The 2026 FIFA World Cup knockout stage continues today at AT&T Stadium, where France and Spain will battle in a win-or-go-home semifinal showdown for a berth in the finals.
Kickoff is scheduled for 3:00 p.m. ET on FOX.
Prediction markets price Les Bleus as a slight favorite to advance over the Spanish powerhouse. First-time Polymarket traders can enter promo code RATE to unlock a $50 bonus to use on the France vs. Spain fixture.
How to claim the Polymarket $50 bonus for France vs Spain
Enter the promo code RATE when creating a new Polymarket account to claim a $50 trading bonus for World Cup markets. Here are the steps to follow to sign up and claim the bonus:
| Platform | Sign-up bonus | Promo code | How to claim | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
★ Open in US
Polymarket | Deposit $20, Get $50 Bonus |
RATE
| Use promo code RATE on sign up | Claim Now! |
- Download the Polymarket app: Install the free Polymarket app for your Apple or Android device and tap Sign Up. Polymarket.com is an international platform and does not allow U.S. users.
- Enter promo code RATE: Add code RATE when you create a new account.
- Verify your identity: Provide the requested verification information and be prepared with a government-issued photo ID.
- Fund the account: Deposit at least $20 using an available payment method, including a bank account, debit card, Apple Pay, or wire transfer.
- Place a first trade: Review the market rules and place a first trade on a World Cup market. The $50 bonus is applied after your initial $20+ deposit.
Full terms and conditions are available on our Polymarket promo code guide.
| Promo Code | Eligible States |
|---|---|
| RATE | All States + DC, excluding NV |
2026 World Cup market odds: France vs Spain
| Outcome | Prediction Odds | American Odds |
|---|---|---|
| France to advance | 59% | -144 |
| Spain to advance | 41% | +144 |
| Regulation time – France | 41% | +144 |
| Regulation time – Spain | 30% | +233 |
| Regulation time – Draw | 31% | +223 |
| Regulation time – France to win by 1.5 goals | 20% | +400 |
| Regulation time – Over 2.5 goals scored | 50% | +100 |
| Regulation time – Both teams to score | 60% | -150 |
France vs Spain preview
Today’s colossal World Cup semifinal sees European giants France and Spain prepare to meet in a titanic clash with the stakes as high as they can be at AT&T Stadium. France is a slight favorite on Polymarket for this match, with a lethal knockout-stage record and a Kylian Mbappé in red-hot form. Didier Deschamps has his team playing with clinical efficiency and, with a clean bill of health, France looks set to book their ticket to a second consecutive final.
But standing in their way is a scintillating Spanish side who have dominated tournament possession metrics through the midfield mastery of Rodri and the explosive wing play of teen sensation Lamine Yamal. All this tactical chess match hinges on whether Spain’s high defensive line can withstand France’s deadly counterattacks.
History reads as a tight, high-octane affair. The sides met in the Euro 2024 semifinals, where Spain edged through 2-1. Spain followed that with a wild 5-4 win in the 2025 UEFA Nations League semifinal. Polymarket traders are watching the live volatility, as even a minor change in starting lineups can flip the Match Winner contracts. With the razor-thin margins of a single-elimination semifinal, smart money might look beyond the volatile 90-minute regulation market.
Polymarket’s wider tournament futures, such as the “World Cup Winner” outright market or the head-to-head match prices to simply “To Advance,” provide highly liquid alternatives to traders looking to hedge against the chaotic risk of extra time or a penalty shootout.
Why trade France vs Spain on Polymarket
Polymarket offers traders a different way to get involved with France vs Spain than a straight pre-match pick, allowing you to buy and sell shares on outcomes as the game unfolds, rather than making a decision before kick-off. If France gets out to an early lead, you can respond in real time, closing a position for a profit or hedging against a change in momentum, which a traditional fixed odds wager just doesn’t allow.
The live, ongoing pricing model makes the match an evolving marketplace rather than a one-off bet, providing smarter traders with greater flexibility to manage risk and seize opportunities as they arise from swings. Traditional sportsbooks lock in your bet the second you make it, but Polymarket’s Orderbook-style trading is more like trading stocks than a traditional betting slip.
New users can also take advantage of a $50 bonus with promo code RATE to start building positions on France vs Spain and other World Cup markets now.
NOTE: Prediction markets involve risk, and prices can move quickly before and during live events. Users should trade only with money they can afford to lose, review the rules for each market before buying shares, and avoid chasing losses.
