Sports Markets NFL Odds and Prediction Markets

2026-2027 NFL Odds & Prediction Markets

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Updated 18 minutes ago · 1:30 PM PDT

The Los Angeles Chargers are the Week 1 favorite at prediction markets with -506 odds or 83.5% implied probability. Next up is Jacksonville trading at -344 (77.5%). This page updates with all NFL games, as released by prediction markets. So far, contracts have generated $34.9K in early trading volume, all of it on Kalshi while Polymarket has not listed the games. Our 2026-2027 NFL odds tracker aggregates live pricing using volume-weighted average pricing (VWAP), with hourly updates.

Largest Spread

0.00%

Current Favorite

83.5%

Los Angeles Chargers +6.0%

30D Volume (Share)

$34.9K

Momentum Leader

+24.5%

Jacksonville 30D change

Odds for all 16 Teams (Sept 9-16)

Current probabilities across platforms with liquidity indicators

Sort:

LAC

Los Angeles Chargers

Vol $1.7K Spread —

Agg 83.5%

↑ +6.0%

Arizona vs Los Angeles C (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)

K 83.5%

Kalshi 83.5%

Vol $1.7K 82–85¢

Jacksonville

Vol $1.6K Spread —

Agg 77.5%

↑ +24.5%

Cleveland vs Jacksonville (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)

K 77.5%

Kalshi 77.5%

Vol $1.6K 76–79¢

Detroit

Vol $1.6K Spread —

Agg 75.5%

↑ +9.5%

New Orleans vs Detroit (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)

K 75.5%

Kalshi 75.5%

Vol $1.6K 74–77¢

Philadelphia

Vol $168 Spread —

Agg 66.5%

↑ +16.0%

Washington vs Philadelphia (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)

K 66.5%

Kalshi 66.5%

Vol $168 65–68¢

Seattle

Vol $3.5K Spread —

Agg 66.0%

↓ -0.5%

New England vs Seattle (Sep 10, 8:35pm EDT)

K 66.0%

Kalshi 66.0%

Vol $3.5K 65–67¢

Las Vegas

Vol $891 Spread —

Agg 64.5%

↑ +13.0%

Miami vs Las Vegas ( Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)

K 64.5%

Kalshi 64.5%

Vol $891 64–65¢

Cincinnati

Vol $249 Spread —

Agg 64.0%

↑ +17.5%

Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)

K 64.0%

Kalshi 64.0%

Vol $249 63–65¢

Baltimore

Vol $312 Spread —

Agg 63.5%

↑ +10.5%

Baltimore vs Indianapolis (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)

K 63.5%

Kalshi 63.5%

Vol $312 62–65¢

LAR

Los Angeles Rams

Vol $1.5K Spread —

Agg 62.5%

↑ +5.0%

San Francisco vs Los Angeles R (Sep 10, 8:35pm EDT)

K 62.5%

Kalshi 62.5%

Vol $1.5K 60–65¢

Dallas

Vol $1.1K Spread —

Agg 61.5%

↑ +14.0%

Dallas vs New York (Sep 13, 8:20pm EDT)

K 61.5%

Kalshi 61.5%

Vol $1.1K 57–66¢

Pittsburgh

Vol $1.2K Spread —

Agg 60.0%

↑ +9.5%

Atlanta vs Pittsburgh (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)

K 60.0%

Kalshi 60.0%

Vol $1.2K 59–61¢

Kansas City

Vol $220 Spread —

Agg 58.5%

↑ +13.0%

Denver vs Kansas City (Sep 14, 8:15pm EDT)

K 58.5%

Kalshi 58.5%

Vol $220 57–60¢

Chicago

Vol $538 Spread —

Agg 57.5%

↑ +10.0%

Chicago vs Carolina (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)

K 57.5%

Kalshi 57.5%

Vol $538 56–59¢

Tennessee

Vol $197 Spread —

Agg 57.5%

↓ -1.5%

New York vs Tennessee (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)

K 57.5%

Kalshi 57.5%

Vol $197 56–59¢

Buffalo

Vol $749 Spread —

Agg 52.5%

↑ +1.5%

Buffalo vs Houston (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)

K 52.5%

Kalshi 52.5%

Vol $749 50–55¢

Green Bay

Vol $1.3K Spread —

Agg 50.5%

↑ +10.0%

Green Bay vs Minnesota (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)

K 50.5%

Kalshi 50.5%

Vol $1.3K 48–53¢

Minnesota

Vol $806 Spread —

Agg 49.0%

↓ -4.0%

Green Bay vs Minnesota (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)

K 49.0%

Kalshi 49.0%

Vol $806 47–51¢

Houston

Vol $366 Spread —

Agg 48.5%

↑ +10.5%

Buffalo vs Houston (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)

K 48.5%

Kalshi 48.5%

Vol $366 47–50¢

Carolina

Vol $190 Spread —

Agg 43.5%

↑ +5.5%

Chicago vs Carolina (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)

K 43.5%

Kalshi 43.5%

Vol $190 43–44¢

Denver

Vol $2.0K Spread —

Agg 42.0%

↓ -9.0%

Denver vs Kansas City (Sep 14, 8:15pm EDT)

K 42.0%

Kalshi 42.0%

Vol $2.0K 41–43¢

NYJ

New York Jets

Vol $715 Spread —

Agg 42.0%

↑ +2.5%

New York vs Tennessee (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)

K 42.0%

Kalshi 42.0%

Vol $715 41–43¢

NYG

New York Giants

Vol $1.4K Spread —

Agg 41.5%

↓ -6.5%

Dallas vs New York (Sep 13, 8:20pm EDT)

K 41.5%

Kalshi 41.5%

Vol $1.4K 40–43¢

Atlanta

Vol $289 Spread —

Agg 40.5%

↑ +4.0%

Atlanta vs Pittsburgh (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)

K 40.5%

Kalshi 40.5%

Vol $289 39–42¢

San Francisco

Vol $1.3K Spread —

Agg 37.5%

↓ -18.0%

San Francisco vs Los Angeles R (Sep 10, 8:35pm EDT)

K 37.5%

Kalshi 37.5%

Vol $1.3K 35–40¢

Indianapolis

Vol $408 Spread —

Agg 36.5%

↓ -6.0%

Baltimore vs Indianapolis (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)

K 36.5%

Kalshi 36.5%

Vol $408 35–38¢

Miami

Vol $600 Spread —

Agg 36.5%

↓ -9.0%

Miami vs Las Vegas ( Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)

K 36.5%

Kalshi 36.5%

Vol $600 35–38¢

Tampa Bay

Vol $257 Spread —

Agg 36.5%

↓ -9.0%

Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)

K 36.5%

Kalshi 36.5%

Vol $257 35–38¢

New England

Vol $6.3K Spread —

Agg 33.5%

↑ +0.5%

New England vs Seattle (Sep 10, 8:35pm EDT)

K 33.5%

Kalshi 33.5%

Vol $6.3K 32–35¢

Washington

Vol $299 Spread —

Agg 33.5%

↓ -4.0%

Washington vs Philadelphia (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)

K 33.5%

Kalshi 33.5%

Vol $299 32–35¢

New Orleans

Vol $674 Spread —

Agg 24.5%

↓ -10.0%

New Orleans vs Detroit (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)

K 24.5%

Kalshi 24.5%

Vol $674 23–26¢

Cleveland

Vol $762 Spread —

Agg 24.0%

↓ -17.5%

Cleveland vs Jacksonville (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)

K 24.0%

Kalshi 24.0%

Vol $762 23–25¢

Arizona

Vol $1.7K Spread —

Agg 16.0%

↓ -4.5%

Arizona vs Los Angeles (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)

K 16.0%

Kalshi 16.0%

Vol $1.7K 15–17¢

Outcome	Aggregated	Spread	Volume	Kalshi
LAC Los Angeles Chargers Arizona vs Los Angeles C (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)	83.5% ↑ +6.0%	—	$1.7K	Kalshi 83.5% 82–85¢ Vol $1.7K
JA Jacksonville Cleveland vs Jacksonville (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)	77.5% ↑ +24.5%	—	$1.6K	Kalshi 77.5% 76–79¢ Vol $1.6K
DE Detroit New Orleans vs Detroit (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)	75.5% ↑ +9.5%	—	$1.6K	Kalshi 75.5% 74–77¢ Vol $1.6K
PH Philadelphia Washington vs Philadelphia (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)	66.5% ↑ +16.0%	—	$168	Kalshi 66.5% 65–68¢ Vol $168
SE Seattle New England vs Seattle (Sep 10, 8:35pm EDT)	66.0% ↓ -0.5%	—	$3.5K	Kalshi 66.0% 65–67¢ Vol $3.5K
LV Las Vegas Miami vs Las Vegas ( Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)	64.5% ↑ +13.0%	—	$891	Kalshi 64.5% 64–65¢ Vol $891
CI Cincinnati Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)	64.0% ↑ +17.5%	—	$249	Kalshi 64.0% 63–65¢ Vol $249
BA Baltimore Baltimore vs Indianapolis (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)	63.5% ↑ +10.5%	—	$312	Kalshi 63.5% 62–65¢ Vol $312
LAR Los Angeles Rams San Francisco vs Los Angeles R (Sep 10, 8:35pm EDT)	62.5% ↑ +5.0%	—	$1.5K	Kalshi 62.5% 60–65¢ Vol $1.5K
DA Dallas Dallas vs New York (Sep 13, 8:20pm EDT)	61.5% ↑ +14.0%	—	$1.1K	Kalshi 61.5% 57–66¢ Vol $1.1K
PI Pittsburgh Atlanta vs Pittsburgh (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)	60.0% ↑ +9.5%	—	$1.2K	Kalshi 60.0% 59–61¢ Vol $1.2K
KC Kansas City Denver vs Kansas City (Sep 14, 8:15pm EDT)	58.5% ↑ +13.0%	—	$220	Kalshi 58.5% 57–60¢ Vol $220
CH Chicago Chicago vs Carolina (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)	57.5% ↑ +10.0%	—	$538	Kalshi 57.5% 56–59¢ Vol $538
TE Tennessee New York vs Tennessee (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)	57.5% ↓ -1.5%	—	$197	Kalshi 57.5% 56–59¢ Vol $197
BU Buffalo Buffalo vs Houston (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)	52.5% ↑ +1.5%	—	$749	Kalshi 52.5% 50–55¢ Vol $749
GB Green Bay Green Bay vs Minnesota (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)	50.5% ↑ +10.0%	—	$1.3K	Kalshi 50.5% 48–53¢ Vol $1.3K
MI Minnesota Green Bay vs Minnesota (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)	49.0% ↓ -4.0%	—	$806	Kalshi 49.0% 47–51¢ Vol $806
HO Houston Buffalo vs Houston (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)	48.5% ↑ +10.5%	—	$366	Kalshi 48.5% 47–50¢ Vol $366
CA Carolina Chicago vs Carolina (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)	43.5% ↑ +5.5%	—	$190	Kalshi 43.5% 43–44¢ Vol $190
DE Denver Denver vs Kansas City (Sep 14, 8:15pm EDT)	42.0% ↓ -9.0%	—	$2.0K	Kalshi 42.0% 41–43¢ Vol $2.0K
NYJ New York Jets New York vs Tennessee (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)	42.0% ↑ +2.5%	—	$715	Kalshi 42.0% 41–43¢ Vol $715
NYG New York Giants Dallas vs New York (Sep 13, 8:20pm EDT)	41.5% ↓ -6.5%	—	$1.4K	Kalshi 41.5% 40–43¢ Vol $1.4K
AT Atlanta Atlanta vs Pittsburgh (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)	40.5% ↑ +4.0%	—	$289	Kalshi 40.5% 39–42¢ Vol $289
SF San Francisco San Francisco vs Los Angeles R (Sep 10, 8:35pm EDT)	37.5% ↓ -18.0%	—	$1.3K	Kalshi 37.5% 35–40¢ Vol $1.3K
IN Indianapolis Baltimore vs Indianapolis (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)	36.5% ↓ -6.0%	—	$408	Kalshi 36.5% 35–38¢ Vol $408
MI Miami Miami vs Las Vegas ( Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)	36.5% ↓ -9.0%	—	$600	Kalshi 36.5% 35–38¢ Vol $600
TB Tampa Bay Tampa Bay vs Cincinnati (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)	36.5% ↓ -9.0%	—	$257	Kalshi 36.5% 35–38¢ Vol $257
NE New England New England vs Seattle (Sep 10, 8:35pm EDT)	33.5% ↑ +0.5%	—	$6.3K	Kalshi 33.5% 32–35¢ Vol $6.3K
WA Washington Washington vs Philadelphia (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)	33.5% ↓ -4.0%	—	$299	Kalshi 33.5% 32–35¢ Vol $299
NO New Orleans New Orleans vs Detroit (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)	24.5% ↓ -10.0%	—	$674	Kalshi 24.5% 23–26¢ Vol $674
CL Cleveland Cleveland vs Jacksonville (Sep 13, 1:00pm EDT)	24.0% ↓ -17.5%	—	$762	Kalshi 24.0% 23–25¢ Vol $762
AR Arizona Arizona vs Los Angeles (Sep 13, 4:25pm EDT)	16.0% ↓ -4.5%	—	$1.7K	Kalshi 16.0% 15–17¢ Vol $1.7K

Track Week 1 probability for each team across 16 games

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Sept 9-16 Matchups and Odds

The Patriots face the Seahawks in the NFL season's kickoff game. When: Wednesday, September 9 at 8:20pm EDT Where to watch: NBC, Peacock, NFL+

The 49ers face the Rams in the league's first regular-season game in Australia. When: Thursday, September 10 at 8:35pm EDT Where to watch: Netflix

The Bears travel to Charlotte to face the Panthers. When: Sunday, September 13 at 1:00pm EDT Where to watch: FOX

The Buccaneers face the Bengals in Cincinnati. When: Sunday, September 13 at 1:00pm EDT Where to watch: FOX

The Saints travel to Detroit to face the Lions. When: Sunday, September 13 at 1:00pm EDT Where to watch: FOX

The Bills face the Texans in Houston. When: Sunday, September 13 at 1:00pm EDT Where to watch: CBS

The Ravens travel to Indianapolis to face the Colts. When: Sunday, September 13 at 1:00pm EDT Where to watch: CBS

The Jets face the Titans in Nashville. When: Sunday, September 13 at 1:00pm EDT Where to watch: CBS

The Falcons travel to Pittsburgh to face the Steelers. When: Sunday, September 13 at 1:00pm EDT Where to watch: FOX

The Browns face the Jaguars in Jacksonville. When: Sunday, September 13 at 1:00pm EDT Where to watch: CBS

The Dolphins face the Raiders in Las Vegas. When: Sunday, September 13 at 4:25pm EDT Where to watch: CBS

The Packers face the Vikings in the NFC North opener. When: Sunday, September 13 at 4:25pm EDT Where to watch: CBS

The Commanders travel to Philadelphia to face the Eagles. When: Sunday, September 13 at 4:25pm EDT Where to watch: FOX

The Cowboys face the Giants in the Sunday Night Football opener. When: Sunday, September 13 at 8:20pm EDT Where to watch: NBC

How NFL prediction market odds work

An NFL prediction market contract is a binary position on a single outcome, such as whether a specific team will win. Each contract is priced in cents, and that price reflects the market’s implied probability. A contract priced at $0.54 means traders collectively assign a 54% chance to that outcome resolving Yes.

If the outcome resolves Yes, the contract pays $1. If No, it pays $0. Contracts can be bought or sold at any time before the market closes. For example, a trader who buys shares of Arvell Reese to go in the top 3 selections at $0.70 and watches it climb to $0.88 can sell before the draft and lock in a return without waiting for the pick.

Unlike a traditional sportsbook, there is no house margin embedded in the price. Prediction market prices reflect genuine crowd conviction, which is why tight spreads between Kalshi and Polymarket on high-volume contracts signal strong consensus. For a direct comparison of how trading works at the two leading platforms, see our Kalshi vs. Polymarket breakdown.

NFL contract resolution criteria

Here is the resolution language sourced directly from both platforms.

Kalshi: The market resolves Yes if the named player is selected at the specified pick number or within the specified range in the 2026 NFL Draft. Outcome is verified from official NFL Draft results. If a player withdraws before the draft or goes undrafted, the market resolves No. Markets close when the relevant pick is announced.
Polymarket: Each market resolves Yes if the named player is selected at the specified pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, based on official NFL announcements. The market resolves No if it becomes impossible for the outcome to occur — including if a player withdraws from the draft. Resolution source is official NFL Draft results. Projected resolution date is on or around April 23–25, 2026, depending on the pick in question.

A few edge cases worth understanding before you trade: if a pick is traded on draft night, the new team’s selection counts for team-specific markets. If a player removes themselves from the draft after markets open but before the pick is made, contracts resolve to No, not pending.

Where to trade NFL markets in 2026

NFL markets are continously being released, and more as we get closer to the start of the season. Each market will have different pricing, fee structures, liquidity levels, and bonus offers. Here is what you need to know about each heading into draft week.

Kalshi is the primary CFTC-regulated prediction market for US traders, available in 49 states. Kalshi carries the deepest regulated US liquidity on NFLcontracts, with specific pick markets and many more open for trading. Week 1 lines have been released along with props on head coach and starting quaterback.
Polymarket carries significant global volume on NFL Draft props. Polymarket US operates as a separate CFTC-regulated entity for US-based traders. Individual player volume is visible alongside prices, giving traders a clear read on where money is flowing. We are waiting on Polymarket’s lines.
OG Predictions offers draft markets with a competitive bonus structure. Liquidity is lower than Kalshi and Polymarket on draft contracts. Be sure to check the bid-ask spread before entering a position, particularly on lower-volume props. We are waiting on OG.
DraftKings Predictions brings one of the most recognizable brands in US sports to the prediction market space, with a user experience familiar to anyone who has used the DraftKings sportsbook. NFL Draft coverage is available. We are waiting on DraftKings.
FanDuel Predicts has expanded into prediction markets with a streamlined interface suited for traders coming from a traditional sports betting background. NFL Draft contracts are available. We are waiting on FanDuel.
Underdog Predict rounds out the field with draft market coverage and a familiar environment for sports-focused traders. We do not have an API for Underdog.

Prediction market trading is available nationwide, including states without traditional sports betting, such as California and Texas. For the latest platform offers heading into draft week, see our full list of prediction market promos.