US Elections
Rob Sand Pushes Iowa Governor Odds Toward Democrats
Prediction markets are pricing Democrat Rob Sand as a real favorite in deep-red Iowa in the 2026 governor...
Pat Evans
May 8, 2026
US Elections
Tracking prediction market coverage as it relates to US elections and midterms.
US Elections
Reality Star Spencer Pratt Emerges as Real Contender in LA Mayor Markets
Los Angeles is in a weird phase as residents look toward electing its next mayor, with prediction markets now suggesting reality star Spencer Pratt is more than a sideshow in the race. As...
Pat Evans
May 7, 2026
US Elections
Ohio Governor Markets Leaning Blue Despite Ramaswamy Win in GOP Primary
Vivek Ramaswamy won the Republican Primary for the Ohio governor race, but prediction markets still favor Democrat Amy...
Pat Evans
May 6, 2026
US Elections
Becerra Surges in California Governor Odds as Ballots Hit Mailboxes
The California governor race has a new leader on prediction markets as ballots go out to residents, and the candidates are teed up for debates this week. Former state Attorney General...
Pat Evans
May 5, 2026
US Elections
Georgia Governor Primary Odds Favor Bottoms, Jackson as Polls Lag
Prediction markets favor Keisha Lance Bottoms and Rick Jackson in Georgia’s governor primaries, even as polls show more uncertainty on the GOP...
Pat Evans
May 5, 2026
US Elections
Markets Buck Texas Senate Polls, Favor Paxton and GOP Edge
The Texas Republican Senate race has done what prediction markets love. It has flipped and then flipped again, turning a conventional incumbency narrative into a true battle for the...
Pat Evans
May 4, 2026
US Elections
Markets Favor El-Sayed in Michigan Democratic Senate Primary as Polls Stay Split
The Michigan 2026 Democratic Senate race is a textbook case of prediction markets trading a different narrative than the polls. While public surveys still largely show a tight,...
Pat Evans
May 2, 2026
US Elections
How Prediction Markets Saw the Platner Surge and Mills Exit in Maine Ahead of Polls
Maine Gov. Janet Mills’ suspension of her Senate campaign this week is one of the cleanest demonstrations that prediction markets can see around the corner pretty well. Long before...
Pat Evans
April 30, 2026
US Elections
California Billionaire Tax Nears Ballot as Odds Still Lean ‘No’
A proposed one-time California billionaire tax has reportedly cleared the signature hurdle and is moving toward the November ballot, but prediction markets are still trending toward its...
Pat Evans
April 29, 2026
US Elections
Prediction Market ETFs Arrive, Bringing Election Bets to Retirement Accounts
Prediction markets are about to get their most Wall Street makeover yet as RoundHill prepares to launch election-related event contract ETFs next week. Roundhill plans to launch six...
Pat Evans
April 29, 2026