The UFC heads to T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, for a monumental welterweight clash on Saturday, with legacy and positioning in the division on the line as Conor McGregor takes on Max Holloway in a highly anticipated rematch.
The main card kicks off at 9:00 p.m. ET on Paramount +.
Prediction markets currently favor Holloway to get his hand raised in the sequel. First-time Polymarket traders can enter promo code RATE to unlock a $50 bonus to use on the McGregor vs. Holloway 2 fixture.
How to claim the Polymarket $50 bonus for UFC 329 McGregor vs. Holloway 2
Enter the promo code RATE when creating a new Polymarket account to claim a $50 trading bonus for UFC 329 markets. Here are the steps to follow to sign up and claim the bonus:
| Platform | Sign-up bonus | Promo code | How to claim | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
★ Open in US
Polymarket | Deposit $20, Get $50 Bonus |
RATE
| Use promo code RATE on sign up | Claim Now! |
- Download the Polymarket app: Install the free Polymarket app for your Apple or Android device and tap Sign Up. Polymarket.com is an international platform and does not allow U.S. users.
- Enter promo code RATE: Add code RATE when you create a new account.
- Verify your identity: Provide the requested verification information and be prepared with a government-issued photo ID.
- Fund the account: Deposit at least $20 using an available payment method, including a bank account, debit card, Apple Pay, or wire transfer.
- Place a first trade: Review the market rules and place a first trade on a UFC 329 market. The $50 bonus is applied after your initial $20+ deposit.
Full terms and conditions are available on our Polymarket promo code guide.
| Promo Code | Eligible States |
|---|---|
| RATE | All States + DC, excluding NV |
UFC 329 market odds
| Outcome | Prediction Odds | American Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway | 31% / 70% | +223 / -233 |
| Paddy Pimblett vs Benoit Saint Denis | 46% / 55% | +117 / -122 |
| Cory Sandhagen vs Mario Bautista | 58% / 43% | -138 / +133 |
| Brandon Royval vs Lone’er Kavanagh | 34% / 67% | +194 / -203 |
| King Green vs. Terrance McKinney | 52% / 49% | -108 / +104 |
UFC 329 Main Event: McGregor vs. Holloway preview
More than a decade after their first meeting, Conor McGregor and Max Holloway finally run it back in the UFC 329 main event, and the stakes couldn’t be higher. Their 2013 encounter ended with McGregor’s hand raised via decision, but both men have transformed since then into vastly different fighters. McGregor (22-6) remains one of the sport’s most dangerous strikers, capable of ending a fight in a single exchange, though questions about his ring rust and durability persist heading into this rematch. Holloway (26-7), meanwhile, has established himself as one of the best volume strikers of his generation with relentless pace and an iron chin that has seen him survive some of the toughest tests in UFC history.
This fight is precision power vs. suffocating output stylistically. McGregor will try to control range early, mixing in his signature left hand and calculated counters to catch Holloway before the pace picks up. Holloway’s game plan will likely be about pressure, forcing exchanges, and taking the fight into deeper rounds where his volume tends to overwhelm even elite strikers. If McGregor can’t close the show early, Holloway’s ability to grind opponents down over five rounds becomes a serious problem.
Polymarket currently has Holloway as the clear favorite at a 70% chance, with McGregor sitting at 31% as the live underdog. That gap suggests traders trust Holloway’s consistency and durability more than McGregor’s finishing upside off a long layoff. For prediction market traders, the core question is whether McGregor’s power is enough to end things early, or if Holloway’s pace makes him the safer play across a full five-round fight.
Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista preview
Beyond the McGregor-Holloway headliner, UFC 329 brings a stacked undercard with plenty of markets worth trading.
A key bantamweight clash is among the featured matchups, as Cory Sandhagen takes on Mario Bautista in a fight with real contender implications. Sandhagen has long been considered one of the division’s most technically gifted strikers, using elite footwork and a diverse kicking arsenal to control distance against nearly anyone he faces. Meanwhile, Bautista has quietly built an impressive resume by putting relentless pressure and using well-rounded grappling to grind out tough outs inside the Octagon.
This fight is going to be a style battle of whether Sandhagen can keep this at range and pick his shots, or Bautista can close the distance and make it a wrestling-heavy grind. If Sandhagen can find his rhythm early and control the pace with his length, he has a clear path to a decision or late finish. If Bautista manages to close the gap and impose his physicality, he could wear down the more finesse-based Sandhagen over three rounds.
Polymarket has Sandhagen favored at a 58% chance, with Bautista sitting close behind at 43%. That relatively tight line signals traders view this as competitive, with Bautista’s pressure a legitimate threat to Sandhagen’s technical striking game. For those looking to diversify beyond the main event, this bantamweight showdown offers one of the better value plays on the card.
The rest of the UFC 329 fight card
The rest of the UFC 329 main card is filled with up-and-comers and seasoned veterans looking to make a statement before the McGregor-Holloway bout closes out the show. French finisher Benoit Saint-Denis returns to action in a key lightweight matchup against the highly-touted Paddy Pimblett. Another featured bout on the main card will see veteran striker King Green looking to put on a show for the crowd against explosive Terrance McKinney in a fast-paced lightweight contest.
Get comfortable early to take in every moment of the action. The early portion of the card starts at 5 p.m. ET with some interesting matchups, including the light heavyweight debut of Robert Whittaker, who takes on Nikita Krylov, the highly anticipated debut of Gold Medalist Gable Steveson, and a bantamweight scrap between former champion Cody Garbrandt and Adrian Yanez. The main card begins at 9 p.m. ET.
Why trade UFC 329 on Polymarket
Instead of making a standard moneyline bet on a fight like McGregor vs. Holloway 2, you can trade real-time probabilities on Polymarket, which is a different option than your typical sportsbook. You’re not locking in odds before the first bell. Instead, you’re buying shares of outcomes that move dynamically with every strike, takedown, and round won.
You are in complete control of your position in this real-time environment. If McGregor lands a clean shot early, lock in some profits before the round ends. If Holloway starts to get his rhythm and push the pace, trim your exposure before things get out of hand. Prediction markets also have peer-to-peer liquidity and tighter spreads than traditional sportsbooks, which typically have high vigs and limited cash-out flexibility.
It turns every round into an opportunity for strategy, to shift your position based on the fight’s flow, rather than waiting for the final horn. Get your portfolio set up before the Octagon door closes on McGregor vs. Holloway 2, and use promo code RATE for a $50 trading bonus.
NOTE: Prediction markets involve risk, and prices can move quickly before and during live events. Users should trade only with money they can afford to lose, review the rules for each market before buying shares, and avoid chasing losses.
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