On the 4th of July, Lincoln Financial Field plays host to a monumental Round of 16 tilt as the 2026 FIFA World Cup features a highly anticipated trip to the quarterfinals on the line as Paraguay squares off against France.
The match is scheduled to kick off at 5:00 p.m. ET.
Kalshi markets have a star-studded French roster as the heavy favorites to advance in this weekend’s knockout fixture. New Kalshi traders can apply the promo code RATE to unlock a $10 trading bonus for the 2026 Paraguay vs. France matchup.
How to claim the Kalshi $10 bonus for Paraguay vs France
Enter the promo code RATE when creating a new Kalshi account to claim a $10 trading bonus for World Cup markets. Here are the steps to follow to sign up and claim the bonus.
- Download the Kalshi app: Install the free Kalshi app for your iOS or Android device and begin the registration process. You can also visit the website and click on the Sign Up button.
- Enter the promo code RATE: Enter the Kalshi promo code RATE when prompted during the sign-up process.
- Verify your identity. You will need a valid driver’s license or passport to verify your identity.
- Fund your account: Deposit and trade $10 on any market using one of the accepted payment options, including a bank account, debit cards, Apple Pay, or wire transfer.
- Place your first trade. Review the market rules and make your first trade on the Paraguay vs France match or any other World Cup market. Kalshi will credit your account with the $10 bonus after the market settles.
Check out our Kalshi promo code guide for the full terms and conditions. Enter the Kalshi code for your state
| Promo Code | Eligible States |
|---|---|
| RATE | All States + DC, excluding AR, AZ, CT, IL, LA, MA, MD, MI, MT, NJ, NV, and OH |
2026 World Cup market odds: Paraguay vs France
| Outcome | Prediction Odds | American Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Paraguay to advance | 9% | +1011 |
| France to advance | 91% | -1011 |
| Regulation time – Paraguay | 5% | +1900 |
| Regulation time – France | 84% | -525 |
| Regulation time – Draw | 13% | +669 |
| Regulation time – France to win by 1.5 goals | 62% | -163 |
| Regulation time – Over 2.5 goals scored | 60% | -150 |
| Regulation time – Both teams to score | 39% | +156 |
| Goal scorer: Kylian Mbappé – France | 69% | -223 |
Paraguay vs France preview
This 4th of July, Philadelphia hosts the 2026 World Cup for a massive Round of 16 clash with a strong French side looking to put an end to Paraguay’s Cinderella story. The Bleus head into this matchup looking like an absolute offensive juggernaut, having coasted to a 3-0 win over Sweden in the Round of 32 with their electrifying attack leading the way.
Kylian Mbappé is in terrific form with six tournament goals already to his name while Michael Olise has masterminded the midfield with five assists. But they will come up against a gritty La Albirroja side that has just sent shock waves through the tournament by knocking out four-time champion Germany in a dramatic penalty shootout.
Paraguay’s Julio Enciso is a genuine attacking threat, and goalkeeper Orlando Gill showed his mettle in a big game, but breaking down this French side is a monumental task. Interestingly, the last time these two nations met in a World Cup Round of 16, it took a historic 114th-minute Golden Goal for France to finally break out of Paraguay’s defensive shell.
Paraguay has been on a giant-killing spree of late, but prediction markets still give credit to the raw firepower of this modern French roster. France is a massive favorite to advance to the Quarterfinals on Kalshi right now, and there is tons of underdog value for traders willing to take a chance on Paraguay pulling off a second miracle in North America in a row.
Why trade Paraguay vs France on Kalshi
Kalshi’s live Paraguay vs. France knockout game is going to change the way you watch live World Cup soccer. Unlike traditional sportsbooks, which tie you to a bet from the first whistle to the last, this one allows you to trade match outcomes as they happen.
If France acts early and their shares go through the roof, you can instantly sell your position for a guaranteed profit. Or if you see Paraguay’s tough defense successfully blocking the French attack, you can quickly change your position and cut your losses before a major price swing.
The fluid setup is just like a financial stock exchange where your profitability depends on your ability to predict the momentum of the match and not just the final score. That provides a level of liquidity and strategic flexibility that traditional sports betting cannot match.
Use the promo code RATE to grab your $10 trading bonus today and take advantage of your World Cup predictions.
NOTE: Prediction markets involve risk, and prices can move quickly before and during live events. Users should trade only with money they can afford to lose, review the rules for each market before buying shares, and avoid chasing losses.
