Paraguay takes on Australia in World Cup Group D action on Thursday. Kickoff is set for 10 p.m. ET at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, California, with live coverage on FS1.
Polymarket offers Paraguay as the favorite at +194 odds, with an implied probability of 34%. Australia is listed at +317 (24%). The draw is available at +133 (43%).
New Polymarket users can claim a $50 trading bonus for the Paraguay vs. Australia match by using the promo code RATE during registration.
How to claim the Polymarket $50 bonus for Paraguay vs. Australia
| Platform | Sign-up bonus | Promo code | How to claim | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
★ Open in US
Polymarket | Deposit $20, Get $50 Bonus |
RATE
| Use promo code RATE on sign up | Claim Now! |
- Go to Polymarket’s website and begin the registration process.
- Enter promo code RATE in the referral field when you are signing up.
- Provide identifying information, including your date of birth, phone number, email address, and mailing address.
- Provide your SSN for tax-reporting purposes.
- Upload a government-issued photo ID (state driver’s license or passport) and complete the required “selfie” check.
- Once KYC has been approved, open your wallet, select Deposit, and choose a funding method (debit card, online banking, ACH bank transfer, or PayPal).
- Make a minimum $20 deposit and confirm the transaction to be eligible for the $50 trading bonus.
- Your $50 bonus will then be credited to your account, bringing your total trading funds to $70.
- Click on the World Cup tab and navigate to the Paraguay vs. Australia match.
- Make your trade on the outcome of your chosen market before kickoff.
Full terms and conditions are available on our Polymarket promo code guide. Enter the correct Polymarket promo code for your state
| Promo Code | Eligible States |
|---|---|
| RATE | All States + DC, excluding NV |
Paraguay vs. Australia odds on Polymarket
| Outcome | Prediction Odds | American Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Paraguay | 36% | +178 |
| Australia | 23% | +335 |
| Draw | 43% | +133 |
| Paraguay to win by 1.5 goals | 15% | +567 |
| Over 1.5 goals scored | 59% | -144 |
| Both teams to score | 43% | +133 |
| Isidro Pitto (PAR) | 20% | +400 |
Paraguay vs. Australia preview
Australia and Paraguay both have three points entering their final group stage game. The winner of this match will qualify for the knockout round with six points, while the loser will have to wait until the end of the group play to know their fate.
If the game ends in a tie, Australia and Paraguay would finish with four points apiece. Goal differential then comes into play. Australia has a +2 goal differential, so it would claim second place and enter the knockout stage. Paraguay would then have to finish among the top-8 third-place teams across all 12 groups.
The US has already won Group D, and Turkey has been eliminated.
A big storyline heading into the match revolves around Paraguay’s leading scorer Miguel Almiron (10 goals), who will miss the contest after being ejected for covering his mouth during a heated exchange against Turkey. The first-of-its-kind red card could cost Paraguay in the upcoming match against the Socceroos.
Australia is unbeaten in six matches against Paraguay, but the last time these two teams met was in 2010.
With Almiron out, keep an eye on Julio Enciso to score for Paraguay. He’s offered at +733 odds (12%) to score at any time on Polymarket. The onus will be on him to score with Paraguay’s top sniper out.
Polymarket lists Australia at +49900 odds (0.2%) and Paraguay at +99900 (0.1%) to win the World Cup.
Why trade Paraguay vs. Australia on Polymarket
Polymarket offers a user-friendly trading experience and transparent pricing for all World Cup markets. Flexibility is a key feature, as you can trade in and out of positions before they settle. You also have plenty of live-betting opportunities as matches unfold, thanks to liquid markets where prices continually update as the action plays out. Use the promo code RATE to claim your $50 trading bonus. It’s a nice way to familiarize yourself with the platform and see all that Polymarket offers.
NOTE: Prediction markets involve risk, and prices can move quickly before and during live events. Users should trade only with money they can afford to lose, review the rules for each market before buying shares, and avoid chasing losses.
