The 2026 FIFA World Cup knockout stage continues today at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, where Argentina and England will battle in a win-or-go-home semifinal matchup for a berth in the finals.
Kickoff is scheduled for 3:00 p.m. ET on FOX.
Prediction markets price the Three Lions as a slight favorite to advance over the South American powerhouse. First-time Polymarket traders can enter promo code RATE to unlock a $50 bonus to use on the Argentina vs. England fixture.
How to claim the Polymarket $50 bonus for Argentina vs England
Enter the promo code RATE when creating a new Polymarket account to claim a $50 trading bonus for World Cup markets. Here are the steps to follow to sign up and claim the bonus:
| Platform | Sign-up bonus | Promo code | How to claim | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
★ Open in US
Polymarket | Deposit $20, Get $50 Bonus |
RATE
| Use promo code RATE on sign up | Claim Now! |
- Download the Polymarket app: Install the free Polymarket app for your Apple or Android device and tap Sign Up. Polymarket.com is an international platform and does not allow U.S. users.
- Enter promo code RATE: Add code RATE when you create a new account.
- Verify your identity: Provide the requested verification information and be prepared with a government-issued photo ID.
- Fund the account: Deposit at least $20 using an available payment method, including a bank account, debit card, Apple Pay, or wire transfer.
- Place a first trade: Review the market rules and place a first trade on a World Cup market. The $50 bonus is applied after your initial $20+ deposit.
Full terms and conditions are available on our Polymarket promo code guide.
| Promo Code | Eligible States |
|---|---|
| RATE | All States + DC, excluding NV |
2026 World Cup market odds: Argentina vs England
| Outcome | Prediction Odds | American Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Argentina to advance | 46% | +117 |
| England to advance | 54% | -117 |
| Regulation time – Argentina | 32% | +213 |
| Regulation time – England | 36% | +178 |
| Regulation time – Draw | 34% | +194 |
| Regulation time – England to win by 1.5 goals | 15% | +567 |
| Regulation time – Over 2.5 goals scored | 40% | +150 |
| Regulation time – Both teams to score | 53% | -113 |
Argentina vs England preview
Today’s World Cup semi-final is a titanic clash between two of the world’s great football nations, Argentina and England, at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, and the stakes couldn’t be higher. The Three Lions are slight favorites on Polymarket for the fixture after a dramatic 2-1 extra-time victory over Norway in the quarterfinals. The squad have displayed incredible resilience throughout the knockout stages and are led by a star-studded midfield who continue to dictate the tempo.
But they will be up against a battle-hardened Argentina team who just sent Switzerland packing 3-1 in their own grueling extra-time thriller. Lionel Messi continues to pull the strings for La Albiceleste with his trademark brilliance, but fatigue is the biggest storyline to watch with both heavyweights having been forced to play 120 minutes of high-octane football just four days ago.
This is a rivalry with decades of history behind it, and the tactical chess match will likely be won by whichever defense can keep its discipline in exhaustion. A talking point for traders, although England are slight favorites to win the match, is that their backline has looked shaky, conceding in every knockout game so far, including a chaotic 3-2 win over Mexico in the last 16 when they played the whole of the second half with a man less.
Polymarket traders may have a better edge by avoiding volatile regulation-time contracts, as World Cup semifinals featuring evenly matched titans tend to turn into cagey, low-scoring affairs that go well past 90 minutes. Instead, the safer vehicle to capture value without sweating the chaotic threat of penalty kicks is to look at broader futures such as either team’s outright price in the “World Cup Winner” market or their implied probability to simply “To Advance”.
Why trade Argentina vs England on Polymarket
Trading this blockbuster semifinal on Polymarket is a world apart from traditional sports betting platforms. Prediction markets allow you to buy and sell outcome contracts dynamically, in real-time, as the match unfolds. It’s a battle of the tactical brilliance of Argentina versus the resilient English midfield, and the margin is so thin that the implied probability of the match outcome will change quickly in every key takeaway, counterattack, and substitution.
This fluid environment gives you the agility to get into a position when you see value and get out early so you can lock in profits or minimize exposure, putting you in the driver’s seat like a financial trader navigating a volatile market.
Ready to put your World Cup knowledge to work? Sign up with promo code RATE for a $50 bonus and get a head start on the epic semifinal markets.
NOTE: Prediction markets involve risk, and prices can move quickly before and during live events. Users should trade only with money they can afford to lose, review the rules for each market before buying shares, and avoid chasing losses.
