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UFC 328 Polymarket odds
| UFC 328 Bout | Fighter 1 | Fighter 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Chimaev vs. Strickland | ||
| Taira vs. Van | ||
| Volkov vs. Cortes-Acosta | ||
| Brady vs. Buckley | ||
| Stephens vs. King Green | ||
| Amosov vs. Alvarez | ||
| Miller vs. Gordon | ||
| Dawson vs. Rebecki | ||
| Sabatini vs. Gomis | ||
| Diaz vs. Gautier | ||
| Susurkaev vs. Santos | ||
| Carpenter vs. Ochoa | ||
| Kopylov vs. Tulio |
*Main card starts at 9 p.m. ET on Paramount+. Early prelims start at 5 p.m. ET, followed by Prelims at 7 p.m. ET. Prices sourced from Polymarket and reflect live market probabilities at the time of publication.
How to claim the Polymarket $20 bonus for UFC 328
New users can claim a $20 trading bonus and skip the US waitlist by entering the Polymarket promo code RATE at signup. Just follow these steps, and you’ll be all set.
- Download the Polymarket app on iOS or Android and tap Sign Up. This is the most efficient path, as desktop sign-up may route you to the standard waitlist.
- Enter the requested information and invite code RATE when prompted. The code must be entered during signup and cannot be applied retroactively. New users only. One code per account.
- Complete identity verification and have a government-issued ID ready.
- Choose your preferred funding method (Debit, ACH, Wire, or Apple Pay) and deposit a minimum of $20.
- Find a market, read the rules, and place your first trade to unlock the $20 bonus. The credit applies once your trade settles.
Why trade UFC 328 on Polymarket
Prediction markets price fight outcomes clearly, with prices correlating directly with the implied probability of each outcome. Unlike fixed odds at a sportsbook, Polymarket prices update continuously through the event, giving live traders the ability to enter and exit positions as the fight unfolds. Markets settle instantly once the result is official.
Chimaev vs. Strickland – Polymarket preview
Chimaev enters as a heavy favorite at 82%. The undefeated Middleweight champion has not lost in the UFC, bringing a perfect 15-0 record to the table. Strickland, a former champion, is listed at 19% to score the upset. Chimaev won the crown off Dricus Du Plessis, the fighter who ended Strickland’s reign.
Current Odds Snapshot
Current probabilities across platforms with liquidity indicators
SSSean Strickland
Vol $12.1M
Spread 0.0%
Agg
100.0%↑ +80.5%
K
100.0%
U
100.0%
KCKhamzat Chimaev
Vol $8.9M
Spread 0.0%
Agg
0.0%↓ -80.5%
K
0.0%
U
0.0%
| Outcome | Aggregated | Spread | Volume | Kalshi | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SS Sean Strickland | 100.0% ↑ +80.5% | 0.0% | $12.1M |
Kalshi
100.0%
|
Polymarket US
100.0%
|
KC Khamzat Chimaev | 0.0% ↓ -80.5% | 0.0% | $8.9M |
Kalshi
0.0%
|
Polymarket US
0.0%
|
Van vs. Taira – Challenger favored in flyweight title bout
The market has Taira at 60% despite Van holding the belt, setting up a significant value opportunity for those who think the champ retains the belt. Taira enters at 18-1 and is the winner of two straight. Van is 16-2 and has won six in a row. Originally scheduled for last month, the bout was moved due to a minor injury to Van.
Current Odds Snapshot
Current probabilities across platforms with liquidity indicators
JVJoshua van
Vol $3.7M
Spread 0.0%
Agg
100.0%↑ +58.9%
K
100.0%
U
100.0%
TTTatsuro Taira
Vol $2.9M
Spread 0.0%
Agg
0.0%↓ -59.0%
K
0.0%
U
0.0%
| Outcome | Aggregated | Spread | Volume | Kalshi | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
JV Joshua van | 100.0% ↑ +58.9% | 0.0% | $3.7M |
Kalshi
100.0%
|
Polymarket US
100.0%
|
TT Tatsuro Taira | 0.0% ↓ -59.0% | 0.0% | $2.9M |
Kalshi
0.0%
|
Polymarket US
0.0%
|
Volkov vs. Cortes-Acosta – Power vs. power in heavyweight battle
Volkov enters at 57% in this battle of behemoths. The veteran enters tonight at 39-11, with Cortes-Acosta at 17-2 and trading at 44%. With both fighters carrying genuine knockout power, a single exchange can swing the market dramatically, making this one of the more interesting live trading opportunities on the card.
Current Odds Snapshot
Current probabilities across platforms with liquidity indicators
AVAlexander Volkov
Vol $1.5M
Spread 0.0%
Agg
100.0%↑ +42.7%
K
100.0%
U
100.0%
WCAWaldo Cortes-Acosta
Vol $1.3M
Spread 0.0%
Agg
0.0%↓ -43.6%
K
0.0%
U
0.0%
| Outcome | Aggregated | Spread | Volume | Kalshi | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AV Alexander Volkov | 100.0% ↑ +42.7% | 0.0% | $1.5M |
Kalshi
100.0%
|
Polymarket US
100.0%
|
WCA Waldo Cortes-Acosta | 0.0% ↓ -43.6% | 0.0% | $1.3M |
Kalshi
0.0%
|
Polymarket US
0.0%
|
What else is trading on the UFC 328 card
King Green is the market’s most decisive non-title favorite outside the main event at 78% against Jeremy Stephens. Undefeated prospect Baisangur Susurkaev is priced at 87% against Djorden Santos on the early prelims, one of the highest probabilities on the card. Four bouts are scheduled for early prelims, another four for prelims, and five get the main card spotlight.
Skip the Polymarket waitlist and claim your $20 UFC 328 bonus
UFC numbered events consistently draw millions of viewers, while also attracting significant prediction market trading volume. Those trends will continue this evening, with the highly anticipated Chimaev vs. Strickland main event on tap, plus a solid undercard. Claim $20 on Polymarket and skip the waitlist with the code RATE.
