
MO Morocco	+5,614 ↑ +0.2%	0.2%	$7.4M	Kalshi +6,352 1.3–1.8¢ Vol $82.9K	Polymarket +5,614 1.7–1.8¢ Vol $7.3M
CO Colombia	+5,960 ↑ +0.1%	0.4%	$5.9M	Kalshi +4,778 2–2.1¢ Vol $16.9K	Polymarket +5,961 1.6–1.7¢ Vol $5.9M
US USA	+8,596 ↓ -0.5%	0.6%	$10.8M	Kalshi +5,782 1.4–2¢ Vol $149.5K	Polymarket +8,596 1.1–1.2¢ Vol $10.7M
ME Mexico	+9,426 — +0.0%	0.1%	$8.7M	Kalshi +10,426 0.8–1.1¢ Vol $10.1K	Polymarket +9,424 1–1.1¢ Vol $8.6M
SW Switzerland	+10,426 ↑ +0.2%	0.2%	$5.5M	Kalshi +13,233 0.7–0.8¢ Vol $1.5K	Polymarket +10,426 0.9–1¢ Vol $5.5M
UR Uruguay	+10,426 ↓ -0.4%	0.0%	$7.7M	Kalshi +10,426 0.9–1¢ Vol $10.7K	Polymarket +10,426 0.9–1¢ Vol $7.7M
CR Croatia	+11,665 ↓ -0.3%	0.2%	$5.2M	Kalshi +15,285 0.6–0.7¢ Vol $31.5K	Polymarket +11,665 0.8–0.9¢ Vol $5.1M
TU Turkey	+12,400 ↑ +0.3%	—	$4.2K	Kalshi +12,400 0.7–0.9¢ Vol $4.2K	Polymarket — —
EC Ecuador	+15,285 ↓ -0.2%	0.1%	$7.1M	Kalshi +13,233 0.7–0.8¢ Vol $14.3K	Polymarket +15,285 0.6–0.7¢ Vol $7.1M
SE Senegal	+15,285 ↓ -0.1%	0.1%	$5.9M	Kalshi +14,186 0.4–1¢ Vol $5.5K	Polymarket +15,285 0.6–0.7¢ Vol $5.9M
AU Austria	+18,082 — +0.0%	0.2%	$6.2M	Kalshi +28,471 0.3–0.4¢ Vol $1.0K	Polymarket +18,082 0.5–0.6¢ Vol $6.2M
CA Canada	+18,082 ↓ -0.1%	0.2%	$5.1M	Kalshi +13,233 0.7–0.8¢ Vol $1.3K	Polymarket +18,082 0.5–0.6¢ Vol $5.1M
SW Sweden	+18,082 — +0.0%	—	$981	Kalshi +18,082 0.5–0.6¢ Vol $981	Polymarket — —
IC Ivory Coast	+22,122 — +0.0%	0.2%	$6.5M	Kalshi +49,900 0.1–0.3¢ Vol $4.4K	Polymarket +22,122 0.4–0.5¢ Vol $6.5M
PA Paraguay	+22,122 — +0.0%	0.2%	$6.6M	Kalshi +39,900 0.2–0.3¢ Vol $78	Polymarket +22,122 0.4–0.5¢ Vol $6.6M
EG Egypt	+28,471 — +0.0%	0.2%	$7.8M	Kalshi +66,567 0.1–0.2¢ Vol $5.1K	Polymarket +28,471 0.3–0.4¢ Vol $7.8M
SC Scotland	+28,471 — +0.0%	0.1%	$7.0M	Kalshi +39,900 0.2–0.3¢ Vol $311	Polymarket +28,471 0.3–0.4¢ Vol $7.0M
SK South Korea	+28,471 ↓ -0.1%	0.1%	$7.4M	Kalshi +39,900 0.2–0.3¢ Vol $180	Polymarket +28,471 0.3–0.4¢ Vol $7.4M
AL Algeria	+39,900 — +0.0%	0.1%	$7.2M	Kalshi +66,567 0.1–0.2¢ Vol $1.1K	Polymarket +39,900 0.2–0.3¢ Vol $7.2M
AU Australia	+39,900 ↓ -0.1%	0.1%	$6.0M	Kalshi +66,567 0.1–0.2¢ Vol $2.0K	Polymarket +39,900 0.2–0.3¢ Vol $6.0M
GH Ghana	+39,900 — +0.0%	0.1%	$8.3M	Kalshi +66,567 0.1–0.2¢ Vol $1.1K	Polymarket +39,900 0.2–0.3¢ Vol $8.3M
IR Iran	+39,900 ↑ +0.1%	0.1%	$6.8M	Kalshi +66,567 0.1–0.2¢ Vol $1.3K	Polymarket +39,900 0.2–0.3¢ Vol $6.8M
SA Saudi Arabia	+39,900 — +0.0%	0.2%	$6.4M	Kalshi +199,900 0–0.1¢ Vol $1.0K	Polymarket +39,900 0.2–0.3¢ Vol $6.4M
SA South Africa	+39,900 — +0.0%	0.2%	$6.6M	Kalshi +199,900 0–0.1¢ Vol $26.4K	Polymarket +39,900 0.2–0.3¢ Vol $6.6M
TU Tunisia	+39,900 — +0.0%	0.2%	$7.6M	Kalshi +199,900 0–0.1¢ Vol $1.0K	Polymarket +39,900 0.2–0.3¢ Vol $7.6M
CV Cape Verde	+66,567 — +0.0%	0.1%	$9.5M	Kalshi +199,900 0–0.1¢ Vol $2.0K	Polymarket +66,567 0.1–0.2¢ Vol $9.5M
CU Curacao	+66,567 — +0.0%	0.1%	$18.7M	Kalshi +199,900 0–0.1¢ Vol $1.0K	Polymarket +66,567 0.1–0.2¢ Vol $18.7M
HA Haiti	+66,567 — +0.0%	0.1%	$7.6M	Kalshi +199,900 0–0.1¢ Vol $1.0K	Polymarket +66,567 0.1–0.2¢ Vol $7.6M
JO Jordan	+66,567 — +0.0%	0.1%	$7.4M	Kalshi +199,900 0–0.1¢ Vol $2.0K	Polymarket +66,567 0.1–0.2¢ Vol $7.4M
NZ New Zealand	+66,567 — +0.0%	0.1%	$9.8M	Kalshi +199,900 0–0.1¢ Vol $2.1K	Polymarket +66,567 0.1–0.2¢ Vol $9.8M
QA Qatar	+66,567 ↓ -0.1%	0.1%	$8.0M	Kalshi +199,900 0–0.1¢ Vol $2.0K	Polymarket +66,567 0.1–0.2¢ Vol $8.0M
UZ Uzbekistan	+66,567 — +0.0%	0.1%	$8.4M	Kalshi +199,900 0–0.1¢ Vol $60.9K	Polymarket +66,567 0.1–0.2¢ Vol $8.3M
PA Panama	+199,900 ↓ -0.5%	—	$2.0K	Kalshi +199,900 0–0.1¢ Vol $2.0K	Polymarket — —
DE Denmark	— ↓ -0.5%	—	$106.9K	Kalshi — 0–0.1¢ Vol $106.9K	Polymarket — —
IR Ireland	— ↓ -0.5%	—	$25.0K	Kalshi — 0–0.1¢ Vol $25.0K	Polymarket — —
IT Italy	— ↓ -2.0%	0.0%	$2.6M	Kalshi — 0–0.1¢ Vol $110.7K	Polymarket — 0.1¢ Vol $2.5M
NI Northern Ireland	— ↓ -0.5%	—	$0	Kalshi — 0–0.1¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
PO Poland	— ↓ -0.5%	—	$24.0K	Kalshi — 0.1–0.2¢ Vol $24.0K	Polymarket — —
RO Romania	— ↓ -0.5%	—	$0	Kalshi — 0–0.1¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
UK Ukraine	— ↓ -0.5%	—	$0	Kalshi — 0–0.1¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
WA Wales	— ↓ -0.5%	—	$98.9K	Kalshi — 0–0.1¢ Vol $98.9K	Polymarket — —

Odds Over Time

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Period:

Platform:

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Aggregated (VWAP)

Volume

Kalshi

Polymarket

Cross-Venue Spread

Arbitrage Scanner

Current cross-venue opportunities with fee calculations

Minimum Spread 1.5%

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Pairs (Venue-to-Venue)

Outcome	Venue Pair	Leg A (Buy)	Leg B (Sell)	Gross Spread	After Fees	Actionable	Trade Now
SP Spain	Polymarket → Kalshi	Buy @ P 16.1¢	Sell @ K 17.1¢	+1.00%	+0.83%	No	P ↗︎ K ↗︎
BR Brazil	Polymarket → Kalshi	Buy @ P 8.5¢	Sell @ K 9.3¢	+0.80%	+0.71%	No	P ↗︎ K ↗︎
EN England	Polymarket → Kalshi	Buy @ P 11.1¢	Sell @ K 11.8¢	+0.70%	+0.58%	No	P ↗︎ K ↗︎
AR Argentina	Polymarket → Kalshi	Buy @ P 9¢	Sell @ K 9.4¢	+0.40%	+0.31%	No	P ↗︎ K ↗︎
CO Colombia	Polymarket → Kalshi	Buy @ P 1.7¢	Sell @ K 2¢	+0.30%	+0.23%	No	P ↗︎ K ↗︎
US USA	Polymarket → Kalshi	Buy @ P 1.2¢	Sell @ K 1.4¢	+0.20%	+0.13%	No	P ↗︎ K ↗︎
JA Japan	Kalshi → Polymarket	Buy @ K 2¢	Sell @ P 2.2¢	+0.20%	+0.13%	No	K ↗︎ P ↗︎
PO Portugal	Polymarket → Kalshi	Buy @ P 7.4¢	Sell @ K 7.6¢	+0.20%	+0.12%	No	P ↗︎ K ↗︎
FR France	Polymarket → Kalshi	Buy @ P 16.1¢	Sell @ K 16.3¢	+0.20%	+0.04%	No	P ↗︎ K ↗︎
NE Netherlands	Polymarket → Kalshi	Buy @ P 3.3¢	Sell @ K 3.4¢	+0.10%	+0.03%	No	P ↗︎ K ↗︎
NO Norway	Kalshi → Polymarket	Buy @ K 2.2¢	Sell @ P 2.3¢	+0.10%	+0.03%	No	K ↗︎ P ↗︎
BE Belgium	Kalshi → Polymarket	Buy @ K 1.6¢	Sell @ P 1.7¢	+0.10%	+0.03%	No	K ↗︎ P ↗︎
CR Croatia	Kalshi → Polymarket	Buy @ K 0.7¢	Sell @ P 0.8¢	+0.10%	+0.03%	No	K ↗︎ P ↗︎
AU Austria	Kalshi → Polymarket	Buy @ K 0.4¢	Sell @ P 0.5¢	+0.10%	+0.03%	No	K ↗︎ P ↗︎
CA Canada	Polymarket → Kalshi	Buy @ P 0.6¢	Sell @ K 0.7¢	+0.10%	+0.03%	No	P ↗︎ K ↗︎
IC Ivory Coast	Kalshi → Polymarket	Buy @ K 0.3¢	Sell @ P 0.4¢	+0.10%	+0.03%	No	K ↗︎ P ↗︎
PA Paraguay	Kalshi → Polymarket	Buy @ K 0.3¢	Sell @ P 0.4¢	+0.10%	+0.03%	No	K ↗︎ P ↗︎
EG Egypt	Kalshi → Polymarket	Buy @ K 0.2¢	Sell @ P 0.3¢	+0.10%	+0.03%	No	K ↗︎ P ↗︎
SA Saudi Arabia	Kalshi → Polymarket	Buy @ K 0.1¢	Sell @ P 0.2¢	+0.10%	+0.03%	No	K ↗︎ P ↗︎
SA South Africa	Kalshi → Polymarket	Buy @ K 0.1¢	Sell @ P 0.2¢	+0.10%	+0.03%	No	K ↗︎ P ↗︎
TU Tunisia	Kalshi → Polymarket	Buy @ K 0.1¢	Sell @ P 0.2¢	+0.10%	+0.03%	No	K ↗︎ P ↗︎
SW Switzerland	Kalshi → Polymarket	Buy @ K 0.8¢	Sell @ P 0.9¢	+0.10%	+0.03%	No	K ↗︎ P ↗︎
GE Germany	Polymarket → Kalshi	Buy @ P 5.3¢	Sell @ K 5.3¢	+0.00%	-0.07%	No	P ↗︎ K ↗︎
EC Ecuador	Polymarket → Kalshi	Buy @ P 0.7¢	Sell @ K 0.7¢	+0.00%	-0.07%	No	P ↗︎ K ↗︎
SC Scotland	Kalshi → Polymarket	Buy @ K 0.3¢	Sell @ P 0.3¢	+0.00%	-0.07%	No	K ↗︎ P ↗︎
SK South Korea	Kalshi → Polymarket	Buy @ K 0.3¢	Sell @ P 0.3¢	+0.00%	-0.07%	No	K ↗︎ P ↗︎
AL Algeria	Kalshi → Polymarket	Buy @ K 0.2¢	Sell @ P 0.2¢	+0.00%	-0.07%	No	K ↗︎ P ↗︎
AU Australia	Kalshi → Polymarket	Buy @ K 0.2¢	Sell @ P 0.2¢	+0.00%	-0.07%	No	K ↗︎ P ↗︎
GH Ghana	Kalshi → Polymarket	Buy @ K 0.2¢	Sell @ P 0.2¢	+0.00%	-0.07%	No	K ↗︎ P ↗︎
IR Iran	Kalshi → Polymarket	Buy @ K 0.2¢	Sell @ P 0.2¢	+0.00%	-0.07%	No	K ↗︎ P ↗︎
CV Cape Verde	Kalshi → Polymarket	Buy @ K 0.1¢	Sell @ P 0.1¢	+0.00%	-0.07%	No	K ↗︎ P ↗︎
CU Curacao	Kalshi → Polymarket	Buy @ K 0.1¢	Sell @ P 0.1¢	+0.00%	-0.07%	No	K ↗︎ P ↗︎
HA Haiti	Kalshi → Polymarket	Buy @ K 0.1¢	Sell @ P 0.1¢	+0.00%	-0.07%	No	K ↗︎ P ↗︎
JO Jordan	Kalshi → Polymarket	Buy @ K 0.1¢	Sell @ P 0.1¢	+0.00%	-0.07%	No	K ↗︎ P ↗︎
NZ New Zealand	Kalshi → Polymarket	Buy @ K 0.1¢	Sell @ P 0.1¢	+0.00%	-0.07%	No	K ↗︎ P ↗︎
QA Qatar	Kalshi → Polymarket	Buy @ K 0.1¢	Sell @ P 0.1¢	+0.00%	-0.07%	No	K ↗︎ P ↗︎
UZ Uzbekistan	Kalshi → Polymarket	Buy @ K 0.1¢	Sell @ P 0.1¢	+0.00%	-0.07%	No	K ↗︎ P ↗︎
IT Italy	Polymarket → Kalshi	Buy @ P 0.1¢	Sell @ K 0¢	-0.10%	-0.10%	No	P ↗︎ K ↗︎
MO Morocco	Kalshi → Polymarket	Buy @ K 1.8¢	Sell @ P 1.7¢	-0.10%	-0.17%	No	K ↗︎ P ↗︎
ME Mexico	Kalshi → Polymarket	Buy @ K 1.1¢	Sell @ P 1¢	-0.10%	-0.17%	No	K ↗︎ P ↗︎
UR Uruguay	Kalshi → Polymarket	Buy @ K 1¢	Sell @ P 0.9¢	-0.10%	-0.17%	No	K ↗︎ P ↗︎
SE Senegal	Polymarket → Kalshi	Buy @ P 0.7¢	Sell @ K 0.4¢	-0.30%	-0.37%	No	P ↗︎ K ↗︎

Outcome Diff

Outcome A	Outcome B	Venue	A Odds	B Odds	Diff	Strategy	Trade Now
SP Spain	CO Colombia	Kalshi	A +483	B +4,778	+15.10%	Buy spread	K ↗︎
SP Spain	NO Norway	Kalshi	A +483	B +4,551	+15.00%	Buy spread	K ↗︎
FR France	CO Colombia	Kalshi	A +502	B +4,778	+14.55%	Buy spread	K ↗︎
FR France	NO Norway	Kalshi	A +502	B +4,551	+14.45%	Buy spread	K ↗︎
SP Spain	JA Japan	Polymarket	A +523	B +4,344	+13.80%	Buy spread
FR France	JA Japan	Polymarket	A +523	B +4,344	+13.80%	Buy spread
SP Spain	NE Netherlands	Kalshi	A +483	B +2,799	+13.70%	Buy spread	K ↗︎
SP Spain	NO Norway	Polymarket	A +523	B +4,155	+13.70%	Buy spread
FR France	NO Norway	Polymarket	A +523	B +4,155	+13.70%	Buy spread
FR France	NE Netherlands	Kalshi	A +502	B +2,799	+13.15%	Buy spread	K ↗︎
SP Spain	NE Netherlands	Polymarket	A +523	B +2,977	+12.80%	Buy spread
FR France	NE Netherlands	Polymarket	A +523	B +2,977	+12.80%	Buy spread
SP Spain	GE Germany	Kalshi	A +483	B +1,702	+11.60%	Buy spread	K ↗︎
FR France	GE Germany	Kalshi	A +502	B +1,702	+11.05%	Buy spread	K ↗︎
SP Spain	GE Germany	Polymarket	A +523	B +1,805	+10.80%	Buy spread
FR France	GE Germany	Polymarket	A +523	B +1,805	+10.80%	Buy spread
EN England	CO Colombia	Kalshi	A +740	B +4,778	+9.85%	Buy spread	K ↗︎
EN England	NO Norway	Kalshi	A +740	B +4,551	+9.75%	Buy spread	K ↗︎
SP Spain	PO Portugal	Kalshi	A +483	B +1,207	+9.50%	Buy spread	K ↗︎
FR France	PO Portugal	Kalshi	A +502	B +1,207	+8.95%	Buy spread	K ↗︎
EN England	JA Japan	Polymarket	A +805	B +4,344	+8.80%	Buy spread
SP Spain	PO Portugal	Polymarket	A +523	B +1,261	+8.70%	Buy spread
FR France	PO Portugal	Polymarket	A +523	B +1,261	+8.70%	Buy spread
EN England	NO Norway	Polymarket	A +805	B +4,155	+8.70%	Buy spread
EN England	NE Netherlands	Kalshi	A +740	B +2,799	+8.45%	Buy spread	K ↗︎
EN England	NE Netherlands	Polymarket	A +805	B +2,977	+7.80%	Buy spread
SP Spain	BR Brazil	Kalshi	A +483	B +958	+7.70%	Buy spread	K ↗︎
SP Spain	BR Brazil	Polymarket	A +523	B +1,083	+7.60%	Buy spread
FR France	BR Brazil	Polymarket	A +523	B +1,083	+7.60%	Buy spread
SP Spain	AR Argentina	Kalshi	A +483	B +942	+7.55%	Buy spread	K ↗︎

Kalshi Trading Fee 1% (min $0.07, max $1.75) per side

Polymarket Trading Fee 0% (gas only)

Gemini Trading Fee 0.40% per side

Polymarket US Trading Fee 0% (gas only)

After-fee spreads apply the configured taker-fee model per side. Depth/slippage is not modeled in this scanner.

FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals Qualifier Odds

Current probabilities across platforms with liquidity indicators

Sort:

Spain

Vol $5 Spread —

Agg 63.5%

↓ -7.5%

K 63.5%

Kalshi 63.5%

Vol $5 59–68¢

England

Vol $5 Spread —

Agg 57.5%

↓ -14.0%

K 57.5%

Kalshi 57.5%

Vol $5 55–60¢

France

Vol $2 Spread —

Agg 57.0%

↓ -10.0%

K 57.0%

Kalshi 57.0%

Vol $2 53–61¢

Argentina

Vol $5 Spread —

Agg 53.0%

↓ -11.5%

K 53.0%

Kalshi 53.0%

Vol $5 49–57¢

Brazil

Vol $5 Spread —

Agg 50.5%

↓ -8.0%

K 50.5%

Kalshi 50.5%

Vol $5 45–56¢

Germany

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 48.5%

↓ -11.5%

K 48.5%

Kalshi 48.5%

Vol $0 41–56¢

Portugal

Vol $5 Spread —

Agg 42.0%

↓ -11.0%

K 42.0%

Kalshi 42.0%

Vol $5 35–49¢

Netherlands

Vol $2 Spread —

Agg 39.5%

↑ +7.0%

K 39.5%

Kalshi 39.5%

Vol $2 39–40¢

Norway

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 33.5%

↓ -2.0%

K 33.5%

Kalshi 33.5%

Vol $0 27–40¢

Belgium

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 32.0%

↑ +4.0%

K 32.0%

Kalshi 32.0%

Vol $0 25–39¢

Colombia

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 29.5%

↓ -2.0%

K 29.5%

Kalshi 29.5%

Vol $0 23–36¢

USA

Vol $77 Spread —

Agg 26.5%

↑ +6.5%

K 26.5%

Kalshi 26.5%

Vol $77 24–29¢

Japan

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 25.5%

↓ -21.5%

K 25.5%

Kalshi 25.5%

Vol $0 21–30¢

Morocco

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 24.5%

↓ -10.0%

K 24.5%

Kalshi 24.5%

Vol $0 22–27¢

Canada

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 23.0%

↑ +13.5%

K 23.0%

Kalshi 23.0%

Vol $0 16–30¢

Uruguay

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 22.5%

↓ -8.5%

K 22.5%

Kalshi 22.5%

Vol $0 15–30¢

Croatia

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 21.0%

↓ -6.5%

K 21.0%

Kalshi 21.0%

Vol $0 17–25¢

Mexico

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 21.0%

↓ -9.0%

K 21.0%

Kalshi 21.0%

Vol $0 18–24¢

Ivory Coast

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 20.5%

↓ -19.0%

K 20.5%

Kalshi 20.5%

Vol $0 6–35¢

Switzerland

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 20.5%

↓ -5.0%

K 20.5%

Kalshi 20.5%

Vol $0 16–25¢

Ghana

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 20.0%

↓ -22.5%

K 20.0%

Kalshi 20.0%

Vol $0 10–30¢

Turkiye

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 19.5%

↓ -12.0%

K 19.5%

Kalshi 19.5%

Vol $0 14–25¢

Senegal

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 18.5%

↓ -1.5%

K 18.5%

Kalshi 18.5%

Vol $0 5–32¢

Czechia

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 18.0%

↓ -27.0%

K 18.0%

Kalshi 18.0%

Vol $0 1–35¢

Ecuador

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 18.0%

↓ -9.0%

K 18.0%

Kalshi 18.0%

Vol $0 16–20¢

Sweden

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 16.5%

↓ -24.0%

K 16.5%

Kalshi 16.5%

Vol $0 15–18¢

Panama

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 16.0%

↓ -2.5%

K 16.0%

Kalshi 16.0%

Vol $0 1–31¢

Scotland

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 15.0%

↓ -21.5%

K 15.0%

Kalshi 15.0%

Vol $0 5–25¢

Australia

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 13.5%

↓ -5.0%

K 13.5%

Kalshi 13.5%

Vol $0 1–26¢

Egypt

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 11.5%

↑ +5.0%

K 11.5%

Vol $0 4–19¢

BAH

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 11.0%

↓ -14.0%

K 11.0%

Kalshi 11.0%

Vol $0 2–20¢

Austria

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 10.5%

↑ +2.5%

K 10.5%

Kalshi 10.5%

Vol $0 5–16¢

New Zealand

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 10.5%

↓ -32.0%

K 10.5%

Kalshi 10.5%

Vol $0 1–20¢

South Africa

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 10.5%

↓ -32.0%

K 10.5%

Kalshi 10.5%

Vol $0 1–20¢

Algeria

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 9.5%

↑ +0.5%

K 9.5%

Kalshi 9.5%

Vol $0 7–12¢

Congo DR

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 9.5%

↓ -25.5%

K 9.5%

Kalshi 9.5%

Vol $0 1–18¢

Paraguay

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 9.0%

— +0.0%

K 9.0%

Vol $0 4–14¢

Qatar

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 9.0%

↓ -11.0%

K 9.0%

Vol $0 0–18¢

Saudi Arabia

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 9.0%

↓ -9.0%

K 9.0%

Vol $0 0–18¢

Uzbekistan

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 9.0%

↓ -23.5%

K 9.0%

Vol $0 0–18¢

Korea Republic

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 8.5%

↓ -7.0%

K 8.5%

Kalshi 8.5%

Vol $0 3–14¢

Cape Verde

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 7.5%

↓ -30.0%

K 7.5%

Curacao

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 7.5%

↓ -27.5%

K 7.5%

Iraq

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 7.5%

↓ -35.0%

K 7.5%

Tunisia

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 7.5%

↓ -35.0%

K 7.5%

Haiti

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 6.5%

↓ -36.0%

K 6.5%

Kalshi 6.5%

Vol $0 0–13¢

IR Iran

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 5.0%

— +0.0%

K 5.0%

Jordan

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 3.0%

↓ -0.5%

K 3.0%

Kalshi 3.0%

Vol $0 0–6¢

Outcome	Aggregated	Spread	Volume	Kalshi
SP Spain	63.5% ↓ -7.5%	—	$5	Kalshi 63.5% 59–68¢ Vol $5
EN England	57.5% ↓ -14.0%	—	$5	Kalshi 57.5% 55–60¢ Vol $5
FR France	57.0% ↓ -10.0%	—	$2	Kalshi 57.0% 53–61¢ Vol $2
AR Argentina	53.0% ↓ -11.5%	—	$5	Kalshi 53.0% 49–57¢ Vol $5
BR Brazil	50.5% ↓ -8.0%	—	$5	Kalshi 50.5% 45–56¢ Vol $5
GE Germany	48.5% ↓ -11.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 48.5% 41–56¢ Vol $0
PO Portugal	42.0% ↓ -11.0%	—	$5	Kalshi 42.0% 35–49¢ Vol $5
NE Netherlands	39.5% ↑ +7.0%	—	$2	Kalshi 39.5% 39–40¢ Vol $2
NO Norway	33.5% ↓ -2.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 33.5% 27–40¢ Vol $0
BE Belgium	32.0% ↑ +4.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 32.0% 25–39¢ Vol $0
CO Colombia	29.5% ↓ -2.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 29.5% 23–36¢ Vol $0
US USA	26.5% ↑ +6.5%	—	$77	Kalshi 26.5% 24–29¢ Vol $77
JA Japan	25.5% ↓ -21.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 25.5% 21–30¢ Vol $0
MO Morocco	24.5% ↓ -10.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 24.5% 22–27¢ Vol $0
CA Canada	23.0% ↑ +13.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 23.0% 16–30¢ Vol $0
UR Uruguay	22.5% ↓ -8.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 22.5% 15–30¢ Vol $0
CR Croatia	21.0% ↓ -6.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 21.0% 17–25¢ Vol $0
ME Mexico	21.0% ↓ -9.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 21.0% 18–24¢ Vol $0
IC Ivory Coast	20.5% ↓ -19.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 20.5% 6–35¢ Vol $0
SW Switzerland	20.5% ↓ -5.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 20.5% 16–25¢ Vol $0
GH Ghana	20.0% ↓ -22.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 20.0% 10–30¢ Vol $0
TU Turkiye	19.5% ↓ -12.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 19.5% 14–25¢ Vol $0
SE Senegal	18.5% ↓ -1.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 18.5% 5–32¢ Vol $0
CZ Czechia	18.0% ↓ -27.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 18.0% 1–35¢ Vol $0
EC Ecuador	18.0% ↓ -9.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 18.0% 16–20¢ Vol $0
SW Sweden	16.5% ↓ -24.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 16.5% 15–18¢ Vol $0
PA Panama	16.0% ↓ -2.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 16.0% 1–31¢ Vol $0
SC Scotland	15.0% ↓ -21.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 15.0% 5–25¢ Vol $0
AU Australia	13.5% ↓ -5.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 13.5% 1–26¢ Vol $0
EG Egypt	11.5% ↑ +5.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 11.5% 4–19¢ Vol $0
BAH Bosnia and Herzegovina	11.0% ↓ -14.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 11.0% 2–20¢ Vol $0
AU Austria	10.5% ↑ +2.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 10.5% 5–16¢ Vol $0
NZ New Zealand	10.5% ↓ -32.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 10.5% 1–20¢ Vol $0
SA South Africa	10.5% ↓ -32.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 10.5% 1–20¢ Vol $0
AL Algeria	9.5% ↑ +0.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 9.5% 7–12¢ Vol $0
CD Congo DR	9.5% ↓ -25.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 9.5% 1–18¢ Vol $0
PA Paraguay	9.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 9.0% 4–14¢ Vol $0
QA Qatar	9.0% ↓ -11.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 9.0% 0–18¢ Vol $0
SA Saudi Arabia	9.0% ↓ -9.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 9.0% 0–18¢ Vol $0
UZ Uzbekistan	9.0% ↓ -23.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 9.0% 0–18¢ Vol $0
KR Korea Republic	8.5% ↓ -7.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 8.5% 3–14¢ Vol $0
CV Cape Verde	7.5% ↓ -30.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 7.5% 0–15¢ Vol $0
CU Curacao	7.5% ↓ -27.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 7.5% 0–15¢ Vol $0
IR Iraq	7.5% ↓ -35.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 7.5% 0–15¢ Vol $0
TU Tunisia	7.5% ↓ -35.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 7.5% 0–15¢ Vol $0
HA Haiti	6.5% ↓ -36.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 6.5% 0–13¢ Vol $0
II IR Iran	5.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 5.0% 0–10¢ Vol $0
JO Jordan	3.0% ↓ -0.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 3.0% 0–6¢ Vol $0

FIFA World Cup Final Qualifier Odds

Current probabilities across platforms with liquidity indicators

Sort:

Spain

Vol $5 Spread —

Agg 28.5%

↓ -12.0%

K 28.5%

Kalshi 28.5%

Vol $5 26–31¢

Netherlands

Vol $24 Spread —

Agg 26.5%

↑ +20.5%

K 26.5%

Kalshi 26.5%

Vol $24 7–46¢

Ecuador

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 24.0%

↑ +9.5%

K 24.0%

Kalshi 24.0%

Vol $0 0–48¢

Portugal

Vol $1 Spread —

Agg 22.0%

↑ +2.5%

K 22.0%

Kalshi 22.0%

Vol $1 13–31¢

Argentina

Vol $24 Spread —

Agg 20.5%

↓ -3.5%

K 20.5%

Kalshi 20.5%

Vol $24 17–24¢

France

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 20.0%

↓ -8.0%

K 20.0%

Kalshi 20.0%

Vol $0 14–26¢

Germany

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 19.0%

↓ -4.0%

K 19.0%

Kalshi 19.0%

Vol $0 11–27¢

Brazil

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 18.0%

↓ -9.0%

K 18.0%

Kalshi 18.0%

Vol $0 12–24¢

England

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 15.5%

↓ -19.0%

K 15.5%

Kalshi 15.5%

Vol $0 2–29¢

Belgium

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 14.5%

↓ -2.0%

K 14.5%

Kalshi 14.5%

Vol $0 2–27¢

Senegal

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 12.0%

↓ -21.5%

K 12.0%

Kalshi 12.0%

Vol $0 0–24¢

Croatia

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 11.5%

↓ -19.5%

K 11.5%

Vol $0 2–21¢

Japan

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 11.5%

↓ -2.5%

K 11.5%

Vol $0 1–22¢

Panama

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 11.5%

↓ -23.5%

K 11.5%

Sweden

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 11.5%

↓ -13.0%

K 11.5%

Turkiye

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 11.5%

— +0.0%

K 11.5%

Uruguay

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 11.5%

↓ -17.0%

K 11.5%

Colombia

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 11.0%

↓ -1.0%

K 11.0%

Kalshi 11.0%

Vol $0 4–18¢

Norway

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 11.0%

— +0.0%

K 11.0%

Kalshi 11.0%

Vol $0 1–21¢

Mexico

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 9.0%

↓ -1.0%

K 9.0%

Vol $0 1–17¢

Switzerland

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 9.0%

↓ -1.0%

K 9.0%

Vol $0 2–16¢

Morocco

Vol $1 Spread —

Agg 8.5%

↓ -0.5%

K 8.5%

Kalshi 8.5%

Vol $1 1–16¢

Korea Republic

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 8.0%

↓ -4.5%

K 8.0%

Kalshi 8.0%

Vol $0 0–16¢

Paraguay

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 8.0%

↓ -22.0%

K 8.0%

Kalshi 8.0%

Vol $0 0–16¢

Austria

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 7.5%

↓ -27.5%

K 7.5%

Congo DR

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 7.5%

↓ -2.5%

K 7.5%

Vol $0 1–14¢

Czechia

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 7.5%

↓ -4.0%

K 7.5%

Ivory Coast

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 7.5%

↓ -27.0%

K 7.5%

Vol $0 1–14¢

Scotland

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 7.5%

↓ -27.5%

K 7.5%

South Africa

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 7.5%

↓ -4.0%

K 7.5%

Canada

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 7.0%

↓ -7.0%

K 7.0%

Kalshi 7.0%

Vol $0 0–14¢

Ghana

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 7.0%

↓ -5.5%

K 7.0%

Kalshi 7.0%

Vol $0 0–14¢

Uzbekistan

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 7.0%

↓ -28.0%

K 7.0%

Kalshi 7.0%

Vol $0 0–14¢

Egypt

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 6.5%

↓ -26.0%

K 6.5%

Kalshi 6.5%

Vol $0 0–13¢

USA

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 6.5%

↓ -1.5%

K 6.5%

Kalshi 6.5%

Vol $0 0–13¢

Algeria

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 6.0%

↓ -17.5%

K 6.0%

Australia

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 6.0%

↓ -29.0%

K 6.0%

Jordan

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 6.0%

↓ -29.0%

K 6.0%

Tunisia

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 6.0%

↓ -29.0%

K 6.0%

Iraq

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 5.5%

↓ -2.0%

K 5.5%

Kalshi 5.5%

Vol $0 0–11¢

BAH

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 5.0%

↓ -22.0%

K 5.0%

IR Iran

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 5.0%

↓ -17.5%

K 5.0%

New Zealand

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 5.0%

↓ -28.5%

K 5.0%

Qatar

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 5.0%

↓ -28.5%

K 5.0%

Saudi Arabia

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 5.0%

↓ -16.5%

K 5.0%