The final two Group H games are taking place on Friday night. Spain vs. Uruguay (8 p.m. ET on FOX) takes place at Estadio Akron in Guadalajara, Mexico, while Cape Verde vs. Saudi Arabia happens at NRG Stadium in Houston (8 p.m. ET on FS1).
Kalshi lists Spain at -144 odds, which translates to a 59% implied probability. New Kalshi customers can claim a $10 trading bonus for the World Cup by using the promo code RATE.
How to claim the Kalshi $10 bonus for Uruguay vs. Spain
Enter the promo code RATE when signing up for your Kalshi account to claim a $10 trading bonus for World Cup markets, including Uruguay vs. Spain. Simply follow the five steps below to claim your bonus:
- Download the Kalshi app: Install the free Kalshi app for your iOS or Android device and begin the registration process. You can also visit the website and click on the Sign Up button.
- Enter the promo code RATE: Enter the Kalshi promo code RATE when prompted during the sign-up process.
- Verify your identity. You will need a valid driver’s license or passport to verify your identity.
- Fund your account: Deposit and trade $10 on any market using one of the accepted payment options, including a bank account, debit cards, Apple Pay, or wire transfer.
- Place your first trade. Review the market rules and make your first trade on the Uruguay vs. Spain game or any other World Cup market. Kalshi will credit your account with the $10 bonus after the market settles.
Check out our Kalshi promo code guide for the full terms and conditions. Enter the Kalshi code for your state
| Promo Code | Eligible States |
|---|---|
| RATE | All States + DC, excluding AR, AZ, CT, IL, LA, MA, MD, MI, MT, NJ, NV, and OH |
Uruguay vs. Spain odds on Kalshi
| Outcome | Prediction Odds | American Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Uruguay | 16% | +525 |
| Spain | 59% | -144 |
| Draw | 27% | +270 |
| Spain to win by 1.5 goals | 32% | +213 |
| Over 2.5 goals scored | 44% | +127 |
| Both teams to score | 46% | +117 |
| Lamine Yamal to score | 33% | +203 |
Uruguay vs. Spain World Cup preview
Spain’s World Cup odds indicate they are among the favorites to be crowned champions in 2026. Kalshi has La Roja (The Red One) priced at +669 or a 13% implied probability. France at +426 (19%) and Argentina at +567 (15%) are the market leaders.
Spain must first qualify for the Round of 32, a feat the team is in excellent position to accomplish. The reigning European champions enter Friday’s game against Uruguay leading Group H following a convincing 4-0 victory over Saudi Arabia that included three first-half goals. The shocker was the team’s opening 0-0 draw versus Cape Verde. With a +4 goal differential, combined with being the lone team in the group with four points, Spain controls their own fate. A win over Uruguay would clinch the top spot. Even with a draw, Spain is in good shape to advance.
Uruguay needs a strong performance today if they hope to advance to the knockout rounds. So far, La Celeste (The Sky Blue) has drawn with Cape Verde and Saudi Arabia. Uruguay enters Friday’s game with three goals, giving them a one-goal advantage in the tiebreaker scenario. The South American squad is taking the field as a +525 underdog, which translates to a 16% implied probability of upsetting Spain.
Why trade Uruguay vs. Spain on Kalshi
The user-friendly Kalshi platform makes it easy to trade Uruguay vs Spain, including the flexibility to enter and exit positions. For example, you might purchase shares for a tie being the game outcome, and after viewing the first half, switch to a Spain win. There’s also a wide variety of World Cup futures markets to choose from, including round of 16 qualifiers, team stage of eliminations, winner specials, and more.
Use the Klashi promo code RATE when you sign up for a new account to receive a $10 trading bonus after your first trade on the platform settles.
NOTE: It’s important to remember that prediction markets involve risk, and prices may quickly change before and during live World Cup games. Users should trade only with money they can afford to lose. It’s a good idea to review the rules for each market before buying shares, and avoid chasing losses.
