The Spurs changed the tone of the NBA Finals with a big Game 3 win at Madison Square Garden, snapping New York’s 13-game playoff winning streak and cutting the Knicks’ lead to 2-1. Game 4 is set for Wednesday, June 10, with Polymarket pricing New York as a narrow home favorite. New Polymarket users can enter the promo code RATE to claim a $50 trading bonus for the 2026 NBA Finals.
How to claim the Polymarket promo code for Knicks vs. Spurs
Enter the promo code RATE when creating a new Polymarket account to claim a $50 trading bonus for NBA Finals markets. Here are the steps to follow to sign up and claim the bonus:
| Platform | Sign-up bonus | Promo code | How to claim | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
★ Open in US
Polymarket | Deposit $20, Get $50 Bonus |
RATE
| Use promo code RATE on sign up | Claim Now! |
- Download the Polymarket app. Install the free Polymarket app for your Apple or Android device and tap Sign Up. US users can currently only register through the app.
- Enter promo code RATE. Add code RATE when creating your new account.
- Verify your identity. Provide the required verification information and have a government-issued photo ID ready.
- Fund your account. Deposit at least $20 using an available payment method — a bank account, debit card, Apple Pay or wire transfer.
- Place your first trade. Review the market rules and place a first trade on any available market. The $50 bonus is applied after that trade settles.
Full terms and conditions are available on our Polymarket promo code guide.
Game 4 prediction market odds: Knicks vs. Spurs
| Market | Outcome | Polymarket probability | Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs vs. Knicks: Game winner | Spurs | 46% | 46¢ |
| Spurs vs. Knicks: Game winner | Knicks | 54% | 54¢ |
| Spurs vs. Knicks: Spread | Knicks win by over 1.5 points | 52% | 52¢ |
| Spurs vs. Knicks: Total | Over 216.5 points scored | 50% | 50¢ |
San Antonio needed a response after dropping the first two games at home. The Spurs answered by beating the Knicks 115-111 in New York, ending the Knicks’ long playoff winning streak and preventing the series from tilting toward a potential sweep.
New York still leads 2-1, but the Game 4 market is much tighter than the series position. Polymarket has the Knicks at 54% to win Game 4, while the Spurs are at 46% as they try to take a second straight game at Madison Square Garden and send the series back to San Antonio tied. A San Antonio win would also make this the first NBA Finals in which the road team won each of the first four games.
Polymarket’s championship market also moved after Game 3. New York had climbed as high as 78% to win the title before the Spurs’ win, but the Knicks are now at 63%, while San Antonio is at 38%. Game 4 will give traders a cleaner read on whether Game 3 was a one-game correction or the start of a larger Spurs reset.
NBA Finals Game 4 player props on Polymarket
| Market | Outcome | Polymarket probability | Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Player points | Jalen Brunson 30+ points | 43% | 43¢ |
| Player points | OG Anunoby 20+ points | 34% | 34¢ |
| Player points | Victor Wembanyama 30+ points | 41% | 41¢ |
| Player points | Stephon Castle 20+ points | 30% | 30¢ |
| Player rebounds | Karl-Anthony Towns 11+ rebounds | 63% | 63¢ |
| Player rebounds | Victor Wembanyama 11+ rebounds | 64% | 64¢ |
| Player assists | Jalen Brunson 6+ assists | 59% | 59¢ |
| Player assists | De’Aaron Fox 6+ assists | 58% | 58¢ |
Jalen Brunson remains the Knicks’ main offensive barometer after scoring 32 points in Game 3. New York also got a strong scoring game from OG Anunoby, who finished with 28 points, but the Knicks did not get the same frontcourt production that helped them in San Antonio. Karl-Anthony Towns had been a major part of New York’s 2-0 start before a quieter Game 3, making his rebound market one of the more important Knicks props for Game 4.
Victor Wembanyama helped change the series tone with his best Finals performance so far, posting 32 points, 8 rebounds and 6 assists in San Antonio’s Game 3 win. Stephon Castle also gave the Spurs a major lift with 23 points, giving San Antonio another scoring option beyond Wembanyama and De’Aaron Fox. Fox’s assist market remains important because San Antonio’s best Game 4 path likely requires steadier playmaking around Wembanyama, rather than another late-game scramble.
Polymarket’s Finals MVP market still has Brunson as the top option at 48%, with Wembanyama at 38% after leading San Antonio’s Game 3 win. Towns, who moved into the discussion after back-to-back double-doubles to open the series, is at 15% heading into Game 4.
NBA Finals Game 4 markets are available on Polymarket
Polymarket’s NBA Finals menu includes Game 4 markets, series futures, player props and several Finals specials.
- Game winner: Trade whether New York or San Antonio wins Game 4.
- Spread: Take a position on whether a team wins by more than the listed point spread.
- Total: Trade whether the combined score finishes over a listed point total.
- Quarter and half markets: Polymarket lists winners, spreads, and total markets for individual quarters and halves.
- Player props: Game 4 props include points, rebounds, assists, threes, and blocks.
- Series futures: Markets include NBA champion, Finals MVP, exact number of games, and exact series outcome.
- Finals specials: Polymarket also lists markets tied to overtime, triple-doubles, 40-point games, 50-point games, first-half double-doubles, 5×5 performances, and team scoring milestones.
- Off-court markets: Polymarket’s Finals board also includes attendance markets, with traders pricing whether celebrities like Harry Styles, Lionel Messi or Dua Lipa show up during the series. There is also a separate market on how many NBA Finals games Timothée Chalamet will attend, with six games listed at 40%.
Responsible trading: Prediction market prices can change quickly, especially around live sports. Users should understand the rules for each market before trading and risk only the money they can afford to lose. 18+.
