Japan and Sweden are in Arlington, Texas, for Thursday night’s World Cup Group F match. The action gets underway at 7 p.m. ET live on FOX from AT&T Stadium.
Tunisia and the Netherlands will round out the Group F schedule (7 p.m. ET on FS1).
Polymarket lists Japan as the favorite at -113 odds, with a 53% implied probability. New Polymarket customers can claim a $50 trading bonus for the World Cup by using the promo code RATE.
How to claim the Polymarket $50 bonus for Japan vs. Sweden
Use the promo code RATE when registering for a Polymarket account to ensure that you receive a $50 trading bonus for the World Cup Group F between Japan and Sweden. Follow the five steps below to claim your bonus:
| Platform | Sign-up bonus | Promo code | How to claim | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
★ Open in US
Polymarket | Deposit $20, Get $50 Bonus |
RATE
| Use promo code RATE on sign up | Claim Now! |
- Download the Polymarket app. Install the free Polymarket app from the App Store for your iOS device or the Google Play Store for your Android device and start registering for an account. US users must sign up for a new account via the app.
- Enter the promo code RATE. Enter the Polymarket promo code RATE when signing up for your account. Look for the checkmark confirming that it’s active and valid.
- Verify your identity. You will need a valid driver’s license or passport to verify your identity.
- Fund your account. Make a minimum deposit of $20. This is an absolute requirement if you want to take advantage of the $50 bonus. ACH, debit cards, Apple Pay, and wire transfers are accepted payment options.
- Place your first trade. Review the market rules and place your first trade on a Japan vs. Sweden World Cup group-stage market. Polymarket will credit your account with the $50 bonus after your initial deposit of $20 or more.
Check out our Polymarket promo code guide for the full terms and conditions. Enter the correct Polymarket promo code for your state
| Promo Code | Eligible States |
|---|---|
| RATE | All States + DC, excluding NV |
Japan vs. Sweden odds on Polymarket
| Outcome | Prediction Odds | American Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Japan | 53% | -113 |
| Sweden | 22% | +355 |
| Draw | 27% | +270 |
| Japan to win by 1.5 goals | 28% | +257 |
| Over 2.5 goals scored | 52% | -108 |
| Both teams to score | 59% | -144 |
| Ayase Ueda to score | 37% | +170 |
Japan vs. Sweden World Cup preview
The only thing we know for sure about the Group F standings is that Tunisia has no chance of making the Round of 32. For Japan and Sweden, this game is going to help decide how many teams advance. Polymarket pricing shows Sweden at +355 odds to win, which translates to an implied probability of just 22%.
The winner of this game is pretty much assured a spot in the knockout rounds. Japan still has a chance of winning the group. The easiest scenario would be earning a win over Sweden and the Netherlands losing to Tunisia, though the latter seems highly unlikely given that the Dutch are a -900 favorite. As far as head-to-head goes, Japan and Netherlands played to a 2-2 draw. With both teams having a +4 goal differential, the group could end up getting decided by the margin of victory from today’s games. Polymarket is showing the probability of the Samurai Blue winning by over 1.5 goals at 28%.
The Swedes, meanwhile, are pursuing a spot in the knockout rounds, and the road isn’t that difficult. Sweden will automatically qualify with a victory over Japan. Another scenario would be claiming one of the eight available third-place spots. Blagut (The Blue-Yellow) is sitting behind the other two teams due to having a zero goal differential.
Why trade Japan vs. Sweden on Polymarket
Japan vs. Sweden is one of six Thursday games that give Polymarket users an opportunity to see how easy it is to trade in and out of World Cup positions. If one team takes an early 1-0 lead but the momentum changes in the second half, you have the option to trade a different market.
With the Group F race still undecided, another possibility is trading the World Cup Group F winner. Netherlands is the favorite with -376 odds (79%), followed by Japan at +426 (19%), and Sweden at +3233 (3%).
No matter which markets you decide to trade, by using the Polymarket promo code RATE when you sign up for a new account, you will earn a $50 trading bonus once your first trade on the platform settles.
NOTE: It’s important to remember that prediction markets involve risk, and prices may quickly change before and during live World Cup games. Users should trade only with money they can afford to lose. It’s a good idea to review the rules for each market before buying shares, and avoid chasing losses.
