2027 Super Bowl Odds & Predictions on NFL Futures
Prediction markets currently make the Los Angeles Rams the Super Bowl LXI favorite at 16.2% (+518), followed by the Buffalo Bills at 7.9% (+1,167) and the Seattle Seahawks at 7.5% (+1,233). Super Bowl LXI is scheduled for February 14, 2027, at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California, following the 2026 NFL regular season and playoffs. This tracker compares live team-by-team futures from Kalshi, Polymarket, Gemini, and OG, including consensus probabilities, price differences, and market movement. Odds and data refresh every 30 minutes.
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2027 Super Bowl News and Updates
Follow the injuries, trades, returns, suspensions, and other major NFL developments that could materially affect Super Bowl LXI futures. Routine roster moves and minor injuries are excluded.
- Sept. 1, 2026: The Rams began working Aaron Donald back after his decision to end retirement, with Sean McVay saying his return date remained undetermined. Los Angeles remained the Super Bowl favorite near 16%, after its aggregated probability rose from approximately 15.0% to 16.6% around the announcement.
last updated: Sept. 2, 2026
Current 2026-2027 Super Bowl Odds and Futures
Current probabilities across platforms with liquidity indicators
LARLos Angeles Rams
Vol $47.3K
Spread 2.0%
Agg
+518↓ -0.2%
O
+456
G
+471
P
+506
K
+525
BBBuffalo Bills
Vol $44.1K
Spread 2.5%
Agg
+1,167↓ -0.3%
O
+900
P
+1,076
G
+1,076
K
+1,233
SSSeattle Seahawks
Vol $41.4K
Spread 1.0%
Agg
+1,233— +0.0%
G
+1,076
O
+1,150
K
+1,233
P
+1,233
BRBaltimore Ravens
Vol $34.3K
Spread 2.5%
Agg
+1,392↓ -0.1%
O
+1,011
G
+1,233
P
+1,381
K
+1,438
KCCKansas City Chiefs
Vol $24.7K
Spread 2.5%
Agg
+1,536— +0.0%
O
+1,150
G
+1,438
P
+1,500
K
+1,718
DBDenver Broncos
Vol $17.3K
Spread 2.7%
Agg
+1,734↑ +0.8%
O
+1,150
G
+1,438
K
+1,718
P
+1,769
PEPhiladelphia Eagles
Vol $24.3K
Spread 2.5%
Agg
+1,996↑ +0.4%
O
+1,329
G
+1,718
P
+1,920
K
+2,122
HTHouston Texans
Vol $19.7K
Spread 2.6%
Agg
+2,138↑ +0.1%
O
+1,329
G
+1,718
K
+2,122
P
+2,147
DCDallas Cowboys
Vol $29.0K
Spread 2.7%
Agg
+2,166↓ -0.3%
O
+1,329
G
+1,718
K
+2,122
P
+2,199
LACLos Angeles Chargers
Vol $46.9K
Spread 1.7%
Agg
+2,186— +0.0%
O
+1,567
G
+1,718
K
+2,122
P
+2,199
NEPNew England Patriots
Vol $26.4K
Spread 2.9%
Agg
+2,287↑ +0.3%
O
+1,329
G
+1,718
K
+2,122
P
+2,310
DLDetroit Lions
Vol $28.5K
Spread 2.5%
Agg
+2,309↑ +0.2%
O
+1,567
G
+2,122
P
+2,253
K
+2,757
CBCincinnati Bengals
Vol $24.6K
Spread 3.4%
Agg
+2,422↑ +0.6%
O
+1,329
G
+1,900
K
+2,122
P
+2,640
SF4San Francisco 49ers
Vol $15.8K
Spread 3.6%
Agg
+2,544↓ -0.7%
O
+1,329
G
+1,718
K
+2,122
P
+2,799
CBChicago Bears
Vol $16.7K
Spread 2.5%
Agg
+2,734↓ -0.1%
O
+1,567
G
+2,122
P
+2,717
K
+2,757
GBPGreen Bay Packers
Vol $6.4K
Spread 2.8%
Agg
+2,884↑ +0.2%
O
+1,567
G
+2,122
K
+2,757
P
+3,075
JJJacksonville Jaguars
Vol $15.8K
Spread 2.7%
Agg
+4,096↑ +0.1%
O
+1,900
G
+2,757
K
+3,900
P
+4,155
MVMinnesota Vikings
Vol $14.2K
Spread 3.5%
Agg
+5,681— +0.0%
O
+1,900
K
+3,900
G
+3,900
P
+6,352
PSPittsburgh Steelers
Vol $5.0K
Spread 2.9%
Agg
+7,227↑ +0.5%
O
+2,400
G
+4,900
K
+6,567
P
+8,596
ICIndianapolis Colts
Vol $2.9K
Spread 1.8%
Agg
+8,083↑ +0.1%
O
+3,233
K
+6,567
G
+6,567
P
+8,596
TBBTampa Bay Buccaneers
Vol $13.1K
Spread 1.9%
Agg
+9,279— +0.0%
O
+3,233
G
+3,900
K
+6,567
P
+9,424
NYGNew York Giants
Vol $20.1K
Spread 3.2%
Agg
+10,821↓ -0.2%
O
+2,400
G
+3,900
K
+6,567
P
+11,665
WCWashington Commanders
Vol $13.7K
Spread 2.2%
Agg
+10,939↑ +0.2%
O
+3,233
G
+3,900
K
+6,567
P
+11,665
NOSNew Orleans Saints
Vol $26.9K
Spread 1.5%
Agg
+15,299— +0.0%
O
+4,900
G
+6,567
P
+15,285
K
+19,900
NYJNew York Jets
Vol $23.5K
Spread 1.5%
Agg
+18,085↓ -0.1%
O
+4,900
G
+6,567
P
+18,082
K
+19,900
CPCarolina Panthers
Vol $2.9K
Spread 1.5%
Agg
+18,222— +0.0%
O
+4,900
G
+6,567
P
+18,082
K
+19,900
MDMiami Dolphins
Vol $4.0K
Spread 1.5%
Agg
+18,286— +0.0%
O
+4,900
G
+6,567
P
+18,082
K
+19,900
AFAtlanta Falcons
Vol $13.2K
Spread 1.6%
Agg
+22,048— +0.0%
O
+4,900
G
+6,567
K
+19,900
P
+22,122
CBCleveland Browns
Vol $12.1K
Spread 1.6%
Agg
+22,098↓ -0.1%
O
+4,900
G
+6,567
K
+19,900
P
+22,122
TTTennessee Titans
Vol $20.1K
Spread 1.6%
Agg
+22,107— +0.0%
O
+4,900
G
+6,567
K
+19,900
P
+22,122
ACArizona Cardinals
Vol $27.2K
Spread 1.6%
Agg
+22,122↓ -0.1%
O
+4,900
G
+6,567
K
+19,900
P
+22,122
LVRLas Vegas Raiders
Vol $32.4K
Spread 1.7%
Agg
+28,309— +0.0%
O
+4,900
G
+6,567
K
+19,900
P
+28,471
Odds Over Time
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Current cross-venue opportunities with fee calculations
Pairs (Venue-to-Venue)
| Outcome | Venue Pair | Leg A (Buy) | Leg B (Sell) | Gross Spread | After Fees | Actionable | Trade Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SF4 San Francisco 49ers |
Polymarket
→
Gemini | Buy @ P 3.5¢ | Sell @ G 5¢ | +1.50% | +1.48% |
No | |
NYG New York Giants |
Polymarket
→
Gemini | Buy @ P 0.9¢ | Sell @ G 2¢ | +1.10% | +1.09% |
No | |
WC Washington Commanders |
Polymarket
→
Gemini | Buy @ P 0.9¢ | Sell @ G 2¢ | +1.10% | +1.09% |
No | |
TBB Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
Polymarket
→
Gemini | Buy @ P 1.1¢ | Sell @ G 2¢ | +0.90% | +0.89% |
No | |
GBP Green Bay Packers |
Polymarket
→
Gemini | Buy @ P 3.2¢ | Sell @ G 4¢ | +0.80% | +0.78% |
No | |
NEP New England Patriots |
Polymarket
→
Gemini | Buy @ P 4.2¢ | Sell @ G 5¢ | +0.80% | +0.78% |
No | |
LVR Las Vegas Raiders |
Polymarket
→
Gemini | Buy @ P 0.4¢ | Sell @ G 1¢ | +0.60% | +0.60% |
No | |
JJ Jacksonville Jaguars |
Polymarket
→
Gemini | Buy @ P 2.4¢ | Sell @ G 3¢ | +0.60% | +0.59% |
No | |
DC Dallas Cowboys |
Polymarket
→
Gemini | Buy @ P 4.4¢ | Sell @ G 5¢ | +0.60% | +0.58% |
No | |
LAC Los Angeles Chargers |
Polymarket
→
Gemini | Buy @ P 4.4¢ | Sell @ G 5¢ | +0.60% | +0.58% |
No | |
DB Denver Broncos |
Polymarket
→
Gemini | Buy @ P 5.4¢ | Sell @ G 6¢ | +0.60% | +0.58% |
No | |
AF Atlanta Falcons |
Polymarket
→
Gemini | Buy @ P 0.5¢ | Sell @ G 1¢ | +0.50% | +0.50% |
No | |
CB Cleveland Browns |
Polymarket
→
Gemini | Buy @ P 0.5¢ | Sell @ G 1¢ | +0.50% | +0.50% |
No | |
TT Tennessee Titans |
Polymarket
→
Gemini | Buy @ P 0.5¢ | Sell @ G 1¢ | +0.50% | +0.50% |
No | |
AC Arizona Cardinals |
Polymarket
→
Gemini | Buy @ P 0.5¢ | Sell @ G 1¢ | +0.50% | +0.50% |
No | |
HT Houston Texans |
Polymarket
→
Gemini | Buy @ P 4.5¢ | Sell @ G 5¢ | +0.50% | +0.48% |
No | |
NYJ New York Jets |
Polymarket
→
Gemini | Buy @ P 0.6¢ | Sell @ G 1¢ | +0.40% | +0.40% |
No | |
CP Carolina Panthers |
Polymarket
→
Gemini | Buy @ P 0.6¢ | Sell @ G 1¢ | +0.40% | +0.40% |
No | |
MD Miami Dolphins |
Polymarket
→
Gemini | Buy @ P 0.6¢ | Sell @ G 1¢ | +0.40% | +0.40% |
No | |
MV Minnesota Vikings |
Polymarket
→
Gemini | Buy @ P 1.6¢ | Sell @ G 2¢ | +0.40% | +0.39% |
No | |
CB Chicago Bears |
Polymarket
→
Gemini | Buy @ P 3.6¢ | Sell @ G 4¢ | +0.40% | +0.38% |
No | |
NOS New Orleans Saints |
Polymarket
→
Gemini | Buy @ P 0.7¢ | Sell @ G 1¢ | +0.30% | +0.30% |
No | |
CB Cincinnati Bengals |
Polymarket
→
Gemini | Buy @ P 3.7¢ | Sell @ G 4¢ | +0.30% | +0.28% |
No | |
BR Baltimore Ravens |
Polymarket
→
Gemini | Buy @ P 6.8¢ | Sell @ G 7¢ | +0.20% | +0.17% |
No | |
KCC Kansas City Chiefs |
Kalshi
→
Polymarket | Buy @ K 6¢ | Sell @ P 6.2¢ | +0.20% | +0.13% |
No | |
DL Detroit Lions |
Kalshi
→
Polymarket | Buy @ K 4¢ | Sell @ P 4.2¢ | +0.20% | +0.13% |
No | |
PE Philadelphia Eagles |
Polymarket
→
Gemini | Buy @ P 5¢ | Sell @ G 5¢ | +0.00% | -0.02% |
No | |
SS Seattle Seahawks |
Polymarket
→
Gemini | Buy @ P 8¢ | Sell @ G 8¢ | +0.00% | -0.03% |
No | |
LAR Los Angeles Rams |
Polymarket
→
Gemini | Buy @ P 17¢ | Sell @ G 17¢ | +0.00% | -0.07% |
No | |
BB Buffalo Bills |
Kalshi
→
Polymarket | Buy @ K 8¢ | Sell @ P 8¢ | +0.00% | -0.08% |
No | |
PS Pittsburgh Steelers |
Polymarket
→
Gemini | Buy @ P 1.2¢ | Sell @ G 1¢ | -0.20% | -0.20% |
No | |
IC Indianapolis Colts |
Polymarket
→
Gemini | Buy @ P 1.2¢ | Sell @ G 1¢ | -0.20% | -0.20% |
No |
Outcome Diff
| Outcome A | Outcome B | Venue | A Odds | B Odds | Diff | Strategy | Trade Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LAR Los Angeles Rams |
DC Dallas Cowboys |
Polymarket | A +506 | B +2,199 | +12.15% | Buy spread | |
LAR Los Angeles Rams |
LAC Los Angeles Chargers |
Polymarket | A +506 | B +2,199 | +12.15% | Buy spread | |
LAR Los Angeles Rams |
HT Houston Texans |
Polymarket | A +506 | B +2,147 | +12.05% | Buy spread | |
LAR Los Angeles Rams |
PE Philadelphia Eagles |
Gemini | A +471 | B +1,718 | +12.00% | Buy spread | |
LAR Los Angeles Rams |
HT Houston Texans |
Gemini | A +471 | B +1,718 | +12.00% | Buy spread | |
LAR Los Angeles Rams |
DC Dallas Cowboys |
Gemini | A +471 | B +1,718 | +12.00% | Buy spread | |
LAR Los Angeles Rams |
LAC Los Angeles Chargers |
Gemini | A +471 | B +1,718 | +12.00% | Buy spread | |
LAR Los Angeles Rams |
PE Philadelphia Eagles |
Polymarket | A +506 | B +1,920 | +11.55% | Buy spread | |
LAR Los Angeles Rams |
PE Philadelphia Eagles |
Kalshi | A +525 | B +2,122 | +11.50% | Buy spread | |
LAR Los Angeles Rams |
HT Houston Texans |
Kalshi | A +525 | B +2,122 | +11.50% | Buy spread | |
LAR Los Angeles Rams |
DC Dallas Cowboys |
Kalshi | A +525 | B +2,122 | +11.50% | Buy spread | |
LAR Los Angeles Rams |
LAC Los Angeles Chargers |
Kalshi | A +525 | B +2,122 | +11.50% | Buy spread | |
LAR Los Angeles Rams |
DB Denver Broncos |
Polymarket | A +506 | B +1,769 | +11.15% | Buy spread | |
LAR Los Angeles Rams |
KCC Kansas City Chiefs |
Gemini | A +471 | B +1,438 | +11.00% | Buy spread | |
LAR Los Angeles Rams |
DB Denver Broncos |
Gemini | A +471 | B +1,438 | +11.00% | Buy spread | |
LAR Los Angeles Rams |
KCC Kansas City Chiefs |
Kalshi | A +525 | B +1,718 | +10.50% | Buy spread | |
LAR Los Angeles Rams |
DB Denver Broncos |
Kalshi | A +525 | B +1,718 | +10.50% | Buy spread | |
LAR Los Angeles Rams |
KCC Kansas City Chiefs |
Polymarket | A +506 | B +1,500 | +10.25% | Buy spread | |
LAR Los Angeles Rams |
BR Baltimore Ravens |
Gemini | A +471 | B +1,233 | +10.00% | Buy spread | |
LAR Los Angeles Rams |
BR Baltimore Ravens |
Polymarket | A +506 | B +1,381 | +9.75% | Buy spread | |
LAR Los Angeles Rams |
BR Baltimore Ravens |
Kalshi | A +525 | B +1,438 | +9.50% | Buy spread | |
LAR Los Angeles Rams |
SS Seattle Seahawks |
Polymarket | A +506 | B +1,233 | +9.00% | Buy spread | |
LAR Los Angeles Rams |
BB Buffalo Bills |
Gemini | A +471 | B +1,076 | +9.00% | Buy spread | |
LAR Los Angeles Rams |
SS Seattle Seahawks |
Gemini | A +471 | B +1,076 | +9.00% | Buy spread | |
LAR Los Angeles Rams |
BB Buffalo Bills |
Kalshi | A +525 | B +1,233 | +8.50% | Buy spread | |
LAR Los Angeles Rams |
SS Seattle Seahawks |
Kalshi | A +525 | B +1,233 | +8.50% | Buy spread | |
LAR Los Angeles Rams |
BB Buffalo Bills |
Polymarket | A +506 | B +1,076 | +8.00% | Buy spread | |
BB Buffalo Bills |
DC Dallas Cowboys |
Polymarket | A +1,076 | B +2,199 | +4.15% | Buy spread | |
BB Buffalo Bills |
LAC Los Angeles Chargers |
Polymarket | A +1,076 | B +2,199 | +4.15% | Buy spread | |
BB Buffalo Bills |
HT Houston Texans |
Polymarket | A +1,076 | B +2,147 | +4.05% | Buy spread |
After-fee spreads apply the configured taker-fee model per side. Depth/slippage is not modeled in this scanner.
2027 Super Bowl Odds: Favorites, Contenders and Dark Horses
The 2027 Super Bowl market has a clear favorite but remains wide open behind it. As of Sept. 2, the Los Angeles Rams lead the aggregated prediction-market odds at roughly 16%, more than twice the Buffalo Bills’ 8% probability. The Baltimore Ravens and defending champion Seattle Seahawks are both near 7%, while the Kansas City Chiefs sit just below 6%. Los Angeles has separated from the field, but its price still suggests the championship race is far from settled.
Buffalo, Baltimore, Seattle, and Kansas City form the main group behind the Rams. The Bills and Ravens remain the leading AFC challengers, while the Seahawks enter the season as defending champions. Kansas City is slightly lower-priced but remains firmly in the mix with Patrick Mahomes at quarterback. With only a few percentage points separating these teams, early regular-season results could quickly reorder this tier.
Several intriguing teams are clustered between 4% and 5%, including the Dallas Cowboys, Denver Broncos, Los Angeles Chargers, Houston Texans, Philadelphia Eagles, San Francisco 49ers, and Cincinnati Bengals. Philadelphia and Cincinnati stand out as lower-priced teams led by quarterbacks who have already reached a Super Bowl, while Houston offers upside behind a defense regarded as one of the league’s best. Dallas is also worth watching after becoming one of the market’s strongest preseason risers.
The Rams have made the largest meaningful move since the market opened. Their initial Kalshi price represented an implied probability of approximately 8.5%, compared with 16% now. Dallas and Cincinnati have each climbed from roughly 2.5% to 4.5%, while Seattle has moved in the opposite direction, falling from approximately 11.5% to 7.5%. Since Aug. 1, movement has been more restrained, although the Rams have gained about 0.9 percentage points, Dallas 1.2 points, and Houston 0.6 points.
Opening futures odds: Kalshi vs. DraftKings
At launch, Kalshi offered more appealing Super Bowl LXI odds than DraftKings on 26 of the 32 teams. The largest advantages were concentrated among mid-tier contenders and long shots, including New England, Cincinnati, Tampa Bay, Tennessee, New Orleans, and Carolina. These opening prices are retained for historical comparison; see the live Super Bowl odds above for current prices.
DraftKings offered the better opening price on six teams: Seattle, the New York Giants, Atlanta, the New York Jets, Miami, and Arizona. Some differences were marginal, particularly for the Giants and Jets, while the gaps were more substantial for Seattle, Miami, and Arizona. The comparison shows why prices should be checked across platforms, although current pricing and available liquidity matter more than the opening numbers when placing a trade.
NFL markets on prediction sites
The best prediction sites offer a wide range of NFL markets, from season-long futures to individual games and player props. We’ve rounded up the most common options below.
Futures markets
These markets focus on a team’s performance over the entire season. Here are the main futures options at prediction sites:
- Super Bowl winner: A simple yes/no prediction on whether a team will win the Super Bowl. Prediction sites release prices on each team before the season begins. The sites then update their prices as the season unfolds, reflecting the current state of play.
- Conference champions: You can also predict which team will win the AFC and the NFC. For example, you might find this option: “Buffalo to win the AFC – yes, 15¢, no 87¢.” If you think Buffalo will win the conference, you can buy contracts at 15¢. The contracts will settle at $1 if the Bills win the AFC, so you’d earn a profit of $0.85 on each contract.
- Division winners: Prediction markets allow you to trade on which team will win each division. Here’s an example: “Detroit to win the NFC North – yes 38¢, no 69¢.” If you don’t expect the Lions to win the division, you can buy “no” contracts at 69¢. Once again, they’ll settle at $1 if Detroit doesn’t win the division, so you’d earn a $0.31 profit on each contract.
- Best regular season record: You can predict which team will finish the regular season with the league’s best record. Prices change throughout the season as results reshape the race.
- To make the playoffs: Prediction markets let you speculate on whether a team will make or miss the playoffs. Just buy “yes” contracts if you think they’ll make the playoffs or “no” contracts if you think they’ll miss out.
Game markets
You’ll also find markets on many NFL regular-season and playoff games, although availability varies by platform. These are the main market types:
- Moneyline: A simple prediction on which team will win the game. For example, Kalshi offered 68¢ contracts on Seattle to win Super Bowl LX. Buying 100 contracts cost $68. Each contract paid $1 after the Seahawks won, producing a $100 payout and a $32 profit before fees.
- Point spread: One team is given a handicap, which creates a point spread. You can then make a yes/no prediction on whether a team will cover the spread. For example, you could buy “yes” contracts at 51¢ on Seattle -3.5 vs. New England in Super Bowl LX. They won by 16 points, easily covering the 3.5-point spread.
- Total points: The market will set a total points line, such as 45.5 points. You can then predict whether the game will see “over” or “under” 45.5 points.
- Team totals: You can also make yes/no predictions on how many points a team will score during a game.
- Player props: These markets allow you to trade on an individual player’s performance. For example, you can make an over/under prediction on a quarterback’s passing yards.
- Game props: Predict whether an event will happen during the game. For example, will there be a 2-point conversion? Will there be a safety? Will the third quarter be the highest scoring quarter?
- Live markets: These markets are available after the game begins. For instance, you can predict which player will score the next touchdown.
Novelty markets
Prediction sites also offer novelty markets tied to the Super Bowl and its surrounding events. Previously available examples include:
- Will the Super Bowl winner visit the White House?
- Which celebrities will attend the game?
- What words or phrases will the announcers say?
- Which brands or celebrities will appear in commercials?
- Who will perform during the halftime show?
Super Bowl props
Common Super Bowl prop markets include:
- Super Bowl MVP: You can predict which player will be named Super Bowl MVP. In Super Bowl LX, Kenneth Walker III won the award after entering game day as an 8.1% outsider and rushing for 135 yards on 27 carries.
- Halftime show performer: Markets can cover the headliner, guest appearances, songs performed, and who will appear on stage. Follow our live 2027 tracker for current favorites and prices.
- Who will attend the Super Bowl: Celebrity-attendance markets can include Hollywood stars, politicians, musicians, and former NFL players.
- What will the announcers say?: These mention markets cover whether specific words or phrases will be spoken during the broadcast, from common football terms to more unusual references.
- Who will advertise during the Super Bowl: For Super Bowl LX, Kalshi listed contracts on celebrities and brands appearing in commercials, including Sydney Sweeney, Timothée Chalamet, State Farm, Toyota, OpenAI, and Salesforce.
Which prediction market to choose?
The leading prediction market platforms offer Super Bowl contracts, although market names and available outcomes vary by venue. Common options include the championship winner, conference and division futures, individual games, and novelty props. Current activity also differs across platforms; compare the latest figures in our NFL market volume tracker.
Availability varies by platform, product, and state. Review local eligibility before trading; our state guides cover California, Texas, and Florida.
- Kalshi: Kalshi supports bank-linked and fiat funding and lists team futures, conference and division winners, and season-long props. Use the Kalshi referral code RATE. Current offer: Trade $10, Get $25.
- Polymarket: Polymarket operates U.S. and global products with different access and funding requirements. Its Super Bowl selection can include team futures and entertainment props, with available contracts changing as the season progresses.
- Gemini: Gemini Predictions offers sports event contracts within the Gemini app. The live feed above includes its Super Bowl futures when available.
- OG: Backed by Crypto.com, OG offers sports prediction markets that can include moneylines, spreads, totals, and player props. Its current availability and offer details are covered in our review.
- DraftKings: DraftKings Predictions lists sports and non-sports event contracts in eligible jurisdictions. Its current offer and state availability are covered in our review.
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