US Elections
Louisiana Senate Markets Turn on Cassidy as Trump-Backed Letlow Gains Ground
Trump-backed Julia Letlow is the clear favorite over incumbent Sen. Bill Cassidy on prediction markets in the Louisiana GOP Senate...
Pat Evans
May 15, 2026
US Elections
Tracking prediction market coverage as it relates to US elections and midterms.
US Elections
Markets Aren’t Buying AOC‑Backed Rabb Surge in PA-03 Democratic House Primary
Pennsylvania’s 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary isn’t just a local House race anymore. It’s turned into the hottest early test of the party’s 2028 fault lines. ...
Pat Evans
May 13, 2026
US Elections
Kentucky GOP House Primary Odds Briefly Flip to Gallrein After Massie Scandal
A Kentucky House race has become perhaps the nastiest, priciest House primary of the cycle, a match between incumbent libertarian Rep. Thomas Massie and President Donald...
Pat Evans
May 13, 2026
US Elections
Markets Not Buying Dan Osborn Nebraska Upset Story Despite Tight Polls
Dan Osborn polls tied with Pete Ricketts in Nebraska Senate race, but prediction markets are not buying his...
Pat Evans
May 11, 2026
US Elections
Roy Cooper Is Making Prediction Markets Forget North Carolina Is Republican Territory
Former Democratic Gov. Roy Cooper has a sizeable lead in both polls and prediction markets in a state that has leaned...
Pat Evans
May 9, 2026
US Elections
Rob Sand Pushes Iowa Governor Odds Toward Democrats
Prediction markets are pricing Democrat Rob Sand as a real favorite in deep-red Iowa in the 2026 governor...
Pat Evans
May 8, 2026
US Elections
Reality Star Spencer Pratt Emerges as Real Contender in LA Mayor Markets
Los Angeles is in a weird phase as residents look toward electing its next mayor, with prediction markets now suggesting reality star Spencer Pratt is more than a sideshow in the race. As...
Pat Evans
May 7, 2026
US Elections
Ohio Governor Markets Leaning Blue Despite Ramaswamy Win in GOP Primary
Vivek Ramaswamy won the Republican Primary for the Ohio governor race, but prediction markets still favor Democrat Amy...
Pat Evans
May 6, 2026
US Elections
Becerra Surges in California Governor Odds as Ballots Hit Mailboxes
The California governor race has a new leader on prediction markets as ballots go out to residents, and the candidates are teed up for debates this week. Former state Attorney General...
Pat Evans
May 5, 2026
US Elections
Georgia Governor Primary Odds Favor Bottoms, Jackson as Polls Lag
Prediction markets favor Keisha Lance Bottoms and Rick Jackson in Georgia’s governor primaries, even as polls show more uncertainty on the GOP...
Pat Evans
May 5, 2026