The 2026 World Cup kicks off tomorrow, with Mexico hosting South Africa at Estadio Azteca. Polymarket has Spain as the World Cup favorite at +506 odds, or a 16.5% implied probability. France is the second trading favorite at +521 (16.1%). New Polymarket users can use the promo code RATE to claim a $50 trading bonus for the World Cup.
| Platform | Sign-up bonus | Promo code | How to claim | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
★ Open in US
Polymarket | Deposit $20, Get $50 Bonus |
RATE
| Use promo code RATE on sign up | Claim Now! |
How to claim the Polymarket $50 bonus for World Cup
Use the promo code RATE to create a new Polymarket account to ensure you receive a $50 trading bonus for World Cup markets. Follow these steps to claim the bonus:
- Download the Polymarket app. Download the free Polymarket app at the App Store for your Apple device or Google Play Store for your Android device. Then tap Sign Up. US users must register new accounts through the app.
- Enter promo code RATE. Input the code RATE when creating your new account. You’ll see a checkmark showing it’s active and valid.
- Verify your identity. Provide the required identity verification information using a valid driver’s license or passport.
- Fund the account. Make a minimum deposit of $20. This is an absolute requirement for the $50 bonus. Payment methods include bank account, debit card, Apple Pay, or wire transfer.
- Place your first trade. Review the market rules and place your first trade on a World Cup market. The $50 bonus will be applied after your first trade settles.
Full terms and conditions are available on our Polymarket promo code guide.
Enter the correct Polymarket code for your state
| Promo Code | Eligible States |
|---|---|
| RATE | All States + DC, excluding NV |
World Cup Polymarket odds
The 2026 World Cup features 48 teams competing across 12 groups and 104 matches in Mexico, Canada, and the US. The World Cup final is set for July 19 at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ.
This year’s expanded World Cup is projected to be the biggest trading event in 2026.
While Spain and France are widely considered the most likely winners of the 2026 World Cup, Portugal, England, and Argentina are also in the conversation.
Spain
Head coach Luis de la Fuente’s side is led by wunderkind Lamine Yamal, who plays for FC Barcelona in La Liga. Spain begins World Cup play against Cape Verde on Monday, June 15, in Atlanta.
France
Kylian Mbappe headlines France’s roster. The Real Madrid star already has 12 World Cup goals. He has a chance to break Miroslav Klose’s all-time record of 16. France starts its World Cup journey against Senegal on Tuesday, June 16.
Portugal
It’s Cristiano Ronaldo’s last dance at the World Cup, and Portugal aims to send him out on a high note. Ronaldo made his World Cup debut in 2006. Portugal will be playing with heavy hearts after fellow star Diogo Jota passed away in a car crash last year.
England
England is hoping to lift its first World Cup trophy in 60 years. The Three Lions are led by captain Harry Kane, Jude Bellingham, and Bukayo Saka. England opens up World Cup play against Croatia on Wednesday, June 17.
Argentina
This will also be Lionel Messi’s last go-around at the World Cup. Messi led Argentina to victory in the 2022 World Cup in Qatar, completing his resume with the only missing accomplishment.
| Market | Team | Prediction Odds | American Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| World Cup Winner | Spain | 16.5% | +506 |
| World Cup Winner | France | 16.1% | +521 |
| World Cup Winner | England | 10.9% | +817 |
| World Cup Winner | Portugal | 10.6% | +843 |
| World Cup Winner | Argentina | 8.6% | +1063 |
World Cup props on Polymarket
Polymarket offers a wide range of World Cup prop markets, including the winner of all 12 groups.
One of Polymarket’s most popular prop markets involves trading on the winner of the Golden Boot Award, given to the tournament’s leading goal scorer.
France’s Kylian Mbappe won the Golden Boot at the 2022 World Cup. He is the favorite to win the award again at Polymarket (+567 odds, 15% probability). If he pulls it off, Mbappe will likely set a new record for most career World Cup goals.
England’s Harry Kane is the second favorite at +669 odds and 13% implied probability.
| Player | Team | Golden Boot Prediction Odds | Golden Boot American Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kylian Mbappe | France | 15% | +567 |
| Harry Kane | England | 13% | +669 |
| Mikel Oyarzabal | Spain | 8% | +1150 |
| Erling Haaland | Norway | 6% | +1567 |
Why trade on World Cup props at Polymarket
Polymarket makes it easy to trade on any World Cup market, including the champion team, match outcomes, player props, and more. Liquid markets mean you can trade in and out of positions with ease, and also explore live trading opportunities as matches play out and the tournament moves along.
Remember to use the promo code RATE when you register a new account. You’ll receive a $50 trading bonus after your first trade on the platform settles.
Responsible trading: Prediction markets involve risk, and prices can move quickly before and during live events. Users should trade only with money they can afford to lose, review the rules for each market before buying shares, and avoid chasing losses.
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