US Elections

Tracking prediction market coverage as it relates to US elections and midterms.

US Elections

Democrats 85% to Flip the House in 2026 Midterms, Senate Still a Toss-Up

Prediction markets are forecasting an 85% chance of House control flipping to Democrats in the 2026 midterms, with the Senate left as a messy, seat‑by‑seat...

Pat Evans

March 24, 2026

Texas Senate Republican seat up for grabs

US Elections

Texas Senate GOP Race Tightens as Trump Skips Key Endorsement Deadline

Texas Republican Senate runoff odds hold steady across prediction markets — Cornyn leads at 60–62%, Paxton trails at 39–40% — as traders weigh Trump's endorsement fallout and...

Pat Evans

March 18, 2026

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