The U.S. Men’s National Team heads to Seattle for its second Group D match today, fully in control of its World Cup destiny following the dominant 4-1 opening victory over Paraguay.
Polymarket prices have shifted sharply toward the United States, which is now favored to win the match and top the group against an Australian squad fresh off an upset over Türkiye. New Polymarket users can use promo code RATE to claim a $50 trading bonus for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
How to claim the Polymarket $50 bonus for USA vs. Australia
Enter the promo code RATE when creating a new Polymarket account to claim a $50 trading bonus for World Cup markets. Here are the steps to follow to sign up and claim the bonus:
| Platform | Sign-up bonus | Promo code | How to claim | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
★ Open in US
Polymarket | Deposit $20, Get $50 Bonus |
RATE
| Use promo code RATE on sign up | Claim Now! |
- Download the Polymarket app: Install the free Polymarket app for your Apple or Android device and tap Sign Up. Polymarket.com is an international platform and does not allow U.S. users.
- Enter promo code RATE: Add code RATE when you create a new account.
- Verify your identity: Provide the requested verification information and be prepared with a government-issued photo ID.
- Fund the account: Deposit at least $20 using an available payment method, including a bank account, debit card, Apple Pay, or wire transfer.
- Place a first trade: Review the market rules and place a first trade on a World Cup market. The $50 bonus is applied after that trade settles.
Full terms and conditions are available on our Polymarket promo code guide.
| Promo Code | Eligible States |
|---|---|
| RATE | All States + DC, excluding NV |
2026 World Cup market odds: USA vs. Australia
| Outcome | Prediction Odds | American Odds |
|---|---|---|
| USA Game winner | 61% | -156 |
| Australia Game winner | 18% | +456 |
| Draw | 22% | +355 |
| USA vs. Australia Spread: USA -1.5 | 35% | +186 |
| USA vs. Australia Spread: Australia +1.5 | 66% | -194 |
| USA vs. Australia Game Totals: Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | -104 |
| USA vs. Austrlia Game Totals: Under 2.5 Goals | 50% | +100 |
| Both Teams to Score | 52% | -108 |
| First Team to Score: USA | 67% | -203 |
| First Team to Score: Australia | 29% | +245 |
USA vs. Australia preview
The USMNT enters its second game on a high after a dominant 4-1 win over Paraguay. That victory puts the team in an ideal position to reach the knockout stages on home soil. They are up against the battle-tested Australian side that has just posted a clean sheet in a 2-0 win over Türkiye.
Friday’s meeting will likely decide who will take control of the group. The Socceroos have proven they are no pushovers on the world stage by making the last 16 in 2006 and 2022, but will need a perfect defensive effort to slow down an American attack that looks as dangerous as ever under manager Mauricio Pochettino.
Folarin Balogun has emerged as a potent goal threat for Team USA after scoring two last time out. Christian Pulisic’s availability for today is in question after he aggravated a left calf injury. The two countries haven’t met much in major tournaments, but the U.S. did manage to grind out a close 2-1 victory in an international friendly in October 2025 with a brace from Haji Wright.
If you’re looking to trade on something other than the 90-minute moneyline, Polymarket has fantastic liquidity for more general tournament results. You can buy outright shares on the USA in group winner markets, or look at the “To Advance from Group D” market, where a win for America in this game would virtually secure their place in the Round of 32.
USA vs. Australia props on Polymarket
Balogun is the biggest threat to score in the USA vs Australia goal scorer markets. He is priced at 40% (+150) to score, making him the top American attacker to target in this matchup.
If he’s able to go, Christian Pulisic is a close second as a scoring and creative threat. The USMNT captain is 26% (+285) to score and 25% (+300) to record an assist, a reflection of his double duty as the team’s primary playmaker and second-most dangerous finisher.
The remaining attacking options are USA’s Wright and Australia’s Mo Touré to score, both at the same 20% (+400) odds, making both value plays.
| Market | Outcome | Prediction Odds | American Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Player goals | Folarin Balogun over 0.5 goals | 40% | +150 |
| Player goals | Christian Pulisic over 0.5 goals | 26% | +285 |
| Player goals | Haji Wright over 0.5 goals | 20% | +400 |
| Player goals | Mo Touré over 0.5 goals | 20% | +400 |
| Player assists | Christian Pulisic over 0.5 assists | 25% | +300 |
Balogun is clearly the favorite in this market, reflective of how he has been built up as the USMNT’s primary striker. Pulisic is a popular draw in scoring and assist markets and is generally the most-traded American player across Polymarket’s soccer props.
Why trade USA vs. Australia on Polymarket
The USA vs. Australia matchup on Polymarket is an alternative to traditional sports betting, treating match outcomes as tradable assets. Instead of making a bet, you hold your contracts until the final whistle, with Polymarket allowing you to buy and sell shares of outcomes in real time.
If the USMNT scores an early goal, your “Yes” shares go up in value. You can cash out early for a guaranteed profit, or hedge your position as the game script changes. Prediction markets are more transparent, run on peer-to-peer order books, and provide better value than standard sportsbooks that have a vig built into their lines.
It’s a quicker, more tactical way to cash in on your World Cup predictions. When you sign up using the promo code RATE, you can score an additional $50 trading bonus to build your portfolio.
NOTE: Prediction markets involve risk, and prices can move quickly before and during live events. Users should trade only with money they can afford to lose, review the rules for each market before buying shares, and avoid chasing losses.
