World Cup Group C Winner Odds and Predictions

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Updated 51 minutes ago · 11:06 PM PDT

Prediction Market Promos World Cup Predictions

Who is the favorite to win Group C? Our aggregated odds feed has Brazil sitting at 76.5% probability to win, followed by Morocco (18.5%), Scotland (7.5%), and Haiti (1.0%). Morocco beat Brazil 2–1 in their last meeting, a March 2023 friendly in Tangier, and they enter the group opener as the first African side ever to reach a World Cup semifinal. Group play opens Saturday, June 13, with Brazil vs Morocco at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey (6 p.m. ET on FS1) and Haiti vs Scotland at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts (9 p.m. ET on FS1). The group wraps Wednesday, June 24 with Scotland vs Brazil at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami and Morocco vs Haiti at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. Use the odds table below to find the best prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket and Gemini. Odds and probability updated every 30 minutes.

Largest Spread

1.53%

Scotland → View arbs

Current Favorite

76.5%

Brazil +1.5%

30D Volume (Share)

$153.3K

Momentum Leader

+2.3%

Scotland 30D change

World Cup Group C Predictions: Brazil Favorite to Win

Current probabilities across platforms with liquidity indicators

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Brazil

Vol $8.0K Spread 5.5%

Agg 76.5%

↑ +1.5%

O 81.0%

P 76.5%

K 75.5%

Morocco

Vol $15.8K Spread 7.5%

Agg 18.5%

↑ +0.1%

O 25.0%

K 18.5%

P 17.5%

Scotland

Vol $124.2K Spread 8.8%

Agg 7.5%

↑ +2.3%

O 14.0%

K 7.5%

P 5.2%

Haiti

Vol $5.3K Spread 5.5%

Agg 1.0%

— +0.0%

O 6.0%

P 1.4%

K 0.5%

Outcome	Aggregated	Spread	Volume	Kalshi	Polymarket	OG
BR Brazil	76.5% ↑ +1.5%	5.5%	$8.0K	Kalshi 75.5% 75–76¢ Vol $506	Polymarket 76.5% 76–77¢ Vol $7.4K	OG 81.0% 81¢
MO Morocco	18.5% ↑ +0.1%	7.5%	$15.8K	Kalshi 18.5% 18–19¢ Vol $2.1K	Polymarket 17.5% 17–18¢ Vol $13.7K	OG 25.0% 25¢
SC Scotland	7.5% ↑ +2.3%	8.8%	$124.2K	Kalshi 7.5% 7–8¢ Vol $2.0K	Polymarket 5.2% 5–5.4¢ Vol $122.2K	OG 14.0% 14¢
HA Haiti	1.0% — +0.0%	5.5%	$5.3K	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $123	Polymarket 1.4% 1–1.8¢ Vol $5.2K	OG 6.0% 6¢

Probability Over Time

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Arbitrage Scanner

Current cross-venue opportunities with fee calculations

Minimum Spread 1.5%

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Pairs (Venue-to-Venue)

Outcome	Venue Pair	Leg A (Buy)	Leg B (Sell)	Gross Spread	After Fees	Actionable	Trade Now
SC Scotland	Polymarket → Kalshi	Buy @ P 5.4¢	Sell @ K 7¢	+1.60%	+1.53%	Yes	P ↗︎ K ↗︎
HA Haiti	Kalshi → Polymarket	Buy @ K 1¢	Sell @ P 1¢	+0.00%	-0.07%	No	K ↗︎ P ↗︎
MO Morocco	Polymarket → Kalshi	Buy @ P 18¢	Sell @ K 18¢	+0.00%	-0.18%	No	P ↗︎ K ↗︎
BR Brazil	Kalshi → Polymarket	Buy @ K 76¢	Sell @ P 76¢	+0.00%	-0.76%	No	K ↗︎ P ↗︎

Outcome Diff

Outcome A	Outcome B	Venue	A Odds	B Odds	Diff	Strategy	Trade Now
BR Brazil	HA Haiti	Polymarket	A 76.5%	B 1.4%	+75.10%	Buy spread	P ↗︎
BR Brazil	HA Haiti	Kalshi	A 75.5%	B 0.5%	+75.00%	Buy spread	K ↗︎
BR Brazil	SC Scotland	Polymarket	A 76.5%	B 5.2%	+71.30%	Buy spread	P ↗︎
BR Brazil	SC Scotland	Kalshi	A 75.5%	B 7.5%	+68.00%	Buy spread	K ↗︎
BR Brazil	MO Morocco	Polymarket	A 76.5%	B 17.5%	+59.00%	Buy spread	P ↗︎
BR Brazil	MO Morocco	Kalshi	A 75.5%	B 18.5%	+57.00%	Buy spread	K ↗︎
MO Morocco	HA Haiti	Kalshi	A 18.5%	B 0.5%	+18.00%	Buy spread	K ↗︎
MO Morocco	HA Haiti	Polymarket	A 17.5%	B 1.4%	+16.10%	Buy spread	P ↗︎
MO Morocco	SC Scotland	Polymarket	A 17.5%	B 5.2%	+12.30%	Buy spread	P ↗︎
MO Morocco	SC Scotland	Kalshi	A 18.5%	B 7.5%	+11.00%	Buy spread	K ↗︎
SC Scotland	HA Haiti	Kalshi	A 7.5%	B 0.5%	+7.00%	Buy spread	K ↗︎
SC Scotland	HA Haiti	Polymarket	A 5.2%	B 1.4%	+3.80%	Buy spread	P ↗︎

Kalshi Trading Fee 1% (min $0.07, max $1.75) per side

Polymarket Trading Fee 0% (gas only)

Gemini Trading Fee 0.40% per side

Polymarket US Trading Fee 0% (gas only)

After-fee spreads apply the configured taker-fee model per side. Depth/slippage is not modeled in this scanner.

All 12 World Cup groups
Group A Mexico, South Korea, South Africa, Czechia	Group B Canada, Switzerland, Qatar, Bosnia-Herzegovina	Group C Brazil, Morocco, Scotland, Haiti
Group D USA, Paraguay, Australia, Turkiye	Group E Germany, Ecuador, Ivory Coast, Curacao	Group F Netherlands, Japan, Tunisia, Sweden
Group G Belgium, Iran, Egypt, New Zealand	Group H Spain, Uruguay, Saudi Arabia, Cape Verde	Group I France, Senegal, Norway, Iraq
Group J Argentina, Austria, Algeria, Jordan	Group K Portugal, Colombia, Uzbekistan, DR Congo	Group L England, Croatia, Panama, Ghana

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