Canada World Cup Odds: Davies Likely Out for Opener

LIVE
Updated 21 minutes ago · 10:59 AM PDT

Switzerland is the lock to win Group B at 53.5% on Polymarket, which means Canada and Bosnia are effectively playing for second — and the market has them within three points of each other (Canada 24.5%, Bosnia 21.5%). The June 12 head-to-head is still building liquidity, but prediction market consensus has France as a narrow home favorite at BMO Field, roughly 17.0% to win with the FIFA World Cup Winner at 16.4% and FIFA World Cup Winner - 11 at 16.3%. Realistic finish for both teams is the round of 32. Group B's expanded knockout slot makes that the modal outcome for whichever side takes second; the round of 16 is genuine upside, the quarterfinals are a big stretch. Tournament-winner pricing has Canada around +15000 (roughly 0.7% implied) and Bosnia further out. Our Canada World Cup odds feed aggregates live pricing from prediction markets, including Kalshi, Polymarket, Gemini and OG. Odds and data updated every 30 minutes.

Largest Spread
0.80%
France
Current Favorite
17.0%
France 0.0%
24H Volume (Share)
$52.1M
K: 1.6% P: 98.4% U: 0.0%
Momentum Leader
+0.7%
FIFA World Cup Winner - 36 24H change

Current Odds Snapshot

Current probabilities across platforms with liquidity indicators

Sort:
CA
Canada
Vol $914.0K Spread 0.1%
Agg 0.4%
— +0.0%
P 0.4%
K 0.3%
FR
France
Vol $870.3K Spread 0.8%
Agg 17.0%
— +0.0%
P 17.1%
K 16.3%
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner
Vol $788 Spread
Agg 16.4%
↓ -0.2%
U 16.4%
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 11
Vol $1.1K Spread
Agg 16.3%
↑ +0.1%
U 16.3%
SP
Spain
Vol $736.6K Spread 0.7%
Agg 16.0%
↓ -0.4%
K 16.7%
P 16.0%
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 12
Vol $524 Spread
Agg 11.6%
↑ +0.1%
U 11.6%
EN
England
Vol $914.8K Spread 0.6%
Agg 11.4%
↑ +0.3%
P 11.5%
K 10.9%
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 16
Vol $2.4K Spread
Agg 10.5%
↑ +0.6%
U 10.5%
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 13
Vol $449 Spread
Agg 9.5%
↑ +0.5%
U 9.5%
PO
Portugal
Vol $891.3K Spread 0.0%
Agg 9.5%
↓ -0.1%
K 9.5%
P 9.5%
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 14
Vol $368 Spread
Agg 9.1%
↑ +0.1%
U 9.1%
AR
Argentina
Vol $1.1M Spread 0.1%
Agg 8.9%
↑ +0.2%
P 9.0%
K 8.9%
BR
Brazil
Vol $714.9K Spread 0.2%
Agg 8.3%
↓ -0.1%
K 8.5%
P 8.3%
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 17
Vol $228 Spread
Agg 6.1%
↑ +0.1%
U 6.1%
GE
Germany
Vol $977.7K Spread 0.2%
Agg 5.6%
↓ -0.2%
K 5.8%
P 5.6%
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 15
Vol $631 Spread
Agg 4.2%
↓ -0.6%
U 4.2%
TN
the Netherlands
Vol $11.7K Spread
Agg 4.0%
↓ -0.1%
K 4.0%
NE
Netherlands
Vol $792.2K Spread
Agg 4.0%
— +0.0%
P 4.0%
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 2
Vol $226 Spread
Agg 2.8%
↑ +0.4%
U 2.8%
TN
the Norway
Vol $1.4K Spread
Agg 2.7%
↑ +0.2%
K 2.7%
NO
Norway
Vol $1.0M Spread
Agg 2.6%
↓ -0.2%
P 2.6%
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 18
Vol $927 Spread
Agg 2.4%
↑ +0.1%
U 2.4%
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 3
Vol $252 Spread
Agg 2.3%
— +0.0%
U 2.3%
BE
Belgium
Vol $868.3K Spread 0.0%
Agg 2.0%
— +0.0%
K 2.0%
P 2.0%
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 4
Vol $110 Spread
Agg 1.9%
— +0.0%
U 1.9%
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 19
Vol $77 Spread
Agg 1.9%
↓ -0.2%
U 1.9%
CO
Colombia
Vol $1.4M Spread 0.2%
Agg 1.8%
— +0.0%
K 2.0%
P 1.8%
JA
Japan
Vol $762.9K Spread 0.5%
Agg 1.7%
— +0.0%
P 1.8%
K 1.3%
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 21
Vol $72 Spread
Agg 1.7%
— +0.0%
U 1.7%
MO
Morocco
Vol $1.0M Spread 0.0%
Agg 1.6%
— +0.0%
K 1.6%
P 1.6%
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 24
Vol $118 Spread
Agg 1.4%
↓ -0.2%
U 1.4%
TU
the USA
Vol $30.8K Spread
Agg 1.4%
— +0.0%
K 1.4%
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 20
Vol $123 Spread
Agg 1.3%
↓ -0.1%
U 1.3%
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 22
Vol $31 Spread
Agg 1.3%
— +0.0%
U 1.3%
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 25
Vol $21 Spread
Agg 1.3%
— +0.0%
U 1.3%
ME
Mexico
Vol $1.6M Spread
Agg 1.3%
↑ +0.1%
P 1.3%
TM
the Mexico
Vol $6.6K Spread
Agg 1.2%
↑ +0.1%
K 1.2%
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 26
Vol $53 Spread
Agg 1.2%
— +0.0%
U 1.2%
TU
the Uruguay
Vol $6.0K Spread
Agg 1.2%
— +0.0%
K 1.2%
US
USA
Vol $1.0M Spread
Agg 1.2%
— +0.0%
P 1.2%
UR
Uruguay
Vol $1.1M Spread
Agg 1.2%
— +0.0%
P 1.2%
TU
Turkiye
Vol $2.0M Spread
Agg 1.2%
↑ +0.2%
P 1.2%
TT
the Turkey
Vol $5.9K Spread
Agg 1.0%
↑ +0.2%
K 1.0%
SW
Switzerland
Vol $970.0K Spread 0.1%
Agg 1.0%
↓ -0.1%
K 1.1%
P 1.0%
TC
the Croatia
Vol $24.1K Spread
Agg 0.9%
↓ -0.1%
K 0.9%
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 27
Vol $24 Spread
Agg 0.9%
— +0.0%
U 0.9%
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 36
Vol $3 Spread
Agg 0.9%
↑ +0.7%
U 0.9%
CR
Croatia
Vol $2.2M Spread
Agg 0.9%
— +0.0%
P 0.9%
EC
Ecuador
Vol $2.3M Spread 0.1%
Agg 0.8%
— +0.0%
P 0.9%
K 0.8%
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 23
Vol $5 Spread
Agg 0.8%
— +0.0%
U 0.8%
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 28
Vol $13 Spread
Agg 0.8%
— +0.0%
U 0.8%
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 38
Vol $3 Spread
Agg 0.8%
↑ +0.6%
U 0.8%
TS
the Senegal
Vol $4.1K Spread
Agg 0.8%
— +0.0%
K 0.8%
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 31
Vol $2 Spread
Agg 0.7%
↑ +0.3%
U 0.7%
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 39
Vol $2 Spread
Agg 0.7%
↑ +0.5%
U 0.7%
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 41
Vol $2 Spread
Agg 0.7%
↑ +0.5%
U 0.7%
SE
Senegal
Vol $683.8K Spread
Agg 0.7%
— +0.0%
P 0.7%
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 29
Vol $18 Spread
Agg 0.6%
↓ -0.2%
U 0.6%
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 32
Vol $2 Spread
Agg 0.6%
↑ +0.3%
U 0.6%
AU
Austria
Vol $955.0K Spread 0.0%
Agg 0.5%
— +0.0%
K 0.5%
P 0.5%
SW
Sweden
Vol $883.3K Spread 0.0%
Agg 0.5%
— +0.0%
K 0.5%
P 0.5%
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 33
Vol $130 Spread
Agg 0.5%
↑ +0.1%
U 0.5%
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 6
Vol $7 Spread
Agg 0.4%
↓ -0.1%
U 0.4%
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 34
Vol $2 Spread
Agg 0.4%
↓ -0.1%
U 0.4%
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 5
Vol $3 Spread
Agg 0.3%
↓ -0.1%
U 0.3%
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 7
Vol $4 Spread
Agg 0.3%
— +0.0%
U 0.3%
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 30
Vol $4 Spread
Agg 0.3%
↓ -0.1%
U 0.3%
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 37
Vol $9 Spread
Agg 0.3%
— +0.0%
U 0.3%
BAH
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Vol $843.9K Spread 0.3%
Agg 0.3%
— +0.0%
K 0.5%
P 0.3%
IC
Ivory Coast
Vol $2.0M Spread 0.0%
Agg 0.3%
— +0.0%
K 0.3%
P 0.3%
CZ
Czechia
Vol $925.1K Spread 0.3%
Agg 0.3%
— +0.0%
K 0.5%
P 0.3%
EG
Egypt
Vol $980.5K Spread 0.0%
Agg 0.3%
— +0.0%
K 0.3%
P 0.3%
SK
South Korea
Vol $1.4M Spread 0.0%
Agg 0.3%
— +0.0%
K 0.3%
P 0.3%
TS
the Scotland
Vol $27.0K Spread
Agg 0.3%
— +0.0%
K 0.3%
PA
Paraguay
Vol $775.9K Spread 0.0%
Agg 0.3%
— +0.0%
K 0.3%
P 0.3%
SC
Scotland
Vol $711.2K Spread
Agg 0.3%
— +0.0%
P 0.3%
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 8
Vol $1 Spread
Agg 0.2%
↓ -0.5%
U 0.2%
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 9
Vol $0 Spread
Agg 0.2%
↓ -0.8%
U 0.2%
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 10
Vol $5 Spread
Agg 0.2%
↓ -0.8%
U 0.2%
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 35
Vol $1 Spread
Agg 0.2%
↓ -0.2%
U 0.2%
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 40
Vol $3 Spread
Agg 0.2%
— +0.0%
U 0.2%
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 42
Vol $1 Spread
Agg 0.2%
↓ -0.8%
U 0.2%
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 43
Vol $0 Spread
Agg 0.2%
↓ -0.8%
U 0.2%
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 44
Vol $0 Spread
Agg 0.2%
↓ -0.7%
U 0.2%
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 45
Vol $0 Spread
Agg 0.2%
↓ -0.8%
U 0.2%
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 46
Vol $1 Spread
Agg 0.2%
↓ -0.8%
U 0.2%
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 47
Vol $0 Spread
Agg 0.2%
↓ -0.8%
U 0.2%
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 48
Vol $0 Spread
Agg 0.2%
↓ -0.8%
U 0.2%
AL
Algeria
Vol $897.7K Spread 0.0%
Agg 0.2%
— +0.0%
K 0.2%
P 0.2%
TG
the Ghana
Vol $68.4K Spread
Agg 0.2%
— +0.0%
K 0.2%
AU
Australia
Vol $10.1M Spread 0.0%
Agg 0.2%
— +0.0%
K 0.2%
P 0.2%
IR
Iran
Vol $713.3K Spread 0.1%
Agg 0.2%
— +0.0%
P 0.2%
K 0.1%
GH
Ghana
Vol $1.4M Spread
Agg 0.2%
↓ -0.1%
P 0.2%
IR
Iraq
Vol $5.1K Spread 0.5%
Agg 0.1%
— +0.0%
K 0.5%
P 0.1%
CD
Congo DR
Vol $576.9K Spread 0.5%
Agg 0.1%
— +0.0%
K 0.5%
P 0.1%
CV
Cape Verde
Vol $98.0K Spread 0.0%
Agg 0.1%
— +0.0%
K 0.1%
P 0.1%
CU
Curacao
Vol $21.9K Spread 0.0%
Agg 0.1%
— +0.0%
K 0.1%
P 0.1%
HA
Haiti
Vol $565.5K Spread 0.0%
Agg 0.1%
— +0.0%
K 0.1%
P 0.1%
JO
Jordan
Vol $13.8K Spread 0.0%
Agg 0.1%
— +0.0%
K 0.1%
P 0.1%
NZ
New Zealand
Vol $365.2K Spread 0.0%
Agg 0.1%
— +0.0%
K 0.1%
P 0.1%
PA
Panama
Vol $654.2K Spread 0.0%
Agg 0.1%
— +0.0%
K 0.1%
P 0.1%
QA
Qatar
Vol $509.1K Spread 0.0%
Agg 0.1%
— +0.0%
K 0.1%
P 0.1%
SA
South Africa
Vol $275.2K Spread 0.0%
Agg 0.1%
— +0.0%
K 0.1%
P 0.1%
TSA
the Saudi Arabia
Vol $908.3K Spread 0.0%
Agg 0.1%
— +0.0%
K 0.1%
P 0.1%
TT
the Tunisia
Vol $6 Spread
Agg 0.1%
— +0.0%
K 0.1%
UZ
Uzbekistan
Vol $188.4K Spread 0.0%
Agg 0.1%
— +0.0%
K 0.1%
P 0.1%
TU
Tunisia
Vol $332.5K Spread
Agg 0.1%
— +0.0%
P 0.1%
TD
the Denmark
Vol $0 Spread
Agg 0.0%
— +0.0%
K 0.0%
TRO
the Republic of Ireland
Vol $0 Spread
Agg 0.0%
— +0.0%
K 0.0%
TI
the Italy
Vol $0 Spread
Agg 0.0%
— +0.0%
K 0.0%
TNI
the Northern Ireland
Vol $0 Spread
Agg 0.0%
— +0.0%
K 0.0%
TP
the Poland
Vol $0 Spread
Agg 0.0%
— +0.0%
K 0.0%
TR
the Romania
Vol $0 Spread
Agg 0.0%
— +0.0%
K 0.0%
TU
the Ukraine
Vol $0 Spread
Agg 0.0%
— +0.0%
K 0.0%
TW
the Wales
Vol Spread
Agg
OutcomeAggregatedSpreadVolumeKalshiPolymarketPolymarket US
CA
Canada
0.4%
— +0.0%
0.1%
$914.0K
Kalshi 0.3%
0.2–0.4¢ Vol $706
Polymarket 0.4%
0.3–0.4¢ Vol $913.3K
Polymarket US
FR
France
17.0%
— +0.0%
0.8%
$870.3K
Kalshi 16.3%
16.2–16.3¢ Vol $64.3K
Polymarket 17.1%
17–17.1¢ Vol $806.0K
Polymarket US
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner
16.4%
↓ -0.2%
$788
Kalshi
Polymarket
Polymarket US 16.4%
15.8–16.3¢ Vol $788
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 11
16.3%
↑ +0.1%
$1.1K
Kalshi
Polymarket
Polymarket US 16.3%
16.2–16.3¢ Vol $1.1K
SP
Spain
16.0%
↓ -0.4%
0.7%
$736.6K
Kalshi 16.7%
16.6–16.7¢ Vol $25.5K
Polymarket 16.0%
15.9–16¢ Vol $711.1K
Polymarket US
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 12
11.6%
↑ +0.1%
$524
Kalshi
Polymarket
Polymarket US 11.6%
11.1–11.6¢ Vol $524
EN
England
11.4%
↑ +0.3%
0.6%
$914.8K
Kalshi 10.9%
10.8–10.9¢ Vol $68.4K
Polymarket 11.5%
11.4–11.5¢ Vol $846.4K
Polymarket US
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 16
10.5%
↑ +0.6%
$2.4K
Kalshi
Polymarket
Polymarket US 10.5%
10.4–10.5¢ Vol $2.4K
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 13
9.5%
↑ +0.5%
$449
Kalshi
Polymarket
Polymarket US 9.5%
9.1–9.5¢ Vol $449
PO
Portugal
9.5%
↓ -0.1%
0.0%
$891.3K
Kalshi 9.5%
9.4–9.5¢ Vol $49.3K
Polymarket 9.5%
9.4–9.5¢ Vol $842.0K
Polymarket US
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 14
9.1%
↑ +0.1%
$368
Kalshi
Polymarket
Polymarket US 9.1%
9–9.1¢ Vol $368
AR
Argentina
8.9%
↑ +0.2%
0.1%
$1.1M
Kalshi 8.9%
8.8–8.9¢ Vol $51.7K
Polymarket 9.0%
8.9–9¢ Vol $1.1M
Polymarket US
BR
Brazil
8.3%
↓ -0.1%
0.2%
$714.9K
Kalshi 8.5%
8.4–8.5¢ Vol $23.6K
Polymarket 8.3%
8.2–8.3¢ Vol $691.3K
Polymarket US
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 17
6.1%
↑ +0.1%
$228
Kalshi
Polymarket
Polymarket US 6.1%
6–6.1¢ Vol $228
GE
Germany
5.6%
↓ -0.2%
0.2%
$977.7K
Kalshi 5.8%
5.7–5.8¢ Vol $19.7K
Polymarket 5.6%
5.5–5.6¢ Vol $958.0K
Polymarket US
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 15
4.2%
↓ -0.6%
$631
Kalshi
Polymarket
Polymarket US 4.2%
4.1–4.2¢ Vol $631
TN
the Netherlands
4.0%
↓ -0.1%
$11.7K
Kalshi 4.0%
3.9–4¢ Vol $11.7K
Polymarket
Polymarket US
NE
Netherlands
4.0%
— +0.0%
$792.2K
Kalshi
Polymarket 4.0%
3.9–4¢ Vol $792.2K
Polymarket US
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 2
2.8%
↑ +0.4%
$226
Kalshi
Polymarket
Polymarket US 2.8%
2.7–2.8¢ Vol $226
TN
the Norway
2.7%
↑ +0.2%
$1.4K
Kalshi 2.7%
2.6–2.7¢ Vol $1.4K
Polymarket
Polymarket US
NO
Norway
2.6%
↓ -0.2%
$1.0M
Kalshi
Polymarket 2.6%
2.5–2.6¢ Vol $1.0M
Polymarket US
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 18
2.4%
↑ +0.1%
$927
Kalshi
Polymarket
Polymarket US 2.4%
2.3–2.4¢ Vol $927
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 3
2.3%
— +0.0%
$252
Kalshi
Polymarket
Polymarket US 2.3%
2.2–2.3¢ Vol $252
BE
Belgium
2.0%
— +0.0%
0.0%
$868.3K
Kalshi 2.0%
1.9–2¢ Vol $6.0K
Polymarket 2.0%
1.9–2¢ Vol $862.2K
Polymarket US
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 4
1.9%
— +0.0%
$110
Kalshi
Polymarket
Polymarket US 1.9%
1.8–1.9¢ Vol $110
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 19
1.9%
↓ -0.2%
$77
Kalshi
Polymarket
Polymarket US 1.9%
1.8–1.9¢ Vol $77
CO
Colombia
1.8%
— +0.0%
0.2%
$1.4M
Kalshi 2.0%
1.9–2¢ Vol $3.5K
Polymarket 1.8%
1.7–1.8¢ Vol $1.4M
Polymarket US
JA
Japan
1.7%
— +0.0%
0.5%
$762.9K
Kalshi 1.3%
1.2–1.3¢ Vol $40.7K
Polymarket 1.8%
1.7–1.8¢ Vol $722.2K
Polymarket US
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 21
1.7%
— +0.0%
$72
Kalshi
Polymarket
Polymarket US 1.7%
1.6–1.7¢ Vol $72
MO
Morocco
1.6%
— +0.0%
0.0%
$1.0M
Kalshi 1.6%
1.5–1.6¢ Vol $19.0K
Polymarket 1.6%
1.5–1.6¢ Vol $986.4K
Polymarket US
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 24
1.4%
↓ -0.2%
$118
Kalshi
Polymarket
Polymarket US 1.4%
1.3–1.4¢ Vol $118
TU
the USA
1.4%
— +0.0%
$30.8K
Kalshi 1.4%
1.3–1.4¢ Vol $30.8K
Polymarket
Polymarket US
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 20
1.3%
↓ -0.1%
$123
Kalshi
Polymarket
Polymarket US 1.3%
1.1–1.3¢ Vol $123
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 22
1.3%
— +0.0%
$31
Kalshi
Polymarket
Polymarket US 1.3%
1.2–1.3¢ Vol $31
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 25
1.3%
— +0.0%
$21
Kalshi
Polymarket
Polymarket US 1.3%
1.2–1.3¢ Vol $21
ME
Mexico
1.3%
↑ +0.1%
$1.6M
Kalshi
Polymarket 1.3%
1.2–1.3¢ Vol $1.6M
Polymarket US
TM
the Mexico
1.2%
↑ +0.1%
$6.6K
Kalshi 1.2%
1.1–1.3¢ Vol $6.6K
Polymarket
Polymarket US
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 26
1.2%
— +0.0%
$53
Kalshi
Polymarket
Polymarket US 1.2%
1.1–1.2¢ Vol $53
TU
the Uruguay
1.2%
— +0.0%
$6.0K
Kalshi 1.2%
1.1–1.2¢ Vol $6.0K
Polymarket
Polymarket US
US
USA
1.2%
— +0.0%
$1.0M
Kalshi
Polymarket 1.2%
1.1–1.2¢ Vol $1.0M
Polymarket US
UR
Uruguay
1.2%
— +0.0%
$1.1M
Kalshi
Polymarket 1.2%
1.1–1.2¢ Vol $1.1M
Polymarket US
TU
Turkiye
1.2%
↑ +0.2%
$2.0M
Kalshi
Polymarket 1.2%
1.1–1.2¢ Vol $2.0M
Polymarket US
TT
the Turkey
1.0%
↑ +0.2%
$5.9K
Kalshi 1.0%
0.9–1¢ Vol $5.9K
Polymarket
Polymarket US
SW
Switzerland
1.0%
↓ -0.1%
0.1%
$970.0K
Kalshi 1.1%
1–1.1¢ Vol $128
Polymarket 1.0%
0.9–1¢ Vol $969.8K
Polymarket US
TC
the Croatia
0.9%
↓ -0.1%
$24.1K
Kalshi 0.9%
0.8–1¢ Vol $24.1K
Polymarket
Polymarket US
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 27
0.9%
— +0.0%
$24
Kalshi
Polymarket
Polymarket US 0.9%
0.7–0.9¢ Vol $24
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 36
0.9%
↑ +0.7%
$3
Kalshi
Polymarket
Polymarket US 0.9%
0.1–0.9¢ Vol $3
CR
Croatia
0.9%
— +0.0%
$2.2M
Kalshi
Polymarket 0.9%
0.8–0.9¢ Vol $2.2M
Polymarket US
EC
Ecuador
0.8%
— +0.0%
0.1%
$2.3M
Kalshi 0.8%
0.7–0.9¢ Vol $4.2K
Polymarket 0.9%
0.8–0.9¢ Vol $2.3M
Polymarket US
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 23
0.8%
— +0.0%
$5
Kalshi
Polymarket
Polymarket US 0.8%
0.5–0.8¢ Vol $5
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 28
0.8%
— +0.0%
$13
Kalshi
Polymarket
Polymarket US 0.8%
0.7–0.8¢ Vol $13
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 38
0.8%
↑ +0.6%
$3
Kalshi
Polymarket
Polymarket US 0.8%
0.1–0.8¢ Vol $3
TS
the Senegal
0.8%
— +0.0%
$4.1K
Kalshi 0.8%
0.7–0.8¢ Vol $4.1K
Polymarket
Polymarket US
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 31
0.7%
↑ +0.3%
$2
Kalshi
Polymarket
Polymarket US 0.7%
0.1–0.7¢ Vol $2
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 39
0.7%
↑ +0.5%
$2
Kalshi
Polymarket
Polymarket US 0.7%
0.1–0.7¢ Vol $2
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 41
0.7%
↑ +0.5%
$2
Kalshi
Polymarket
Polymarket US 0.7%
0.1–0.7¢ Vol $2
SE
Senegal
0.7%
— +0.0%
$683.8K
Kalshi
Polymarket 0.7%
0.6–0.7¢ Vol $683.8K
Polymarket US
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 29
0.6%
↓ -0.2%
$18
Kalshi
Polymarket
Polymarket US 0.6%
0.5–0.6¢ Vol $18
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 32
0.6%
↑ +0.3%
$2
Kalshi
Polymarket
Polymarket US 0.6%
0.2–0.6¢ Vol $2
AU
Austria
0.5%
— +0.0%
0.0%
$955.0K
Kalshi 0.5%
0.5–0.6¢ Vol $36
Polymarket 0.5%
0.5–0.6¢ Vol $954.9K
Polymarket US
SW
Sweden
0.5%
— +0.0%
0.0%
$883.3K
Kalshi 0.5%
0.5–0.6¢ Vol $132.3K
Polymarket 0.5%
0.5–0.6¢ Vol $751.0K
Polymarket US
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 33
0.5%
↑ +0.1%
$130
Kalshi
Polymarket
Polymarket US 0.5%
0.2–0.5¢ Vol $130
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 6
0.4%
↓ -0.1%
$7
Kalshi
Polymarket
Polymarket US 0.4%
0.2–0.4¢ Vol $7
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 34
0.4%
↓ -0.1%
$2
Kalshi
Polymarket
Polymarket US 0.4%
0.2–0.4¢ Vol $2
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 5
0.3%
↓ -0.1%
$3
Kalshi
Polymarket
Polymarket US 0.3%
0.2–0.3¢ Vol $3
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 7
0.3%
— +0.0%
$4
Kalshi
Polymarket
Polymarket US 0.3%
0.2–0.3¢ Vol $4
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 30
0.3%
↓ -0.1%
$4
Kalshi
Polymarket
Polymarket US 0.3%
0.2–0.3¢ Vol $4
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 37
0.3%
— +0.0%
$9
Kalshi
Polymarket
Polymarket US 0.3%
0.2–0.3¢ Vol $9
BAH
Bosnia and Herzegovina
0.3%
— +0.0%
0.3%
$843.9K
Kalshi 0.5%
0–1¢ Vol $14
Polymarket 0.3%
0.2–0.3¢ Vol $843.9K
Polymarket US
IC
Ivory Coast
0.3%
— +0.0%
0.0%
$2.0M
Kalshi 0.3%
0.2–0.3¢ Vol $2.0K
Polymarket 0.3%
0.2–0.3¢ Vol $2.0M
Polymarket US
CZ
Czechia
0.3%
— +0.0%
0.3%
$925.1K
Kalshi 0.5%
0–1¢ Vol $2
Polymarket 0.3%
0.2–0.3¢ Vol $925.1K
Polymarket US
EG
Egypt
0.3%
— +0.0%
0.0%
$980.5K
Kalshi 0.3%
0.2–0.3¢ Vol $82.4K
Polymarket 0.3%
0.2–0.3¢ Vol $898.1K
Polymarket US
SK
South Korea
0.3%
— +0.0%
0.0%
$1.4M
Kalshi 0.3%
0.2–0.3¢ Vol $12.5K
Polymarket 0.3%
0.2–0.3¢ Vol $1.3M
Polymarket US
TS
the Scotland
0.3%
— +0.0%
$27.0K
Kalshi 0.3%
0.2–0.3¢ Vol $27.0K
Polymarket
Polymarket US
PA
Paraguay
0.3%
— +0.0%
0.0%
$775.9K
Kalshi 0.3%
0.2–0.3¢ Vol $3
Polymarket 0.3%
0.2–0.3¢ Vol $775.8K
Polymarket US
SC
Scotland
0.3%
— +0.0%
$711.2K
Kalshi
Polymarket 0.3%
0.2–0.3¢ Vol $711.2K
Polymarket US
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 8
0.2%
↓ -0.5%
$1
Kalshi
Polymarket
Polymarket US 0.2%
0.1–0.2¢ Vol $1
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 9
0.2%
↓ -0.8%
$0
Kalshi
Polymarket
Polymarket US 0.2%
0.1–0.2¢ Vol $0
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 10
0.2%
↓ -0.8%
$5
Kalshi
Polymarket
Polymarket US 0.2%
0.1–0.2¢ Vol $5
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 35
0.2%
↓ -0.2%
$1
Kalshi
Polymarket
Polymarket US 0.2%
0.1–0.2¢ Vol $1
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 40
0.2%
— +0.0%
$3
Kalshi
Polymarket
Polymarket US 0.2%
0.1–0.2¢ Vol $3
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 42
0.2%
↓ -0.8%
$1
Kalshi
Polymarket
Polymarket US 0.2%
0.1–0.2¢ Vol $1
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 43
0.2%
↓ -0.8%
$0
Kalshi
Polymarket
Polymarket US 0.2%
0.1–0.2¢ Vol $0
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 44
0.2%
↓ -0.7%
$0
Kalshi
Polymarket
Polymarket US 0.2%
0.1–0.2¢ Vol $0
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 45
0.2%
↓ -0.8%
$0
Kalshi
Polymarket
Polymarket US 0.2%
0.1–0.2¢ Vol $0
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 46
0.2%
↓ -0.8%
$1
Kalshi
Polymarket
Polymarket US 0.2%
0.1–0.2¢ Vol $1
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 47
0.2%
↓ -0.8%
$0
Kalshi
Polymarket
Polymarket US 0.2%
0.1–0.2¢ Vol $0
FWC
FIFA World Cup Winner - 48
0.2%
↓ -0.8%
$0
Kalshi
Polymarket
Polymarket US 0.2%
0.1–0.2¢ Vol $0
AL
Algeria
0.2%
— +0.0%
0.0%
$897.7K
Kalshi 0.2%
0.1–0.2¢ Vol $17.0K
Polymarket 0.2%
0.1–0.2¢ Vol $880.7K
Polymarket US
TG
the Ghana
0.2%
— +0.0%
$68.4K
Kalshi 0.2%
0.1–0.2¢ Vol $68.4K
Polymarket
Polymarket US
AU
Australia
0.2%
— +0.0%
0.0%
$10.1M
Kalshi 0.2%
0.1–0.2¢ Vol $2.1K
Polymarket 0.2%
0.1–0.2¢ Vol $10.1M
Polymarket US
IR
Iran
0.2%
— +0.0%
0.1%
$713.3K
Kalshi 0.1%
0–0.1¢ Vol $132
Polymarket 0.2%
0.1–0.2¢ Vol $713.2K
Polymarket US
GH
Ghana
0.2%
↓ -0.1%
$1.4M
Kalshi
Polymarket 0.2%
0.1–0.2¢ Vol $1.4M
Polymarket US
IR
Iraq
0.1%
— +0.0%
0.5%
$5.1K
Kalshi 0.5%
0–1¢ Vol $1
Polymarket 0.1%
0.1¢ Vol $5.1K
Polymarket US
CD
Congo DR
0.1%
— +0.0%
0.5%
$576.9K
Kalshi 0.5%
0–1¢ Vol $3
Polymarket 0.1%
0.1¢ Vol $576.9K
Polymarket US
CV
Cape Verde
0.1%
— +0.0%
0.0%
$98.0K
Kalshi 0.1%
0–0.1¢ Vol $112
Polymarket 0.1%
0.1¢ Vol $97.9K
Polymarket US
CU
Curacao
0.1%
— +0.0%
0.0%
$21.9K
Kalshi 0.1%
0–0.1¢ Vol $1
Polymarket 0.1%
0.1¢ Vol $21.9K
Polymarket US
HA
Haiti
0.1%
— +0.0%
0.0%
$565.5K
Kalshi 0.1%
0–0.1¢ Vol $7.2K
Polymarket 0.1%
0.1¢ Vol $558.3K
Polymarket US
JO
Jordan
0.1%
— +0.0%
0.0%
$13.8K
Kalshi 0.1%
0–0.1¢ Vol $6
Polymarket 0.1%
0.1¢ Vol $13.8K
Polymarket US
NZ
New Zealand
0.1%
— +0.0%
0.0%
$365.2K
Kalshi 0.1%
0–0.1¢ Vol $17
Polymarket 0.1%
0.1¢ Vol $365.2K
Polymarket US
PA
Panama
0.1%
— +0.0%
0.0%
$654.2K
Kalshi 0.1%
0–0.1¢ Vol $42
Polymarket 0.1%
0.1¢ Vol $654.1K
Polymarket US
QA
Qatar
0.1%
— +0.0%
0.0%
$509.1K
Kalshi 0.1%
0–0.1¢ Vol $25
Polymarket 0.1%
0.1¢ Vol $509.1K
Polymarket US
SA
South Africa
0.1%
— +0.0%
0.0%
$275.2K
Kalshi 0.1%
0–0.1¢ Vol $22
Polymarket 0.1%
0.1¢ Vol $275.2K
Polymarket US
TSA
the Saudi Arabia
0.1%
— +0.0%
0.0%
$908.3K
Kalshi 0.1%
0–0.1¢ Vol $17
Polymarket 0.1%
0.1¢ Vol $908.3K
Polymarket US
TT
the Tunisia
0.1%
— +0.0%
$6
Kalshi 0.1%
0–0.1¢ Vol $6
Polymarket
Polymarket US
UZ
Uzbekistan
0.1%
— +0.0%
0.0%
$188.4K
Kalshi 0.1%
0–0.1¢ Vol $10
Polymarket 0.1%
0.1¢ Vol $188.4K
Polymarket US
TU
Tunisia
0.1%
— +0.0%
$332.5K
Kalshi
Polymarket 0.1%
0.1¢ Vol $332.5K
Polymarket US
TD
the Denmark
0.0%
— +0.0%
$0
Kalshi 0.0%
0–0.1¢ Vol $0
Polymarket
Polymarket US
TRO
the Republic of Ireland
0.0%
— +0.0%
$0
Kalshi 0.0%
0–0.1¢ Vol $0
Polymarket
Polymarket US
TI
the Italy
0.0%
— +0.0%
$0
Kalshi 0.0%
0–0.1¢ Vol $0
Polymarket
Polymarket US
TNI
the Northern Ireland
0.0%
— +0.0%
$0
Kalshi 0.0%
0–0.1¢ Vol $0
Polymarket
Polymarket US
TP
the Poland
0.0%
— +0.0%
$0
Kalshi 0.0%
0.1–0.2¢ Vol $0
Polymarket
Polymarket US
TR
the Romania
0.0%
— +0.0%
$0
Kalshi 0.0%
0–0.1¢ Vol $0
Polymarket
Polymarket US
TU
the Ukraine
0.0%
— +0.0%
$0
Kalshi 0.0%
0–0.1¢ Vol $0
Polymarket
Polymarket US
TW
the Wales
Kalshi
Polymarket
Polymarket US

Canada vs. Bosnia-Herz Predictions (Jun 12, 2026)

Current probabilities across platforms with liquidity indicators

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Match preview and odds analysis

Canada has a slim chance of winning the World Cup this summer, according to prediction markets. The CANMNT is trading at 0.5% on Kalshi and Polymarket, which highlights the scale of the challenge.

It’s easy to see why traders are bearish, as Canada has a dismal record at the World Cup: six defeats from six games, with just two goals scored and 12 conceded. The CANMNT has only ever qualified for this tournament on two occasions — in 1986 and 2022, finishing bottom of their group both times. All previous World Cup winners have come from Europe or South America — a North American team has never come close to winning the event.

However, Canada is now No. 30 in the FIFA world rankings, ahead of strong teams like Norway and Egypt. The CANMNT has been on an upward curve in recent years. They finished top of the CONCACAF qualifying group in 2022, ahead of Mexico and the USMNT, and reached the semifinals of Copa América in 2024. Canada will also play its group stage games on home soil in Toronto and Vancouver, which should give the team a significant boost.

It’s worth noting that they’re heavily reliant on a few key players. Injuries to Alphonso Davies, Jonathan David, Tajon Buchanan, or Stephen Eustáquio could derail their campaign. Davies is Canada’s captain and star player, but he has a bad injury record. He has suffered a suffered a series of muscular injuries this season, and he pulled his left hamstring in Bayern Munich’s Champions League game against PSG on May 6. The latest injury will keep him sidelined for several weeks, and his participation at the World Cup is uncertain.

Manager Jesse Marsch will be sweating on Davies’ fitness as the World Cup approaches, as he’s vital to Canada’s counterattacking game. He’s likely to miss the opener against Bosnia and Herzegovina, but he could return to play a part in Canada’s other group stage games.

Star striker Jonathan David finally broke a 10-game goal drought for Juventus when he scored in their 2-0 victory over Bologna on April 19, which is encouraging. He also scored twice in Canada’s 2-2 draw with Iceland in a March friendly, but a return of 11 goals in 53 games this season isn’t particularly impressive. He will need to be more consistent if Canada is to make a deep run into this tournament. The CANMNT drew 0-0 with Tunisia in another friendly at the end of March, giving Marsch much to ponder as he prepares for the tournament.

Group draw and tournament path: Canada’s route as a home underdog

MarketCanadaDrawOpponentPrediction Market
World Cup winner0.5%Kalshi
World Cup winner0.5%Polymarket
vs Bosnia & Herzegovina (June 12, Toronto)TBDTBDTBDTBD
vs Qatar (June 18, Vancouver)TBDTBDTBDTBD
vs Switzerland (June 24, Vancouver)TBDTBDTBDTBD

Canada will play all of its group stage games on home soil in the first 48-team World Cup format. The Canadians are in Group B, along with Switzerland, Qatar, and Bosnia & Herzegovina. The top two teams from each group plus the eight best third-place finishers advance to a Round of 32.

  • Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina (June 12, Toronto): Canada opens its tournament at BMO Field against Bosnia & Herzegovina. The Bosnians pulled off a shock victory over Italy in the European playoffs in March. It’s the first time they’ve ever qualified for the World Cup, so it will be an exciting occasion for their fans. Canada will need to deal with veteran striker Edin Džeko, as he is still lethal in front of goal.
  • Canada vs Qatar (June 18, Vancouver): This is arguably the most winnable game in the group for Canada. Qatar is ranked 56th in the FIFA world rankings, well below Canada at 29th. Qatar struggled as host nation in 2022, losing all three group stage games and scoring just one goal. With home advantage at BC Place and a partisan Vancouver crowd, Canada is priced at 81% on Kalshi to win this game.
  • Canada vs Switzerland (June 24, Vancouver): The group stage closer could be a decider for second place. Switzerland is currently No. 18 in the FIFA world rankings and has a solid record at major tournaments — reaching the quarterfinals at Euro 2024. Canada might be an underdog, but the odds on Canada vs Switzerland improve significantly with home support in Vancouver. This is a matchup where home advantage could be the difference. However, Kalshi makes Switzerland the favorite for this match.

If they finish second in Group B, Canada will face the runner-up from Group A in the Round of 32. That’s likely to be Mexico, South Korea, or South Africa. If the Canadians reach the Round of 16, they’ll play on home soil once again. However, they could then face an elite team like Portugal, and they would be heavy underdogs. If they continue to advance, they will run into the likes of Argentina, France, Spain, and England, and it would take a monumental effort to vanquish those teams.

For live pricing on all World Cup contenders, see our 2026 World Cup odds tracker.

All 12 World Cup groups
Group A
Mexico, South Korea, South Africa, Czechia
Group B
Canada, Switzerland, Qatar, Bosnia-Herzegovina
Group C
Brazil, Morocco, Scotland, Haiti
Group D
USA, Paraguay, Australia, Turkiye
Group E
Germany, Ecuador, Ivory Coast, Curacao
Group F
Netherlands, Japan, Tunisia, Sweden
Group G
Belgium, Iran, Egypt, New Zealand
Group H
Spain, Uruguay, Saudi Arabia, Cape Verde
Group I
France, Senegal, Norway, Iraq
Group J
Argentina, Austria, Algeria, Jordan
Group K
Portugal, Colombia, Uzbekistan, DR Congo
Group L
England, Croatia, Panama, Ghana

Key players to watch: Can David fire Canada to victory?

Canada manager Jesse Marsch recently declared that “this is the best player pool in the history of the Canadian national team.” The squad is certainly stacked with promising young players, but a few star names stand out. Our prediction for Canada’s chances hinges largely on whether these key players stay fit through the tournament:

  • Jonathan David: The Juventus striker will be Canada’s primary attacking threat at the World Cup. He has scored 39 goals in 75 games for the CANMNT, and he has the pace, movement, and finishing ability to light up this tournament. David has only scored eight goals in 46 appearances for Juventus this season, which is an underwhelming return, but he often raises his game for the national team. He scored twice in a 2-2 draw with Iceland in March, underscoring his value to the team.
  • Alphonso Davies: The Bayern Munich left-back often plays in a more advanced role for Canada, which utilizes his pace and pinpoint crosses. Davies is Canada’s star player and its captain, but he has spent a lot of time on the sidelines with a series of injuries over the past few years. He tore his ACL on international duty in March 2025, and he didn’t return until December. He suffered muscular injuries in February and March this year, before injuring his left hamstring in May. Davies will be out for several weeks, and he’s expected to miss Canada’s World Cup opener, casting a dark cloud over the team’s preparations for the tournament.
  • Tajon Buchanan: Canada is always dangerous on the counterattack, with Buchanan and Davies leading the charge on the flanks. Buchanan plays for Villarreal in Spain, and he had a previous stint with Italian heavyweight Inter Milan, so he has experience of facing elite European opposition. Canada will need him to be at his brilliant best when they face Switzerland, Qatar and Bosnia & Herzegovina in the group stage.
  • Stephen Eustáquio: The 29-year-old midfielder is the glue that holds this team together. Canada’s vice-captain is intelligent, technically gifted, composed in possession, and tireless off the ball. It will be fascinating to see him go up against the likes of Granit Xhaka at the World Cup. He joined LAFC on loan in February, as he wanted regular playing time ahead of the tournament after his minutes at Porto dried up. Eustáquio missed several weeks of the season with an injury, but he’s now back in business, and he has now emerged as a regular starter for LAFC.

Canada’s outright winner contract settles at $1 if they lift the trophy, or resolves to “no” immediately upon elimination. Kalshi uses FIFA as its settlement source; Polymarket uses FIFA and ESPN. Final settlement date: July 20, 2026.

The outright winner isn’t the only way to take a position on Canada at the World Cup. Here are some of the odds on Canada’s other contracts available at the top prediction market sites:

  • Group B winner: A bet on whether Canada finishes first in their group. Canada has an 27% chance of winning the group, according to Kalshi traders, up from 18% a couple of weeks ago. Switzerland is still the favorite at 52%.
  • Qualify for the knockout stage: A yes/no contract on whether Canada reaches the Round of 32. Kalshi traders have given Canada a 52% chance of reaching the knockout stage. If they finish first or second, they’ll advance. Canada could also qualify if they’re one of the eight best third-place teams.
  • Reach a specific round: You can also back Canada to reach the Round of 16, quarterfinals, semifinals, or the final with Kalshi. The further Canada has to go, the lower the implied probability and the higher the potential payout.
  • Golden Boot: A bet on which player will score the most goals at the World Cup. Jonathan David is trading below 1% to be the top scorer. Traditional strikers like Mbappé and Kane tend to lead this market.

Where to bet on Canada at the World Cup

Canada’s World Cup betting markets are available on both Kalshi and Polymarket. Kalshi currently has the deepest selection, including outright winner, Group B winner, knockout stage qualification, round-by-round advancement, and Golden Boot contracts. Polymarket carries the outright winner, Group B winner, and winning continent contracts, and is expected to expand its offerings as the tournament approaches.

Match-by-match contracts for Canada’s three group stage games haven’t launched yet, but we expect a full slate of Canada-specific props by June. Toronto and Vancouver are hosting all three group games, which should drive strong engagement from Canadian bettors.

If you’re new to prediction markets, we recommend checking out the latest sign-up offers before placing your first trade.