Tunisia and the Netherlands clash in Group F action at the World Cup on Thursday. Kickoff from Kansas City is set for 7 p.m. ET, with live coverage on FS1.
Kalshi lists the Netherlands as the prohibitive favorite at -900 odds, or a 90% implied probability. Tunisia is priced at +3233 (3%), with a draw at +1011 (9%).
New Kalshi users can claim a $10 trading bonus with the promo code RATE for this World Cup match.
How to claim the Kalshi $10 bonus for Tunisia vs. Netherlands
- Register for a new account: Visit Kalshi.com and click the “Sign Up” button or download the app directly to register.
- Verify your personal information: Provide the requested information, including your name, email address, SSN, phone number, and date of birth. Kalshi uses Verify.com to complete the KYC process.
- Enter promo code: Use RATE when signing up for your new account.
- Make your initial deposit: Deposit $10 using a debit card, PayPal, Venmo, or another available method. The minimum deposit is $1.
- Place Your Trades: Select your chosen market(s) and make your trades. Once you’ve completed $10 in trades, you’ll receive the $10 trading bonus.
Full terms and conditions are available on our Kalshi promo code guide. Enter the correct Kalshi promo code for your state.
| Promo Code | Eligible States |
|---|---|
| RATE | All States + DC, excluding AR, AZ, CT, IL, LA, MA, MD, MI, MT, NJ, NV, and OH. |
Tunisia vs. Netherlands on Kalshi
| Outcome | Prediction Odds | American Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Tunisia | 3% | +3233 |
| Netherlands | 90% | -900 |
| Draw | 9% | +1011 |
| Netherlands to win by 2.5 goals | 51% | -104 |
| Over 3.5 goals scored | 49% | +104 |
| Tunisia to score first | 12% | +733 |
| Netherlands to score first | 87% | -699 |
Tunisia vs. Netherlands preview
This game looks like an absolute mismatch. Tunisia has already been eliminated, and the Netherlands has not lost in its last 14 World Cup games. That streak dates all the way back to 2010.
The Dutch side opened with a draw against Japan and then routed Sweden, 5-1. Tunisia has yet to record a point after losing to Japan and Sweden by a combined score of 9-1. The Netherlands can clinch Group F with a win tonight. It doesn’t seem to be a question of if the Dutch win, but rather by how many goals.
If you’re looking to target anytime goal scorers, the top Netherlands trio of Cody Gakpo, Brian Brobbey, and Crysencio Summerville have combined for six goals in the first two matches. The Netherlands has an extra incentive to score repeatedly tonight. They’re tied with Japan in Group F, and goal differential is critical in deciding the winner and the relative difficulty of its path in the knockout round.
The mission is to win and score more goals than Japan tonight. The two teams are currently tied with a +4 goal differential. At Kalshi, the Netherlands is favored to win Group F at -365 odds (78.5%).
Why trade on Tunisia vs. Netherlands at Kalshi
Kalshi gives you the flexibility to enter and exit positions at any time before markets settle. If your chosen team goes down 1-0 early, you can trade out of that position and cut your losses. Still confident in your team? You can add to your position and potentially reap a bigger reward if it comes back to win, or you can choose to stand firm with your original trade position.
The liquid nature of World Cup matches also offers live trading opportunities as the play unfolds. New Kalshi users can apply the promo code RATE at sign-up to receive a $10 bonus after making $10 in trades.
NOTE: Prediction markets involve risk. Prices can move quickly before and during live events. Users should trade only with money they can afford to lose, review the rules for each market before buying shares, and avoid chasing losses.
