FIFA Round of 16 World Cup Qualifier Predictions

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Updated 59 minutes ago · 7:57 PM PDT

Spain is the favorite to win the Round of 16 Qualifiers with a 81.5% chance along with France (80.5%) and Brazil (74.5%) close behind and England (73.0%). Our Round of 16 Qualifiers is updated hourly from Kalshi, Polymarket and Gemini, with a historical timeline on how each country is performing and who is most likely to make it.

Largest Spread

-5.52%

Canada → View arbs

Current Favorite

81.5%

Spain 1.5%

30D Volume (Share)

$22.9K

Momentum Leader

+6.0%

Scotland 30D change

Spain Leads as Favorite Followed by France and Brazil

Current probabilities across platforms with liquidity indicators

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Spain

Vol $258 Spread 6.0%

Agg 81.5%

↓ -1.5%

K 81.5%

G 75.5%

France

Vol $560 Spread 0.5%

Agg 80.5%

↑ +0.5%

K 80.5%

G 80.0%

Brazil

Vol $366 Spread 4.0%

Agg 74.5%

— +0.0%

K 74.5%

G 70.5%

England

Vol $33 Spread 0.5%

Agg 73.0%

↓ -7.0%

K 73.0%

G 72.5%

Germany

Vol $631 Spread 2.0%

Agg 70.0%

↓ -4.5%

K 70.0%

G 68.0%

Argentina

Vol $780 Spread 2.5%

Agg 67.0%

↓ -9.5%

K 67.0%

G 64.5%

Portugal

Vol $894 Spread 1.0%

Agg 65.0%

↓ -6.5%

K 65.0%

G 64.0%

Belgium

Vol $229 Spread 0.5%

Agg 62.0%

↓ -0.5%

K 62.0%

G 61.5%

Norway

Vol $552 Spread 0.5%

Agg 54.0%

↑ +5.0%

G 54.5%

K 54.0%

USA

Vol $4.2K Spread 4.5%

Agg 53.5%

— +0.0%

K 53.5%

G 49.0%

Netherlands

Vol $1.9K Spread 1.0%

Agg 53.0%

↓ -18.5%

K 53.0%

G 52.0%

Colombia

Vol $1.4K Spread 2.0%

Agg 52.5%

↓ -11.5%

K 52.5%

G 50.5%

Mexico

Vol $2.3K Spread 0.5%

Agg 52.5%

↓ -2.0%

G 53.0%

K 52.5%

Switzerland

Vol $716 Spread 0.0%

Agg 51.0%

↓ -3.5%

K 51.0%

G 51.0%

Turkiye

Vol $265 Spread 4.5%

Agg 46.0%

↓ -9.5%

K 46.0%

G 41.5%

Croatia

Vol $286 Spread 1.5%

Agg 44.5%

↓ -6.5%

K 44.5%

G 43.0%

Morocco

Vol $1.3K Spread 1.5%

Agg 43.0%

↓ -1.5%

K 43.0%

G 41.5%

Ecuador

Vol $350 Spread 1.0%

Agg 42.5%

↓ -5.0%

K 42.5%

G 41.5%

Japan

Vol $1.1K Spread —

Agg 40.5%

↓ -14.5%

K 40.5%

Kalshi 40.5%

Vol $1.1K 37–44¢

Uruguay

Vol $1.1K Spread —

Agg 40.5%

↓ -14.0%

K 40.5%

Kalshi 40.5%

Vol $1.1K 34–47¢

Canada

Vol $818 Spread 1.0%

Agg 37.0%

↓ -4.0%

K 37.0%

G 36.0%

Senegal

Vol $67 Spread 1.0%

Agg 32.5%

↓ -13.5%

K 32.5%

G 31.5%

Ivory Coast

Vol $82 Spread 0.5%

Agg 31.5%

↓ -2.0%

G 32.0%

K 31.5%

Czechia

Vol $90 Spread —

Agg 30.5%

↓ -12.5%

K 30.5%

Kalshi 30.5%

Vol $90 25–36¢

Korea Republic

Vol $812 Spread 0.5%

Agg 30.0%

↑ +2.0%

K 30.0%

G 29.5%

Austria

Vol $72 Spread 0.5%

Agg 29.0%

↓ -14.0%

G 29.5%

K 29.0%

Egypt

Vol $92 Spread 2.0%

Agg 28.5%

↓ -18.5%

K 28.5%

G 26.5%

Paraguay

Vol $127 Spread 1.0%

Agg 28.5%

↓ -11.0%

K 28.5%

G 27.5%

Scotland

Vol $61 Spread —

Agg 26.0%

↑ +6.0%

K 26.0%

Kalshi 26.0%

Vol $61 23–29¢

Sweden

Vol $147 Spread 0.0%

Agg 25.5%

↓ -5.5%

K 25.5%

G 25.5%

IR Iran

Vol $382 Spread 1.0%

Agg 24.5%

↑ +6.0%

K 24.5%

G 23.5%

BAH

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Vol $423 Spread 3.5%

Agg 22.0%

↓ -5.5%

K 22.0%

G 18.5%

Ghana

Vol $81 Spread 1.0%

Agg 20.0%

↓ -19.0%

K 20.0%

G 19.0%

Algeria

Vol $21 Spread —

Agg 19.5%

↓ -4.5%

K 19.5%

Kalshi 19.5%

Vol $21 15–24¢

Australia

Vol $100 Spread —

Agg 17.0%

↓ -14.5%

K 17.0%

Kalshi 17.0%

Vol $100 15–19¢

South Africa

Vol $4 Spread —

Agg 13.0%

↓ -5.5%

K 13.0%

Kalshi 13.0%

Vol $4 10–16¢

Tunisia

Vol $24 Spread —

Agg 11.0%

↓ -2.5%

K 11.0%

Kalshi 11.0%

Vol $24 8–14¢

Congo DR

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 10.5%

↓ -11.0%

K 10.5%

Kalshi 10.5%

Vol $0 8–13¢

Saudi Arabia

Vol $45 Spread —

Agg 10.5%

↓ -0.5%

K 10.5%

Kalshi 10.5%

Vol $45 7–14¢

Qatar

Vol $1 Spread —

Agg 8.5%

↓ -2.5%

K 8.5%

Kalshi 8.5%

Vol $1 6–11¢

New Zealand

Vol $23 Spread —

Agg 7.0%

↓ -39.0%

K 7.0%

Kalshi 7.0%

Vol $23 3–11¢

Panama

Vol $59 Spread —

Agg 6.5%

↓ -39.5%

K 6.5%

Kalshi 6.5%

Vol $59 4–9¢

Uzbekistan

Vol $45 Spread —

Agg 6.0%

↓ -1.5%

K 6.0%

Kalshi 6.0%

Vol $45 4–8¢

Cape Verde

Vol $52 Spread —

Agg 5.5%

↓ -40.0%

K 5.5%

Kalshi 5.5%

Vol $52 3–8¢

Iraq

Vol $25 Spread —

Agg 4.5%

↓ -6.0%

K 4.5%

Kalshi 4.5%

Vol $25 3–6¢

Haiti

Vol $30 Spread —

Agg 3.0%

↓ -6.5%

K 3.0%

Kalshi 3.0%

Vol $30 0–6¢

Jordan

Vol $2 Spread —

Agg 3.0%

↓ -4.0%

K 3.0%

Kalshi 3.0%

Vol $2 1–5¢

Curacao

Vol $20 Spread —

Agg 1.5%

↓ -4.5%

K 1.5%

Kalshi 1.5%

Vol $20 0–3¢

Albania

Vol — Spread —

Agg —

—

Bolivia

Vol — Spread —

Agg —

—

Denmark

Vol — Spread —

Agg —

—

Ireland

Vol — Spread —

Agg —

—

Ireland - 2

Vol — Spread —

Agg —

—

Italy

Vol — Spread —

Agg —

—

Jamaica

Vol — Spread —

Agg —

—

Kosovo

Vol — Spread —

Agg —

—

New Caledonia

Vol — Spread —

Agg —

—

North Macedonia

Vol — Spread —

Agg —

—

Poland

Vol — Spread —

Agg —

—

Romania

Vol — Spread —

Agg —

—

Slovakia

Vol — Spread —

Agg —

—

Suriname

Vol — Spread —

Agg —

—

Ukraine

Vol — Spread —

Agg —

—

Wales

Vol — Spread —

Agg —

—

Outcome	Aggregated	Spread	Volume	Kalshi	Gemini
SP Spain	81.5% ↓ -1.5%	6.0%	$258	Kalshi 81.5% 78–85¢ Vol $258	Gemini 75.5% 63–88¢
FR France	80.5% ↑ +0.5%	0.5%	$560	Kalshi 80.5% 77–84¢ Vol $560	Gemini 80.0% 73–87¢
BR Brazil	74.5% — +0.0%	4.0%	$366	Kalshi 74.5% 73–76¢ Vol $366	Gemini 70.5% 62–79¢
EN England	73.0% ↓ -7.0%	0.5%	$33	Kalshi 73.0% 64–82¢ Vol $33	Gemini 72.5% 60–85¢
GE Germany	70.0% ↓ -4.5%	2.0%	$631	Kalshi 70.0% 67–73¢ Vol $631	Gemini 68.0% 60–76¢
AR Argentina	67.0% ↓ -9.5%	2.5%	$780	Kalshi 67.0% 66–68¢ Vol $780	Gemini 64.5% 53–76¢
PO Portugal	65.0% ↓ -6.5%	1.0%	$894	Kalshi 65.0% 62–68¢ Vol $894	Gemini 64.0% 57–71¢
BE Belgium	62.0% ↓ -0.5%	0.5%	$229	Kalshi 62.0% 60–64¢ Vol $229	Gemini 61.5% 56–67¢
NO Norway	54.0% ↑ +5.0%	0.5%	$552	Kalshi 54.0% 53–55¢ Vol $552	Gemini 54.5% 49–60¢
US USA	53.5% — +0.0%	4.5%	$4.2K	Kalshi 53.5% 51–56¢ Vol $4.2K	Gemini 49.0% 39–59¢
NE Netherlands	53.0% ↓ -18.5%	1.0%	$1.9K	Kalshi 53.0% 50–56¢ Vol $1.9K	Gemini 52.0% 42–62¢
CO Colombia	52.5% ↓ -11.5%	2.0%	$1.4K	Kalshi 52.5% 48–57¢ Vol $1.4K	Gemini 50.5% 41–60¢
ME Mexico	52.5% ↓ -2.0%	0.5%	$2.3K	Kalshi 52.5% 50–55¢ Vol $2.3K	Gemini 53.0% 46–60¢
SW Switzerland	51.0% ↓ -3.5%	0.0%	$716	Kalshi 51.0% 47–55¢ Vol $716	Gemini 51.0% 43–59¢
TU Turkiye	46.0% ↓ -9.5%	4.5%	$265	Kalshi 46.0% 45–47¢ Vol $265	Gemini 41.5% 33–50¢
CR Croatia	44.5% ↓ -6.5%	1.5%	$286	Kalshi 44.5% 41–48¢ Vol $286	Gemini 43.0% 35–51¢
MO Morocco	43.0% ↓ -1.5%	1.5%	$1.3K	Kalshi 43.0% 41–45¢ Vol $1.3K	Gemini 41.5% 34–49¢
EC Ecuador	42.5% ↓ -5.0%	1.0%	$350	Kalshi 42.5% 37–48¢ Vol $350	Gemini 41.5% 32–51¢
JA Japan	40.5% ↓ -14.5%	—	$1.1K	Kalshi 40.5% 37–44¢ Vol $1.1K	Gemini — —
UR Uruguay	40.5% ↓ -14.0%	—	$1.1K	Kalshi 40.5% 34–47¢ Vol $1.1K	Gemini — —
CA Canada	37.0% ↓ -4.0%	1.0%	$818	Kalshi 37.0% 36–38¢ Vol $818	Gemini 36.0% 31–41¢
SE Senegal	32.5% ↓ -13.5%	1.0%	$67	Kalshi 32.5% 28–37¢ Vol $67	Gemini 31.5% 22–41¢
IC Ivory Coast	31.5% ↓ -2.0%	0.5%	$82	Kalshi 31.5% 28–35¢ Vol $82	Gemini 32.0% 23–41¢
CZ Czechia	30.5% ↓ -12.5%	—	$90	Kalshi 30.5% 25–36¢ Vol $90	Gemini — —
KR Korea Republic	30.0% ↑ +2.0%	0.5%	$812	Kalshi 30.0% 26–34¢ Vol $812	Gemini 29.5% 21–38¢
AU Austria	29.0% ↓ -14.0%	0.5%	$72	Kalshi 29.0% 25–33¢ Vol $72	Gemini 29.5% 22–37¢
EG Egypt	28.5% ↓ -18.5%	2.0%	$92	Kalshi 28.5% 24–33¢ Vol $92	Gemini 26.5% 17–36¢
PA Paraguay	28.5% ↓ -11.0%	1.0%	$127	Kalshi 28.5% 25–32¢ Vol $127	Gemini 27.5% 20–35¢
SC Scotland	26.0% ↑ +6.0%	—	$61	Kalshi 26.0% 23–29¢ Vol $61	Gemini — —
SW Sweden	25.5% ↓ -5.5%	0.0%	$147	Kalshi 25.5% 22–29¢ Vol $147	Gemini 25.5% 19–32¢
II IR Iran	24.5% ↑ +6.0%	1.0%	$382	Kalshi 24.5% 22–27¢ Vol $382	Gemini 23.5% 16–31¢
BAH Bosnia and Herzegovina	22.0% ↓ -5.5%	3.5%	$423	Kalshi 22.0% 20–24¢ Vol $423	Gemini 18.5% 9–28¢
GH Ghana	20.0% ↓ -19.0%	1.0%	$81	Kalshi 20.0% 17–23¢ Vol $81	Gemini 19.0% 11–27¢
AL Algeria	19.5% ↓ -4.5%	—	$21	Kalshi 19.5% 15–24¢ Vol $21	Gemini — —
AU Australia	17.0% ↓ -14.5%	—	$100	Kalshi 17.0% 15–19¢ Vol $100	Gemini — —
SA South Africa	13.0% ↓ -5.5%	—	$4	Kalshi 13.0% 10–16¢ Vol $4	Gemini — —
TU Tunisia	11.0% ↓ -2.5%	—	$24	Kalshi 11.0% 8–14¢ Vol $24	Gemini — —
CD Congo DR	10.5% ↓ -11.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 10.5% 8–13¢ Vol $0	Gemini — —
SA Saudi Arabia	10.5% ↓ -0.5%	—	$45	Kalshi 10.5% 7–14¢ Vol $45	Gemini — —
QA Qatar	8.5% ↓ -2.5%	—	$1	Kalshi 8.5% 6–11¢ Vol $1	Gemini — —
NZ New Zealand	7.0% ↓ -39.0%	—	$23	Kalshi 7.0% 3–11¢ Vol $23	Gemini — —
PA Panama	6.5% ↓ -39.5%	—	$59	Kalshi 6.5% 4–9¢ Vol $59	Gemini — —
UZ Uzbekistan	6.0% ↓ -1.5%	—	$45	Kalshi 6.0% 4–8¢ Vol $45	Gemini — —
CV Cape Verde	5.5% ↓ -40.0%	—	$52	Kalshi 5.5% 3–8¢ Vol $52	Gemini — —
IR Iraq	4.5% ↓ -6.0%	—	$25	Kalshi 4.5% 3–6¢ Vol $25	Gemini — —
HA Haiti	3.0% ↓ -6.5%	—	$30	Kalshi 3.0% 0–6¢ Vol $30	Gemini — —
JO Jordan	3.0% ↓ -4.0%	—	$2	Kalshi 3.0% 1–5¢ Vol $2	Gemini — —
CU Curacao	1.5% ↓ -4.5%	—	$20	Kalshi 1.5% 0–3¢ Vol $20	Gemini — —
AL Albania	— —	—	—	Kalshi — —	Gemini — —
BO Bolivia	— —	—	—	Kalshi — —	Gemini — —
DE Denmark	— —	—	—	Kalshi — —	Gemini — —
IR Ireland	— —	—	—	Kalshi — —	Gemini — —
I2 Ireland - 2	— —	—	—	Kalshi — —	Gemini — —
IT Italy	— —	—	—	Kalshi — —	Gemini — —
JA Jamaica	— —	—	—	Kalshi — —	Gemini — —
KO Kosovo	— —	—	—	Kalshi — —	Gemini — —
NC New Caledonia	— —	—	—	Kalshi — —	Gemini — —
NM North Macedonia	— —	—	—	Kalshi — —	Gemini — —
PO Poland	— —	—	—	Kalshi — —	Gemini — —
RO Romania	— —	—	—	Kalshi — —	Gemini — —
SL Slovakia	— —	—	—	Kalshi — —	Gemini — —
SU Suriname	— —	—	—	Kalshi — —	Gemini — —
UK Ukraine	— —	—	—	Kalshi — —	Gemini — —
WA Wales	— —	—	—	Kalshi — —	Gemini — —

Probability of Each Team Reaching Round of 16

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Current cross-venue opportunities with fee calculations

Minimum Spread 1.5%

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Pairs (Venue-to-Venue)

Outcome	Venue Pair	Leg A (Buy)	Leg B (Sell)	Gross Spread	After Fees	Actionable	Trade Now
CA Canada	Gemini → Kalshi	Buy @ G 41¢	Sell @ K 36¢	-5.00%	-5.52%	No	G ↗︎ K ↗︎
TU Turkiye	Gemini → Kalshi	Buy @ G 50¢	Sell @ K 45¢	-5.00%	-5.65%	No	G ↗︎ K ↗︎
NO Norway	Kalshi → Gemini	Buy @ K 55¢	Sell @ G 49¢	-6.00%	-6.75%	No	K ↗︎ G ↗︎
BR Brazil	Gemini → Kalshi	Buy @ G 79¢	Sell @ K 73¢	-6.00%	-7.05%	No	G ↗︎ K ↗︎
BE Belgium	Gemini → Kalshi	Buy @ G 67¢	Sell @ K 60¢	-7.00%	-7.87%	No	G ↗︎ K ↗︎
BAH Bosnia and Herzegovina	Gemini → Kalshi	Buy @ G 28¢	Sell @ K 20¢	-8.00%	-8.31%	No	G ↗︎ K ↗︎
MO Morocco	Gemini → Kalshi	Buy @ G 49¢	Sell @ K 41¢	-8.00%	-8.61%	No	G ↗︎ K ↗︎
US USA	Gemini → Kalshi	Buy @ G 59¢	Sell @ K 51¢	-8.00%	-8.75%	No	G ↗︎ K ↗︎
II IR Iran	Gemini → Kalshi	Buy @ G 31¢	Sell @ K 22¢	-9.00%	-9.34%	No	G ↗︎ K ↗︎
ME Mexico	Kalshi → Gemini	Buy @ K 55¢	Sell @ G 46¢	-9.00%	-9.73%	No	K ↗︎ G ↗︎
PO Portugal	Gemini → Kalshi	Buy @ G 71¢	Sell @ K 62¢	-9.00%	-9.90%	No	G ↗︎ K ↗︎
GE Germany	Gemini → Kalshi	Buy @ G 76¢	Sell @ K 67¢	-9.00%	-9.97%	No	G ↗︎ K ↗︎
GH Ghana	Gemini → Kalshi	Buy @ G 27¢	Sell @ K 17¢	-10.00%	-10.28%	No	G ↗︎ K ↗︎
SW Sweden	Gemini → Kalshi	Buy @ G 32¢	Sell @ K 22¢	-10.00%	-10.35%	No	G ↗︎ K ↗︎
PA Paraguay	Gemini → Kalshi	Buy @ G 35¢	Sell @ K 25¢	-10.00%	-10.39%	No	G ↗︎ K ↗︎
CR Croatia	Gemini → Kalshi	Buy @ G 51¢	Sell @ K 41¢	-10.00%	-10.61%	No	G ↗︎ K ↗︎
AR Argentina	Gemini → Kalshi	Buy @ G 76¢	Sell @ K 66¢	-10.00%	-10.96%	No	G ↗︎ K ↗︎
FR France	Gemini → Kalshi	Buy @ G 87¢	Sell @ K 77¢	-10.00%	-11.12%	No	G ↗︎ K ↗︎
SP Spain	Gemini → Kalshi	Buy @ G 88¢	Sell @ K 78¢	-10.00%	-11.13%	No	G ↗︎ K ↗︎
AU Austria	Kalshi → Gemini	Buy @ K 33¢	Sell @ G 22¢	-11.00%	-11.42%	No	K ↗︎ G ↗︎
EG Egypt	Gemini → Kalshi	Buy @ G 36¢	Sell @ K 24¢	-12.00%	-12.38%	No	G ↗︎ K ↗︎
KR Korea Republic	Gemini → Kalshi	Buy @ G 38¢	Sell @ K 26¢	-12.00%	-12.41%	No	G ↗︎ K ↗︎
IC Ivory Coast	Kalshi → Gemini	Buy @ K 35¢	Sell @ G 23¢	-12.00%	-12.44%	No	K ↗︎ G ↗︎
SW Switzerland	Gemini → Kalshi	Buy @ G 59¢	Sell @ K 47¢	-12.00%	-12.71%	No	G ↗︎ K ↗︎
CO Colombia	Gemini → Kalshi	Buy @ G 60¢	Sell @ K 48¢	-12.00%	-12.72%	No	G ↗︎ K ↗︎
NE Netherlands	Gemini → Kalshi	Buy @ G 62¢	Sell @ K 50¢	-12.00%	-12.75%	No	G ↗︎ K ↗︎
SE Senegal	Gemini → Kalshi	Buy @ G 41¢	Sell @ K 28¢	-13.00%	-13.44%	No	G ↗︎ K ↗︎
EC Ecuador	Gemini → Kalshi	Buy @ G 51¢	Sell @ K 37¢	-14.00%	-14.57%	No	G ↗︎ K ↗︎
EN England	Gemini → Kalshi	Buy @ G 85¢	Sell @ K 64¢	-21.00%	-21.98%	No	G ↗︎ K ↗︎

Outcome Diff

Outcome A	Outcome B	Venue	A Odds	B Odds	Diff	Strategy	Trade Now
SP Spain	US USA	Kalshi	A 81.5%	B 53.5%	+28.00%	Buy spread	K ↗︎
SP Spain	NO Norway	Kalshi	A 81.5%	B 54.0%	+27.50%	Buy spread	K ↗︎
FR France	US USA	Kalshi	A 80.5%	B 53.5%	+27.00%	Buy spread	K ↗︎
FR France	ME Mexico	Gemini	A 80.0%	B 53.0%	+27.00%	Buy spread	G ↗︎
FR France	NO Norway	Kalshi	A 80.5%	B 54.0%	+26.50%	Buy spread	K ↗︎
FR France	NO Norway	Gemini	A 80.0%	B 54.5%	+25.50%	Buy spread	G ↗︎
SP Spain	ME Mexico	Gemini	A 75.5%	B 53.0%	+22.50%	Buy spread	G ↗︎
BR Brazil	US USA	Kalshi	A 74.5%	B 53.5%	+21.00%	Buy spread	K ↗︎
SP Spain	NO Norway	Gemini	A 75.5%	B 54.5%	+21.00%	Buy spread	G ↗︎
BR Brazil	NO Norway	Kalshi	A 74.5%	B 54.0%	+20.50%	Buy spread	K ↗︎
SP Spain	BE Belgium	Kalshi	A 81.5%	B 62.0%	+19.50%	Buy spread	K ↗︎
EN England	US USA	Kalshi	A 73.0%	B 53.5%	+19.50%	Buy spread	K ↗︎
EN England	ME Mexico	Gemini	A 72.5%	B 53.0%	+19.50%	Buy spread	G ↗︎
EN England	NO Norway	Kalshi	A 73.0%	B 54.0%	+19.00%	Buy spread	K ↗︎
FR France	BE Belgium	Kalshi	A 80.5%	B 62.0%	+18.50%	Buy spread	K ↗︎
FR France	BE Belgium	Gemini	A 80.0%	B 61.5%	+18.50%	Buy spread	G ↗︎
EN England	NO Norway	Gemini	A 72.5%	B 54.5%	+18.00%	Buy spread	G ↗︎
BR Brazil	ME Mexico	Gemini	A 70.5%	B 53.0%	+17.50%	Buy spread	G ↗︎
SP Spain	PO Portugal	Kalshi	A 81.5%	B 65.0%	+16.50%	Buy spread	K ↗︎
GE Germany	US USA	Kalshi	A 70.0%	B 53.5%	+16.50%	Buy spread	K ↗︎
FR France	PO Portugal	Gemini	A 80.0%	B 64.0%	+16.00%	Buy spread	G ↗︎
GE Germany	NO Norway	Kalshi	A 70.0%	B 54.0%	+16.00%	Buy spread	K ↗︎
BR Brazil	NO Norway	Gemini	A 70.5%	B 54.5%	+16.00%	Buy spread	G ↗︎
FR France	PO Portugal	Kalshi	A 80.5%	B 65.0%	+15.50%	Buy spread	K ↗︎
FR France	AR Argentina	Gemini	A 80.0%	B 64.5%	+15.50%	Buy spread	G ↗︎
GE Germany	ME Mexico	Gemini	A 68.0%	B 53.0%	+15.00%	Buy spread	G ↗︎
SP Spain	AR Argentina	Kalshi	A 81.5%	B 67.0%	+14.50%	Buy spread	K ↗︎
SP Spain	BE Belgium	Gemini	A 75.5%	B 61.5%	+14.00%	Buy spread	G ↗︎
FR France	AR Argentina	Kalshi	A 80.5%	B 67.0%	+13.50%	Buy spread	K ↗︎
AR Argentina	US USA	Kalshi	A 67.0%	B 53.5%	+13.50%	Buy spread	K ↗︎

Kalshi Trading Fee 1% (min $0.07, max $1.75) per side

Polymarket Trading Fee 0% (gas only)

Gemini Trading Fee 0.40% per side

Polymarket US Trading Fee 0% (gas only)

After-fee spreads apply the configured taker-fee model per side. Depth/slippage is not modeled in this scanner.

Free Bracket Pool

Build a free 2026 World Cup bracket pool with no sign-up required and prediction-market odds shown on every match, then share a link to compete in a private pool with friends or climb the public leaderboard.

All 12 World Cup groups
Group A Mexico, South Korea, South Africa, Czechia	Group B Canada, Switzerland, Qatar, Bosnia-Herzegovina	Group C Brazil, Morocco, Scotland, Haiti
Group D USA, Paraguay, Australia, Turkiye	Group E Germany, Ecuador, Ivory Coast, Curacao	Group F Netherlands, Japan, Tunisia, Sweden
Group G Belgium, Iran, Egypt, New Zealand	Group H Spain, Uruguay, Saudi Arabia, Cape Verde	Group I France, Senegal, Norway, Iraq
Group J Argentina, Austria, Algeria, Jordan	Group K Portugal, Colombia, Uzbekistan, DR Congo	Group L England, Croatia, Panama, Ghana