World Cup Group B Winner Odds and Predictions

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Updated 24 minutes ago · 10:29 AM PDT

Prediction markets give Switzerland the edge at 45.0%, with Canada at 35.9%, Bosnia and Herzegovina at 15.5%, and Qatar at 3.0% across Kalshi, Polymarket, and Gemini. Bosnia and Herzegovina earned the Pot 4 slot by beating Italy on penalties in the European playoff final, knocking the four-time champion out of a third consecutive World Cup and handing Canada an opener tougher than the seeding suggests. Group play opens Friday, June 12 with Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina at BMO Field in Toronto (3 p.m. ET on Fox), followed Saturday by Qatar vs Switzerland at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, California (3 p.m. ET on Fox). The group closes Wednesday, June 24 with Switzerland vs Canada at BC Place in Vancouver and Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Qatar at Lumen Field in Seattle. The odds table below shows the best price from Kalshi, Polymarket, and Gemini on each outcome, refreshing every 30 minutes.

Largest Spread

0.13%

Qatar → View arbs

Current Favorite

45.0%

Switzerland 7.9%

30D Volume (Share)

$945.9K

Momentum Leader

+9.8%

Canada 30D change

Switzerland Has a 45.0% Chance of Winning Group B

Current probabilities across platforms with liquidity indicators

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Switzerland

Vol $528.9K Spread 1.5%

Agg 45.0%

↓ -7.9%

O 46.0%

K 45.5%

P 44.5%

Canada

Vol $143.1K Spread 1.0%

Agg 35.9%

↑ +9.8%

P 36.5%

O 36.0%

K 35.5%

BAH

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Vol $164.6K Spread 0.5%

Agg 15.5%

↓ -3.5%

O 16.0%

K 15.5%

P 15.5%

Qatar

Vol $109.2K Spread 0.9%

Agg 3.0%

↑ +1.3%

P 3.4%

O 3.0%

K 2.5%

Outcome	Aggregated	Spread	Volume	Kalshi	Polymarket	OG
SW Switzerland	45.0% ↓ -7.9%	1.5%	$528.9K	Kalshi 45.5% 45–46¢ Vol $135.0K	Polymarket 44.5% 44–45¢ Vol $393.9K	OG 46.0% 46¢
CA Canada	35.9% ↑ +9.8%	1.0%	$143.1K	Kalshi 35.5% 35–36¢ Vol $34.9K	Polymarket 36.5% 36–37¢ Vol $108.2K	OG 36.0% 36¢
BAH Bosnia and Herzegovina	15.5% ↓ -3.5%	0.5%	$164.6K	Kalshi 15.5% 15–16¢ Vol $20.3K	Polymarket 15.5% 15–16¢ Vol $144.3K	OG 16.0% 16¢
QA Qatar	3.0% ↑ +1.3%	0.9%	$109.2K	Kalshi 2.5% 2–3¢ Vol $14.1K	Polymarket 3.4% 3.2–3.5¢ Vol $95.1K	OG 3.0% 3¢

Probability Over Time

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Visible lines Aggregated · VWAP · All platforms

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Arbitrage Scanner

Current cross-venue opportunities with fee calculations

Minimum Spread 1.5%

Include fees

Show only actionable

Pairs (Venue-to-Venue)

Outcome	Venue Pair	Leg A (Buy)	Leg B (Sell)	Gross Spread	After Fees	Actionable	Trade Now
QA Qatar	Kalshi → Polymarket	Buy @ K 3¢	Sell @ P 3.2¢	+0.20%	+0.13%	No	K ↗︎ P ↗︎
CA Canada	Kalshi → Polymarket	Buy @ K 36¢	Sell @ P 36¢	+0.00%	-0.36%	No	K ↗︎ P ↗︎
SW Switzerland	Polymarket → Kalshi	Buy @ P 45¢	Sell @ K 45¢	+0.00%	-0.45%	No	P ↗︎ K ↗︎
BAH Bosnia and Herzegovina	Polymarket → Kalshi	Buy @ P 16¢	Sell @ K 15¢	-1.00%	-1.15%	No	P ↗︎ K ↗︎

Outcome Diff

Outcome A	Outcome B	Venue	A Odds	B Odds	Diff	Strategy	Trade Now
SW Switzerland	QA Qatar	Kalshi	A 45.5%	B 2.5%	+43.00%	Buy spread	K ↗︎
SW Switzerland	QA Qatar	Polymarket	A 44.5%	B 3.4%	+41.15%	Buy spread	P ↗︎
CA Canada	QA Qatar	Polymarket	A 36.5%	B 3.4%	+33.15%	Buy spread	P ↗︎
CA Canada	QA Qatar	Kalshi	A 35.5%	B 2.5%	+33.00%	Buy spread	K ↗︎
SW Switzerland	BAH Bosnia and Herzegovina	Kalshi	A 45.5%	B 15.5%	+30.00%	Buy spread	K ↗︎
SW Switzerland	BAH Bosnia and Herzegovina	Polymarket	A 44.5%	B 15.5%	+29.00%	Buy spread	P ↗︎
CA Canada	BAH Bosnia and Herzegovina	Polymarket	A 36.5%	B 15.5%	+21.00%	Buy spread	P ↗︎
CA Canada	BAH Bosnia and Herzegovina	Kalshi	A 35.5%	B 15.5%	+20.00%	Buy spread	K ↗︎
BAH Bosnia and Herzegovina	QA Qatar	Kalshi	A 15.5%	B 2.5%	+13.00%	Buy spread	K ↗︎
BAH Bosnia and Herzegovina	QA Qatar	Polymarket	A 15.5%	B 3.4%	+12.15%	Buy spread	P ↗︎
SW Switzerland	CA Canada	Kalshi	A 45.5%	B 35.5%	+10.00%	Buy spread	K ↗︎
SW Switzerland	CA Canada	Polymarket	A 44.5%	B 36.5%	+8.00%	Buy spread	P ↗︎

Kalshi Trading Fee 1% (min $0.07, max $1.75) per side

Polymarket Trading Fee 0% (gas only)

Gemini Trading Fee 0.40% per side

Polymarket US Trading Fee 0% (gas only)

After-fee spreads apply the configured taker-fee model per side. Depth/slippage is not modeled in this scanner.

Free Bracket Pool – Live Game or Printable

Build a free 2026 World Cup bracket pool with no sign-up required and prediction-market odds shown on every match, then share a link to compete in a private pool with friends or climb the public leaderboard. You can also opt for a paper copy with our printable World Cup brackets with the groups filled in. If you are interested in trading, check out our list of World Cup prediction promos.

All 12 World Cup groups
Group A Mexico, South Korea, South Africa, Czechia	Group B Canada, Switzerland, Qatar, Bosnia-Herzegovina	Group C Brazil, Morocco, Scotland, Haiti
Group D USA, Paraguay, Australia, Turkiye	Group E Germany, Ecuador, Ivory Coast, Curacao	Group F Netherlands, Japan, Tunisia, Sweden
Group G Belgium, Iran, Egypt, New Zealand	Group H Spain, Uruguay, Saudi Arabia, Cape Verde	Group I France, Senegal, Norway, Iraq
Group J Argentina, Austria, Algeria, Jordan	Group K Portugal, Colombia, Uzbekistan, DR Congo	Group L England, Croatia, Panama, Ghana

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