Super Bowl Odds 2026

Best apps for Super Bowl odds trading and betting

The top prediction market platforms have more than enough market liquidity to offer Super Bowl contracts, though the naming convention isn’t “Super Bowl odds” per se. Kalshi calls it “Pro Football Champion” while Polymarket uses “Super Bowl Champion 2026.” Both prediction market apps have significant crossover in available contracts, including team futures, conference winners, division markets, and props like who will be the halftime performer and the winning state (California is leading here).

Here’s where you can legally trade Super Bowl contracts in most states, including California, Texas, and Florida:

• Kalshi (45 states, Nevada and Washington excluded): Kalshi operates with direct bank account linking and fiat deposits. The “2026 NFL Championship Winner” market has individual contracts for each team—Rams at 20%, Bills at 13.5%, etc. Kalshi also runs conference championship markets, division winners, and season-long props.
• Polymarket (all 50 states via crypto): Polymarket requires USDC deposits through a crypto wallet. The “Super Bowl Champion 2026” market shows $623M total volume since creation. Polymarket’s structure allows for more exotic prop markets than Klashi. I found “Super Bowl – Winning State” (California at 48%), “Super Bowl – Winning Division” (NFC West at 52%), and entertainment props like halftime performer. There were also 208 outcome contracts listed under Super Bowl, meaning you can trade basically any scenario. The trading fees run around 2-3% depending on liquidity, though US market has an introductory price of 0.01%. Gas fees will usually add another $1-5 per trade.
• DraftKings Predictions (38 states, sports in 18 without legal betting): DraftKings operates a standalone prediction market app under CFTC oversight as a registered introducing broker. You can trade on the Super Bowl in states without legal online sports betting, including California, Texas, Florida, and Georgia. Trades take place through CME Group, with plans to integrate Railbird Exchange.
• FanDuel Predicts (5 states at launch, phased rollout through 2026): FanDuel’s prediction market app launched December 22 in Alabama, Alaska, South Carolina, North Dakota, and South Dakota through the CME Group. If you live in a state with regulated sports betting, you can bet on the Super Bowl in the FanDuel app. If in California, or Georgia, you can trade using the FanDuel Predicts app.
• Fanatics Markets (24 states including CA, TX, FL, WA): Fanatics was the first major sportsbook operator to launch a prediction market app, going live December 3 through a partnership with Crypto.com’s CFTC-registered Nadex exchange. The app operates only in states where Fanatics Sportsbook isn’t available, keeping prediction markets separate from its regulated sports betting.

How to bet on the Super Bowl 

As of today, the Seahawks lead at 20.2% (+396), Los Angeles Rams hold second at 16.3% (+515) and the Denver Broncos sit in third at 11.2% (+791). Unlike sportsbooks where you place a bet and wait until February, you’re actively managing a position that moves at any second with news and game information.

When you see “Seahawks 20¢” that’s literally the price per contract. Buy 100 contracts for $20. If Seattle wins Super Bowl 60, you collect $100 (each contract pays $1). If they lose, you lose. The 20¢ price reflects what the market (other traders) think the actual win probability is.

Kalshi vs Polymarket Super Bowl contracts

Both run the same core markets: team winner, conference champions, division winners. Polymarket goes deeper on props and exotic outcomes. Kalshi is easier when it comes to funding your account.

Here’s a quick tutorial on trading event contracts:

1. Choose your platform and create an account

You can choose between Kalshi, Polymarket, DraftKings and FanDuel. You will need to complete KYC verification, which typically takes a few minutes. From there, link your bank account (Kalshi) or fund with USDC (Polymarket).

2. Find your market

Click on the sports markets in the top nav or use the search field and enter Super Bowl. The results should populate with all available Super Bowl contracts, including props. Just like sportsbooks, Super Bowl winner contracts are available year-round. Conference championships, division winners, and player awards are also available.

3. Buy contracts at current market prices

You won’t see the usual odds. Instead, prediction markets show live Super Bowl prices based on supply and demand. If the Bills trade at 13¢ (13% probability), you can buy 100 contracts for $13. Each contract settles at $1.00 if the Bills win and $0.00 if the Bills lose.

4. Trade or hold until settlement

The key difference between prediction markets and sports betting: you can sell anytime before the season ends. If the Bill’s probability rises from 13% to 20%, you can sell your 100 contracts for $20 (making $7 profit) at any time. You do not need to hold until the game.

5. How settlement works

Your Super Bowl contracts settle at $1.00 per share when you win and $0.00 if you lose. Settlement occurs the day after the Super Bowl concludes (typically within 24 hours). The results usually come from official league sources, but you need to read and compare how settlement is determined. Polymarket and Kalshi have different rules. 

Example trade:

• December 15: Buy 100 Rams contracts at 20¢ = Total of $20 investment
• January 15: Rams reach NFC Championship, probability rises to 35¢
• Option A: Sell now at 35¢ = $35 (profit: $15)
• Option B: Hold through Super Bowl = $100 if Rams win, $0 if they lose

Your ability to exit positions early is what separates prediction markets from traditional sportsbooks with Super Bowl odds. You’re not locked into a bet. You’re trading a position with other people that adjusts with real-time information.