Prediction Market Volume Tracker

Our live dashboard tracks the prediction market landscape in real-time, comparing Kalshi and Polymarket across the metrics that matter: weekly volume ($4.3B+ combined), 1.1M+ active markets, transaction counts, and category-level breakdowns. You can see volume trends across 24-hour, 7-day, and 30-day windows, identify which categories are driving liquidity across politics, sports, crypto, economics and more.

Prediction markets are a real-time signal for everything from Fed decisions to election outcomes. Whether you’re comparing Kalshi vs. Polymarket for arbitrage opportunities or tracking which platform dominates specific categories, this is your central hub.

Live Data
Weekly Notional Volume Total USD value of contracts traded during the last complete calendar week.
$4.3B
K Kalshi
$2.2B (51%)
P Polymarket
$2.1B (49%)
Active Markets Number of prediction markets currently open for trading on each platform.
1,076,801
K Kalshi
1,051,696 (98%)
P Polymarket
25,105 (2%)
Weekly Transactions Total number of trades executed during the last complete calendar week.
27,311,115
K Kalshi
13,931,900 (51%)
P Polymarket
13,379,215 (49%)
Open Interest Total USD value of unsettled contracts currently held by traders.
$774.3M
K Kalshi
$420.4M (54%)
P Polymarket
$353.9M (46%)
Last updated: February 5, 2026 at 2:57 AM PST

Kalshi
CFTC Regulated
Volume (rolling)
24H $114.3M -50.3%
7D $1.7B +32.5%
30D $4.7B -21.3%
Top Categories (24h)
1 ⚽ Sports $105.9M
2 ₿ Crypto $8.8M
3 🏛️ Politics $2.7M
Top Markets (24h)
1
Denver at New York
⚽ Sports $8.2M
2
Oklahoma City at San Antonio
⚽ Sports $5.6M
3
Memphis at Sacramento
⚽ Sports $4.5M
Polymarket
Decentralized Platform
Volume (rolling)
24H $220.7M -15.5%
7D $2.0B +11.6%
30D $7.2B +86.2%
Top Categories (24h)
1 ⚽ Sports $85.2M
2 🏛️ Politics $45.1M
3 📦 Misc $36.7M
Top Markets (24h)
1
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
🏛️ Politics $7.3M
2
Thunder vs. Spurs
⚽ Sports $5.9M
3
Nuggets vs. Knicks
⚽ Sports $5.9M

Top Markets by Volume

Highest trading activity across platforms

1

Denver at New York

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome New York Knicks
Volume $8.2M
2

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair 97%
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair 2%
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair 1%
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair 1%
Will Trump nominate David Zervos as the next Fed chair 1%
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair 1%
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair 1%
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair 1%
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair 1%
Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair 1%
Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair 1%
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair 1%
Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair 1%
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair 1%
Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair 1%
No 1%
Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair 1%
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair 1%
Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair 1%
Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair 1%
Volume
$7.3M
Open Int.
$32.5M
Ends
Dec 30
3

Thunder vs. Spurs

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Spurs
Volume $5.9M
4

Nuggets vs. Knicks

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Knicks
Volume $5.9M
5

Oklahoma City at San Antonio

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome San Antonio
Volume $5.6M
6

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
Gavin Newsom 32%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8%
Kamala Harris 7%
Josh Shapiro 6%
Pete Buttigieg 5%
J.B. Pritzker 3%
Andy Beshear 3%
Jon Ossoff 3%
Jon Stewart 2%
Mark Kelly 2%
Rahm Emanuel 2%
Wes Moore 2%
Gretchen Whitmer 2%
Ruben Gallego 2%
Gina Raimondo 1%
Bernie Sanders 1%
Oprah Winfrey 1%
Chelsea Clinton 1%
Hillary Clinton 1%
Zohran Mamdani 1%
LeBron James 1%
Andrew Yang 1%
MrBeast 1%
Tim Walz 1%
Kim Kardashian 1%
George Clooney 1%
Jasmine Crockett 1%
Roy Cooper 1%
Hunter Biden 1%
Michelle Obama 1%
Liz Cheney 1%
Phil Murphy 1%
Raphael Warnock 1%
Chris Murphy 1%
Stephen A. Smith 1%
Beto O’Rourke 1%
Barack Obama 1%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson 1%
Mark Cuban 1%
Jared Polis 1%
Cory Booker 1%
John Fetterman 1%
Ro Khanna 1%
Volume
$5.5M
Open Int.
$2.1M
Ends
Nov 6
7

Timberwolves vs. Raptors

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Timberwolves
Volume $4.7M
8

Memphis at Sacramento

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Memphis Grizzlies
Volume $4.5M
9

Grizzlies vs. Kings

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Grizzlies
Volume $4.3M
10

What price will Bitcoin hit in February?

Polymarket
₿ Crypto Active
$70,000 89%
$65,000 52%
$60,000 25%
$85,000 22%
$55,000 12%
$90,000 9%
$50,000 6%
$95,000 6%
$100,000 4%
$45,000 4%
$105,000 2%
$35,000 2%
$40,000 2%
$150,000 1%
$125,000 1%
$110,000 1%
$120,000 1%
$115,000 1%
Volume
$3.8M
Open Int.
$5.2M
Ends
Feb 28
11

New Orleans at Milwaukee

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Milwaukee
Volume $3.7M
12

Celtics vs. Rockets

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Celtics
Volume $3.4M
13

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
JD Vance 25%
Gavin Newsom 19%
Marco Rubio 8%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 6%
Josh Shapiro 4%
Donald Trump 3%
Kamala Harris 3%
Andy Beshear 2%
JB Pritzker 2%
Pete Buttigieg 2%
Tim Walz 1%
Greg Abbott 1%
Michelle Obama 1%
Kim Kardashian 1%
Tulsi Gabbard 1%
Stephen Smith 1%
Zohran Mamdani 1%
Vivek Ramaswamy 1%
LeBron James 1%
Glenn Youngkin 1%
Nikki Haley 1%
Elon Musk 1%
Jamie Dimon 1%
Gretchen Whitmer 1%
Donald Trump Jr. 1%
Tucker Carlson 1%
Ron DeSantis 1%
Wes Moore 1%
Ivanka Trump 1%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson 1%
Volume
$3.3M
Open Int.
$2.1M
Ends
Nov 6
14

Pelicans vs. Bucks

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Bucks
Volume $3.0M
15

Minnesota at Toronto

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Minnesota Timberwolves
Volume $2.9M
16

Cavaliers vs. Clippers

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Cavaliers
Volume $2.7M
17

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Active
Spain 16%
England 14%
France 13%
Argentina 11%
Brazil 10%
Portugal 7%
Germany 6%
Norway 3%
Netherlands 3%
Morocco 2%
Italy 2%
Belgium 2%
Colombia 2%
South Alabama 2%
Jordan 1%
New Zealand 1%
Uzbekistan 1%
South Africa 1%
Scotland 1%
Canada 1%
Haiti 1%
Mexico 1%
Saudi Arabia 1%
Senegal 1%
Egypt 1%
Uruguay 1%
South Korea 1%
Qatar 1%
Switzerland 1%
Curaçao 1%
Cape Verde 1%
Croatia 1%
Ecuador 1%
Tunisia 1%
Australia 1%
Austria 1%
Paraguay 1%
Iran 1%
Ivory Coast 1%
Algeria 1%
Japan 1%
Ghana 1%
Volume
$2.6M
Open Int.
$2.0M
Ends
Jul 19
18

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
J.D. Vance 49%
Marco Rubio 12%
Donald Trump 5%
Ron DeSantis 3%
Donald Trump Jr. 2%
Marjorie Taylor Greene 2%
Tucker Carlson 2%
Mike Pence 1%
Katie Britt 1%
Kim Kardashian 1%
Kristi Noem 1%
Elon Musk 1%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders 1%
John Thune 1%
Tom Brady 1%
Elise Stefanik 1%
Vivek Ramaswamy 1%
Byron Donalds 1%
Matt Gaetz 1%
Greg Abbott 1%
Brian Kemp 1%
Rand Paul 1%
Steve Bannon 1%
Erika Kirk 1%
Josh Hawley 1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 1%
Tulsi Gabbard 1%
Ted Cruz 1%
Ivanka Trump 1%
Nikki Haley 1%
Glenn Youngkin 1%
Volume
$2.5M
Open Int.
$978.4K
Ends
Nov 6
19

Fed decision in March?

Polymarket
📊 Economics Active
No 91%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting 8%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting 2%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting 1%
Volume
$2.5M
Open Int.
$7.6M
Ends
Mar 17
20

Bruins vs. Panthers

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Panthers
Volume $2.5M
21

Boston at Houston

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Boston
Volume $2.5M
22

Elon Musk # tweets February 2 - February 4, 2026?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome 90–114
Volume $2.4M
23

Next Country US Strikes

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome Will the US strike Somalia next
Volume $2.4M
24

Gonzaga at Portland

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Portland
Volume $2.3M
25

Which brands will advertise during the Big Game 2026?

Kalshi
🏢 Companies Active
Pepsi 99%
T-Mobile 99%
Liquid Death 98%
Hims & Hers 98%
OpenAI 93%
Gemini 88%
Coinbase 78%
Amazon Prime 59%
Paramount+ 47%
Disney+ 46%
Netflix 36%
Allstate 32%
Temu 27%
Spotify 26%
Grok 17%
Anthropic 14%
DoorDash 13%
NVIDIA 12%
BlueChew 12%
Nike 11%
Perplexity AI 11%
Yeezy 10%
Vuori 10%
Jeep 9%
Athletic Greens 8%
SHEIN 8%
Tesla 7%
Zyn 3%
Volume
$2.3M
Open Int.
$3.4M
Ends
Feb 15
26

Elon Musk # tweets January 30 - February 6, 2026?

Polymarket
🔬 Tech Closing Soon
320–339 41%
300–319 32%
340–359 8%
280–299 7%
240–259 1%
260–279 1%
380–399 1%
360–379 1%
400–419 1%
440–459 1%
420–439 1%
460–479 1%
520–539 1%
500–519 1%
480–499 1%
540–559 1%
560–579 1%
600–619 1%
February 6, 2026 1%
620–639 1%
680–699 1%
660–679 1%
700–719 1%
640–659 1%
720–739 1%
Volume
$2.2M
Open Int.
$1.1M
Ends
Feb 6
27

Bitcoin above ___ on February 4?

Polymarket
₿ Crypto Closed
Outcome No
Volume $2.1M
28

Cleveland at Los Angeles C

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Cleveland Cavaliers
Volume $2.1M
29

What price will Solana hit in February?

Polymarket
₿ Crypto Active
$90 71%
$80 37%
$120 26%
$70 15%
$130 13%
$140 8%
$60 6%
$50 3%
$150 3%
$160 3%
$40 2%
$170 2%
$200 1%
$30 1%
$180 1%
$20 1%
$190 1%
Volume
$1.9M
Open Int.
$600.7K
Ends
Feb 28
30

2026 NBA Champion

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Active
Oklahoma City Thunder 39%
Denver Nuggets 12%
Boston Celtics 6%
Cleveland Cavaliers 6%
New York Knicks 6%
Detroit Pistons 6%
Minnesota Timberwolves 5%
San Antonio Spurs 5%
Houston Rockets 5%
Los Angeles Clippers 2%
Golden State Warriors 2%
Philadelphia 76ers 2%
Los Angeles Lakers 2%
Indiana Pacers 1%
Memphis Grizzlies 1%
Charlotte Hornets 1%
Washington Wizards 1%
Utah Jazz 1%
Brooklyn Nets 1%
Sacramento Kings 1%
New Orleans Pelicans 1%
Chicago Bulls 1%
Milwaukee Bucks 1%
Toronto Raptors 1%
Miami Heat 1%
Portland Trail Blazers 1%
Atlanta Hawks 1%
Dallas Mavericks 1%
Phoenix Suns 1%
Orlando Magic 1%
Volume
$1.9M
Open Int.
$822.1K
Ends
Jun 30
31

Red Wings vs. Utah

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Utah
Volume $1.9M
32

BYU at Oklahoma St.

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Oklahoma State
Volume $1.9M
33

Michigan St. at Minnesota

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Minnesota
Volume $1.9M
34

Iowa at Washington

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Iowa
Volume $1.7M
35

English Premier League Winner

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Active
Arsenal 81%
Manchester City 14%
Manchester United 2%
Aston Villa 2%
Tottenham 1%
Leeds 1%
Brentford 1%
West Ham 1%
Nottm Forest 1%
Newcastle 1%
Everton 1%
Crystal Palace 1%
Bournemouth 1%
Burnley 1%
Fulham 1%
Brighton 1%
Liverpool 1%
Chelsea 1%
Sunderland 1%
Volume
$1.6M
Open Int.
$606.4K
Ends
May 26
36

Washington St. at Oregon St.

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Oregon State Beavers
Volume $1.5M
37

Western Carolina at UNC Greensboro

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome UNC Greensboro
Volume $1.4M
38

Clemson at Stanford

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Clemson
Volume $1.4M
39

Humbert vs Mannarino

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Adrian Mannarino
Volume $1.4M
40

Giannis Antetokounmpo's next team?

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Active
Stays/Retires 80%
Miami 10%
Minnesota 10%
Chicago 5%
New York 2%
Cleveland 2%
Golden State 1%
Portland 1%
Philadelphia 1%
Toronto 1%
Los Angeles L 1%
Oklahoma City 1%
Atlanta 1%
Charlotte 1%
San Antonio 1%
Brooklyn 1%
Houston 1%
Detroit 1%
Boston 1%
Dallas 1%
Los Angeles Clippers 1%
Phoenix 1%
Orlando 1%
Memphis 1%
Denver 1%
Utah 1%
Washington 1%
Indiana 1%
New Orleans 1%
Sacramento 1%
Volume
$1.4M
Open Int.
$14.5M
Ends
Feb 13
41

Pro Football Champion?

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Active
Seattle Seahawks 68%
New England Patriots 33%
Volume
$1.3M
Open Int.
$33.0M
Ends
Feb 8
42

Sharks vs. Avalanche

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Avalanche
Volume $1.3M
43

Sasnovich vs Eala

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Alexandra Eala
Volume $1.3M
44

What price will Ethereum hit in February?

Polymarket
₿ Crypto Active
$2,000 61%
$1,800 34%
$2,800 21%
$1,600 17%
$3,000 10%
$1,400 9%
$3,200 5%
$1,200 3%
$3,400 3%
$3,600 2%
$5,000 1%
$4,400 1%
$4,200 1%
$800 1%
$4,000 1%
$1,000 1%
$3,800 1%
Volume
$1.2M
Open Int.
$1.6M
Ends
Feb 28
45

KHL: Sibir Novosibirsk vs. Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
Volume $1.2M
46

Texas A&M at Alabama

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Alabama
Volume $1.1M
47

What will Trump say this week (February 8)?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closing Soon
No 56%
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (February 8) 50%
Will Trump say "Armada" this week? (February 8) 46%
Will Trump say "TikTok" this week? (February 8) 45%
Will Trump say "Hellhole" this week? (February 8) 36%
Will Trump say "Nicki" or "Nikki" or "Rapper" this week? (February 8) 27%
Will Trump say "Stagflation" this week? (February 8) 26%
Will Trump say "Green Day" or "Bad Bunny" this week? (February 8) 25%
Will Trump say "Kamala" this week? (February 8) 25%
Will Trump say "Biden's War" this week? (February 8) 24%
Will Trump say "Anarchist" this week? (February 8) 19%
Volume
$1.1M
Open Int.
$6.7K
Ends
Feb 7
48

Gea vs Machac

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Arthur Gea
Volume $1.0M
49

Oklahoma City at San Antonio: Spread

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome San Antonio Spurs by over 1.5
Volume $1.0M
50

Blues vs. Stars

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Stars
Volume $1.0M
51

Manchester City FC vs Newcastle United FC

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Manchester City FC
Volume $1.0M
52

La Liga Winner

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Active
Barcelona 60%
Real Madrid 39%
Athletic Bilbao 1%
Villarreal 1%
Sevilla 1%
Girona 1%
Mallorca 1%
Valencia 1%
Alaves 1%
Elche 1%
Espanyol 1%
Osasuna 1%
Getafe 1%
Rayo Vallecano 1%
Real Sociedad 1%
Celta Vigo 1%
Betis 1%
Levante 1%
Atletico Madrid 1%
Oviedo 1%
Volume
$967.6K
Open Int.
$12.2K
Ends
May 29
53

X banned in U.K. by March 31?

Polymarket
🔬 Tech Active
X banned in U.K. by March 31 5%
Volume
$950.4K
Open Int.
$30.1K
Ends
Mar 30
54

Minnesota at Nashville

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Minnesota Wild
Volume $918.8K
55

Utah St. at New Mexico

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Utah State
Volume $902.0K
56

US strikes Iran by...?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
June 30, 2026 49%
March 31, 2026 39%
February 7, 2026 7%
Volume
$848.0K
Open Int.
$2.9M
Ends
Jun 29
57

Wild vs. Predators

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Wild
Volume $847.3K
58

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 12AM ET

Polymarket
₿ Crypto Closed
Outcome Down
Volume $843.2K
59

NBA MVP

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Active
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 67%
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 19%
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 11%
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 3%
Will Trae Young win the 2025–2026 1%
Will Ja Morant win the 2025–2026 1%
Will Paolo Banchero win the 2025–2026 1%
Will Joel Embiid win the 2025–2026 1%
Will Anthony Davis win the 2025–2026 1%
Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 1%
Will Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 1%
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–2026 1%
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 1%
Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 1%
Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 1%
Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2025–2026 1%
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2025–2026 1%
Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2025–2026 1%
Will Stephen Curry win the 2025–2026 1%
Volume
$839.7K
Open Int.
$23.4K
Ends
Jun 9
60

Oilers vs. Flames

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Flames
Volume $834.5K
61

Denver at New York: Spread

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome New York Knicks by >1.5
Volume $822.0K
62

KHL: Traktor vs. Ak Bars Kazan

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Traktor
Volume $809.0K
63

Boston at Florida

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Florida Panthers
Volume $798.7K
64

Bitcoin price on Feb 4, 2026 at 5pm EST?

Kalshi
₿ Crypto Closed
Outcome $68,250 or above
Volume $798.2K
65

Kraken vs. Kings

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Kraken
Volume $781.4K
66

Butler at Providence

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Providence
Volume $770.6K
67

Bitcoin above ___ on February 6?

Polymarket
₿ Crypto Closing Soon
$74,000 20%
$76,000 7%
$78,000 3%
$90,000 1%
$80,000 1%
$88,000 1%
$82,000 1%
$84,000 1%
$86,000 1%
$92,000 1%
$94,000 1%
Volume
$742.7K
Open Int.
$586.1K
Ends
Feb 6
68

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28 7%
Volume
$742.2K
Open Int.
$2.7M
Ends
Feb 27
69

Canadiens vs. Jets

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Canadiens
Volume $735.8K
70

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2PM ET

Polymarket
₿ Crypto Closed
Outcome Up
Volume $734.6K
71

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 11PM ET

Polymarket
₿ Crypto Closed
Outcome Down
Volume $734.0K
72

US strikes Iran by Feb 28 Odds >30% by Friday?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome Feb 6, 2026
Volume $732.9K
73

Manchester City vs Newcastle

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Manchester City
Volume $732.1K
74

Knicks vs. Celtics

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Closing Soon
Celtics 51%
Knicks 49%
Volume
$719.1K
Open Int.
$171
Ends
Feb 8
75

Medjedovic vs Wawrinka

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Stan Wawrinka
Volume $702.8K
76

Sun vs Ellis

Kalshi
Closed
Outcome Blake Ellis
Volume $701.6K
77

Loyola Marymount at San Francisco

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Loyola Marymount
Volume $700.5K
78

Northeastern Huskies vs. Hofstra Pride

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Closing Soon
Hofstra Pride 84%
Northeastern Huskies 17%
Volume
$697.1K
Open Int.
$35.1K
Ends
Feb 5
79

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Polymarket
₿ Crypto Closed
Outcome Up
Volume $691.7K
80

Blackhawks vs. Blue Jackets

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Blue Jackets
Volume $685.6K
81

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 10PM ET

Polymarket
₿ Crypto Closed
Outcome Down
Volume $672.8K
82

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6AM ET

Polymarket
₿ Crypto Closed
Outcome Down
Volume $670.9K
83

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

Polymarket
₿ Crypto Closed
Outcome Up
Volume $662.0K
84

Elon Phoenix vs. Hampton Pirates

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Closing Soon
Elon Phoenix 56%
Hampton Pirates 44%
Volume
$660.4K
Open Int.
$1.8K
Ends
Feb 5
85

Denver at New York: Total Points

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Over 211.5 points
Volume $659.8K
86

Thailand Legislative Election Winner

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closing Soon
People’s Party (PPLE) 71%
Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) 28%
Pheu Thai Party (PT) 2%
United Thai Nation Party (UTN) 1%
Democrat Party (DP) 1%
Chart Thai Pattana Party (CTPP) 1%
Kla Tham Party (KT) 1%
Volume
$526.6K
Open Int.
$981.8K
Ends
Feb 7
87

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
Delcy Rodríguez 66%
Nicolás Maduro 13%
María Corina Machado 11%
Edmundo González 5%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón 2%
Vladimir Padrino López 2%
Pete Hegseth 1%
Frank Donovan 1%
Dinorah Figuera 1%
Evan Pettus 1%
Dan Caine 1%
Richard Grenell 1%
Donald Trump 1%
Marco Rubio 1%
Jorge Rodríguez 1%
No 1%
Volume
$524.7K
Open Int.
$1.5K
Ends
Dec 30
88

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kalshi
🏛️ Politics Active
Kevin Warsh 97%
Judy Shelton 3%
Rick Rieder 1%
Kevin Hassett 1%
Michelle Bowman 1%
Christopher Waller 1%
Stephen Miran 1%
Scott Bessent 1%
David Zervos 1%
Bill Pulte 1%
Donald Trump (Himself) 1%
David Malpass 1%
Jerome Powell 1%
Howard Lutnick 1%
Larry Kudlow 1%
Arthur Laffer 1%
James Bullard 1%
Marc Sumerlin 1%
Lorie Logan 1%
Philip Jefferson 1%
Larry Lindsey 1%
Janet Yellen 1%
Ron Paul 1%
Volume
$476.4K
Open Int.
$73.7M
Ends
Jan 20
89

Hornets vs. Rockets

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Closing Soon
Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5 47%
Volume
$473.9K
Open Int.
$478.5K
Ends
Feb 5
90

Rockets vs. Thunder

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Closing Soon
Thunder 54%
Rockets 47%
Volume
$473.6K
Open Int.
$2.6K
Ends
Feb 7
91

Bad Bunny’s halftime opener?

Kalshi
🎭 Culture Active
Tití Me Preguntó 56%
BAILE INoLVIDABLE 16%
MONACO 11%
LA MuDANZA 9%
NUEVAYoL 7%
EoO 6%
DtMF 4%
DÁKITI 2%
LA CANCIÓN 2%
I Like It 1%
Chambea 1%
Me Porto Bonito 1%
Safaera 1%
MIA 1%
Yonaguni 1%
PERRO NEGRO 1%
Efecto 1%
Neverita 1%
Ojitos Lindos 1%
Te Boté - Remix 1%
La Santa 1%
un x100to 1%
No Me Conoce - Remix 1%
La Jumpa 1%
Volume
$460.5K
Open Int.
$5.2M
Ends
Feb 16
92

Islanders vs. Devils

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Closing Soon
Islanders 52%
Devils 49%
Volume
$444.8K
Open Int.
$473.5K
Ends
Feb 5
93

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
March 31, 2026 10%
Volume
$433.4K
Open Int.
$4.6M
Ends
Mar 30
94

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31 17%
Volume
$413.1K
Open Int.
$3.3M
Ends
Mar 30
95

Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30 6%
Volume
$394.0K
Open Int.
$2.3K
Ends
Jun 29
96

Bitcoin price on Feb 6, 2026 at 5pm EST?

Kalshi
₿ Crypto Active
$69,750 or above 67%
$70,750 or above 66%
$70,250 or above 61%
$71,250 or above 44%
$73,750 or above 40%
$71,750 or above 39%
$72,750 or above 37%
$72,250 or above 37%
$74,250 or above 30%
$79,750 or above 26%
$73,250 or above 24%
$74,750 or above 15%
$87,750 or above 14%
$75,250 or above 14%
$75,750 or above 13%
$78,250 or above 12%
$89,250 or above 12%
$86,250 or above 11%
$77,750 or above 10%
$78,750 or above 10%
$76,250 or above 9%
$76,750 or above 7%
$77,250 or above 6%
$82,250 or above 4%
$80,250 or above 4%
$79,250 or above 4%
$80,750 or above 3%
$81,750 or above 2%
$83,750 or above 2%
$83,250 or above 2%
$81,250 or above 2%
$82,750 or above 2%
$84,250 or above 2%
$85,750 or above 2%
$85,250 or above 2%
$87,250 or above 2%
$86,750 or above 2%
$88,250 or above 2%
$88,750 or above 2%
$89,750 or above 2%
$84,750 or above 1%
$90,250 or above 1%
$90,750 or above 1%
$91,750 or above 1%
$93,750 or above 1%
$91,250 or above 1%
$94,250 or above 1%
$92,750 or above 1%
$92,250 or above 1%
$93,250 or above 1%
Volume
$327.3K
Open Int.
$1.4M
Ends
Feb 13
97

WM Phoenix Open Winner?

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Active
Scottie Scheffler 29%
Xander Schauffele 5%
Si Woo Kim 4%
Hideki Matsuyama 4%
Cameron Young 4%
Ben Griffin 3%
Sam Burns 3%
Maverick McNealy 3%
Brooks Koepka 2%
Jordan Spieth 2%
Jake Knapp 2%
Sepp Straka 2%
Sahith Theegala 2%
Rickie Fowler 2%
Chris Gotterup 2%
Viktor Hovland 2%
Daniel Berger 2%
Collin Morikawa 2%
Wyndham Clark 2%
Corey Conners 2%
Harris English 2%
Pierceson Coody 2%
Rasmus Hojgaard 2%
Matt Fitzpatrick 2%
Keith Mitchell 2%
Matthew McCarty 2%
Kurt Kitayama 2%
Michael Thorbjornsen 2%
Harry Hall 2%
Andrew Novak 1%
Nick Taylor 1%
J.J. Spaun 1%
Tony Finau 1%
Davis Thompson 1%
Min Woo Lee 1%
Hao-Tong Li 1%
Joel Dahmen 1%
Nicolai Hojgaard 1%
Akshay Bhatia 1%
J.T. Poston 1%
Max Homa 1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout 1%
Sam Stevens 1%
Eric Cole 1%
John Keefer 1%
Max Greyserman 1%
Ryo Hisatsune 1%
Billy Horschel 1%
Adam Schenk 1%
Tom Kim 1%
Danny Walker 1%
Charley Hoffman 1%
Garrick Higgo 1%
Brian Harman 1%
Stephan Jaeger 1%
Thomas Avant 1%
Jacob Bridgeman 1%
Michael Kim 1%
Zachary Bauchou 1%
Ryan Fox 1%
Austin Eckroat 1%
Rico Hoey 1%
Aldrich Potgieter 1%
Gary Woodland 1%
Michael Brennan 1%
Cameron Davis 1%
Jordan L. Smith 1%
Marco Penge 1%
Patrick Rodgers 1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen 1%
Max McGreevy 1%
Neal Shipley 1%
Bud Cauley 1%
Tom Hoge 1%
Mark Hubbard 1%
Seonghyeon Kim 1%
Kevin Roy 1%
Thorbjorn Olesen 1%
Erik Van Rooyen 1%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart 1%
Daniel Brown 1%
Emiliano Grillo 1%
Kevin Yu 1%
Chris Kirk 1%
Matthieu Pavon 1%
Austin Smotherman 1%
Karl Vilips 1%
Sami Valimaki 1%
Adrien Saddier 1%
Vince Whaley 1%
Chandler Phillips 1%
Davis Riley 1%
Christo Lamprecht 1%
Brian Campbell 1%
Chandler Blanchet 1%
Webb Simpson 1%
Zecheng Dou 1%
Kristoffer Reitan 1%
Matti Schmid 1%
Keita Nakajima 1%
Patton Kizzire 1%
Alex Smalley 1%
Brice Garnett 1%
Chad Ramey 1%
Davis Chatfield 1%
Emilio Gonzalez 1%
Hank Lebioda 1%
Jeffrey Kang 1%
Joe Highsmith 1%
John Parry 1%
John VanDerLaan 1%
Kensei Hirata 1%
Mac Meissner 1%
Mackenzie Hughes 1%
Nicolas Echavarria 1%
Peter Malnati 1%
Rafael Campos 1%
Seung-taek Lee 1%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju 1%
Takumi Kanaya 1%
William Mouw 1%
Volume
$261.9K
Open Int.
$5.9M
Ends
Feb 21
98

Seattle at New England: Spread

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Active
Seattle wins by over 2.5 points 63%
Seattle wins by over 3.5 points 54%
Seattle wins by over 4.5 points 52%
Seattle wins by over 5.5 points 48%
Seattle wins by over 6.5 points 45%
Seattle wins by over 7.5 points 38%
Seattle wins by over 9.5 points 35%
Seattle wins by over 10.5 points 32%
New England wins by over 2.5 points 29%
Seattle wins by over 13.5 points 27%
Seattle wins by over 14.5 points 23%
New England wins by over 3.5 points 23%
Seattle wins by over 17.5 points 18%
New England wins by over 6.5 points 17%
New England wins by over 7.5 points 14%
New England wins by over 9.5 points 12%
New England wins by over 10.5 points 10%
New England wins by over 13.5 points 8%
Volume
$261.5K
Open Int.
$3.8M
Ends
Feb 22
99

LIV Golf Riyadh Champion?

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Active
Jon Rahm 22%
Bryson DeChambeau 13%
Thomas Detry 10%
Tyrrell Hatton 8%
Peter Uihlein 5%
Joaquin Niemann 5%
Byeong Hun An 5%
David Puig 4%
Sebastian Munoz 4%
Talor Gooch 3%
Louis Oosthuizen 3%
Elvis Smylie 3%
Abraham Ancer 2%
Sergio Garcia 2%
Dean Burmester 2%
Adrian Meronk 1%
Anthony Kim 1%
Dustin Johnson 1%
Tom McKibbin 1%
Josele Ballester 1%
Michael La Sasso 1%
Marc Leishman 1%
Anirban Lahiri 1%
Cameron Smith 1%
Younghan Song 1%
Thomas Pieters 1%
Laurie Canter 1%
Scott Vincent 1%
Carlos Ortiz 1%
Paul Casey 1%
Yosuke Asaji 1%
Charles Howell III 1%
Bubba Watson 1%
Richard Bland 1%
Ben Campbell 1%
Harold Varner III 1%
Sam Horsfield 1%
Caleb Surratt 1%
Ollie Schniederjans 1%
Matthew Wolff 1%
Lucas Herbert 1%
Branden Grace 1%
Ian Poulter 1%
Richard T. Lee 1%
Graeme McDowell 1%
Jason Kokrak 1%
Bjorn Hellgren 1%
Minkyu Kim 1%
Benjamin Schmidt 1%
Luis Masaveu 1%
Brendan Steele 1%
Charl Schwartzel 1%
Danny Lee 1%
Cameron Tringale 1%
Martin Kaymer 1%
Victor Perez 1%
Volume
$223.7K
Open Int.
$1.4M
Ends
Feb 20
100

Ali Khamenei out as Supreme Leader?

Kalshi
🏛️ Politics Active
Ali Khamenei 38%
Volume
$192.1K
Open Int.
$3.3M
Ends
Sep 1
101

Washington at Detroit

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Active
Detroit Pistons 87%
Washington Wizards 14%
Volume
$174.6K
Open Int.
$252.7K
Ends
Feb 19
102

Who will attend the Big Game?

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Active
Tom Brady 97%
Cardi B 95%
Jason Kelce 92%
Gavin Newsom 90%
Ben Affleck 84%
Lady Gaga 78%
Matt Damon 66%
Kim Kardashian 65%
Mark Wahlberg 60%
Sydney Sweeney 56%
Pete Davidson 56%
Kendrick Lamar 56%
Timothée Chalamet 39%
Jeff Bezos 37%
Paris Hilton 36%
Elon Musk 35%
Sam Altman 34%
Zendaya 31%
Taylor Swift 25%
Drake 25%
Lionel Messi 23%
Doechii 21%
Kristi Noem 12%
Kamala Harris 12%
Anne Hathaway 12%
Jill Biden 11%
Barack Obama 8%
Bill Gates 8%
Tom Homan 6%
Donald Trump 5%
JD Vance 5%
Volume
$147.7K
Open Int.
$1.1M
Ends
Feb 13
103

Who will perform at the Pro Football Championship?

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Active
Ricky Martin 48%
Cardi B 43%
Rauw Alejandro 40%
Feid 39%
JHAYCO 36%
Karol G 36%
Tainy 34%
Chencho Corleone 31%
Rosalía 29%
Marc Anthony 28%
Travis Scott 20%
Arcángel 19%
Grupo Frontera 18%
Ozuna 18%
Tego Calderón 17%
Chuwi 17%
El Gran Combo de Puerto Rico 16%
J Balvin 15%
El Alfa 14%
Jowell & Randy 13%
Santana 13%
Elvis Crespo 13%
Drake 12%
De La Ghetto 12%
Shakira 12%
Ivy Queen 11%
Jennifer Lopez 11%
Daddy Yankee 10%
Dua Lipa 9%
Marías 9%
Megan Thee Stallion 9%
Romeo Santos 8%
Don Omar 8%
Post Malone 6%
Miley Cyrus 5%
Lil Wayne 5%
N.O.R.E 5%
Rawayana 5%
Billie Eilish 4%
Morgan Wallen 3%
Sabrina Carpenter 3%
Doja Cat 3%
Christina Aguilera 3%
Taylor Swift 2%
JAY-Z 2%
Metallica 2%
Ariana Grande 2%
"Weird Al" Yankovic 2%
Chappell Roan 2%
Foo Fighters 2%
Oasis 2%
Axel Willner 1%
Volume
$139.9K
Open Int.
$596.2K
Ends
Jan 7
104

Pro Basketball Players Traded before Deadline

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Active
Jonathan Kuminga 100%
Anthony Davis 100%
Coby White 100%
Chris Paul 100%
Benedict Mathurin 54%
Ja Morant 53%
Daniel Gafford 50%
Ivica Zubac 44%
Malik Monk 44%
Nic Claxton 38%
Kyle Kuzma 35%
Michael Porter Jr. 31%
Giannis Antetokounmpo 24%
Paul George 24%
Klay Thompson 23%
Donte DiVincenzo 22%
Tyler Herro 21%
Zach LaVine 20%
Kawhi Leonard 20%
Herbert Jones 18%
Tobias Harris 18%
Trey Murphy III 16%
Domantas Sabonis 14%
RJ Barrett 14%
Pascal Siakam 13%
Grayson Allen 10%
Zion Williamson 9%
Karl-Anthony Towns 9%
Dyson Daniels 7%
LaMelo Ball 6%
Lauri Markkanen 5%
Volume
$132.3K
Open Int.
$580.0K
Ends
Feb 13
105

Arsenal vs Sunderland

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Active
Arsenal 82%
Tie 13%
Sunderland 6%
Volume
$132.1K
Open Int.
$360.4K
Ends
Feb 21
106

Pro Football Championship MVP?

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Active
Sam Darnold 45%
Drake Maye 27%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba 15%
Kenneth Walker III 9%
Rhamondre Stevenson 3%
Rashid Shaheed 2%
Stefon Diggs 2%
Cooper Kupp 1%
Nick Emmanwori 1%
TreVeyon Henderson 1%
DeMarcus Lawrence 1%
Ernest Jones IV 1%
Christian Gonzalez 1%
Tie/Co-Winner 1%
Devon Witherspoon 1%
Hunter Henry 1%
Leonard Williams 1%
Marcus Jones 1%
Kayshon Boutte 1%
Jason Myers 1%
AJ Barner 1%
Jake Bobo 1%
Mack Hollins 1%
Milton Williams 1%
Zach Charbonnet 1%
Byron Murphy II 1%
Andy Borregales 1%
Julian Love 1%
Joshua Dobbs 1%
Drew Lock 1%
George Holani 1%
Coby Bryant 1%
Harold Landry III 1%
Christian Barmore 1%
Will Campbell 1%
DeMario Douglas 1%
Robert Spillane 1%
Kyle Williams 1%
Abraham Lucas 1%
Bryce Baringer 1%
Carlton Davis III 1%
Michael Dickson 1%
Volume
$118.6K
Open Int.
$7.3M
Ends
Feb 10
107

MVP Winner?

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Active
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 67%
Nikola Jokic 20%
Luka Doncic 10%
Cade Cunningham 4%
Victor Wembanyama 2%
Jaylen Brown 2%
Jalen Brunson 1%
Anthony Edwards 1%
Tyrese Maxey 1%
Giannis Antetokounmpo 1%
Donovan Mitchell 1%
Stephen Curry 1%
Alperen Sengun 1%
Joel Embiid 1%
Kawhi Leonard 1%
Evan Mobley 1%
Austin Reaves 1%
Trae Young 1%
Kevin Durant 1%
Paolo Banchero 1%
Ja Morant 1%
Zion Williamson 1%
Cooper Flagg 1%
Anthony Davis 1%
Devin Booker 1%
Karl-Anthony Towns 1%
Ryan Rollins 1%
LeBron James 1%
Amen Thompson 1%
Jamal Murray 1%
Bennedict Mathurin 1%
LaMelo Ball 1%
Tie/Co-Winners 1%
Jalen Johnson 1%
Pascal Siakam 1%
Chet Holmgren 1%
Ausar Thompson 1%
Domantas Sabonis 1%
Coby White 1%
James Harden 1%
Jalen Williams 1%
Scottie Barnes 1%
Jimmy Butler 1%
Isaiah Hartenstein 1%
De'Aaron Fox 1%
Derrick White 1%
Franz Wagner 1%
Jalen Green 1%
Zach LaVine 1%
Tyler Herro 1%
Jaren Jackson Jr. 1%
Jarrett Allen 1%
Anfernee Simons 1%
DeMar DeRozan 1%
Julius Randle 1%
Alex Caruso 1%
Andrew Nembhard 1%
Bam Adebayo 1%
CJ McCollum 1%
Cam Johnson 1%
Darius Garland 1%
De'Andre Hunter 1%
Deandre Ayton 1%
Desmond Bane 1%
Draymond Green 1%
Fred VanVleet 1%
Ivica Zubac 1%
Jaden Ivey 1%
John Collins 1%
Josh Hart 1%
Klay Thompson 1%
Paul George 1%
Volume
$116.8K
Open Int.
$4.0M
Ends
Apr 12
108

Seattle at New England: Total Points

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Active
Over 28.5 pts 91%
Over 31.5 pts 89%
Over 34.5 pts 81%
Over 37.5 pts 73%
Over 40.5 pts 66%
Over 43.5 pts 57%
Over 45.5 pts 50%
Over 46.5 pts 47%
Over 47.5 pts 44%
Over 49.5 pts 39%
Over 52.5 pts 30%
Over 55.5 pts 24%
Over 58.5 pts 17%
Over 61.5 pts 14%
Over 64.5 pts 9%
Over 67.5 pts 6%
Volume
$75.8K
Open Int.
$442.5K
Ends
Feb 22
109

Which party will win the U.S. Senate in 2026?

Kalshi
🏛️ Politics Active
Republican Party 64%
Democratic Party 36%
Volume
$9.5K
Open Int.
$710.0K
Ends
Feb 1
110

Next US Presidential Election Winner?

Kalshi
🏛️ Politics Active
J.D. Vance 26%
Gavin Newsom 20%
Marco Rubio 11%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 6%
Josh Shapiro 5%
Donald J. Trump 4%
Kamala Harris 4%
Pete Buttigieg 4%
J.B. Pritzker 3%
Gretchen Whitmer 3%
Andy Beshear 3%
Wes Moore 3%
Glenn Youngkin 2%
Ron DeSantis 2%
Donald J. Trump Jr. 2%
Jon Ossoff 2%
Jamie Dimon 1%
Stephen A. Smith 1%
Tulsi Gabbard 1%
Vivek Ramaswamy 1%
Nikki Haley 1%
Greg Abbott 1%
Tim Walz 1%
Volume
$9.5K
Open Int.
$6.6M
Ends
Nov 7
111

Which party will win the U.S. House in 2026?

Kalshi
🏛️ Politics Active
Democratic Party 78%
Republican Party 23%
Volume
$9.4K
Open Int.
$1.4M
Ends
Feb 1
112

Which party will win the 2028 Presidential Election?

Kalshi
🏛️ Politics Active
Democratic party 54%
Republican party 47%
Volume
$177
Open Int.
$110.8K
Ends
Nov 7
1

Fed decision in January?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome No
Volume $207.8M
2

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome No
Volume $185.9M
3

Fed decision in December?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting
Volume $143.2M
4

US government shutdown Saturday?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome US government shutdown Saturday
Volume $138.4M
5

Next president of South Korea?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the
Volume $128.1M
6

Fed decision in October?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting
Volume $122.4M
7

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair 97%
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair 2%
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair 1%
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair 1%
Will Trump nominate David Zervos as the next Fed chair 1%
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair 1%
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair 1%
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair 1%
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair 1%
Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair 1%
Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair 1%
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair 1%
Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair 1%
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair 1%
Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair 1%
No 1%
Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair 1%
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair 1%
Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair 1%
Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair 1%
Volume
$119.1M
Open Int.
$32.5M
Ends
Dec 30
8

Fed decision in September?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting
Volume $114.7M
9

New York City Mayoral Election

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome Zohran Mamdani
Volume $96.9M
10

Romania: Bucharest Mayoral Election

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome Ciprian Ciucu
Volume $92.9M
11

Will Trump release Epstein files by...?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome December 19
Volume $92.4M
12

Who will die in Stranger Things: Season 5?

Polymarket
🎭 Culture Closed
Outcome Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"
Volume $82.3M
13

Ireland Presidential Election

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome Catherine Connolly
Volume $75.7M
14

Romania Presidential Election Winner

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome Nicușor Dan
Volume $63.5M
15

Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

Polymarket
₿ Crypto Closed
Outcome $1B
Volume $61.8M
16

MegaETH public sale total commitments?

Polymarket
₿ Crypto Closed
Outcome $1B
Volume $59.9M
17

Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Anthony Joshua
Volume $59.1M
18

Fed decision in July?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome No
Volume $58.9M
19

Next Prime Minister of Canada after the election?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome Mark Carney
Volume $57.9M
20

US x Venezuela military engagement by...?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome January 15, 2026
Volume $55.8M
21

Fed decision in May?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome No
Volume $54.1M
22

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome Will Polymarket US go live in 2025
Volume $53.3M
23

Poland Presidential Election

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome Karol Nawrocki
Volume $50.9M
24

Fed decision in March?

Polymarket
📊 Economics Active
No 91%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting 8%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting 2%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting 1%
Volume
$49.5M
Open Int.
$7.6M
Ends
Mar 17
25

Fed decision in June?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome No
Volume $49.4M
26

Monad FDV one day after launch?

Polymarket
₿ Crypto Closed
Outcome $2B
Volume $47.9M
27

What price will Bitcoin hit in January?

Polymarket
₿ Crypto Closed
Outcome $80,000
Volume $45.5M
28

LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome T1
Volume $40.2M
29

NBA Champion

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Oklahoma City Thunder
Volume $37.1M
30

Government shutdown on Jan 31, 2026?

Kalshi
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome Government shutdown Jan 31, 2026
Volume $36.7M
31

When will the Government shutdown end?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15
Volume $36.7M
32

Monad public sale total commitments above ___ ?

Polymarket
₿ Crypto Closed
Outcome $250M
Volume $35.6M
33

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
Gavin Newsom 32%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8%
Kamala Harris 7%
Josh Shapiro 6%
Pete Buttigieg 5%
J.B. Pritzker 3%
Andy Beshear 3%
Jon Ossoff 3%
Jon Stewart 2%
Mark Kelly 2%
Rahm Emanuel 2%
Wes Moore 2%
Gretchen Whitmer 2%
Ruben Gallego 2%
Gina Raimondo 1%
Bernie Sanders 1%
Oprah Winfrey 1%
Chelsea Clinton 1%
Hillary Clinton 1%
Zohran Mamdani 1%
LeBron James 1%
Andrew Yang 1%
MrBeast 1%
Tim Walz 1%
Kim Kardashian 1%
George Clooney 1%
Jasmine Crockett 1%
Roy Cooper 1%
Hunter Biden 1%
Michelle Obama 1%
Liz Cheney 1%
Phil Murphy 1%
Raphael Warnock 1%
Chris Murphy 1%
Stephen A. Smith 1%
Beto O’Rourke 1%
Barack Obama 1%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson 1%
Mark Cuban 1%
Jared Polis 1%
Cory Booker 1%
John Fetterman 1%
Ro Khanna 1%
Volume
$34.7M
Open Int.
$10.1M
Ends
Nov 6
34

#1 Searched Person on Google this year?

Polymarket
🔬 Tech Closed
Outcome Will d4vd be the
Volume $33.8M
35

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
JD Vance 25%
Gavin Newsom 19%
Marco Rubio 8%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 6%
Josh Shapiro 4%
Donald Trump 3%
Kamala Harris 3%
Andy Beshear 2%
JB Pritzker 2%
Pete Buttigieg 2%
Tim Walz 1%
Greg Abbott 1%
Michelle Obama 1%
Kim Kardashian 1%
Tulsi Gabbard 1%
Stephen Smith 1%
Zohran Mamdani 1%
Vivek Ramaswamy 1%
LeBron James 1%
Glenn Youngkin 1%
Nikki Haley 1%
Elon Musk 1%
Jamie Dimon 1%
Gretchen Whitmer 1%
Donald Trump Jr. 1%
Tucker Carlson 1%
Ron DeSantis 1%
Wes Moore 1%
Ivanka Trump 1%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson 1%
Volume
$27.8M
Open Int.
$21.1M
Ends
Nov 6
36

Alcaraz vs Zverev

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Carlos Alcaraz
Volume $26.2M
37

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
J.D. Vance 49%
Marco Rubio 12%
Donald Trump 5%
Ron DeSantis 3%
Donald Trump Jr. 2%
Marjorie Taylor Greene 2%
Tucker Carlson 2%
Mike Pence 1%
Katie Britt 1%
Kim Kardashian 1%
Kristi Noem 1%
Elon Musk 1%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders 1%
John Thune 1%
Tom Brady 1%
Elise Stefanik 1%
Vivek Ramaswamy 1%
Byron Donalds 1%
Matt Gaetz 1%
Greg Abbott 1%
Brian Kemp 1%
Rand Paul 1%
Steve Bannon 1%
Erika Kirk 1%
Josh Hawley 1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 1%
Tulsi Gabbard 1%
Ted Cruz 1%
Ivanka Trump 1%
Nikki Haley 1%
Glenn Youngkin 1%
Volume
$24.4M
Open Int.
$1.4M
Ends
Nov 6
38

Los Angeles C at Denver

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Denver Nuggets
Volume $23.2M
39

2026 NBA Champion

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Active
Oklahoma City Thunder 39%
Denver Nuggets 12%
Boston Celtics 6%
Cleveland Cavaliers 6%
New York Knicks 6%
Detroit Pistons 6%
Minnesota Timberwolves 5%
San Antonio Spurs 5%
Houston Rockets 5%
Los Angeles Clippers 2%
Golden State Warriors 2%
Philadelphia 76ers 2%
Los Angeles Lakers 2%
Indiana Pacers 1%
Memphis Grizzlies 1%
Charlotte Hornets 1%
Washington Wizards 1%
Utah Jazz 1%
Brooklyn Nets 1%
Sacramento Kings 1%
New Orleans Pelicans 1%
Chicago Bulls 1%
Milwaukee Bucks 1%
Toronto Raptors 1%
Miami Heat 1%
Portland Trail Blazers 1%
Atlanta Hawks 1%
Dallas Mavericks 1%
Phoenix Suns 1%
Orlando Magic 1%
Volume
$22.3M
Open Int.
$1.1M
Ends
Jun 30
40

English Premier League Winner

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Active
Arsenal 81%
Manchester City 14%
Manchester United 2%
Aston Villa 2%
Tottenham 1%
Leeds 1%
Brentford 1%
West Ham 1%
Nottm Forest 1%
Newcastle 1%
Everton 1%
Crystal Palace 1%
Bournemouth 1%
Burnley 1%
Fulham 1%
Brighton 1%
Liverpool 1%
Chelsea 1%
Sunderland 1%
Volume
$20.9M
Open Int.
$860.9K
Ends
May 26
41

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Active
Spain 16%
England 14%
France 13%
Argentina 11%
Brazil 10%
Portugal 7%
Germany 6%
Norway 3%
Netherlands 3%
Morocco 2%
Italy 2%
Belgium 2%
Colombia 2%
South Alabama 2%
Jordan 1%
New Zealand 1%
Uzbekistan 1%
South Africa 1%
Scotland 1%
Canada 1%
Haiti 1%
Mexico 1%
Saudi Arabia 1%
Senegal 1%
Egypt 1%
Uruguay 1%
South Korea 1%
Qatar 1%
Switzerland 1%
Curaçao 1%
Cape Verde 1%
Croatia 1%
Ecuador 1%
Tunisia 1%
Australia 1%
Austria 1%
Paraguay 1%
Iran 1%
Ivory Coast 1%
Algeria 1%
Japan 1%
Ghana 1%
Volume
$19.3M
Open Int.
$1.3M
Ends
Jul 19
42

Michigan at Michigan St.

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Michigan Wolverines
Volume $18.6M
43

Atlanta at Indiana

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Indiana
Volume $17.8M
44

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kalshi
🏛️ Politics Active
Kevin Warsh 97%
Judy Shelton 3%
Rick Rieder 1%
Kevin Hassett 1%
Michelle Bowman 1%
Christopher Waller 1%
Stephen Miran 1%
Scott Bessent 1%
David Zervos 1%
Bill Pulte 1%
Donald Trump (Himself) 1%
David Malpass 1%
Jerome Powell 1%
Howard Lutnick 1%
Larry Kudlow 1%
Arthur Laffer 1%
James Bullard 1%
Marc Sumerlin 1%
Lorie Logan 1%
Philip Jefferson 1%
Larry Lindsey 1%
Janet Yellen 1%
Ron Paul 1%
Volume
$17.8M
Open Int.
$74.7M
Ends
Jan 20
45

Toronto at Orlando

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Orlando Magic
Volume $16.8M
46

Detroit at Golden State

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Detroit Pistons
Volume $15.7M
47

What price will Bitcoin hit in February?

Polymarket
₿ Crypto Active
$70,000 89%
$65,000 52%
$60,000 25%
$85,000 22%
$55,000 12%
$90,000 9%
$50,000 6%
$95,000 6%
$100,000 4%
$45,000 4%
$105,000 2%
$35,000 2%
$40,000 2%
$150,000 1%
$125,000 1%
$110,000 1%
$120,000 1%
$115,000 1%
Volume
$15.2M
Open Int.
$5.6M
Ends
Feb 28
48

Phoenix at Portland

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Phoenix Suns
Volume $13.8M
49

Australian Open Final: Alcaraz vs Djokovic

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Carlos Alcaraz
Volume $13.6M
50

Philadelphia at Golden State

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Philadelphia
Volume $13.3M
51

Philadelphia at Los Angeles C

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Philadelphia 76ers
Volume $13.1M
52

Djokovic vs Sinner

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Novak Djokovic
Volume $11.9M
53

New Orleans at Charlotte

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Charlotte
Volume $10.6M
54

Kentucky at Arkansas

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Kentucky
Volume $10.6M
55

UFC 325: Volkanovski vs Lopes

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Alex Volkanovski
Volume $9.8M
56

Minnesota at Memphis

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Memphis
Volume $9.0M
57

Minnesota at Dallas

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Minnesota
Volume $8.9M
58

Atlanta at Boston

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Atlanta Hawks
Volume $8.9M
59

Indiana at UCLA

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Indiana Hoosiers
Volume $8.9M
60

San Antonio at Charlotte

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Charlotte Hornets
Volume $8.9M
61

Cleveland at Phoenix

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Phoenix Suns
Volume $8.8M
62

Houston at Indiana

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Houston
Volume $8.5M
63

Portland at New York

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome New York Knicks
Volume $8.5M
64

Portland at Washington

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Washington
Volume $8.4M
65

Los Angeles L at New York

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome New York Knicks
Volume $8.3M
66

New York at Toronto

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome New York Knicks
Volume $8.3M
67

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Polymarket
💰 Finance Active
Pizza Hut 59%
Perplexity AI 49%
Lovable 32%
GitLab 31%
Ubisoft 29%
Nebius Group 28%
Zoom Video Communications 22%
Snapchat 19%
BP 14%
Anthropic 14%
OpenAI 12%
Volume
$8.1M
Open Int.
$9.9K
Ends
Dec 30
68

Chicago at Indiana

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Indiana
Volume $8.0M
69

Oklahoma City at Minnesota

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Minnesota
Volume $7.9M
70

Orlando at San Antonio

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome San Antonio Spurs
Volume $7.8M
71

Australian Open Final: Sabalenka vs Rybakina

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Elena Rybakina
Volume $7.8M
72

Pro Football Champion?

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Active
Seattle Seahawks 68%
New England Patriots 33%
Volume
$6.5M
Open Int.
$33.0M
Ends
Feb 8
73

La Liga Winner

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Active
Barcelona 60%
Real Madrid 39%
Athletic Bilbao 1%
Villarreal 1%
Sevilla 1%
Girona 1%
Mallorca 1%
Valencia 1%
Alaves 1%
Elche 1%
Espanyol 1%
Osasuna 1%
Getafe 1%
Rayo Vallecano 1%
Real Sociedad 1%
Celta Vigo 1%
Betis 1%
Levante 1%
Atletico Madrid 1%
Oviedo 1%
Volume
$6.2M
Open Int.
$102.1K
Ends
May 29
74

Seattle vs. New England

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Closing Soon
Kenneth Walker III: Anytime Touchdown 61%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Anytime Touchdown 50%
Rhamondre Stevenson: Anytime Touchdown 38%
Hunter Henry: Anytime Touchdown 31%
AJ Barner: Anytime Touchdown 29%
Stefon Diggs: Anytime Touchdown 28%
Cooper Kupp: Anytime Touchdown 26%
Kayshon Boutte: Anytime Touchdown 22%
Rashid Shaheed: Anytime Touchdown 20%
Volume
$5.2M
Open Int.
$7.5M
Ends
Feb 8
75

US strikes Iran by...?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
June 30, 2026 49%
March 31, 2026 39%
February 7, 2026 7%
Volume
$3.8M
Open Int.
$2.8M
Ends
Jun 29
76

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28 7%
Volume
$3.5M
Open Int.
$2.7M
Ends
Feb 27
77

UEFA Champions League Winner

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Active
Arsenal 20%
Bayern Munich 17%
Barcelona 12%
Man City 10%
PSG 10%
Liverpool 9%
Real Madrid 7%
Chelsea 4%
Inter 3%
Atletico Madrid 2%
Tottenham 2%
Newcastle 2%
Benfica 1%
Club Brugge 1%
Bodo Glimt 1%
Monaco 1%
Sporting 1%
Atalanta 1%
Olympiakos 1%
Leverkusen 1%
Galatasaray 1%
Juventus 1%
Dortmund 1%
Volume
$3.4M
Open Int.
$178.7K
Ends
May 30
78

NBA MVP

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Active
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 67%
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 19%
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 11%
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 3%
Will Trae Young win the 2025–2026 1%
Will Ja Morant win the 2025–2026 1%
Will Paolo Banchero win the 2025–2026 1%
Will Joel Embiid win the 2025–2026 1%
Will Anthony Davis win the 2025–2026 1%
Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 1%
Will Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 1%
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–2026 1%
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 1%
Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 1%
Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 1%
Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2025–2026 1%
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2025–2026 1%
Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2025–2026 1%
Will Stephen Curry win the 2025–2026 1%
Volume
$3.2M
Open Int.
$64.0K
Ends
Jun 9
79

Which brands will advertise during the Big Game 2026?

Kalshi
🏢 Companies Active
Pepsi 99%
T-Mobile 99%
Liquid Death 98%
Hims & Hers 98%
OpenAI 93%
Gemini 88%
Coinbase 78%
Amazon Prime 59%
Paramount+ 47%
Disney+ 46%
Netflix 36%
Allstate 32%
Temu 27%
Spotify 26%
Grok 17%
Anthropic 14%
DoorDash 13%
NVIDIA 12%
BlueChew 12%
Nike 11%
Perplexity AI 11%
Yeezy 10%
Vuori 10%
Jeep 9%
Athletic Greens 8%
SHEIN 8%
Tesla 7%
Zyn 3%
Volume
$3.1M
Open Int.
$3.4M
Ends
Feb 15
80

Elon Musk # tweets January 30 - February 6, 2026?

Polymarket
🔬 Tech Closing Soon
320–339 41%
300–319 32%
340–359 8%
280–299 7%
240–259 1%
260–279 1%
380–399 1%
360–379 1%
400–419 1%
440–459 1%
420–439 1%
460–479 1%
520–539 1%
500–519 1%
480–499 1%
540–559 1%
560–579 1%
600–619 1%
February 6, 2026 1%
620–639 1%
680–699 1%
660–679 1%
700–719 1%
640–659 1%
720–739 1%
Volume
$2.9M
Open Int.
$785.4K
Ends
Feb 6
81

Giannis Antetokounmpo's next team?

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Active
Stays/Retires 80%
Miami 10%
Minnesota 10%
Chicago 5%
New York 2%
Cleveland 2%
Golden State 1%
Portland 1%
Philadelphia 1%
Toronto 1%
Los Angeles L 1%
Oklahoma City 1%
Atlanta 1%
Charlotte 1%
San Antonio 1%
Brooklyn 1%
Houston 1%
Detroit 1%
Boston 1%
Dallas 1%
Los Angeles Clippers 1%
Phoenix 1%
Orlando 1%
Memphis 1%
Denver 1%
Utah 1%
Washington 1%
Indiana 1%
New Orleans 1%
Sacramento 1%
Volume
$2.8M
Open Int.
$14.5M
Ends
Feb 13
82

What price will Ethereum hit in February?

Polymarket
₿ Crypto Active
$2,000 61%
$1,800 34%
$2,800 21%
$1,600 17%
$3,000 10%
$1,400 9%
$3,200 5%
$1,200 3%
$3,400 3%
$3,600 2%
$5,000 1%
$4,400 1%
$4,200 1%
$800 1%
$4,000 1%
$1,000 1%
$3,800 1%
Volume
$2.6M
Open Int.
$1.1M
Ends
Feb 28
83

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31 17%
Volume
$2.3M
Open Int.
$3.3M
Ends
Mar 30
84

Pro Football Champion 2026

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Closing Soon
Seattle Seahawks 68%
New England Patriots 32%
Volume
$2.1M
Open Int.
$1.6M
Ends
Feb 8
85

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
March 31, 2026 10%
Volume
$2.1M
Open Int.
$4.6M
Ends
Mar 30
86

X banned in U.K. by March 31?

Polymarket
🔬 Tech Active
X banned in U.K. by March 31 5%
Volume
$2.0M
Open Int.
$30.1K
Ends
Mar 30
87

What price will Solana hit in February?

Polymarket
₿ Crypto Active
$90 71%
$80 37%
$120 26%
$70 15%
$130 13%
$140 8%
$60 6%
$50 3%
$150 3%
$160 3%
$40 2%
$170 2%
$200 1%
$30 1%
$180 1%
$20 1%
$190 1%
Volume
$1.8M
Open Int.
$372.3K
Ends
Feb 28
88

Human moon landing in 2026?

Polymarket
🔬 Tech Active
Yes 6%
No 94%
Volume
$1.8M
Open Int.
$21.9K
Ends
Dec 30
89

Seattle at New England: Spread

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Active
Seattle wins by over 2.5 points 63%
Seattle wins by over 3.5 points 54%
Seattle wins by over 4.5 points 52%
Seattle wins by over 5.5 points 48%
Seattle wins by over 6.5 points 45%
Seattle wins by over 7.5 points 38%
Seattle wins by over 9.5 points 35%
Seattle wins by over 10.5 points 32%
New England wins by over 2.5 points 29%
Seattle wins by over 13.5 points 27%
Seattle wins by over 14.5 points 23%
New England wins by over 3.5 points 23%
Seattle wins by over 17.5 points 18%
New England wins by over 6.5 points 17%
New England wins by over 7.5 points 14%
New England wins by over 9.5 points 12%
New England wins by over 10.5 points 10%
New England wins by over 13.5 points 8%
Volume
$1.4M
Open Int.
$3.8M
Ends
Feb 22
90

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
February 28, 2026 3%
Volume
$1.4M
Open Int.
$1.2M
Ends
Feb 27
91

Thailand Legislative Election Winner

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closing Soon
People’s Party (PPLE) 71%
Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) 28%
Pheu Thai Party (PT) 2%
United Thai Nation Party (UTN) 1%
Democrat Party (DP) 1%
Chart Thai Pattana Party (CTPP) 1%
Kla Tham Party (KT) 1%
Volume
$1.3M
Open Int.
$811.5K
Ends
Feb 7
92

Ali Khamenei out as Supreme Leader?

Kalshi
🏛️ Politics Active
Ali Khamenei 38%
Volume
$1.3M
Open Int.
$3.3M
Ends
Sep 1
93

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
Delcy Rodríguez 66%
Nicolás Maduro 13%
María Corina Machado 11%
Edmundo González 5%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón 2%
Vladimir Padrino López 2%
Pete Hegseth 1%
Frank Donovan 1%
Dinorah Figuera 1%
Evan Pettus 1%
Dan Caine 1%
Richard Grenell 1%
Donald Trump 1%
Marco Rubio 1%
Jorge Rodríguez 1%
No 1%
Volume
$1.2M
Open Int.
$1.1K
Ends
Dec 30
94

Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31 3%
Volume
$1.2M
Open Int.
$195.9K
Ends
Mar 30
95

Bitcoin price on Feb 6, 2026 at 5pm EST?

Kalshi
₿ Crypto Active
$69,750 or above 67%
$70,750 or above 66%
$70,250 or above 61%
$71,250 or above 44%
$73,750 or above 40%
$71,750 or above 39%
$72,750 or above 37%
$72,250 or above 37%
$74,250 or above 30%
$79,750 or above 26%
$73,250 or above 24%
$74,750 or above 15%
$87,750 or above 14%
$75,250 or above 14%
$75,750 or above 13%
$78,250 or above 12%
$89,250 or above 12%
$86,250 or above 11%
$77,750 or above 10%
$78,750 or above 10%
$76,250 or above 9%
$76,750 or above 7%
$77,250 or above 6%
$82,250 or above 4%
$80,250 or above 4%
$79,250 or above 4%
$80,750 or above 3%
$81,750 or above 2%
$83,750 or above 2%
$83,250 or above 2%
$81,250 or above 2%
$82,750 or above 2%
$84,250 or above 2%
$85,750 or above 2%
$85,250 or above 2%
$87,250 or above 2%
$86,750 or above 2%
$88,250 or above 2%
$88,750 or above 2%
$89,750 or above 2%
$84,750 or above 1%
$90,250 or above 1%
$90,750 or above 1%
$91,750 or above 1%
$93,750 or above 1%
$91,250 or above 1%
$94,250 or above 1%
$92,750 or above 1%
$92,250 or above 1%
$93,250 or above 1%
Volume
$1.1M
Open Int.
$1.5M
Ends
Feb 13
96

What will Trump say this week (February 8)?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closing Soon
No 56%
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (February 8) 50%
Will Trump say "Armada" this week? (February 8) 46%
Will Trump say "TikTok" this week? (February 8) 45%
Will Trump say "Hellhole" this week? (February 8) 36%
Will Trump say "Nicki" or "Nikki" or "Rapper" this week? (February 8) 27%
Will Trump say "Stagflation" this week? (February 8) 26%
Will Trump say "Green Day" or "Bad Bunny" this week? (February 8) 25%
Will Trump say "Kamala" this week? (February 8) 25%
Will Trump say "Biden's War" this week? (February 8) 24%
Will Trump say "Anarchist" this week? (February 8) 19%
Volume
$1.1M
Open Int.
$6.7K
Ends
Feb 7
97

Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
Yes 1%
No 99%
Volume
$1.1M
Open Int.
$741.6K
Ends
Feb 27
98

Bad Bunny’s halftime opener?

Kalshi
🎭 Culture Active
Tití Me Preguntó 56%
BAILE INoLVIDABLE 16%
MONACO 11%
LA MuDANZA 9%
NUEVAYoL 7%
EoO 6%
DtMF 4%
DÁKITI 2%
LA CANCIÓN 2%
I Like It 1%
Chambea 1%
Me Porto Bonito 1%
Safaera 1%
MIA 1%
Yonaguni 1%
PERRO NEGRO 1%
Efecto 1%
Neverita 1%
Ojitos Lindos 1%
Te Boté - Remix 1%
La Santa 1%
un x100to 1%
No Me Conoce - Remix 1%
La Jumpa 1%
Volume
$929.7K
Open Int.
$5.2M
Ends
Feb 16
99

Fed decision in Mar 2026?

Kalshi
📊 Economics Active
Fed maintains rate 91%
Cut 25bps 9%
Cut >25bps 2%
Hike 25bps 1%
Hike >25bps 1%
Volume
$896.8K
Open Int.
$3.0M
Ends
Jun 17
100

Pro Football Championship MVP?

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Active
Sam Darnold 45%
Drake Maye 27%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba 15%
Kenneth Walker III 9%
Rhamondre Stevenson 3%
Rashid Shaheed 2%
Stefon Diggs 2%
Cooper Kupp 1%
Nick Emmanwori 1%
TreVeyon Henderson 1%
DeMarcus Lawrence 1%
Ernest Jones IV 1%
Christian Gonzalez 1%
Tie/Co-Winner 1%
Devon Witherspoon 1%
Hunter Henry 1%
Leonard Williams 1%
Marcus Jones 1%
Kayshon Boutte 1%
Jason Myers 1%
AJ Barner 1%
Jake Bobo 1%
Mack Hollins 1%
Milton Williams 1%
Zach Charbonnet 1%
Byron Murphy II 1%
Andy Borregales 1%
Julian Love 1%
Joshua Dobbs 1%
Drew Lock 1%
George Holani 1%
Coby Bryant 1%
Harold Landry III 1%
Christian Barmore 1%
Will Campbell 1%
DeMario Douglas 1%
Robert Spillane 1%
Kyle Williams 1%
Abraham Lucas 1%
Bryce Baringer 1%
Carlton Davis III 1%
Michael Dickson 1%
Volume
$479.7K
Open Int.
$7.3M
Ends
Feb 10
101

Pro Basketball Players Traded before Deadline

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Active
Jonathan Kuminga 100%
Anthony Davis 100%
Coby White 100%
Chris Paul 100%
Benedict Mathurin 54%
Ja Morant 53%
Daniel Gafford 50%
Ivica Zubac 44%
Malik Monk 44%
Nic Claxton 38%
Kyle Kuzma 35%
Michael Porter Jr. 31%
Giannis Antetokounmpo 24%
Paul George 24%
Klay Thompson 23%
Donte DiVincenzo 22%
Tyler Herro 21%
Zach LaVine 20%
Kawhi Leonard 20%
Herbert Jones 18%
Tobias Harris 18%
Trey Murphy III 16%
Domantas Sabonis 14%
RJ Barrett 14%
Pascal Siakam 13%
Grayson Allen 10%
Zion Williamson 9%
Karl-Anthony Towns 9%
Dyson Daniels 7%
LaMelo Ball 6%
Lauri Markkanen 5%
Volume
$391.5K
Open Int.
$580.0K
Ends
Feb 13
102

What will the announcers say during the Pro Football Championship?

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closing Soon
Safety 98%
MVP 97%
Lombardi 96%
Comeback / Come Back 95%
Levi's 93%
Tom Brady 92%
Next Gen Stat 89%
Record 88%
Robert Kraft 86%
Pro Bowl / Pro Bowler 78%
Trade / Traded 76%
Legion of Boom 72%
Russell Wilson 69%
Marshawn Lynch 68%
Wind / Windy 67%
Mahomes 66%
Dynasty 64%
Golden Gate 64%
Fine / Fines / Fined 64%
Honor 62%
Gronk / Gronkowski 59%
Gatorade 58%
West Coast 56%
Schedule 55%
Contract 54%
Tush Push 50%
Cardi B 47%
Turf 39%
No Good 38%
What a Catch 35%
Hunt / Hunting 28%
One Handed 27%
Late Hit 21%
Roughing the Passer 20%
Trump 19%
Portnoy 14%
Volume
$375.6K
Open Int.
$756.0K
Ends
Feb 8
103

WM Phoenix Open Winner?

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Active
Scottie Scheffler 29%
Xander Schauffele 5%
Si Woo Kim 4%
Hideki Matsuyama 4%
Cameron Young 4%
Ben Griffin 3%
Sam Burns 3%
Maverick McNealy 3%
Brooks Koepka 2%
Jordan Spieth 2%
Jake Knapp 2%
Sepp Straka 2%
Sahith Theegala 2%
Rickie Fowler 2%
Chris Gotterup 2%
Viktor Hovland 2%
Daniel Berger 2%
Collin Morikawa 2%
Wyndham Clark 2%
Corey Conners 2%
Harris English 2%
Pierceson Coody 2%
Rasmus Hojgaard 2%
Matt Fitzpatrick 2%
Keith Mitchell 2%
Matthew McCarty 2%
Kurt Kitayama 2%
Michael Thorbjornsen 2%
Harry Hall 2%
Andrew Novak 1%
Nick Taylor 1%
J.J. Spaun 1%
Tony Finau 1%
Davis Thompson 1%
Min Woo Lee 1%
Hao-Tong Li 1%
Joel Dahmen 1%
Nicolai Hojgaard 1%
Akshay Bhatia 1%
J.T. Poston 1%
Max Homa 1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout 1%
Sam Stevens 1%
Eric Cole 1%
John Keefer 1%
Max Greyserman 1%
Ryo Hisatsune 1%
Billy Horschel 1%
Adam Schenk 1%
Tom Kim 1%
Danny Walker 1%
Charley Hoffman 1%
Garrick Higgo 1%
Brian Harman 1%
Stephan Jaeger 1%
Thomas Avant 1%
Jacob Bridgeman 1%
Michael Kim 1%
Zachary Bauchou 1%
Ryan Fox 1%
Austin Eckroat 1%
Rico Hoey 1%
Aldrich Potgieter 1%
Gary Woodland 1%
Michael Brennan 1%
Cameron Davis 1%
Jordan L. Smith 1%
Marco Penge 1%
Patrick Rodgers 1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen 1%
Max McGreevy 1%
Neal Shipley 1%
Bud Cauley 1%
Tom Hoge 1%
Mark Hubbard 1%
Seonghyeon Kim 1%
Kevin Roy 1%
Thorbjorn Olesen 1%
Erik Van Rooyen 1%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart 1%
Daniel Brown 1%
Emiliano Grillo 1%
Kevin Yu 1%
Chris Kirk 1%
Matthieu Pavon 1%
Austin Smotherman 1%
Karl Vilips 1%
Sami Valimaki 1%
Adrien Saddier 1%
Vince Whaley 1%
Chandler Phillips 1%
Davis Riley 1%
Christo Lamprecht 1%
Brian Campbell 1%
Chandler Blanchet 1%
Webb Simpson 1%
Zecheng Dou 1%
Kristoffer Reitan 1%
Matti Schmid 1%
Keita Nakajima 1%
Patton Kizzire 1%
Alex Smalley 1%
Brice Garnett 1%
Chad Ramey 1%
Davis Chatfield 1%
Emilio Gonzalez 1%
Hank Lebioda 1%
Jeffrey Kang 1%
Joe Highsmith 1%
John Parry 1%
John VanDerLaan 1%
Kensei Hirata 1%
Mac Meissner 1%
Mackenzie Hughes 1%
Nicolas Echavarria 1%
Peter Malnati 1%
Rafael Campos 1%
Seung-taek Lee 1%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju 1%
Takumi Kanaya 1%
William Mouw 1%
Volume
$361.8K
Open Int.
$5.9M
Ends
Feb 21
104

Arsenal vs Sunderland

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Active
Arsenal 82%
Tie 13%
Sunderland 6%
Volume
$359.6K
Open Int.
$360.4K
Ends
Feb 21
105

Seattle at New England: Anytime Touchdown Scorer

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Active
Kenneth Walker III 63%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba 51%
Rhamondre Stevenson 39%
Hunter Henry 30%
AJ Barner 29%
Cooper Kupp 27%
Stefon Diggs 27%
Drake Maye 25%
Kayshon Boutte 22%
Rashid Shaheed 21%
Seattle D/ST 20%
TreVeyon Henderson 17%
New England D/ST 15%
DeMario Douglas 13%
Austin Hooper 11%
Sam Darnold 10%
Kyle Williams 7%
No Touchdown 1%
Volume
$338.8K
Open Int.
$1.5M
Ends
Feb 22
106

World leaders out before 2027?

Kalshi
🏛️ Politics Active
Gustavo Petro 94%
José Jerí 93%
Keir Starmer 61%
Miguel Díaz-Canel 56%
Viktor Orbán 54%
Ali Khamenei 53%
Benjamin Netanyahu 51%
Pedro Sánchez 37%
Christopher Luxon 35%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy 31%
Jens-Frederik Nielsen 21%
Mette Frederiksen 19%
Daniel Noboa 17%
Sanae Takaichi 16%
Ahmad al-Sharaa 16%
Emmanuel Macron 15%
Denis Sassou Nguesso 15%
Vladimir Putin 14%
Cyril Ramaphosa 14%
Félix Tshisekedi 14%
Aleksandar Vučić 13%
Friedrich Merz 12%
Mark Carney 11%
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan 11%
Lee Jae Myung 11%
Giorgia Meloni 11%
Irfaan Ali 11%
Rodrigo Paz Pereira 10%
Xi Jinping 9%
Claudia Sheinbaum 9%
Kim Jong Un 9%
Javier Milei 9%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 8%
Narendra Modi 8%
Mohammed bin Salman 6%
Frederik X 5%
Nayib Bukele 4%
Volume
$308.9K
Open Int.
$1.9M
Ends
Jan 8
107

Coach of the Year Winner?

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Active
Mike Vrabel 84%
Mike Macdonald 12%
Ben Johnson 4%
Kyle Shanahan 2%
Liam Coen 1%
Sean Payton 1%
Jim Harbaugh 1%
Shane Steichen 1%
DeMeco Ryans 1%
Brian Schottenheimer 1%
Matt LaFleur 1%
Dave Canales 1%
Sean McVay 1%
Zac Taylor 1%
Mike Tomlin 1%
Dan Campbell 1%
Mike McDaniel 1%
Aaron Glenn 1%
Sean McDermott 1%
Tie/Co-Winners 1%
Nick Sirianni 1%
Kevin Stefanski 1%
Kevin O'Connell 1%
Dan Quinn 1%
Raheem Morris 1%
Pete Carroll 1%
John Harbaugh 1%
Todd Bowles 1%
Brian Daboll 1%
Andy Reid 1%
Jonathan Gannon 1%
Brian Callahan 1%
Kellen Moore 1%
Volume
$284.7K
Open Int.
$7.3M
Ends
Jan 4
108

How low will Bitcoin get in 2026?

Kalshi
₿ Crypto Active
Below $70,000.00 97%
Below $65,000.00 84%
Below $60,000.00 75%
Volume
$270.8K
Open Int.
$215.8K
Ends
Jan 30
109

Barcelona vs Mallorca

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Active
Barcelona 86%
Tie 9%
Mallorca 5%
Volume
$268.2K
Open Int.
$205.3K
Ends
Feb 21
110

Who will attend the Big Game?

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Active
Tom Brady 97%
Cardi B 95%
Jason Kelce 92%
Gavin Newsom 90%
Ben Affleck 84%
Lady Gaga 78%
Matt Damon 66%
Kim Kardashian 65%
Mark Wahlberg 60%
Sydney Sweeney 56%
Pete Davidson 56%
Kendrick Lamar 56%
Timothée Chalamet 39%
Jeff Bezos 37%
Paris Hilton 36%
Elon Musk 35%
Sam Altman 34%
Zendaya 31%
Taylor Swift 25%
Drake 25%
Lionel Messi 23%
Doechii 21%
Kristi Noem 12%
Kamala Harris 12%
Anne Hathaway 12%
Jill Biden 11%
Barack Obama 8%
Bill Gates 8%
Tom Homan 6%
Donald Trump 5%
JD Vance 5%
Volume
$266.0K
Open Int.
$1.1M
Ends
Feb 13
111

Seattle at New England: Total Points

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Active
Over 28.5 pts 91%
Over 31.5 pts 89%
Over 34.5 pts 81%
Over 37.5 pts 73%
Over 40.5 pts 66%
Over 43.5 pts 57%
Over 45.5 pts 50%
Over 46.5 pts 47%
Over 47.5 pts 44%
Over 49.5 pts 39%
Over 52.5 pts 30%
Over 55.5 pts 24%
Over 58.5 pts 17%
Over 61.5 pts 14%
Over 64.5 pts 9%
Over 67.5 pts 6%
Volume
$263.9K
Open Int.
$669.9K
Ends
Feb 22
112

Which party will win the U.S. House in 2026?

Kalshi
🏛️ Politics Active
Democratic Party 78%
Republican Party 23%
Volume
$247.6K
Open Int.
$2.8M
Ends
Feb 1
113

MVP winner?

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Active
Matthew Stafford 91%
Drake Maye 11%
Josh Allen 1%
Christian McCaffrey 1%
Tie/Co-Winners 1%
Trevor Lawrence 1%
Volume
$243.9K
Open Int.
$6.9M
Ends
Jan 4
114

MVP Winner?

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Active
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 67%
Nikola Jokic 20%
Luka Doncic 10%
Cade Cunningham 4%
Victor Wembanyama 2%
Jaylen Brown 2%
Jalen Brunson 1%
Anthony Edwards 1%
Tyrese Maxey 1%
Giannis Antetokounmpo 1%
Donovan Mitchell 1%
Stephen Curry 1%
Alperen Sengun 1%
Joel Embiid 1%
Kawhi Leonard 1%
Evan Mobley 1%
Austin Reaves 1%
Trae Young 1%
Kevin Durant 1%
Paolo Banchero 1%
Ja Morant 1%
Zion Williamson 1%
Cooper Flagg 1%
Anthony Davis 1%
Devin Booker 1%
Karl-Anthony Towns 1%
Ryan Rollins 1%
LeBron James 1%
Amen Thompson 1%
Jamal Murray 1%
Bennedict Mathurin 1%
LaMelo Ball 1%
Tie/Co-Winners 1%
Jalen Johnson 1%
Pascal Siakam 1%
Chet Holmgren 1%
Ausar Thompson 1%
Domantas Sabonis 1%
Coby White 1%
James Harden 1%
Jalen Williams 1%
Scottie Barnes 1%
Jimmy Butler 1%
Isaiah Hartenstein 1%
De'Aaron Fox 1%
Derrick White 1%
Franz Wagner 1%
Jalen Green 1%
Zach LaVine 1%
Tyler Herro 1%
Jaren Jackson Jr. 1%
Jarrett Allen 1%
Anfernee Simons 1%
DeMar DeRozan 1%
Julius Randle 1%
Alex Caruso 1%
Andrew Nembhard 1%
Bam Adebayo 1%
CJ McCollum 1%
Cam Johnson 1%
Darius Garland 1%
De'Andre Hunter 1%
Deandre Ayton 1%
Desmond Bane 1%
Draymond Green 1%
Fred VanVleet 1%
Ivica Zubac 1%
Jaden Ivey 1%
John Collins 1%
Josh Hart 1%
Klay Thompson 1%
Paul George 1%
Volume
$242.7K
Open Int.
$5.2M
Ends
Apr 12
115

Who will perform at the Pro Football Championship?

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Active
Ricky Martin 48%
Cardi B 43%
Rauw Alejandro 40%
Feid 39%
JHAYCO 36%
Karol G 36%
Tainy 34%
Chencho Corleone 31%
Rosalía 29%
Marc Anthony 28%
Travis Scott 20%
Arcángel 19%
Grupo Frontera 18%
Ozuna 18%
Tego Calderón 17%
Chuwi 17%
El Gran Combo de Puerto Rico 16%
J Balvin 15%
El Alfa 14%
Jowell & Randy 13%
Santana 13%
Elvis Crespo 13%
Drake 12%
De La Ghetto 12%
Shakira 12%
Ivy Queen 11%
Jennifer Lopez 11%
Daddy Yankee 10%
Dua Lipa 9%
Marías 9%
Megan Thee Stallion 9%
Romeo Santos 8%
Don Omar 8%
Post Malone 6%
Miley Cyrus 5%
Lil Wayne 5%
N.O.R.E 5%
Rawayana 5%
Billie Eilish 4%
Morgan Wallen 3%
Sabrina Carpenter 3%
Doja Cat 3%
Christina Aguilera 3%
Taylor Swift 2%
JAY-Z 2%
Metallica 2%
Ariana Grande 2%
"Weird Al" Yankovic 2%
Chappell Roan 2%
Foo Fighters 2%
Oasis 2%
Axel Willner 1%
Volume
$231.2K
Open Int.
$596.2K
Ends
Jan 7
116

LIV Golf Riyadh Champion?

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Active
Jon Rahm 22%
Bryson DeChambeau 13%
Thomas Detry 10%
Tyrrell Hatton 8%
Peter Uihlein 5%
Joaquin Niemann 5%
Byeong Hun An 5%
David Puig 4%
Sebastian Munoz 4%
Talor Gooch 3%
Louis Oosthuizen 3%
Elvis Smylie 3%
Abraham Ancer 2%
Sergio Garcia 2%
Dean Burmester 2%
Adrian Meronk 1%
Anthony Kim 1%
Dustin Johnson 1%
Tom McKibbin 1%
Josele Ballester 1%
Michael La Sasso 1%
Marc Leishman 1%
Anirban Lahiri 1%
Cameron Smith 1%
Younghan Song 1%
Thomas Pieters 1%
Laurie Canter 1%
Scott Vincent 1%
Carlos Ortiz 1%
Paul Casey 1%
Yosuke Asaji 1%
Charles Howell III 1%
Bubba Watson 1%
Richard Bland 1%
Ben Campbell 1%
Harold Varner III 1%
Sam Horsfield 1%
Caleb Surratt 1%
Ollie Schniederjans 1%
Matthew Wolff 1%
Lucas Herbert 1%
Branden Grace 1%
Ian Poulter 1%
Richard T. Lee 1%
Graeme McDowell 1%
Jason Kokrak 1%
Bjorn Hellgren 1%
Minkyu Kim 1%
Benjamin Schmidt 1%
Luis Masaveu 1%
Brendan Steele 1%
Charl Schwartzel 1%
Danny Lee 1%
Cameron Tringale 1%
Martin Kaymer 1%
Victor Perez 1%
Volume
$229.4K
Open Int.
$1.4M
Ends
Feb 20
117

Pro Basketball Champion?

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Active
Oklahoma City Thunder 40%
Denver Nuggets 15%
San Antonio Spurs 9%
Detroit Pistons 8%
Boston Celtics 7%
Cleveland Cavaliers 7%
Minnesota Timberwolves 6%
New York Knicks 6%
Houston Rockets 5%
Los Angeles Lakers 3%
Philadelphia 76ers 3%
Golden State Warriors 2%
Los Angeles Clippers 2%
Miami Heat 1%
Toronto Raptors 1%
Dallas Mavericks 1%
Milwaukee Bucks 1%
Atlanta Hawks 1%
Phoenix Suns 1%
Orlando Magic 1%
Charlotte Hornets 1%
Indiana Pacers 1%
Chicago Bulls 1%
Portland Trail Blazers 1%
New Orleans Pelicans 1%
Sacramento Kings 1%
Utah Jazz 1%
Memphis Grizzlies 1%
Washington Wizards 1%
Brooklyn Nets 1%
Volume
$216.7K
Open Int.
$16.7M
Ends
Jun 29
118

Ethereum price on Feb 6, 2026 at 5pm EST?

Kalshi
₿ Crypto Active
$1,700 or above 98%
$1,740 or above 95%
$1,820 or above 95%
$1,860 or above 92%
$1,900 or above 87%
$1,940 or above 81%
$1,980 or above 77%
$2,020 or above 72%
$2,060 or above 71%
$2,100 or above 54%
$3,580 or above 50%
$3,620 or above? Wait need subtitle. 50%
$1,780 or above 50%
$3,180 or above 50%
$3,220 or above 50%
$3,260 or above 50%
$3,340 or above 50%
$3,380 or above 50%
$3,420 or above 50%
$3,460 or above 50%
$3,500 or above 50%
$3,540 or above 50%
$2,140 or above 41%
$2,180 or above 33%
$2,220 or above 23%
$2,740 or above 19%
$2,260 or above 18%
$2,620 or above 17%
$2,420 or above 16%
$2,780 or above 14%
$2,340 or above 13%
$2,300 or above 13%
$2,500 or above 11%
$2,380 or above 8%
$2,460 or above 4%
$2,580 or above 2%
$2,660 or above 2%
$2,700 or above 2%
$2,540 or above 2%
$2,860 or above 2%
$3,020 or above 2%
$2,980 or above 1%
$2,940 or above 1%
$2,900 or above 1%
$2,820 or above 1%
$3,140 or above 1%
$3,660 or above 1%
$3,100 or above 1%
$3,300 or above 1%
$3,060 or above 1%
Volume
$209.8K
Open Int.
$318.6K
Ends
Feb 13
119

What will EA say during their next earnings call?

Kalshi
🏢 Companies Active
Player Engagement 3%
Mobile 2%
Live Service 2%
EA Sports FC 2%
Acquisition 2%
Competition 2%
Skate 2%
Apex Legends 2%
Saudi Arabia 2%
The Sims 2%
Jared / Kushner 2%
Underperformance 2%
Volume
$203.7K
Open Int.
$1.5M
Ends
Mar 31
120

Unemployment in January 2026?

Kalshi
📊 Economics Active
Above 3.8% 100%
Above 3.9% 99%
Above 4.0% 99%
Above 4.1% 98%
Above 4.2% 92%
Above 4.3% 69%
Above 4.4% 40%
Above 4.5% 13%
Above 4.6% 3%
Above 4.7% 2%
Volume
$198.3K
Open Int.
$264.4K
Ends
May 8
1

Fed decision in January?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome No
Volume $581.6M
2

Fed decision in December?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting
Volume $321.2M
3

New York City Mayoral Election

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome Zohran Mamdani
Volume $304.1M
4

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair 97%
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair 2%
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair 1%
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair 1%
Will Trump nominate David Zervos as the next Fed chair 1%
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair 1%
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair 1%
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair 1%
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair 1%
Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair 1%
Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair 1%
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair 1%
Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair 1%
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair 1%
Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair 1%
No 1%
Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair 1%
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair 1%
Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair 1%
Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair 1%
Volume
$270.1M
Open Int.
$32.6M
Ends
Dec 30
5

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome No
Volume $241.8M
6

Fed decision in October?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting
Volume $222.2M
7

Next president of South Korea?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the
Volume $222.1M
8

Fed decision in September?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting
Volume $193.9M
9

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
Gavin Newsom 32%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8%
Kamala Harris 7%
Josh Shapiro 6%
Pete Buttigieg 5%
J.B. Pritzker 3%
Andy Beshear 3%
Jon Ossoff 3%
Jon Stewart 2%
Mark Kelly 2%
Rahm Emanuel 2%
Wes Moore 2%
Gretchen Whitmer 2%
Ruben Gallego 2%
Gina Raimondo 1%
Bernie Sanders 1%
Oprah Winfrey 1%
Chelsea Clinton 1%
Hillary Clinton 1%
Zohran Mamdani 1%
LeBron James 1%
Andrew Yang 1%
MrBeast 1%
Tim Walz 1%
Kim Kardashian 1%
George Clooney 1%
Jasmine Crockett 1%
Roy Cooper 1%
Hunter Biden 1%
Michelle Obama 1%
Liz Cheney 1%
Phil Murphy 1%
Raphael Warnock 1%
Chris Murphy 1%
Stephen A. Smith 1%
Beto O’Rourke 1%
Barack Obama 1%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson 1%
Mark Cuban 1%
Jared Polis 1%
Cory Booker 1%
John Fetterman 1%
Ro Khanna 1%
Volume
$161.7M
Open Int.
$10.6M
Ends
Nov 6
10

US government shutdown Saturday?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome US government shutdown Saturday
Volume $156.4M
11

(Old) Romania Election

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome another candidate
Volume $154.1M
12

Ireland Presidential Election

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome Catherine Connolly
Volume $143.6M
13

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2025?

Polymarket
₿ Crypto Closed
Outcome ↑ 125,000
Volume $118.5M
14

Fed decision in July?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome No
Volume $116.7M
15

Romania Presidential Election Winner

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome Nicușor Dan
Volume $115.0M
16

Romania: Bucharest Mayoral Election

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome Ciprian Ciucu
Volume $113.7M
17

NBA Champion

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Oklahoma City Thunder
Volume $112.2M
18

What price will Bitcoin hit in January?

Polymarket
₿ Crypto Closed
Outcome $85,000
Volume $107.3M
19

Will Trump release Epstein files by...?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome December 19
Volume $97.9M
20

Fed decision in June?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome No
Volume $94.1M
21

Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

Polymarket
₿ Crypto Closed
Outcome $1B
Volume $93.3M
22

Next Prime Minister of Canada after the election?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome Mark Carney
Volume $92.0M
23

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
J.D. Vance 49%
Marco Rubio 12%
Donald Trump 5%
Ron DeSantis 3%
Donald Trump Jr. 2%
Marjorie Taylor Greene 2%
Tucker Carlson 2%
Mike Pence 1%
Katie Britt 1%
Kim Kardashian 1%
Kristi Noem 1%
Elon Musk 1%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders 1%
John Thune 1%
Tom Brady 1%
Elise Stefanik 1%
Vivek Ramaswamy 1%
Byron Donalds 1%
Matt Gaetz 1%
Greg Abbott 1%
Brian Kemp 1%
Rand Paul 1%
Steve Bannon 1%
Erika Kirk 1%
Josh Hawley 1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 1%
Tulsi Gabbard 1%
Ted Cruz 1%
Ivanka Trump 1%
Nikki Haley 1%
Glenn Youngkin 1%
Volume
$86.5M
Open Int.
$1.4M
Ends
Nov 6
24

2026 NBA Champion

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Active
Oklahoma City Thunder 39%
Denver Nuggets 12%
Boston Celtics 6%
Cleveland Cavaliers 6%
New York Knicks 6%
Detroit Pistons 6%
Minnesota Timberwolves 5%
San Antonio Spurs 5%
Houston Rockets 5%
Los Angeles Clippers 2%
Golden State Warriors 2%
Philadelphia 76ers 2%
Los Angeles Lakers 2%
Indiana Pacers 1%
Memphis Grizzlies 1%
Charlotte Hornets 1%
Washington Wizards 1%
Utah Jazz 1%
Brooklyn Nets 1%
Sacramento Kings 1%
New Orleans Pelicans 1%
Chicago Bulls 1%
Milwaukee Bucks 1%
Toronto Raptors 1%
Miami Heat 1%
Portland Trail Blazers 1%
Atlanta Hawks 1%
Dallas Mavericks 1%
Phoenix Suns 1%
Orlando Magic 1%
Volume
$84.1M
Open Int.
$1.5M
Ends
Jun 30
25

Who will die in Stranger Things: Season 5?

Polymarket
🎭 Culture Closed
Outcome Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"
Volume $83.7M
26

Top Spotify Artist 2025

Polymarket
🎭 Culture Closed
Outcome Bad Bunny
Volume $82.3M
27

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
JD Vance 25%
Gavin Newsom 19%
Marco Rubio 8%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 6%
Josh Shapiro 4%
Donald Trump 3%
Kamala Harris 3%
Andy Beshear 2%
JB Pritzker 2%
Pete Buttigieg 2%
Tim Walz 1%
Greg Abbott 1%
Michelle Obama 1%
Kim Kardashian 1%
Tulsi Gabbard 1%
Stephen Smith 1%
Zohran Mamdani 1%
Vivek Ramaswamy 1%
LeBron James 1%
Glenn Youngkin 1%
Nikki Haley 1%
Elon Musk 1%
Jamie Dimon 1%
Gretchen Whitmer 1%
Donald Trump Jr. 1%
Tucker Carlson 1%
Ron DeSantis 1%
Wes Moore 1%
Ivanka Trump 1%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson 1%
Volume
$79.6M
Open Int.
$21.4M
Ends
Nov 6
28

US x Venezuela military engagement by...?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome January 15, 2026
Volume $78.0M
29

Poland Presidential Election

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome Karol Nawrocki
Volume $77.4M
30

Chile Presidential Election

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome José Antonio Kast
Volume $75.0M
31

Fed decision in May?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome No
Volume $71.0M
32

NFC Championship Winner: Los Angeles vs Seattle

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Seattle Seahawks
Volume $60.7M
33

Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Anthony Joshua
Volume $60.4M
34

Eurovision Winner 2025

Polymarket
🎭 Culture Closed
Outcome Austria
Volume $60.2M
35

MegaETH public sale total commitments?

Polymarket
₿ Crypto Closed
Outcome $1B
Volume $59.9M
36

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome Will Polymarket US go live in 2025
Volume $59.1M
37

Fed decision in March?

Polymarket
📊 Economics Active
No 91%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting 8%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting 2%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting 1%
Volume
$57.8M
Open Int.
$7.6M
Ends
Mar 17
38

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Active
Spain 16%
England 14%
France 13%
Argentina 11%
Brazil 10%
Portugal 7%
Germany 6%
Norway 3%
Netherlands 3%
Morocco 2%
Italy 2%
Belgium 2%
Colombia 2%
South Alabama 2%
Jordan 1%
New Zealand 1%
Uzbekistan 1%
South Africa 1%
Scotland 1%
Canada 1%
Haiti 1%
Mexico 1%
Saudi Arabia 1%
Senegal 1%
Egypt 1%
Uruguay 1%
South Korea 1%
Qatar 1%
Switzerland 1%
Curaçao 1%
Cape Verde 1%
Croatia 1%
Ecuador 1%
Tunisia 1%
Australia 1%
Austria 1%
Paraguay 1%
Iran 1%
Ivory Coast 1%
Algeria 1%
Japan 1%
Ghana 1%
Volume
$57.6M
Open Int.
$1.3M
Ends
Jul 19
39

Buffalo at Denver

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Denver Broncos
Volume $57.3M
40

Los Angeles R at Chicago

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Los Angeles Rams
Volume $57.2M
41

English Premier League Winner

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Active
Arsenal 81%
Manchester City 14%
Manchester United 2%
Aston Villa 2%
Tottenham 1%
Leeds 1%
Brentford 1%
West Ham 1%
Nottm Forest 1%
Newcastle 1%
Everton 1%
Crystal Palace 1%
Bournemouth 1%
Burnley 1%
Fulham 1%
Brighton 1%
Liverpool 1%
Chelsea 1%
Sunderland 1%
Volume
$56.4M
Open Int.
$1.6M
Ends
May 26
42

College Football Championship: Miami vs Indiana

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Indiana Hoosiers
Volume $45.4M
43

Government shutdown on Jan 31, 2026?

Kalshi
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome Government shutdown Jan 31, 2026
Volume $42.2M
44

AFC Championship Winner?

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome New England Patriots
Volume $32.6M
45

Alcaraz vs Zverev

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Carlos Alcaraz
Volume $26.5M
46

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kalshi
🏛️ Politics Active
Kevin Warsh 97%
Judy Shelton 3%
Rick Rieder 1%
Kevin Hassett 1%
Michelle Bowman 1%
Christopher Waller 1%
Stephen Miran 1%
Scott Bessent 1%
David Zervos 1%
Bill Pulte 1%
Donald Trump (Himself) 1%
David Malpass 1%
Jerome Powell 1%
Howard Lutnick 1%
Larry Kudlow 1%
Arthur Laffer 1%
James Bullard 1%
Marc Sumerlin 1%
Lorie Logan 1%
Philip Jefferson 1%
Larry Lindsey 1%
Janet Yellen 1%
Ron Paul 1%
Volume
$26.5M
Open Int.
$74.7M
Ends
Jan 20
47

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
Yes 13%
No 87%
Volume
$26.3M
Open Int.
$4.8M
Ends
Dec 30
48

Los Angeles C at Denver

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Denver Nuggets
Volume $23.2M
49

Pro Football Champion?

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Active
Seattle Seahawks 68%
New England Patriots 33%
Volume
$21.3M
Open Int.
$33.0M
Ends
Feb 8
50

UFC 324: Gaethje vs Pimblett

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Justin Gaethje
Volume $20.3M
51

San Francisco at Seattle

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Seattle
Volume $19.4M
52

Michigan at Michigan St.

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Michigan Wolverines
Volume $18.6M
53

La Liga Winner

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Active
Barcelona 60%
Real Madrid 39%
Athletic Bilbao 1%
Villarreal 1%
Sevilla 1%
Girona 1%
Mallorca 1%
Valencia 1%
Alaves 1%
Elche 1%
Espanyol 1%
Osasuna 1%
Getafe 1%
Rayo Vallecano 1%
Real Sociedad 1%
Celta Vigo 1%
Betis 1%
Levante 1%
Atletico Madrid 1%
Oviedo 1%
Volume
$18.5M
Open Int.
$226.9K
Ends
May 29
54

UEFA Champions League Winner

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Active
Arsenal 20%
Bayern Munich 17%
Barcelona 12%
Man City 10%
PSG 10%
Liverpool 9%
Real Madrid 7%
Chelsea 4%
Inter 3%
Atletico Madrid 2%
Tottenham 2%
Newcastle 2%
Benfica 1%
Club Brugge 1%
Bodo Glimt 1%
Monaco 1%
Sporting 1%
Atalanta 1%
Olympiakos 1%
Leverkusen 1%
Galatasaray 1%
Juventus 1%
Dortmund 1%
Volume
$17.9M
Open Int.
$240.3K
Ends
May 30
55

Houston at New England: Spread

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome New England Patriots
Volume $17.9M
56

Atlanta at Indiana

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Indiana
Volume $17.8M
57

Houston at Pittsburgh

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Houston
Volume $17.6M
58

Houston at New England

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome New England Patriots
Volume $17.0M
59

Toronto at Orlando

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Orlando Magic
Volume $16.8M
60

Los Angeles L at Los Angeles C

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Los Angeles Clippers
Volume $16.0M
61

Los Angeles C at New England

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome New England Patriots
Volume $15.8M
62

Detroit at Golden State

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Detroit Pistons
Volume $15.7M
63

Australian Open Final: Alcaraz vs Djokovic

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Carlos Alcaraz
Volume $15.6M
64

Musetti vs Djokovic

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Novak Djokovic
Volume $15.3M
65

Portland at Washington

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Washington
Volume $14.7M
66

Los Angeles L at Denver

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Los Angeles Lakers
Volume $14.4M
67

Miami (FL) at Ole Miss

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Miami Hurricanes
Volume $14.1M
68

Phoenix at Portland

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Phoenix Suns
Volume $13.8M
69

Pro Football Champion 2026

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Closing Soon
Seattle Seahawks 68%
New England Patriots 32%
Volume
$13.7M
Open Int.
$1.6M
Ends
Feb 8
70

Dallas at Sacramento

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Dallas Mavericks
Volume $13.7M
71

Philadelphia at Golden State

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Philadelphia
Volume $13.3M
72

Denver at Milwaukee

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Denver Nuggets
Volume $13.3M
73

Philadelphia at Los Angeles C

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Philadelphia 76ers
Volume $13.1M
74

Minnesota at Utah

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Utah
Volume $12.6M
75

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Polymarket
💰 Finance Active
Pizza Hut 59%
Perplexity AI 49%
Lovable 32%
GitLab 31%
Ubisoft 29%
Nebius Group 28%
Zoom Video Communications 22%
Snapchat 19%
BP 14%
Anthropic 14%
OpenAI 12%
Volume
$10.0M
Open Int.
$4.3K
Ends
Dec 30
76

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
Delcy Rodríguez 66%
Nicolás Maduro 13%
María Corina Machado 11%
Edmundo González 5%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón 2%
Vladimir Padrino López 2%
Pete Hegseth 1%
Frank Donovan 1%
Dinorah Figuera 1%
Evan Pettus 1%
Dan Caine 1%
Richard Grenell 1%
Donald Trump 1%
Marco Rubio 1%
Jorge Rodríguez 1%
No 1%
Volume
$9.7M
Open Int.
$9.0K
Ends
Dec 30
77

US strikes Iran by...?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
June 30, 2026 49%
March 31, 2026 39%
February 7, 2026 7%
Volume
$9.4M
Open Int.
$2.8M
Ends
Jun 29
78

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31 17%
Volume
$9.3M
Open Int.
$3.3M
Ends
Mar 30
79

Seattle vs. New England

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Closing Soon
Kenneth Walker III: Anytime Touchdown 61%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Anytime Touchdown 50%
Rhamondre Stevenson: Anytime Touchdown 38%
Hunter Henry: Anytime Touchdown 31%
AJ Barner: Anytime Touchdown 29%
Stefon Diggs: Anytime Touchdown 28%
Cooper Kupp: Anytime Touchdown 26%
Kayshon Boutte: Anytime Touchdown 22%
Rashid Shaheed: Anytime Touchdown 20%
Volume
$9.3M
Open Int.
$7.5M
Ends
Feb 8
80

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
Yes 21%
No 79%
Volume
$7.5M
Open Int.
$1.7M
Ends
Dec 30
81

NBA MVP

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Active
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 67%
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 19%
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 11%
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 3%
Will Trae Young win the 2025–2026 1%
Will Ja Morant win the 2025–2026 1%
Will Paolo Banchero win the 2025–2026 1%
Will Joel Embiid win the 2025–2026 1%
Will Anthony Davis win the 2025–2026 1%
Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 1%
Will Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 1%
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–2026 1%
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 1%
Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 1%
Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 1%
Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2025–2026 1%
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2025–2026 1%
Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2025–2026 1%
Will Stephen Curry win the 2025–2026 1%
Volume
$7.2M
Open Int.
$183.2K
Ends
Jun 9
82

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
March 31, 2026 10%
Volume
$6.6M
Open Int.
$4.6M
Ends
Mar 30
83

What price will Bitcoin hit in February?

Polymarket
₿ Crypto Active
$70,000 89%
$65,000 52%
$60,000 25%
$85,000 22%
$55,000 12%
$90,000 9%
$50,000 6%
$95,000 6%
$100,000 4%
$45,000 4%
$105,000 2%
$35,000 2%
$40,000 2%
$150,000 1%
$125,000 1%
$110,000 1%
$120,000 1%
$115,000 1%
Volume
$6.3M
Open Int.
$1.9M
Ends
Feb 28
84

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026 99%
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026 95%
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026 55%
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026 37%
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026 29%
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026 14%
Volume
$6.1M
Open Int.
$12.1K
Ends
Dec 30
85

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28 7%
Volume
$5.9M
Open Int.
$2.7M
Ends
Feb 27
86

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
Yes 12%
No 88%
Volume
$4.6M
Open Int.
$3.5M
Ends
Dec 30
87

Ali Khamenei out as Supreme Leader?

Kalshi
🏛️ Politics Active
Ali Khamenei 38%
Volume
$4.1M
Open Int.
$3.3M
Ends
Sep 1
88

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31 11%
Volume
$3.6M
Open Int.
$1.4M
Ends
Mar 30
89

Which brands will advertise during the Big Game 2026?

Kalshi
🏢 Companies Active
Pepsi 99%
T-Mobile 99%
Liquid Death 98%
Hims & Hers 98%
OpenAI 93%
Gemini 88%
Coinbase 78%
Amazon Prime 59%
Paramount+ 47%
Disney+ 46%
Netflix 36%
Allstate 32%
Temu 27%
Spotify 26%
Grok 17%
Anthropic 14%
DoorDash 13%
NVIDIA 12%
BlueChew 12%
Nike 11%
Perplexity AI 11%
Yeezy 10%
Vuori 10%
Jeep 9%
Athletic Greens 8%
SHEIN 8%
Tesla 7%
Zyn 3%
Volume
$3.5M
Open Int.
$3.4M
Ends
Feb 15
90

Giannis Antetokounmpo's next team?

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Active
Stays/Retires 80%
Miami 10%
Minnesota 10%
Chicago 5%
New York 2%
Cleveland 2%
Golden State 1%
Portland 1%
Philadelphia 1%
Toronto 1%
Los Angeles L 1%
Oklahoma City 1%
Atlanta 1%
Charlotte 1%
San Antonio 1%
Brooklyn 1%
Houston 1%
Detroit 1%
Boston 1%
Dallas 1%
Los Angeles Clippers 1%
Phoenix 1%
Orlando 1%
Memphis 1%
Denver 1%
Utah 1%
Washington 1%
Indiana 1%
New Orleans 1%
Sacramento 1%
Volume
$3.4M
Open Int.
$14.5M
Ends
Feb 13
91

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
Yes 32%
No 68%
Volume
$3.3M
Open Int.
$1.4M
Ends
Dec 30
92

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30 25%
Volume
$3.3M
Open Int.
$1.1M
Ends
Jun 29
93

Thailand Legislative Election Winner

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closing Soon
People’s Party (PPLE) 71%
Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) 28%
Pheu Thai Party (PT) 2%
United Thai Nation Party (UTN) 1%
Democrat Party (DP) 1%
Chart Thai Pattana Party (CTPP) 1%
Kla Tham Party (KT) 1%
Volume
$2.9M
Open Int.
$544.3K
Ends
Feb 7
94

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
Yes 45%
No 55%
Volume
$2.7M
Open Int.
$4.3M
Ends
Dec 30
95

Seattle at New England: Spread

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Active
Seattle wins by over 2.5 points 63%
Seattle wins by over 3.5 points 54%
Seattle wins by over 4.5 points 52%
Seattle wins by over 5.5 points 48%
Seattle wins by over 6.5 points 45%
Seattle wins by over 7.5 points 38%
Seattle wins by over 9.5 points 35%
Seattle wins by over 10.5 points 32%
New England wins by over 2.5 points 29%
Seattle wins by over 13.5 points 27%
Seattle wins by over 14.5 points 23%
New England wins by over 3.5 points 23%
Seattle wins by over 17.5 points 18%
New England wins by over 6.5 points 17%
New England wins by over 7.5 points 14%
New England wins by over 9.5 points 12%
New England wins by over 10.5 points 10%
New England wins by over 13.5 points 8%
Volume
$2.5M
Open Int.
$3.8M
Ends
Feb 22
96

Oscars 2026: Best Supporting Actor Winner

Polymarket
🎭 Culture Active
Stellan Skarsgård 69%
Sean Penn 19%
Jacob Elordi 6%
Benicio Del Toro 6%
Delroy Lindo 2%
Volume
$2.5M
Open Int.
$31.3K
Ends
Mar 14
97

MVP winner?

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Active
Matthew Stafford 91%
Drake Maye 11%
Josh Allen 1%
Christian McCaffrey 1%
Tie/Co-Winners 1%
Trevor Lawrence 1%
Volume
$1.5M
Open Int.
$6.9M
Ends
Jan 4
98

World leaders out before 2027?

Kalshi
🏛️ Politics Active
Gustavo Petro 94%
José Jerí 93%
Keir Starmer 61%
Miguel Díaz-Canel 56%
Viktor Orbán 54%
Ali Khamenei 53%
Benjamin Netanyahu 51%
Pedro Sánchez 37%
Christopher Luxon 35%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy 31%
Jens-Frederik Nielsen 21%
Mette Frederiksen 19%
Daniel Noboa 17%
Sanae Takaichi 16%
Ahmad al-Sharaa 16%
Emmanuel Macron 15%
Denis Sassou Nguesso 15%
Vladimir Putin 14%
Cyril Ramaphosa 14%
Félix Tshisekedi 14%
Aleksandar Vučić 13%
Friedrich Merz 12%
Mark Carney 11%
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan 11%
Lee Jae Myung 11%
Giorgia Meloni 11%
Irfaan Ali 11%
Rodrigo Paz Pereira 10%
Xi Jinping 9%
Claudia Sheinbaum 9%
Kim Jong Un 9%
Javier Milei 9%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 8%
Narendra Modi 8%
Mohammed bin Salman 6%
Frederik X 5%
Nayib Bukele 4%
Volume
$1.5M
Open Int.
$1.9M
Ends
Jan 8
99

Pro Football Championship MVP?

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Active
Sam Darnold 45%
Drake Maye 27%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba 15%
Kenneth Walker III 9%
Rhamondre Stevenson 3%
Rashid Shaheed 2%
Stefon Diggs 2%
Cooper Kupp 1%
Nick Emmanwori 1%
TreVeyon Henderson 1%
DeMarcus Lawrence 1%
Ernest Jones IV 1%
Christian Gonzalez 1%
Tie/Co-Winner 1%
Devon Witherspoon 1%
Hunter Henry 1%
Leonard Williams 1%
Marcus Jones 1%
Kayshon Boutte 1%
Jason Myers 1%
AJ Barner 1%
Jake Bobo 1%
Mack Hollins 1%
Milton Williams 1%
Zach Charbonnet 1%
Byron Murphy II 1%
Andy Borregales 1%
Julian Love 1%
Joshua Dobbs 1%
Drew Lock 1%
George Holani 1%
Coby Bryant 1%
Harold Landry III 1%
Christian Barmore 1%
Will Campbell 1%
DeMario Douglas 1%
Robert Spillane 1%
Kyle Williams 1%
Abraham Lucas 1%
Bryce Baringer 1%
Carlton Davis III 1%
Michael Dickson 1%
Volume
$1.3M
Open Int.
$7.3M
Ends
Feb 10
100

Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?

Kalshi
🌍 World Active
Trump 32%
Volume
$1.2M
Open Int.
$1.4M
Ends
Jan 20
101

Bitcoin price on Feb 6, 2026 at 5pm EST?

Kalshi
₿ Crypto Active
$69,750 or above 67%
$70,750 or above 66%
$70,250 or above 61%
$71,250 or above 44%
$73,750 or above 40%
$71,750 or above 39%
$72,750 or above 37%
$72,250 or above 37%
$74,250 or above 30%
$79,750 or above 26%
$73,250 or above 24%
$74,750 or above 15%
$87,750 or above 14%
$75,250 or above 14%
$75,750 or above 13%
$78,250 or above 12%
$89,250 or above 12%
$86,250 or above 11%
$77,750 or above 10%
$78,750 or above 10%
$76,250 or above 9%
$76,750 or above 7%
$77,250 or above 6%
$82,250 or above 4%
$80,250 or above 4%
$79,250 or above 4%
$80,750 or above 3%
$81,750 or above 2%
$83,750 or above 2%
$83,250 or above 2%
$81,250 or above 2%
$82,750 or above 2%
$84,250 or above 2%
$85,750 or above 2%
$85,250 or above 2%
$87,250 or above 2%
$86,750 or above 2%
$88,250 or above 2%
$88,750 or above 2%
$89,750 or above 2%
$84,750 or above 1%
$90,250 or above 1%
$90,750 or above 1%
$91,750 or above 1%
$93,750 or above 1%
$91,250 or above 1%
$94,250 or above 1%
$92,750 or above 1%
$92,250 or above 1%
$93,250 or above 1%
Volume
$1.1M
Open Int.
$1.5M
Ends
Feb 13
102

Fed decision in Mar 2026?

Kalshi
📊 Economics Active
Fed maintains rate 91%
Cut 25bps 9%
Cut >25bps 2%
Hike 25bps 1%
Hike >25bps 1%
Volume
$1.1M
Open Int.
$3.0M
Ends
Jun 17
103

Bad Bunny’s halftime opener?

Kalshi
🎭 Culture Active
Tití Me Preguntó 56%
BAILE INoLVIDABLE 16%
MONACO 11%
LA MuDANZA 9%
NUEVAYoL 7%
EoO 6%
DtMF 4%
DÁKITI 2%
LA CANCIÓN 2%
I Like It 1%
Chambea 1%
Me Porto Bonito 1%
Safaera 1%
MIA 1%
Yonaguni 1%
PERRO NEGRO 1%
Efecto 1%
Neverita 1%
Ojitos Lindos 1%
Te Boté - Remix 1%
La Santa 1%
un x100to 1%
No Me Conoce - Remix 1%
La Jumpa 1%
Volume
$1.0M
Open Int.
$5.2M
Ends
Feb 16
104

Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?

Kalshi
🌍 World Active
Before Jan 21, 2029 42%
Before 2027 20%
Before Apr 2026 7%
Volume
$978.3K
Open Int.
$905.6K
Ends
Jan 21
105

US GDP growth in Q4 2025?

Kalshi
📊 Economics Active
-0.5% 100%
0% 100%
1.0% 99%
.5% 99%
1.25% 98%
1.5% 96%
1.75% 94%
2.0% 88%
2.5% 82%
3.0% 65%
3.5% 48%
4% 32%
4.5% 17%
5% 11%
5.5% 5%
6% 2%
Volume
$944.0K
Open Int.
$1.3M
Ends
May 1
106

Coach of the Year Winner?

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Active
Mike Vrabel 84%
Mike Macdonald 12%
Ben Johnson 4%
Kyle Shanahan 2%
Liam Coen 1%
Sean Payton 1%
Jim Harbaugh 1%
Shane Steichen 1%
DeMeco Ryans 1%
Brian Schottenheimer 1%
Matt LaFleur 1%
Dave Canales 1%
Sean McVay 1%
Zac Taylor 1%
Mike Tomlin 1%
Dan Campbell 1%
Mike McDaniel 1%
Aaron Glenn 1%
Sean McDermott 1%
Tie/Co-Winners 1%
Nick Sirianni 1%
Kevin Stefanski 1%
Kevin O'Connell 1%
Dan Quinn 1%
Raheem Morris 1%
Pete Carroll 1%
John Harbaugh 1%
Todd Bowles 1%
Brian Daboll 1%
Andy Reid 1%
Jonathan Gannon 1%
Brian Callahan 1%
Kellen Moore 1%
Volume
$894.5K
Open Int.
$7.3M
Ends
Jan 4
107

Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Kalshi
🏛️ Politics Active
Yes 35%
No 65%
Volume
$851.3K
Open Int.
$2.1M
Ends
Jan 1
108

Oscar for Best Picture?

Kalshi
🎭 Culture Active
One Battle After Another 71%
Sinners 20%
Hamnet 6%
Marty Supreme 3%
Bugonia 1%
Frankenstein 1%
Sentimental Value 1%
The Secret Agent 1%
Train Dreams 1%
F1 1%
Tie 1%
Volume
$817.2K
Open Int.
$4.8M
Ends
Dec 31
109

Men's College Basketball Champion

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Active
Arizona 18%
Michigan 16%
Duke 13%
Houston 8%
Illinois 7%
UConn 7%
Florida 6%
Kansas 5%
Iowa St. 5%
Nebraska 4%
Gonzaga 4%
Purdue 4%
Michigan St. 3%
Texas Tech 3%
BYU 3%
Vanderbilt 3%
Virginia 2%
St. John's 2%
Alabama 2%
Arkansas 2%
Louisville 2%
North Carolina 1%
Tennessee 1%
North Carolina St. 1%
Wisconsin 1%
Kentucky 1%
Baylor 1%
Iowa 1%
Auburn 1%
UCLA 1%
Indiana 1%
Clemson 1%
Texas A&M 1%
San Diego St. 1%
Virginia Tech 1%
Missouri 1%
Ole Miss 1%
Miami (FL) 1%
Oregon 1%
USC 1%
Syracuse 1%
Texas 1%
Villanova 1%
SMU 1%
Miami (OH) 1%
Butler 1%
Creighton 1%
UCF 1%
Georgetown 1%
Saint Mary's 1%
Marquette 1%
Seton Hall 1%
Ohio St. 1%
Mississippi State 1%
Oklahoma 1%
Notre Dame 1%
Dayton 1%
VCU 1%
Florida St. 1%
Wake Forest 1%
Stanford 1%
Boise St. 1%
Memphis 1%
Providence 1%
Cincinnati 1%
X Xavier 1%
Colorado St. 1%
Loyola Chicago 1%
Pittsburgh 1%
Boston College 1%
Richmond 1%
Nevada 1%
San Francisco 1%
St. Bonaventure 1%
Santa Clara 1%
UC San Diego 1%
Volume
$783.0K
Open Int.
$15.0M
Ends
Apr 21
110

Pro Basketball Champion?

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Active
Oklahoma City Thunder 40%
Denver Nuggets 15%
San Antonio Spurs 9%
Detroit Pistons 8%
Boston Celtics 7%
Cleveland Cavaliers 7%
Minnesota Timberwolves 6%
New York Knicks 6%
Houston Rockets 5%
Los Angeles Lakers 3%
Philadelphia 76ers 3%
Golden State Warriors 2%
Los Angeles Clippers 2%
Miami Heat 1%
Toronto Raptors 1%
Dallas Mavericks 1%
Milwaukee Bucks 1%
Atlanta Hawks 1%
Phoenix Suns 1%
Orlando Magic 1%
Charlotte Hornets 1%
Indiana Pacers 1%
Chicago Bulls 1%
Portland Trail Blazers 1%
New Orleans Pelicans 1%
Sacramento Kings 1%
Utah Jazz 1%
Memphis Grizzlies 1%
Washington Wizards 1%
Brooklyn Nets 1%
Volume
$748.0K
Open Int.
$16.7M
Ends
Jun 29
111

MVP Winner?

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Active
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 67%
Nikola Jokic 20%
Luka Doncic 10%
Cade Cunningham 4%
Victor Wembanyama 2%
Jaylen Brown 2%
Jalen Brunson 1%
Anthony Edwards 1%
Tyrese Maxey 1%
Giannis Antetokounmpo 1%
Donovan Mitchell 1%
Stephen Curry 1%
Alperen Sengun 1%
Joel Embiid 1%
Kawhi Leonard 1%
Evan Mobley 1%
Austin Reaves 1%
Trae Young 1%
Kevin Durant 1%
Paolo Banchero 1%
Ja Morant 1%
Zion Williamson 1%
Cooper Flagg 1%
Anthony Davis 1%
Devin Booker 1%
Karl-Anthony Towns 1%
Ryan Rollins 1%
LeBron James 1%
Amen Thompson 1%
Jamal Murray 1%
Bennedict Mathurin 1%
LaMelo Ball 1%
Tie/Co-Winners 1%
Jalen Johnson 1%
Pascal Siakam 1%
Chet Holmgren 1%
Ausar Thompson 1%
Domantas Sabonis 1%
Coby White 1%
James Harden 1%
Jalen Williams 1%
Scottie Barnes 1%
Jimmy Butler 1%
Isaiah Hartenstein 1%
De'Aaron Fox 1%
Derrick White 1%
Franz Wagner 1%
Jalen Green 1%
Zach LaVine 1%
Tyler Herro 1%
Jaren Jackson Jr. 1%
Jarrett Allen 1%
Anfernee Simons 1%
DeMar DeRozan 1%
Julius Randle 1%
Alex Caruso 1%
Andrew Nembhard 1%
Bam Adebayo 1%
CJ McCollum 1%
Cam Johnson 1%
Darius Garland 1%
De'Andre Hunter 1%
Deandre Ayton 1%
Desmond Bane 1%
Draymond Green 1%
Fred VanVleet 1%
Ivica Zubac 1%
Jaden Ivey 1%
John Collins 1%
Josh Hart 1%
Klay Thompson 1%
Paul George 1%
Volume
$740.0K
Open Int.
$5.2M
Ends
Apr 12
112

Which party will win the U.S. House in 2026?

Kalshi
🏛️ Politics Active
Democratic Party 78%
Republican Party 23%
Volume
$733.0K
Open Int.
$2.8M
Ends
Feb 1
113

Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

Kalshi
🏛️ Politics Active
Gavin Newsom 31%
Kamala Harris 8%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8%
Josh Shapiro 8%
J.B. Pritzker 5%
Andy Beshear 5%
Pete Buttigieg 5%
Jon Ossoff 5%
Mark Kelly 4%
Wes Moore 4%
Gretchen Whitmer 4%
Rahm Emanuel 3%
Jon Stewart 3%
Ro Khanna 3%
Ruben Gallego 3%
Zohran Mamdani 2%
Chris Murphy 2%
James Talarico 2%
Stephen A. Smith 2%
Cory Booker 2%
Raphael Warnock 2%
Michelle Obama 1%
Mark Cuban 1%
Tim Walz 1%
Barack Obama 1%
Jamie Dimon 1%
Hilary Clinton 1%
Gina Raimondo 1%
John Fetterman 1%
Roy Cooper 1%
Jared Polis 1%
Hunter Biden 1%
Bernie Sanders 1%
Elissa Slotkin 1%
Liz Cheney 1%
Amy Klobuchar 1%
Dwayne Johnson 1%
Phil Murphy 1%
Lebron James 1%
Volume
$638.6K
Open Int.
$30.3M
Ends
Nov 7
114

Pro Basketball Players Traded before Deadline

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Active
Jonathan Kuminga 100%
Anthony Davis 100%
Coby White 100%
Chris Paul 100%
Benedict Mathurin 54%
Ja Morant 53%
Daniel Gafford 50%
Ivica Zubac 44%
Malik Monk 44%
Nic Claxton 38%
Kyle Kuzma 35%
Michael Porter Jr. 31%
Giannis Antetokounmpo 24%
Paul George 24%
Klay Thompson 23%
Donte DiVincenzo 22%
Tyler Herro 21%
Zach LaVine 20%
Kawhi Leonard 20%
Herbert Jones 18%
Tobias Harris 18%
Trey Murphy III 16%
Domantas Sabonis 14%
RJ Barrett 14%
Pascal Siakam 13%
Grayson Allen 10%
Zion Williamson 9%
Karl-Anthony Towns 9%
Dyson Daniels 7%
LaMelo Ball 6%
Lauri Markkanen 5%
Volume
$629.5K
Open Int.
$580.0K
Ends
Feb 13
115

When will Bitcoin hit $150k?

Kalshi
₿ Crypto Active
Before June 2026 7%
Before May 2026 4%
Before April 2026 3%
Before March 2026 1%
Volume
$579.7K
Open Int.
$4.5M
Ends
Jun 30
116

Las Vegas Pro Football - Next Head Coach?

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Active
Klint Kubiak 97%
Ejiro Evero 2%
Davis Webb 1%
Brian Daboll 1%
Jesse Minter 1%
Brian Flores 1%
John Harbaugh 1%
Mike McDaniel 1%
Bill Belichick 1%
Mike LaFleur 1%
Kliff Kingsbury 1%
Sean McDermott 1%
Vance Joseph 1%
Nate Scheelhaase 1%
Joe Brady 1%
Sean McVay 1%
Robert Saleh 1%
Chris Shula 1%
Kevin Stefanski 1%
Klay Kubiak 1%
Mike McCarthy 1%
Matt Nagy 1%
Jeff Hafley 1%
Thomas Brown 1%
Patrick Graham 1%
Adam Stenavich 1%
Todd Monken 1%
Anthony Campanile 1%
Volume
$532.5K
Open Int.
$1.1M
Ends
Jan 1
117

Oscar for Best Actor?

Kalshi
🎭 Culture Active
Timothee Chalamet 73%
Leonardo DiCaprio 11%
Michael B. Jordan 9%
Ethan Hawke 3%
Wagner Moura 2%
Tie 1%
Volume
$523.2K
Open Int.
$2.5M
Ends
Dec 31
118

Seattle at New England: Anytime Touchdown Scorer

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Active
Kenneth Walker III 63%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba 51%
Rhamondre Stevenson 39%
Hunter Henry 30%
AJ Barner 29%
Cooper Kupp 27%
Stefon Diggs 27%
Drake Maye 25%
Kayshon Boutte 22%
Rashid Shaheed 21%
Seattle D/ST 20%
TreVeyon Henderson 17%
New England D/ST 15%
DeMario Douglas 13%
Austin Hooper 11%
Sam Darnold 10%
Kyle Williams 7%
No Touchdown 1%
Volume
$515.8K
Open Int.
$1.5M
Ends
Feb 22
119

Tim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota?

Kalshi
🏛️ Politics Active
Tim Walz 23%
Volume
$498.1K
Open Int.
$650.8K
Ends
Jan 8
120

Who will attend the Big Game?

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Active
Tom Brady 97%
Cardi B 95%
Jason Kelce 92%
Gavin Newsom 90%
Ben Affleck 84%
Lady Gaga 78%
Matt Damon 66%
Kim Kardashian 65%
Mark Wahlberg 60%
Sydney Sweeney 56%
Pete Davidson 56%
Kendrick Lamar 56%
Timothée Chalamet 39%
Jeff Bezos 37%
Paris Hilton 36%
Elon Musk 35%
Sam Altman 34%
Zendaya 31%
Taylor Swift 25%
Drake 25%
Lionel Messi 23%
Doechii 21%
Kristi Noem 12%
Kamala Harris 12%
Anne Hathaway 12%
Jill Biden 11%
Barack Obama 8%
Bill Gates 8%
Tom Homan 6%
Donald Trump 5%
JD Vance 5%
Volume
$489.2K
Open Int.
$1.1M
Ends
Feb 13

Category Breakdown

Compare volume and activity across platforms by category

K

Kalshi Categories

CategoryMarketsVolumeChange
Politics5,610$2.7M-51.3%
Sports1,025,654$105.9M-53.2%
Crypto3,171$8.8M-37.8%
Economics2,178$1.1M+131.4%
Financials681$486.7K-51.2%
Tech & Science309$61.1K-43.2%
Culture4,845$388.1K+58.6%
Climate1,677$571.3K+52.7%
Misc4,318$124.9K-21.4%
World5,351$13.6K+86.7%
P

Polymarket Categories

CategoryMarketsVolumeChange
Politics4,749$45.1M-33.9%
Sports12,289$85.2M-10.4%
Crypto1,769$31.7M-10.6%
Economics854$7.1M-8.2%
Finance1,472$4.0M+0.4%
Tech670$9.4M-6.8%
Culture1,615$1.8M+10.9%
Weather362$1.5M+3.8%
Misc3,254$36.7M-5.6%
Mentions31$29.7K-74.3%
K

Kalshi Categories

CategoryMarketsVolumeChange
Politics8,812$77.4M+248.1%
Sports406,487$1.5B+25.5%
Crypto13,089$120.7M+98.8%
Economics1,236$5.8M-35.8%
Financials1,315$3.2M+39.2%
Tech & Science401$1.0M+2.9%
Culture10,397$10.8M+139.4%
Climate4,296$6.6M-29.2%
Misc9,667$3.3M+32.4%
World21,841$3.7M+34.6%
P

Polymarket Categories

CategoryMarketsVolumeChange
Politics3,623$545.4M+75.3%
Sports13,166$708.3M+4.1%
Crypto2,601$237.8M+3.4%
Economics889$108.3M-55.5%
Finance1,973$43.7M+9.9%
Tech819$73.6M+12.4%
Culture1,863$16.0M+2.4%
Weather830$10.1M-7.1%
Misc7,751$207.5M+37.3%
Mentions49$1.4M+233.6%
K

Kalshi Categories

CategoryMarketsVolumeChange
Politics14,095$120.1M+218.5%
Sports920,457$3.6B-28.6%
Crypto28,179$245.9M+102.2%
Economics2,532$22.5M-20.3%
Financials3,100$9.0M+11%
Tech & Science1,008$2.7M-88.7%
Culture14,305$24.5M+18.2%
Climate7,039$25.1M-10.3%
Misc44,861$684.6M-0.5%
World35,410$7.1M-69.1%
P

Polymarket Categories

CategoryMarketsVolumeChange
Politics5,147$1.5B+80.8%
Sports34,986$2.8B+100.9%
Crypto8,048$993.8M+25%
Economics1,325$713.4M+122.2%
Finance3,486$124.6M+54.9%
Tech1,358$299.6M+32.1%
Culture3,155$84.3M-49.4%
Weather2,416$39.0M+122.8%
Misc20,531$601.5M+4128.5%
Mentions119$2.8M+321.4%

Latest news making headlines

What are prediction markets? 

Prediction markets are a venue for trading contracts tied to the outcome of a future event. Sites such as Kalshi and Polymarket allow participants to buy and sell shares in contracts tied to various markets, including politicseconomicspop culture events, and weather forecasts

Contracts are the financial instruments used to facilitate trade in prediction markets. At most sites, traders can buy “Yes” or “No” shares on the outcome, with prices ranging from 1 cent to $1. The price serves as an indicator of the perceived likelihood of an event happening. As an example, consider the following market for an economic indicator: 

Example of how a prediction market works

Using the contracts’ pricing as a guide, traders view it as less likely that the funds rate will not decrease when this contract closes. If their speculation proves to be correct, they would earn $1 per contract. Meanwhile, those who hold “Yes” shares would see the value of their holdings go to zero. 

As prediction markets remain open, the price of contracts will fluctuate as traders buy and sell shares in response to new developments. Naturally, there are no guarantees that the market pricing will translate into exactly what will happen.

However, it is a “wisdom of the crowds” indicator that points to an outcome’s overall probability and likelihood.         

How prediction markets work

Prediction market apps function similarly to other financial markets. Traders buy and sell contracts on the outcome of a future event. For comparison, stock market traders buy and sell shares of companies, while popular markets on a commodities exchange include the price of oil or gold. 

In all of the above, traders are speculating on a result in hopes of being correct and ultimately earning a profit. For prediction markets, there are three main components to know:

  • Contracts: These are the financial instruments that are traded and tied to the outcome of future events.  
  • Participants: Those who are trading in the markets and providing liquidity as they buy and sell based on their predictions. 
  • Mechanisms: The platforms that make the markets available, calculate prices, and facilitate transactions. 

Most prediction platforms feature binary options markets, which translates into participants choosing “Yes” or “No” on the available contracts that they are interested in speculating on. The apps make money by charging a fee that varies based on the price of the market. Using the Crypto.com app and a $100 trade as an example, the fee is capped at a maximum of $1.74.       

As you view the available contracts on prediction market platforms, you’ll notice that the total value of “Yes” and “No” options does not equal exactly $1. For example: 

  • Winner of the March Madness tournament semifinal
  • Duke: $0.72
  • Houston: $0.29

The total of the two prices works out to $1.01. This is due to the spread, which is the difference in demand. There is high demand for a market such as this one with a tight spread. If the spread is more prominent, such as $0.05, there’s lower demand and likely less volume and liquidity in the market for that contract. 

Kalshi and Polymarket provide diverse market options for traders to choose from, such as: 

The pricing of contracts can be viewed as the market’s collective “best guess” on the likelihood of an event outcome.

Most popular markets

You can trade on a wide range of real-world events on prediction market platforms. Contracts are available on outcomes in a variety of markets, including: 

  • Sports: Game results, championships, build combo trades
  • Politics: Elections, candidate nominations, legislative outcomes
  • Economics: Central bank rates, inflation, indicators
  • Crypto: Cryptocurrency prices, market events
  • Culture: Award shows, celebrity news, viral trends
  • Climate: Temperature records, storm predictions
  • Companies & Financials: Corporate achievements, stock market trends, index prices
  • Tech & Science: Tech adoption milestones, scientific breakthroughs
  • Health & World: Health and wellness issues, global news, and developments  
  • Mentions: Predictions on words and phrases used by public figures

In terms of overall coverage, Kalshi and Polymarket provide the broadest range of options. Crypto.com is currently limited to sports, PredictIt focuses on politics, while other niche platforms have yet to capture a good deal of mainstream attention. Some platforms allow users to propose new markets, while others curate their offerings centrally. 

In terms of overall usage, Polymarket leads in global web traffic, while Kalshi is tops among US-regulated options. Beyond the trading aspect, prediction markets are often cited for their forecast accuracy. The platforms essentially aggregate the opinions of traders, offering a “wisdom of the crowds’ look at the probability of an event or outcome happening. 

How does pricing work on contracts?

Prediction market contracts are binary options that pay out a fixed amount. It’s typically set at $1 if the event occurs, and $0 if it does not. Before the contract settles, prices will fluctuate between those ranges as traders enter and exit positions. 

When viewing a contract offering on a prediction market platform, the pricing reflects the market’s collective estimate of the probability that the event will happen. Consider the following example:

  • Contract: “Will the Fed raise interest rates in May?” 
  • Pricing: $0.70 for “Yes” and $0.32 for “No.”
  • Implication: The market implies a 70% chance of a rate hike and a 32% chance it won’t happen.

As you’ll notice, the pricing doesn’t exactly equal $1, while the implied probability is greater than 100%. Small differences such as these are common and often reflect the spread between bid and ask pricing or trading fees. Markets with higher liquidity tend to have more stable prices and tighter spreads, while wider price swings can happen in less active contracts. 

While contracts remain open, prices will continue to move as traders react to new information and shifting sentiment, providing a real-time snapshot of the overall market sentiment. At settlement, the resolution for a correct contract call is $1, while the other side will drop to $0.

Kalshi vs. Polymarket fee comparison

The trading fees and costs on prediction markets can impact your overall returns. The table below has a breakdown of the main fees you’ll encounter on Kalshi and Polymarket. 

Fee TypeKalshiPolymarket
Trading Fee$0.07–$1.74 per 100 contracts (varies by contract price; see example)No trading fee
Profit/SettlementNoneNone
Deposit FeeACH free; Debit card 2%None (USDC only)
Withdrawal FeeACH free; Debit card $21.5% on USDC withdrawals

Kalshi’s trading fee is variable and depends on the contract price. For 100 contracts, it can be as low as $0.07 and up to $1.74. There are no settlement fees to worry about. Meanwhile, Polymarket does not charge any trading or settlement fees. 

To illustrate the difference, assume that you’re buying 100 contracts at $0.55 on either platform. At Kalshi, this price point triggers the maximum fee for 100 contracts of $1.74, while Polymarket charges $0. You’d be in for a total of $56.74 at the former, and $55 at the latter.  

If you make the right call, the contract settles at $1 in both spots. At Kalshi, you’ll get back $100, less your fee of $1.74, for a total of $98.26. Polymarket will return an even $100 since there are no fees attached. 

Beyond trading and settlement, be sure to consider the deposit and withdrawal fees that are outlined above. Traders should also be aware of potential “hidden costs” like bid-ask spreads, and the potential challenges of exiting positions in less liquid markets.

Profit potential for betting on predictions

Prediction markets offer opportunities for traders to profit by buying and selling contracts. In its simplest form, the goal is to make the correct calls so your contracts settle at full value. Traders can also aim to “buy low and sell high.”

Strategies for doing just that include looking for mispriced outcomes and acting before the rest of the market catches on. While the potential for returns is real, profits aren’t guaranteed. Market efficiency, liquidity, and timing all play a big role in shaping your results. 

How much can you make by buying a low-priced contract?

Buying low-priced contracts can be enticing due to the potential for big returns. Naturally, there’s plenty of risk here. The contract is priced low for a reason, namely that the chances of that outcome happening aren’t great. 

Let’s consider the following fictitious example for an NBA Playoff game in which there’s a clear favorite to win, at least as far as the market is concerned. 

  • Underdog contract price: $0.10 (10% chance)
  • Quantity: You buy 100 contracts for a total of $10. 
  • Kalshi trading fee: $0.63 (for 100 contracts at this price point)
  • Total upfront cost: $10 + $0.63 = $10.63
  • Outcome: Underdog wins; contracts settle at $1 each
  • Payout: 100 × $1 = $100
  • Net profit: $100 – $10.63 = $89.37

In this case, a small investment yields a large return if the prediction is correct. Seeking out low-priced contracts with realistic profit potential can be part of a well-rounded trading approach, but remember to account for the increased risks of trading less-likely outcomes.  

What happens if you sell your contract before the event?

Prediction markets aren’t just about holding contracts to settlement. You can also sell your position before the event concludes if the odds move in your favor. This is especially common in political markets, where news cycles and polling shifts can cause prices to swing rapidly.

Consider the following as an example: “Will Candidate X win the election?”

  • Polymarket contract price: $0.45 (45% chance)..
  • Quantity: You buy 50 contracts for a total of $22.50.
  • New developments and polling substantially boosts Candidate X’s chances. 
  • The contract price rises to $0.70.
  • You decide to sell all 50 contracts at $0.70 each for a total of $35
  • Polymarket trading fee: $0 (no trading fee; only a withdrawal fee applies if you cash out)
  • Net profit: $35 – $22.50 = $12.50
  • If you withdraw your USDC, a 1.5% withdrawal fee applies: $35 × 0.015 = $0.53

By selling before the event, you lock in your gains and avoid the uncertainty of the final outcome. This approach can be especially useful when you think the market has overreacted or you want to cash out and take your profit after a favorable news development. 

Can you profit by betting ‘No’ on an event?

Prediction markets also allow you to profit by betting against an outcome happening. This is where you would buy the “No” side of the equation when you anticipate that the contract will ultimately resolve to that end result. 

Consider the following example: “Will U.S. inflation exceed 4% this quarter?”

  • Kalshi “No” contract price: $0.60 (60% chance).
  • Quantity: You buy 75 contracts for a total of $45. 
  • Kalshi trading fee: $1.50 (at $0.02 per contract for this price point)
  • Total upfront cost: $45 + $1.50 = $46.50
  • If inflation comes in below 4%, each contract settles at $1
  • Payout: 75 × $1 = $75
  • Net profit: $75 – $46.50 = $28.50

Taking the “No” side can be a valuable strategy when you believe the market is overestimating the likelihood of an event. Regardless of which outcome you choose, stick to your comfort level for both contract pricing and the total amount of your trades.   

Are prediction markets the same as gambling? 

Prediction markets are not, by definition, the same as gambling. The former is considered a tool for forecasting outcomes based on probabilities. Casino, sports, and lottery are generally viewed as games of chance. That said, there are similarities between the two, most notably that the goal is to turn a profit.   

From the perspective of a prediction platform, the contracts are on equal footing to a commodities exchange. Using the Chicago Mercantile Exchange as an example, futures and options are traded on stock indexes, precious metals, energy commodities, and more. Traders take positions on the various instruments based on their expectations of what will happen.  

In a prediction market, traders are doing the same thing, albeit in a broader variety of options, such as political, cultural, and economic events. The gambling label has been attached to these platforms as they have risen in popularity, even more so since the introduction of contracts on various sporting events, such as the winner of March Madness or the next Super Bowl winner.  

Prediction market platforms like Kalshi, PredictIt, and ForecastEx are currently available across the US. However, questions on their overall legality continue to linger. A case between Kalshi and the Commodities Futures Trading Commission remains unresolved. Kalshi won the latest round, but litigation is ongoing. 

The platform offered contracts for the 2024 US elections, and has since expanded into sports futures. Meanwhile, states like Illinois, Nevada, New Jersey, and Ohio have presented the company with cease-and-desist letters, essentially arguing that they’re offering unregulated sports betting.     

If interest in prediction markets is a guide, then the future looks incredibly bright. Kalshi and Polymarket have attracted extensive volume for tentpole events that it has offered contracts for, including the 2024 US elections, the Super Bowl, and March Madness.

Understanding the math of prediction market contracts

Prediction market contract pricing is generally straightforward. You can view an available market and quickly determine the implied probability of an event happening, at least as far as the overall market sentiment is concerned. 

That said, the actual trading of contracts takes a little more doing on the calculation front. You can use the below formulas and examples as a cheat sheet to help gain even more of a comfort level with prediction market trading. 

How to calculate the number of contracts you can buy

Formula: Number of Contracts = (Available Capital) ÷ (Contract Price + Fees)

Example:

  • You want to trade $50. 
  • Each contract you’re interested in costs $0.25.
  • Kalshi fee: $0.02 per contract at this price point.
  • Calculation: $50 ÷ ($0.25 + $0.02) ≈ 192 contracts

Estimating potential profit and loss

Formula: Profit = (Sell Price – Buy Price) × Number of Contracts – Fees

Example:

  • You buy 100 contracts at $0.30 and sell at $0.60.
  • Profit = ($0.60 – $0.30) × 100 = $30
  • Kalshi fee: $1.68 (for 100 contracts at $0.60)
  • Net profit = $30 – $1.68 = $28.32

Finding your break-even price

Formula: Break-even Price = (Buy Price + Total Fees) ÷ Number of Contracts

Example:

  • You buy 50 contracts at $0.40, for a total of $20. 
  • Total fees if you sold at the same price: $1 ($0.02 per contract). 
  • Break-even = ($20 + $1) ÷ 50 = $0.42 per contract
  • You need to sell above $0.42 to make a profit.

By taking the time to understand these quick calculations, you could spot appealing opportunities that much quicker. As an added benefit, you’ll be better equipped to manage risk and make more informed trades. 

Risks to consider when trading in prediction markets

Trading in prediction markets can be entertaining and potentially profitable, but it’s not devoid of risk. Understanding the potential pitfalls can help you mitigate unnecessary mistakes and ultimately make more informed decisions. Key risks to consider include: 

  • Unexpected outcomes: There’s always the potential for a complete loss of your stake, even when the odds seem overwhelmingly in your favor.
  • Low liquidity: Certain markets attract a limited amount of volume, which can make it difficult to buy or sell contracts at fair prices.
  • Platform issues: While top platforms tend to operate without lengthy interruptions, there are simply no guarantees when it comes to security or technical glitches. 
  • Regulatory environment: Prediction markets are soaring in popularity and readily accessible, but are also subject to developments from ongoing legal challenges. 
  • Distorted prices: Biases, groupthink, manipulation, and misinformation could all impact contract pricing in both high- and low-volume markets.   

If you trade in prediction markets, there is risk. However, you can take steps to help manage it better. At the top of the list, you should only trade with money that you can afford to lose. Nothing is guaranteed with trading, no matter what the odds may suggest. 

Next, stay informed about what’s happening. Knowing what’s going on with the regulatory front can help you make better decisions on where to park your funds. Lastly, stick to what you know and don’t blindly chase volume. After all, the herd isn’t always correct.  

About The Author
Author Cheryle Shepstone
Cheryle Shepstone
Cheryle is Director of Content and Strategy at DeFi Rate. She oversees the prediction market research, platform reviews, and editorial methodology behind every guide—from primary source verification through final fact-check. Before DeFi Rate, she led content and growth strategy at Catena Media, where she helped shape content and revenue strategy for regulated and financial markets. She has 20 years of experience in research and marketing strategy