Prediction Markets Men's College Basketball Champion

NCAA Tournament Predictions: Michigan Wins with 10.3M Traded at Prediction Markets

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Updated 7 days ago · 7:15 AM PDT

Michigan won the 2026 NCAA Tournament. The NCAA Tournament winner contract generated more than — in trading volume, primarily on Kalshi. Our 2026 March Madness odds tracker aggregated live pricing using volume-weighted average pricing (VWAP), with hourly updates.

Largest Spread

0.00%

Consensus Leader

100.0%

Michigan 0.0%

Total Volume (Share)

—

Momentum Leader

0.0%

Michigan 7D change

Live March Madness Odds

Current probabilities across platforms with liquidity indicators

Sort:

Michigan

Vol $20.9M Spread 0.0%

Agg 100.0%

— +0.0%

K 100.0%

P 100.0%

Kalshi 100.0%

Vol $18.5M 99–100¢

Polymarket 100.0%

Vol $2.4M 99.9–100¢

Alabama

Vol $957.4K Spread 0.0%

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

P 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $10.4K 0–1¢

Polymarket 0.0%

Vol $947.0K 0.1¢

Arizona

Vol $2.2M Spread 0.0%

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

P 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $141.4K 0–1¢

Polymarket 0.0%

Vol $2.1M 0.1¢

Arkansas

Vol $911.5K Spread 0.0%

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

P 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $21.5K 0–1¢

Polymarket 0.0%

Vol $890.0K 0.1¢

Auburn

Vol — Spread 0.0%

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

P 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–100¢

Polymarket 0.0%

0.1¢

Baylor

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–12¢

Boise St.

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–100¢

Boston College

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–5¢

Bryant

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–100¢

Butler

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–6¢

BYU

Vol — Spread 0.0%

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

P 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $1.1K 0–16¢

Polymarket 0.0%

0.1¢

Charleston

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–4¢

Chattanooga

Vol $26 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $26 0–100¢

Cincinnati

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–8¢

Clemson

Vol — Spread 0.0%

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

P 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $1 0–1¢

Polymarket 0.0%

0.1¢

Colgate

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–100¢

Colorado St.

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–100¢

Creighton

Vol — Spread 0.0%

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

P 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–6¢

Polymarket 0.0%

0.1¢

Dayton

Vol $7 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $7 0–4¢

Drake

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–100¢

Duke

Vol $1.1M Spread 0.0%

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

North Carolina

K 0.0%

P 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $89.9K 0–1¢

Polymarket 0.0%

Vol $1.1M 0.1¢

Eastern Kentucky

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–100¢

Fairfield

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–100¢

FDU

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–100¢

Florida

Vol — Spread 0.0%

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

P 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $11.8K 0–1¢

Polymarket 0.0%

0.1¢

Florida St.

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–11¢

Furman

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–1¢

Georgetown

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–6¢

Gonzaga

Vol — Spread 0.0%

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

P 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $6.1K 0–1¢

Polymarket 0.0%

0.1¢

Grand Canyon

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–100¢

High Point

Vol $20 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $20 0–1¢

Hofstra

Vol $70 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $70 0–1¢

Houston

Vol $807.0K Spread 0.0%

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

P 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $19.3K 0–1¢

Polymarket 0.0%

Vol $787.6K 0.1¢

Howard

Vol $1 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $1 0–9¢

Illinois

Vol $2.1M Spread 0.0%

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

P 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $64.8K 0–1¢

Polymarket 0.0%

Vol $2.0M 0.1¢

Indiana

Vol $1 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $1 0–100¢

Indiana St.

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–100¢

Iona

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–100¢

Iowa

Vol $6.0K Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $6.0K 0–1¢

Iowa St.

Vol $15.8K Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $15.8K 0–1¢

Iowa State

Vol $2.6M Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

P 0.0%

Polymarket 0.0%

Vol $2.6M 0.1¢

Kansas

Vol — Spread 0.0%

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

P 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $5.1K 0–1¢

Polymarket 0.0%

0.1¢

Kansas St.

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–11¢

Kentucky

Vol — Spread 0.0%

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

P 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $34 0–1¢

Polymarket 0.0%

0.1¢

Liberty

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–100¢

Longwood

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–100¢

Louisville

Vol — Spread 0.0%

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

P 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $20 0–1¢

Polymarket 0.0%

0.1¢

Loyola Chicago

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–6¢

Marquette

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–6¢

McNeese

Vol $1 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $1 0–1¢

Memphis

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–6¢

Miami (FL)

Vol $274 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $274 0–1¢

Michigan St.

Vol $4.4K Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $4.4K 0–1¢

Michigan State

Vol $925.3K Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

P 0.0%

Polymarket 0.0%

Vol $925.3K 0.1¢

Mississippi State

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–100¢

Missouri

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–1¢

Montana

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–100¢

Murray St.

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–100¢

NC State

Vol $191.5K Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

P 0.0%

Polymarket 0.0%

Vol $191.5K 0.1¢

Nebraska

Vol $831.9K Spread 0.0%

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

P 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $4.7K 0–1¢

Polymarket 0.0%

Vol $827.2K 0.1¢

Nevada

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–100¢

North Carolina

Vol — Spread 0.0%

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

P 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $307 0–5¢

Polymarket 0.0%

0.1¢

NCS

North Carolina St.

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–1¢

Notre Dame

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–11¢

Oakland

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–100¢

Ohio St.

Vol $5 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $5 0–1¢

Oklahoma

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–100¢

Ole Miss

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–100¢

Oral Roberts

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–100¢

Oregon

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–100¢

Pittsburgh

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–11¢

Princeton

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–100¢

Providence

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–6¢

Purdue

Vol $3.4M Spread 0.0%

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

P 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $31.9K 0–1¢

Polymarket 0.0%

Vol $3.4M 0.1¢

Quinnipiac

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–100¢

Richmond

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–6¢

Saint Louis

Vol — Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

P 0.0%

Polymarket 0.0%

0.1¢

SMS

Saint Mary's

Vol $14 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $14 0–26¢

SDS

San Diego St.

Vol $1 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $1 0–5¢

San Francisco

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–11¢

Santa Clara

Vol $6 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $6 0–1¢

Seton Hall

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–6¢

SMU

Vol $25 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $25 0–1¢

SDS

South Dakota St.

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–100¢

Stanford

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–6¢

St. Bonaventure

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–4¢

SFA

Stephen F. Austin

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–100¢

SJS

St. John's

Vol $880.2K Spread 0.0%

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

P 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $12.7K 0–1¢

Polymarket 0.0%

Vol $867.5K 0.1¢

Syracuse

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–11¢

TCU

Vol $4 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $4 0–1¢

Tennessee

Vol $1.2M Spread 0.0%

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

P 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $35.1K 0–1¢

Polymarket 0.0%

Vol $1.2M 0.1¢

Texas

Vol $681 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $681 0–1¢

TAM

Texas A&M

Vol $270 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $270 0–1¢

Texas Tech

Vol — Spread 0.0%

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

P 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $3.3K 0–1¢

Polymarket 0.0%

0.1¢

UC Irvine

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–100¢

UCLA

Vol — Spread 0.0%

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

P 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $656 0–1¢

Polymarket 0.0%

0.1¢

UConn

Vol $23.1M Spread 0.0%

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

P 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $18.8M 0–1¢

Polymarket 0.0%

Vol $4.2M 0.1¢

USD

UC San Diego

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–11¢

USB

UC Santa Barbara

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–2¢

UNC Asheville

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–100¢

USC

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–7¢

Vanderbilt

Vol — Spread 0.0%

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

P 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $9.1K 0–1¢

Polymarket 0.0%

0.1¢

VCU

Vol $6 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $6 0–1¢

Vermont

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–100¢

Villanova

Vol $12 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $12 0–1¢

Virginia

Vol — Spread 0.0%

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

P 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $477 0–1¢

Polymarket 0.0%

0.1¢

Virginia Tech

Vol $100 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $100 0–5¢

Wake Forest

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–11¢

Weber St.

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–100¢

Western Kentucky

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–100¢

West Virginia

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–11¢

Winthrop

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–100¢

Wisconsin

Vol $1.8K Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $1.8K 0–1¢

Wofford

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–100¢

Xavier

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–6¢

Yale

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–100¢

Youngstown St.

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–100¢

Outcome	Aggregated	Spread	Volume	Kalshi	Polymarket
MI Michigan	100.0% — +0.0%	0.0%	$20.9M	Kalshi 100.0% 99–100¢ Vol $18.5M	Polymarket 100.0% 99.9–100¢ Vol $2.4M
AL Alabama	0.0% — +0.0%	0.0%	$957.4K	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $10.4K	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢ Vol $947.0K
AR Arizona	0.0% — +0.0%	0.0%	$2.2M	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $141.4K	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢ Vol $2.1M
AR Arkansas	0.0% — +0.0%	0.0%	$911.5K	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $21.5K	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢ Vol $890.0K
AU Auburn	0.0% — +0.0%	0.0%	—	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $0	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢
BA Baylor	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–12¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
BS Boise St.	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
BC Boston College	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–5¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
BR Bryant	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
BU Butler	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–6¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
BY BYU	0.0% — +0.0%	0.0%	—	Kalshi 0.0% 0–16¢ Vol $1.1K	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢
CH Charleston	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–4¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
CH Chattanooga	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$26	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $26	Polymarket — —
CI Cincinnati	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–8¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
CL Clemson	0.0% — +0.0%	0.0%	—	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $1	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢
CO Colgate	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
CS Colorado St.	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
CR Creighton	0.0% — +0.0%	0.0%	—	Kalshi 0.0% 0–6¢ Vol $0	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢
DA Dayton	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$7	Kalshi 0.0% 0–4¢ Vol $7	Polymarket — —
DR Drake	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
DU Duke North Carolina	0.0% — +0.0%	0.0%	$1.1M	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $89.9K	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢ Vol $1.1M
EK Eastern Kentucky	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
FA Fairfield	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
FD FDU	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
FL Florida	0.0% — +0.0%	0.0%	—	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $11.8K	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢
FS Florida St.	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–11¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
FU Furman	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
GE Georgetown	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–6¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
GO Gonzaga	0.0% — +0.0%	0.0%	—	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $6.1K	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢
GC Grand Canyon	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
HP High Point	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$20	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $20	Polymarket — —
HO Hofstra	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$70	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $70	Polymarket — —
HO Houston	0.0% — +0.0%	0.0%	$807.0K	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $19.3K	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢ Vol $787.6K
HO Howard	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$1	Kalshi 0.0% 0–9¢ Vol $1	Polymarket — —
IL Illinois	0.0% — +0.0%	0.0%	$2.1M	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $64.8K	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢ Vol $2.0M
IN Indiana	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$1	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $1	Polymarket — —
IS Indiana St.	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
IO Iona	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
IO Iowa	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$6.0K	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $6.0K	Polymarket — —
IS Iowa St.	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$15.8K	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $15.8K	Polymarket — —
IS Iowa State	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$2.6M	Kalshi — —	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢ Vol $2.6M
KA Kansas	0.0% — +0.0%	0.0%	—	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $5.1K	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢
KS Kansas St.	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–11¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
KE Kentucky	0.0% — +0.0%	0.0%	—	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $34	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢
LI Liberty	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
LO Longwood	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
LO Louisville	0.0% — +0.0%	0.0%	—	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $20	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢
LC Loyola Chicago	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–6¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
MA Marquette	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–6¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
MC McNeese	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$1	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $1	Polymarket — —
ME Memphis	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–6¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
MF Miami (FL)	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$274	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $274	Polymarket — —
MS Michigan St.	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$4.4K	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $4.4K	Polymarket — —
MS Michigan State	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$925.3K	Kalshi — —	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢ Vol $925.3K
MS Mississippi State	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
MI Missouri	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
MO Montana	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
MS Murray St.	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
NS NC State	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$191.5K	Kalshi — —	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢ Vol $191.5K
NE Nebraska	0.0% — +0.0%	0.0%	$831.9K	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $4.7K	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢ Vol $827.2K
NE Nevada	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
NC North Carolina	0.0% — +0.0%	0.0%	—	Kalshi 0.0% 0–5¢ Vol $307	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢
NCS North Carolina St.	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
ND Notre Dame	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–11¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
OA Oakland	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
OS Ohio St.	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$5	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $5	Polymarket — —
OK Oklahoma	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
OM Ole Miss	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
OR Oral Roberts	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
OR Oregon	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
PI Pittsburgh	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–11¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
PR Princeton	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
PR Providence	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–6¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
PU Purdue	0.0% — +0.0%	0.0%	$3.4M	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $31.9K	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢ Vol $3.4M
QU Quinnipiac	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
RI Richmond	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–6¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
SL Saint Louis	0.0% — +0.0%	—	—	Kalshi — —	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢
SMS Saint Mary's	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$14	Kalshi 0.0% 0–26¢ Vol $14	Polymarket — —
SDS San Diego St.	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$1	Kalshi 0.0% 0–5¢ Vol $1	Polymarket — —
SF San Francisco	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–11¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
SC Santa Clara	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$6	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $6	Polymarket — —
SH Seton Hall	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–6¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
SM SMU	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$25	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $25	Polymarket — —
SDS South Dakota St.	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
ST Stanford	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–6¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
SB St. Bonaventure	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–4¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
SFA Stephen F. Austin	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
SJS St. John's	0.0% — +0.0%	0.0%	$880.2K	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $12.7K	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢ Vol $867.5K
SY Syracuse	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–11¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
TC TCU	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$4	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $4	Polymarket — —
TE Tennessee	0.0% — +0.0%	0.0%	$1.2M	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $35.1K	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢ Vol $1.2M
TE Texas	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$681	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $681	Polymarket — —
TAM Texas A&M	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$270	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $270	Polymarket — —
TT Texas Tech	0.0% — +0.0%	0.0%	—	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $3.3K	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢
UI UC Irvine	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
UC UCLA	0.0% — +0.0%	0.0%	—	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $656	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢
UC UConn	0.0% — +0.0%	0.0%	$23.1M	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $18.8M	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢ Vol $4.2M
USD UC San Diego	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–11¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
USB UC Santa Barbara	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–2¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
UA UNC Asheville	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
US USC	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–7¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
VA Vanderbilt	0.0% — +0.0%	0.0%	—	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $9.1K	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢
VC VCU	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$6	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $6	Polymarket — —
VE Vermont	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
VI Villanova	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$12	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $12	Polymarket — —
VI Virginia	0.0% — +0.0%	0.0%	—	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $477	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢
VT Virginia Tech	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$100	Kalshi 0.0% 0–5¢ Vol $100	Polymarket — —
WF Wake Forest	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–11¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
WS Weber St.	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
WK Western Kentucky	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
WV West Virginia	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–11¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
WI Winthrop	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
WI Wisconsin	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$1.8K	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $1.8K	Polymarket — —
WO Wofford	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
XA Xavier	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–6¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
YA Yale	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
YS Youngstown St.	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —

Probability Over Time

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Period:

Platform:

Chart settings

Aggregated (VWAP)

Volume

Kalshi

Polymarket

Cross-Venue Spread

Odds on Most Outstanding Player

Current probabilities across platforms with liquidity indicators

Sort:

Elliot Cadeau

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 100.0%

↑ +98.5%

K 100.0%

Kalshi 100.0%

Vol $0 99–100¢

Aday Mara

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

↓ -4.5%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–1¢

AJ Dybantsa

Vol $0 Spread 0.0%

Agg 0.0%

↓ -5.4%

K 0.0%

P 0.0%

Alex Condon

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

↓ -2.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–1¢

Alex Karaban

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

↓ -1.5%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–1¢

Boogie Fland

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

↓ -1.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–1¢

Braden Smith

Vol $0 Spread 0.0%

Agg 0.0%

↓ -4.7%

K 0.0%

P 0.0%

Brayden Burries

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

↓ -5.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–1¢

Caleb Wilson

Vol $0 Spread 0.0%

Agg 0.0%

↓ -5.1%

K 0.0%

P 0.0%

Cameron Boozer

Vol $0 Spread 0.0%

Agg 0.0%

↓ -21.5%

K 0.0%

P 0.0%

DAJ

Darius Acuff Jr.

Vol $0 Spread 0.0%

Agg 0.0%

↓ -3.5%

K 0.0%

P 0.0%

Darryn Peterson

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

↓ -2.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–1¢

Emanuel Sharp

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

↓ -1.5%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–1¢

Graham Ike

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

↓ -1.5%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–1¢

Isaiah Evans

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

↓ -1.5%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–1¢

Jaden Bradley

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

↓ -8.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–1¢

JFJ

Jeremy Fears Jr.

Vol $0 Spread 0.0%

Agg 0.0%

↓ -3.8%

K 0.0%

P 0.0%

Joshua Jefferson

Vol $0 Spread 0.0%

Agg 0.0%

↓ -3.5%

K 0.0%

P 0.0%

JT Toppin

Vol $0 Spread 0.0%

Agg 0.0%

↓ -5.5%

K 0.0%

P 0.0%

Keaton Wagler

Vol $0 Spread 0.0%

Agg 0.0%

↓ -5.6%

K 0.0%

P 0.0%

Kingston Flemings

Vol $0 Spread 0.0%

Agg 0.0%

↓ -5.2%

K 0.0%

P 0.0%

Koa Peat

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

↓ -4.5%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–1¢

Milan Momcilovic

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

↓ -1.5%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–1¢

Milos Uzan

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

↓ -3.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–1¢

MJJ

Morez Johnson Jr.

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

↓ -1.5%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–1¢

Motiejus Krivas

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

↓ -1.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–1¢

Solo Ball

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

↓ -1.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–1¢

Tamin Lipsey

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

↓ -1.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–1¢

TRJ

Tarris Reed Jr.

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

↓ -1.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–1¢

Thomas Haugh

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

↓ -5.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–1¢

TCW

Tie/Co-Winners

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

↓ -1.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–1¢

TKR

Trey Kaufman-Renn

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

↓ -1.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–1¢

Xaivian Lee

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

↓ -1.5%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–1¢

Yaxel Lendeborg

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

↓ -6.5%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–1¢

Zuby Ejiofor

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

↓ -1.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–1¢

Outcome	Aggregated	Spread	Volume	Kalshi	Polymarket
EC Elliot Cadeau	100.0% ↑ +98.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 100.0% 99–100¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
AM Aday Mara	0.0% ↓ -4.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
AD AJ Dybantsa	0.0% ↓ -5.4%	0.0%	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $0	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢ Vol $0
AC Alex Condon	0.0% ↓ -2.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
AK Alex Karaban	0.0% ↓ -1.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
BF Boogie Fland	0.0% ↓ -1.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
BS Braden Smith	0.0% ↓ -4.7%	0.0%	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $0	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢ Vol $0
BB Brayden Burries	0.0% ↓ -5.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
CW Caleb Wilson	0.0% ↓ -5.1%	0.0%	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $0	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢ Vol $0
CB Cameron Boozer	0.0% ↓ -21.5%	0.0%	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $0	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢ Vol $0
DAJ Darius Acuff Jr.	0.0% ↓ -3.5%	0.0%	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $0	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢ Vol $0
DP Darryn Peterson	0.0% ↓ -2.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
ES Emanuel Sharp	0.0% ↓ -1.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
GI Graham Ike	0.0% ↓ -1.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
IE Isaiah Evans	0.0% ↓ -1.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
JB Jaden Bradley	0.0% ↓ -8.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
JFJ Jeremy Fears Jr.	0.0% ↓ -3.8%	0.0%	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $0	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢ Vol $0
JJ Joshua Jefferson	0.0% ↓ -3.5%	0.0%	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $0	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢ Vol $0
JT JT Toppin	0.0% ↓ -5.5%	0.0%	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $0	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢ Vol $0
KW Keaton Wagler	0.0% ↓ -5.6%	0.0%	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $0	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢ Vol $0
KF Kingston Flemings	0.0% ↓ -5.2%	0.0%	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $0	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢ Vol $0
KP Koa Peat	0.0% ↓ -4.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
MM Milan Momcilovic	0.0% ↓ -1.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
MU Milos Uzan	0.0% ↓ -3.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
MJJ Morez Johnson Jr.	0.0% ↓ -1.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
MK Motiejus Krivas	0.0% ↓ -1.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
SB Solo Ball	0.0% ↓ -1.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
TL Tamin Lipsey	0.0% ↓ -1.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
TRJ Tarris Reed Jr.	0.0% ↓ -1.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
TH Thomas Haugh	0.0% ↓ -5.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
TCW Tie/Co-Winners	0.0% ↓ -1.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
TKR Trey Kaufman-Renn	0.0% ↓ -1.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
XL Xaivian Lee	0.0% ↓ -1.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
YL Yaxel Lendeborg	0.0% ↓ -6.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
ZE Zuby Ejiofor	0.0% ↓ -1.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–1¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —

Latest NCAA Men’s tournament predictions update

There have been some significant price moves in March Madness prediction markets this week. These are the major changes we’ve seen in the wake of recent developments:

Title game tonight: The NCAA Men’s national championship takes place tonight at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, with tipoff set for 8:50 p.m. ET. Michigan remains favored to win, trading for 74% at Kalshi and Polymarket, with UConn at 26%.
National championship game: It’s Michigan vs. UConn in the finale of March Madness. The Wolverines advanced over Arizona, while the Huskies took down Illinois in the Final Four matchups. Michigan is the favorite to win the tournament, trading at 73% on both Kalshi and Polymarket.
Michigan favored heading into semifinals: Ahead of Saturday night’s Final Four matchups, Michigan is a slight favorite over Arizona in prediction market national championship odds. The two squads square off in game two, following Illinois vs. UConn.
Final Four matchups: The Final Four happens on Saturday, April 4. It’ll be Illinois vs. UConn and Michigan vs. Arizona. The winners advance to the men’s national championship game, which takes place on Monday, April 6.
Michigan, UConn advance: The men’s semifinal field is all set. Michigan defeated Tennessee, and UConn upset Duke on Sunday to advance. Michigan and Arizona are battling for the outright favorite spot at prediction market sites.
Arizona, Illinois advance: Arizona and Illinois qualified for the Final Four with wins over Purdue and Iowa, respectively, on Saturday night. In overall tournament winner odds, Arizona holds the top spot, listed for 38% at Kalshi and 37% at Polymarket.
Elite Eight set: Duke, Michigan, UConn, and Tennessee advanced with victories on Friday night. The Elite Eight takes place on Saturday and Sunday, with winners advancing to the Final Four. Arizona remains the overall favorite, listed with a 26% chance at Kalshi and 27% at Polymarket.
Four teams advance: Purdue, Iowa, Illinois, and Arizona advanced to the Elite Eight with wins on Thursday night. Arizona has taken over as the outright favorite to win March Madness, listed for 27% at the leading platforms. Michigan is second, with Duke in third.
Tournament resumes: The Sweet 16 tips off on Thursday night with four games. Michigan is now in the lead as the outright favorite to win it all, trading for 22% at Kalshi and 23% at Polymarket. Arizona holds the second spot, followed by Duke.
Sweet 16 set: The second round wrapped up on Sunday. The higher seed advanced in five of the eight games. The most notable upset was Iowa taking down defending national champion Florida. Arizona is currently a slight favorite at prediction markets to win the tournament, with Michigan in second.
Round two continues: It’s another eight games on Sunday, with winners advancing to the Sweet 16. Heading into the day, Michigan has taken a slight edge as the overall favorite to win March Madness, trading for 21% at Kalshi and 20% at Polymarket. Arizona and Duke are jockeying for second place.
Texas knocks off Gonzaga: The higher seed advanced in seven of eight games on Saturday. The lone upset was a notable one, with #11 seed Texas advancing over #3 Gonzaga 74-68. The Longhorns are the lowest-seed team to advance to the Sweet 16 thus far.
Second round tips off: The second round begins on Saturday with eight games across the nation. The day begins with Saint Louis vs. Michigan, and concludes with High Point vs. Arkansas. Arizona and Michigan are co-favorites to win, with both teams trading for 19% at Kalshi and Polymarket.
Opening round concludes: The first round of the NCAA Men’s tournament concluded on Friday. There were no major upsets on day two, with the higher-seeded team advancing in 14 of 16 games. The lone exceptions were a pair of #9 seeds over #8 seeds: Utah State defeated Villanova, and Iowa took down Clemson.
Round one continues: Another 16 games are on tap for Friday as round one of the NCAA Men’s tournament continues. Following day one, Arizona is a slight favorite to win it all at Kalshi, trading for 19%. Michigan is tops at Polymarket at 19%. On both platforms, it remains a tight chase between these two squads and Duke for the top spot.
Day one upsets: The most notable upset for day one was #12 seed High Point surprising with an 83-82 win over #5 Wisconsin. The higher seed advanced in 10 of the 16 day one games. Wisconsin was the highest seed to go down to defeat, followed by #6 North Carolina, 82-78 victims in overtime to #11 VCU.
Duke survives scare: The top-seeded Blue Devils were down 43-32 to 16th seed Siena at halftime, but managed to rally for a 71-65 victory. Duke’s chances to win March Madness dipped as the game was playing out, but rebounded to 18% at both Kalshi and Polymarket following the victory.
First round begins: The first round of the NCAA Men’s tournament tips off on Thursday, March 19, with 16 games across the nation. At Kalshi, Duke remains the outright favorite, with a 20% chance of winning. Over at Polymarket, Duke and Michigan are tied for the top spot, with both teams trading for 19%.
First Four completed: On Tuesday, Texas advanced over NC State to secure the 11th seed in the West Region, and Howard topped UMBC to nab the 16th seed in the Midwest Region. On Wednesday, it was Prairie View A&M over Lehigh for the 16th seed in the South, and Miami-Ohio getting the better of SMU for the 11th seed in the Midwest.
Bracket released: The full 68-team bracket was unveiled on Sunday night. Duke landed the top seed in the East. Michigan is the #1 seed in the Midwest, with Florida (South) and Arizona (West) rounding out the four slots. Duke remains the overall favorite to win, currently at 21% on both Kalshi and Polymarket.

Last updated: April 6, 2026

March Madness favorites to win

The current favorite to win March Madness is Michigan. The Wolverines will take on UConn in the national championship game on Monday, April 6. Michigan is trading at 74% on Kalshi and Polymarket, with UConn at 26%. Heading into the tournament, Michigan was one of the top three favorites to win, along with Arizona and Duke.

Michigan’s odds to win March Madness

Michigan is the favorite to win March Madness. The Wolverines will take on UConn in the national championship game. They’re listed at a 74% chance to win at both Kalshi and Polymarket. Pricing continues to adjust in the active market.

Michigan entered the tournament as the first seed in the Midwest Region. They’ve won all five of their tournament games by double digits. In the Final Four, they defeated Arizona, the top seed in the West Region, by a score of 91-73.

UConn’s odds to win March Madness

UConn is trading for 26% on the leading predictions market platforms, leaving them as underdogs for the national championship game against Michigan. They began tournament play as the second seed in the East Region.

Following a tight 67-63 win over Michigan State in the third round, they pulled out a 73-72 upset over Duke in the regional final. Freshman guard Braylon Mullins scored the game-winner in the last second. UConn defeated Illinois 71-62 in the Final Four.

March Madness national championship matchup

The NCAA Men’s national championship game takes place on Monday, April 6, at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, IN. You can trade on the game at prediction markets, with contracts available for game winners, spread, total, and more. Tipoff is set for 8:50 p.m ET. Here are the latest probabilities to win the game at Kalshi.

(1) Michigan (74%) vs. (2) UConn (26%)

March Madness upsets

The potential for upsets at any time is part of what makes March Madness so exciting. Each year, there are some surprises that few – if any – are expecting. These unexpected results have come to be known as bracket busters, as in games that wreak havoc on scores of March Madness brackets.

For the first round of the tournament, the higher-seeded team advanced in 24 of 32 matchups. The biggest upset was #5 Wisconsin going down at the hands of #12 High Point. For the second round, the higher seed advanced in 12 of 16 games. The most notable surprise was #11 Texas defeating #3 Gonzaga.

In the Sweet 16, the lowest seed to advance was #9 Iowa with a victory over #4 Nebraska. In the Elite Eight, the higher seed advanced in three of four games, with #2 UConn advancing over #1 Duke. Here’s the complete rundown of March Madness upsets.

(9) TCU over (8) Ohio State
(12) High Point over (5) Wisconsin
(11) VCU over (6) North Carolina in overtime
(11) Texas over (6) Texas
(10) Texas A&M over (7) Saint Mary’s
(9) Saint Louis over (8) Georgia
(9) Utah State over (8) Villanova
(9) Iowa over (8) Clemson
(11) Texas over (3) Gonzaga
(9) Iowa over (1) Florida
(6) Tennessee over (3) Virginia
(5) St. John’s over (4) Kansas
(9) Iowa over (4) Nebraska
(3) Illinois over (2) Houston
(2) UConn over (1) Duke

The ease of real-time trading at Kalshi and Polymarket lets you enter and exit positions while games are in progress, such as buying shares of a team that you expect to come back, or selling and cutting your losses on squads facing big deficits.

March Madness prediction markets

The best prediction sites offer a wide range of markets on the NCAA Division 1 Men’s Basketball Tournament. These are the most popular markets.

Tournament winner

This is the main March Madness futures market. Kalshi refers to it as the “Men’s College Basketball Champion,” while Polymarket lists it as the “2026 NCAA Tournament Winner.” The terms are different, but it’s the same underlying question – which team will lift the trophy at the end of March Madness?

The market has already generated more than $48M in combined volume, with the bulk of it going through Kalshi. You simply need to predict who will become the national champion. If you think a team will win March Madness, buy “yes” contracts. If not, buy “no” contracts.

You can also sell your contracts before they settle. For example, you might buy “yes” contracts on a team before the tournament, and sell them at a higher price if that team reaches the Elite Eight. This gives you the chance to lock in a guaranteed profit, without waiting to see how your team performs.

Qualify for the championship game

You can also back a team to qualify for the national championship game. If the team reaches the final of March Madness, the contract will resolve to “yes” immediately. It will resolve to “no” if they’re eliminated at any stage.

Liquidity is much thinner on this market. It launched on February 2 at Kalshi, but it has only attracted around $96,000 in volume so far. Interest should spike as March Madness approaches and hoops fans start filling in their brackets.

Reach a certain round

Prediction sites are also offering contracts on whether each team will reach a certain stage of the tournament. At Kalshi, you can buy yes/no contracts on whether a team will qualify for the Round of 64, Round of 32, Round of 16, Round of 8, or the “Men’s Semifinals.” That’s essentially the First Round, Second Round, Sweet 16 (Regional Semifinals), Elite Eight (Regional Finals), or the Final Four.

This could be a safer option than backing a team to win the tournament. If you think a team has a pretty clear path to the Elite Eight or the Final Four, just back them to qualify for the Round of 8 or the Men’s Semifinals.

Naismith Player of the Year

Cameron Boozer is the clear favorite to win the Naismith Trophy for Men’s College Player of the Year in 2026. The award is normally announced in early April, during the Final Four weekend.

More than $350,000 has been traded on this market at Kalshi. In late November 2025, Boozer had a 22% implied chance of winning the award. His odds then spiked, and he’s now trading at 99%. Polymarket also has 99% on Duke’s power forward, leaving him well ahead of the chasing pack.

March Madness Most Outstanding Player predictions

Following the conclusion of the championship game, one player will be named the winner of the March Madness Most Outstanding Player award. You can trade on who that will be at both Kalshi and Polymarket. At Kalshi, Michigan’s Aday Mara is favored to win at 37%, ahead of teammate Yaxel Lendeborg at 23%.

UConn’s Tarris Reed Jr. is the third choice at 19%. Behind the leaders on both platforms, there’s plenty of value to be found on the board as you scout players who could potentially rise to snatch the award.

March Madness props and futures

There are numerous March Madness props and futures available at prediction markets. Kalshi has seven markets open for business in the futures section. The overall tournament winner is the headliner, but there are also markets for qualifiers in each round as it all plays out. For props, Kalshi offered 25 ahead of the tournament, including many options for March Madness upsets.

Polymarket listed all of its options under the futures tab and offered trading on 13 markets before the tournament started. There is some crossover on what’s available between the two platforms, but the wording of the contracts is slightly different. Here’s the complete list of March Madness futures at Kalshi.

Men’s College Basketball Champion
Men’s Round of 64 Qualifiers
Men’s Round of 32 Qualifiers
Men’s Round of 16 Qualifiers
Men’s Round of 8 Qualifiers
Men’s Semifinal qualifiers
Men’s Championship Game Qualifiers

Beyond the champion, the markets currently attracting the most interest are the round of 64, round of 16, and semifinal qualifiers. All have exceeded over $1 million in volume and are climbing rapidly. We expect the same for the other markets as the week moves along. Here’s what Kalshi has on the menu for March Madness tournament props.

Number of upsets in the Round of 64
Seed to win the Men’s College Basketball Championship
#16 seed to win a game in the Round of 64
#14 seed or higher to win a game in the Round of 64
#15 or #16 seed to win a game in the Round of 64
#1 seeds to reach the Semifinals
Highest numerical seed to qualify for the Round of 32
#12 seeds to win in the Round of 64
Sum of seeds in the Men’s College Basketball Semifinals
Highest numerical seed to qualify for the Round of 16
Biggest upset in the Men’s College Basketball Tournament
#1 seeds to reach the Round of 16
Conference to win Men’s College Basketball Championship
#13 seed to win a game in the Round of 64
Number of upsets in the Round of 32
Highest numerical seed to qualify for the Round of 8
Highest numerical seed to qualify for the Semifinals
#1 seeds to reach the Round of 8
Men’s College Basketball Tournament: Player Points
#2 seeds to reach the Semifinals
Sum of seeds in the Men’s College Basketball Championship Game
Men’s College Basketball Tournament: Triple-Double
#2 seeds to reach the Round of 8
Number of upsets in the Round of 8
Number of upsets in the Round of 16

March Madness mention markets

As the tournament plays out, mention markets, also called “Who will say,” give you the chance to trade on what the announcers will or won’t say during the tournament. Kalshi had markets open on what the announcers would say during the first two rounds. We can expect that to continue throughout the rest of the tournament.

Over at Polymarket, there is a mention-related market tucked into the NCAAB futures category – NCAA Tournament: Number of Rothstein “This is March” tweets. Jon Rothstein is a college basketball insider for CBS Sports, one of the broadcast homes of the tournament.

This market has been open since March 1 and will resolve on April 7, 2026, at 2:00 a.m. ET. The goal is to pinpoint the number of tweets that he’ll unleash with that phrase. The current probability leader is 51-60, currently trading at 7%.

Markets on NCAA Tournament games

You’ll also find markets on each game during March Madness. These are the most common options:

Moneyline: A simple prediction on which team will win a game. If you think a team will win, buy “yes” contracts on them.
Spread: One team is given a handicap, and you can then predict who will cover the point spread. For example, Kentucky might be the 5.5-point favorite against South Carolina. If you think Kentucky will win by at least 6 points, buy “yes” contracts on the Wildcats. If you expect South Carolina to win or lose by up to 5 points, back it to cover the spread.
Total: A prediction on the total goals that both teams will combine for during the game. For example, the line might be 148.5 points. If you think the game will see at least 149First-halfuy “yes” contracts. If not, choose “no.”
First-half winner: Kalshi also offers a first-half winner market on NCAAB games. This market settles at half-time, so the second half is irrelevant.

March Madness schedule

Here are the key dates to know as this year’s edition of March Madness plays out.

March 15: Selection Sunday
March 17-18: First Four
March 19-20: First round
March 21-22: Second round
March 26-27: Sweet 16
March 28-29: Elite Eight
April 4: Final Four
April 6: NCAA championship game

Matchups will take place at venues across the nation. The Final Four and the national championship game will be held at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, IN.

March Madness recent winners and trends

Here’s a look back at the last decade of national champions and who they took down in the title tilt.

2025: Florida over Houston
2024: UConn over Purdue
2023: UConn over San Diego St.
2022: Kansas over North Carolina
2021: Baylor over Gonzaga
2020: Tournament not held
2019: Virginia over Texas Tech
2018: Villanova over Michigan
2017: North Carolina over Gonzaga
2016: Villanova over North Carolina

UCLA has the most national championships with 11, last winning in 1995. At the conference level, the ACC and Pac-12 are tied for the most championship teams with 15 apiece. North Carolina is the program with the most Final Four appearances at 21, last making it that far in 2022. Michigan St. has the longest active streak of consecutive tournament appearances, reaching for the 28th time this season.

Where to trade or bet on NCAA men’s tournament

The leading prediction sites will offer a broad range of markets on the NCAA Division 1 Men’s Basketball Tournament. These are the best sites:

Kalshi: This popular app offers deeper liquidity on March Madness markets than any other prediction site. That should make it easy for you to open and exit positions during the NCAA Tournament. Kalshi offers lots of futures markets on the overall tournament, plus individual markets on each game.
Polymarket: A federally regulated prediction site that features lots of futures markets on the NCAA Tournament. You can also buy and sell contracts on individual NCAAB games at Polymarket. The site struggles to compete with Kalshi in terms of college basketball trading volume right now, but that could change when the tournament gets underway. Polymarket often has better prices on specific markets than Kalshi, and the fees can be cheaper, so it’s worth signing up with both sites.
DraftKings: The major U.S. sports betting companies are expanding into prediction markets, with DraftKings, FanDuel, Fanatics, and Underdog leading the charge. DraftKings stands out by offering a smooth user interface, a 100% deposit match welcome bonus, and fast payouts. You’ll find spreads, totals, and moneylines on each NCAAB game at DraftKings Predictions. The site also has a futures market on the “College Basketball Champion 2026,” with competitive prices on big teams like Duke, Michigan, Arizona, Houston, and Florida.

Trading from Florida? Here’s everything you need to know about Florida prediction apps.

Advantages of March Madness prediction markets

You can unlock a wide range of benefits by signing up for prediction sites:

Availability: Sites like Kalshi and Polymarket are available nationwide. They’re especially popular in states that haven’t legalized online sports betting, such as California, Texas, and Georgia.
Juice: Prediction sites don’t build a house edge (juice or vig) into their lines. They simply allow you to trade contracts with fellow sports fans. The sites take a small hosting fee, but it’s typically much lower than the juice you’ll pay at a sportsbook. That means you’ll normally earn larger profits on winning plays, which boosts your chances of ending March Madness in the black. Just convert the prices at prediction sites into American odds (use the toggle above or our prediction market calculators), and you’ll see that they’re normally much sharper than sportsbook odds.
Flexibility: You can sell an open contract before the event takes place. This gives you the chance to lock in a guaranteed profit. For instance, you might back a team to win the NCAA Tournament and sell your contracts for a higher price when they reach the Sweet 16. It’s similar to cashing out an open sports bet, but the terms are normally much better when you sell contracts on prediction sites.
Bonuses: The prediction markets industry has exploded in popularity over the past year, and new sites are trying to muscle their way in. This creates a very competitive field, and the top companies are offering large bonuses in a bid to attract more traders. March Madness is one of the most popular sporting events of the year, so it’s a key battleground for prediction sites. That means you’ll find some solid bonuses and promos this year.
Regulated: Sites like Kalshi, Polymarket, and DraftKings Predictions are regulated at a federal level by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. You can rely on them to keep you safe, settle contracts fairly, and pay out when you request a withdrawal.

NCAA men’s tournament resolution criteria

The resolution criteria for the NCAA Tournament are clear and simple:

Futures contracts: If a team wins the NCAA Division 1 Men’s Basketball Tournament, the market will resolve to “yes” and settle at $1.
Elimination: If a team is eliminated, the contracts will resolve to “no.” They will settle at $0. Kalshi will also settle contracts as “no” if a team is disqualified or forfeits. Check the full rules here.
Resolution source: Polymarket will use the NCAA as its resolution source. If a team is eliminated. Kalshi is relying on ESPN, The Wall Street Journal, AP, and Fox Sports.
Cancellation clause: If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other” at Polymarket.