US Elections
Collins Takes the Georgia Senate Prediction Markets Lead Before the Runoff
On the morning of the Georgia Senate Republican runoff, prediction markets had already settled the...
Pat Evans
June 16, 2026
US Elections
Tracking prediction market coverage as it relates to US elections and midterms.
US Elections
Mazzei Odds Near 90% Ahead of Oklahoma Governor Primary
A crowded Republican field for Oklahoma governor has not deterred prediction markets from pricing Mike Mazzei as a runaway...
Pat Evans
June 15, 2026
US Elections
Prediction Markets Set To Test Trump Power Again In Alabama Senate Race
Prediction markets are giving Barry Moore a major edge around 80-84% over Jared Hudson in the Alabama Republican Senate...
Pat Evans
June 15, 2026
US Elections
Georgia Governor Prediction Markets Heavily Favor Jones as GOP Runoff Nears
While polls are split on Georgia Republican governor runoff, prediction markets appear certain on the...
Pat Evans
June 15, 2026
US Elections
Prediction Markets Call Platner Primary Win, But Maine Senate Is No Lock
Graham Platner cleared the Democratic Maine Senate primary despite tough stretch, but prediction markets are tightening ahead of...
Pat Evans
June 12, 2026
US Elections
Prediction Markets Saw Becerra’s California Governor Win Coming
Xavier Becerra and Steve Hilton are set for a November showdown for California governor, but prediction markets already have a...
Pat Evans
June 11, 2026
US Elections
Bass Holds 64% to Win LA Mayor Runoff Fight in Prediction Markets
Incumbent LA Mayor Karen Bass remains the favorite on prediction markets at 64% as her runoff opponent officially is Nithya...
Pat Evans
June 11, 2026
US Elections
Evette Heads to SC Governor Runoff Still Backed by 76% at Prediction Markets
Trump-endorsed South Carolina Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette is heading to a runoff for SC governor and still heavily favored by prediction...
Pat Evans
June 10, 2026
US Elections
Prediction Markets Start Pricing Jon Ossoff as 2028 Contender for President
Prediction markets are warming to Jon Ossoff for 2028, lifting him to 9% on Kalshi and 7% on Polymarket as Gavin Newsom slips and the Georgia senator remains a heavy Senate reelection...
Pat Evans
June 9, 2026
US Elections
Trump Endorsement Faces Iowa-Style Test in South Carolina GOP Governor Primary
Prediction markets give Trump-backed Pamela Evette an 81% chance to win South Carolina’s GOP governor primary, but polling and recent Iowa results suggest the race may be closer than...
Pat Evans
June 8, 2026