The USA faces Australia in the 2026 World Cup on Friday. Kickoff from Lumen Field in Seattle is set for 3 p.m. ET on FOX. Kalshi lists the USA as the favorite at -163 odds, with a 62% implied probability. Australia is priced at +456 (18%), with a draw at +376 (21%). New Kalshi users can claim a $10 trading bonus with the promo code RATE for this crucial Group D match.
How to claim the Kalshi $10 bonus for USA vs. Australia
Use the promo code RATE to create a new Kalshi account and receive a $10 trading bonus. Just follow these steps to claim the offer:
- Register for a new account: Visit Kalshi.com and tap the “Sign Up” button or download the app directly to register.
- Verify your details: Provide the requested information, including your full name, email address, Social Security Number, phone number, and date of birth. You’ll use Verify.com to complete the KYC process at Kalshi.
- Enter promo code: Input RATE when creating your new account.
- Make your initial deposit: Make a $10 deposit using a debit card, PayPal, Venmo, or another available method. The minimum deposit is $1.
- Place Your Trades: Select your chosen market(s) and make your trades. Once you’ve completed $10 in trades, you’ll receive the $10 trading bonus.
Full terms and conditions are available on our Kalshi promo code guide.
Enter the correct Kalshi promo code for your state
| Promo Code | Eligible States |
|---|---|
| RATE | All States + DC, excluding AR, AZ, CT, IL, LA, MA, MD, MI, MT, NJ, NV, and OH. |
USA vs. Australia odds on Kalshi
| Outcome | Prediction Odds | American Odds |
|---|---|---|
| USA | 62% | -163 |
| Australia | 22% | +355 |
| Draw | 18% | +456 |
| USA to win by 1.5 goals | 35% | +186 |
| Over 2.5 goals scored | 50% | +100 |
USA vs. Australia preview
The winner of this match will assume first place in Group D and advance to the knockout stage. Depending on the result of Turkey vs. Paraguay in group play, the winner could also win the group outright. There is some uncertainty about Christian Pulisic’s status for the USMNT today.
He aggravated a calf injury in the first half of the opener against Paraguay and was removed from the lineup after 45 minutes. Pulisic has not been able to practice with the team this week, and his status is described as day-to-day.
The good news for Team USA is that striker Folarin Balogun is just fine and appears to be the breakout star for the squad. Balogun scored a pair of goals in the opening 4-1 win over Paraguay. The Americans had never scored that many goals in a World Cup game before.
Australia upset Turkey, 2-0, in its opening match. The Socceroos received a golden performance by goaltender Patrick Beach, who saved all of Turkey’s eight shots on goal. The USA is favored to win Group D at odds of -233 (69%) on Kalshi.
USA vs. Australia props on Kalshi
Balogun is the betting favorite to be an anytime goal scorer for USA vs. Australia. Below are the latest probabilities on the favorites to score during the match.
- Folarin Balogun (USA) 36%
- Christian Pulisic (USA) 31%
- Weston McKennie (USA) 18%
- Nestory Irankunda (AUS) 17%
- Mohamed Toure (AUS) 15%
- Sergino Dest (USA) 15%
Why trade on USA vs. Australia at Kalshi
Kalshi offers competitive odds on several markets for USA vs. Australia and the World Cup as a whole. You can bet on game props, player props, futures, and more. You can also enter and exit market positions at any time.
Unlike pre-match bets at traditional sportsbooks, you aren’t locked in and have the ability to trade live. New users can try it out and use the promo code RATE while signing up to get a $10 bonus after making $10 in trades.
NOTE: Prediction markets involve risk. Prices can move quickly before and during live events. Users should trade only with money they can afford to lose, review the rules for each market before buying shares, and avoid chasing losses.
