Super Bowl MVP: Kenneth Walker III Wins 2026 MVP

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Updated 1 month ago · 11:41 AM PST

Kenneth Walker III, running back for the Seattle Seahawks, was named the MVP of Super Bowl LX (2026) after rushing for 135 yards in a 29-13 victory over the New England Patriots. Our aggregated cross-platform odds for Super Bowl MVP provides probability synthesis from Kalshi Polymarket and OG. Includes arbitrage detection and venue comparison. Total volume in the last 24 hours equals $20.7M.

Largest Spread

0.00%

Consensus Leader

100.0%

Kenneth Walker III +91.1%

Total Volume (Share)

$20.7M

Momentum Leader

+91.1%

Kenneth Walker III All-time change

Current Odds Snapshot

Current probabilities across platforms with liquidity indicators

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KWI

Kenneth Walker III

Vol $5.1M Spread 0.0%

Agg 100.0%

↑ +91.1%

K 100.0%

P 100.0%

Kalshi 100.0%

Vol $3.8M 0–100¢

Polymarket 100.0%

Vol $1.3M 99.9–100¢

Aaron Rodgers

Vol $1.1K Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

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Vol $1.1K 0–100¢

AJ Barner

Vol $283.4K Spread —

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↓ -0.3%

P 0.0%

Polymarket 0.0%

Vol $283.4K 0.1¢

AJB

A.J. Brown

Vol $0 Spread —

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— +0.0%

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Vol $0 0–100¢

Andres Borregales

Vol $229.8K Spread —

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↓ -0.4%

P 0.0%

Polymarket 0.0%

Vol $229.8K 0.1¢

Bo Nix

Vol $8.5K Spread —

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— +0.0%

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BTJ

Brian Thomas Jr.

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Brock Purdy

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Bryce Young

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— +0.0%

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Vol $0 0–100¢

Byron Murphy

Vol $208.1K Spread —

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↓ -0.3%

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Polymarket 0.0%

Vol $208.1K 0.1¢

Caleb Williams

Vol $3.3K Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $3.3K 0–100¢

Christian Gonzalez

Vol $329.9K Spread —

Agg 0.0%

↓ -0.3%

P 0.0%

Polymarket 0.0%

Vol $329.9K 0.1¢

Christian McCaffrey

Vol $989 Spread —

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— +0.0%

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CJS

C.J. Stroud

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Vol $6.2K 0–100¢

Coby Bryant

Vol $244.5K Spread —

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↓ -0.4%

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Polymarket 0.0%

Vol $244.5K 0.1¢

Cooper Kupp

Vol $428.4K Spread —

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↓ -0.5%

P 0.0%

Polymarket 0.0%

Vol $428.4K 0.1¢

Courtland Sutton

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— +0.0%

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DAS

D'Andre Swift

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— +0.0%

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Vol $22 0–100¢

Davante Adams

Vol $2.6K Spread —

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— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $2.6K 0–100¢

DeMarcus Lawrence

Vol $317.7K Spread —

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↓ -0.3%

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Polymarket 0.0%

Vol $317.7K 0.1¢

DeVonta Smith

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $0 0–100¢

Devon Witherspoon

Vol $323.9K Spread —

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↓ -0.3%

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Polymarket 0.0%

Vol $323.9K 0.1¢

DK Metcalf

Vol $11 Spread —

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— +0.0%

K 0.0%

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Vol $11 0–100¢

Drake Maye

Vol $2.3M Spread 0.0%

Agg 0.0%

↓ -26.5%

K 0.0%

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Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $1.2M 0–100¢

Polymarket 0.0%

Vol $1.1M 0.1¢

Ernest Jones

Vol $320.3K Spread —

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↓ -0.5%

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Vol $320.3K 0.1¢

George Kittle

Vol $7 Spread —

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Hunter Henry

Vol $371.3K Spread —

Agg 0.0%

↓ -0.4%

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Polymarket 0.0%

Vol $371.3K 0.1¢

Jake Bobo

Vol $56.6K Spread —

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↓ -0.3%

P 0.0%

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Vol $56.6K 0.1¢

Jakobi Meyers

Vol $50 Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

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Vol $50 0–100¢

Jalen Hurts

Vol $1.1K Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $1.1K 0–100¢

JCI

James Cook III

Vol $1.3K Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $1.3K 0–100¢

Jason Myers

Vol $734.5K Spread —

Agg 0.0%

↓ -0.6%

P 0.0%

Polymarket 0.0%

Vol $734.5K 0.1¢

JSN

Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Vol $1.5M Spread 0.0%

Agg 0.0%

↓ -15.2%

K 0.0%

P 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $617.0K 0–100¢

Polymarket 0.0%

Vol $928.0K 0.1¢

Jaylen Warren

Vol $1 Spread —

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— +0.0%

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Jordan Love

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Josh Allen

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Josh Jacobs

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Justin Herbert

Vol $32 Spread —

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Kayshon Boutte

Vol $266.9K Spread —

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↓ -0.6%

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Vol $266.9K 0.1¢

Kyle Monangai

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Kyren Williams

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Leonard Williams

Vol $235.1K Spread —

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↓ -0.3%

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Polymarket 0.0%

Vol $235.1K 0.1¢

Mack Hollins

Vol $232.6K Spread —

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↓ -0.6%

P 0.0%

Polymarket 0.0%

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Marcus Jones

Vol $297.4K Spread —

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↓ -0.5%

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Polymarket 0.0%

Vol $297.4K 0.1¢

Matthew Stafford

Vol $231.1K Spread —

Agg 0.0%

— +0.0%

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Kalshi 0.0%

Vol $231.1K 0–100¢

Milton Williams

Vol $315.3K Spread —

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↓ -0.3%

P 0.0%

Polymarket 0.0%

Vol $315.3K 0.1¢

Nick Emmanwori

Vol $398.3K Spread —

Agg 0.0%

↓ -0.6%

P 0.0%

Polymarket 0.0%

Vol $398.3K 0.1¢

Nico Collins

Vol $101 Spread —

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— +0.0%

K 0.0%

Kalshi 0.0%

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Omarion Hampton

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— +0.0%

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PSI

Pat Surtain II

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— +0.0%

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Puka Nacua

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— +0.0%

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Rashid Shaheed

Vol $305.5K Spread —

Agg 0.0%

↓ -1.7%

P 0.0%

Polymarket 0.0%

Vol $305.5K 0.1¢

Rhamondre Stevenson

Vol $642.9K Spread 0.0%

Agg 0.0%

↓ -1.9%

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Polymarket 0.0%

Vol $481.5K 0.1¢

RJ Harvey

Vol $34.3K Spread —

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— +0.0%

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Sam Darnold

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↓ -43.5%

K 0.0%

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Polymarket 0.0%

Vol $1.2M 0.1¢

Saquon Barkley

Vol $225 Spread —

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— +0.0%

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Stefon Diggs

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↓ -0.9%

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Vol $81.2K 0–100¢

Polymarket 0.0%

Vol $453.3K 0.1¢

TEJ

Travis Etienne Jr.

Vol $3 Spread —

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TreVeyon Henderson

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↓ -0.6%

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Kalshi 0.0%

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Polymarket 0.0%

Vol $469.1K 0.1¢

Trevor Lawrence

Vol $346 Spread —

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— +0.0%

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Uchenna Nwosu

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↓ -0.3%

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Polymarket 0.0%

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Zach Charbonnet

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Outcome	Aggregated	Spread	Volume	Kalshi	Polymarket
KWI Kenneth Walker III	100.0% ↑ +91.1%	0.0%	$5.1M	Kalshi 100.0% 0–100¢ Vol $3.8M	Polymarket 100.0% 99.9–100¢ Vol $1.3M
AR Aaron Rodgers	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$1.1K	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $1.1K	Polymarket — —
AB AJ Barner	0.0% ↓ -0.3%	—	$283.4K	Kalshi — —	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢ Vol $283.4K
AJB A.J. Brown	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
AB Andres Borregales	0.0% ↓ -0.4%	—	$229.8K	Kalshi — —	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢ Vol $229.8K
BN Bo Nix	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$8.5K	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $8.5K	Polymarket — —
BTJ Brian Thomas Jr.	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
BP Brock Purdy	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$2.7K	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $2.7K	Polymarket — —
BY Bryce Young	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
BM Byron Murphy	0.0% ↓ -0.3%	—	$208.1K	Kalshi — —	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢ Vol $208.1K
CW Caleb Williams	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$3.3K	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $3.3K	Polymarket — —
CG Christian Gonzalez	0.0% ↓ -0.3%	—	$329.9K	Kalshi — —	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢ Vol $329.9K
CM Christian McCaffrey	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$989	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $989	Polymarket — —
CJS C.J. Stroud	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$6.2K	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $6.2K	Polymarket — —
CB Coby Bryant	0.0% ↓ -0.4%	—	$244.5K	Kalshi — —	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢ Vol $244.5K
CK Cooper Kupp	0.0% ↓ -0.5%	—	$428.4K	Kalshi — —	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢ Vol $428.4K
CS Courtland Sutton	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$8.5K	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $8.5K	Polymarket — —
DAS D'Andre Swift	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$22	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $22	Polymarket — —
DA Davante Adams	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$2.6K	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $2.6K	Polymarket — —
DL DeMarcus Lawrence	0.0% ↓ -0.3%	—	$317.7K	Kalshi — —	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢ Vol $317.7K
DS DeVonta Smith	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
DW Devon Witherspoon	0.0% ↓ -0.3%	—	$323.9K	Kalshi — —	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢ Vol $323.9K
DM DK Metcalf	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$11	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $11	Polymarket — —
DM Drake Maye	0.0% ↓ -26.5%	0.0%	$2.3M	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $1.2M	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢ Vol $1.1M
EJ Ernest Jones	0.0% ↓ -0.5%	—	$320.3K	Kalshi — —	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢ Vol $320.3K
GK George Kittle	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$7	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $7	Polymarket — —
HH Hunter Henry	0.0% ↓ -0.4%	—	$371.3K	Kalshi — —	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢ Vol $371.3K
JB Jake Bobo	0.0% ↓ -0.3%	—	$56.6K	Kalshi — —	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢ Vol $56.6K
JM Jakobi Meyers	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$50	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $50	Polymarket — —
JH Jalen Hurts	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$1.1K	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $1.1K	Polymarket — —
JCI James Cook III	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$1.3K	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $1.3K	Polymarket — —
JM Jason Myers	0.0% ↓ -0.6%	—	$734.5K	Kalshi — —	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢ Vol $734.5K
JSN Jaxon Smith-Njigba	0.0% ↓ -15.2%	0.0%	$1.5M	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $617.0K	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢ Vol $928.0K
JW Jaylen Warren	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$1	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $1	Polymarket — —
JL Jordan Love	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$72	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $72	Polymarket — —
JA Josh Allen	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$10.1K	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $10.1K	Polymarket — —
JJ Josh Jacobs	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $0	Polymarket — —
JH Justin Herbert	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$32	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $32	Polymarket — —
KB Kayshon Boutte	0.0% ↓ -0.6%	—	$266.9K	Kalshi — —	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢ Vol $266.9K
KM Kyle Monangai	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$3	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $3	Polymarket — —
KW Kyren Williams	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$1.7K	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $1.7K	Polymarket — —
LW Leonard Williams	0.0% ↓ -0.3%	—	$235.1K	Kalshi — —	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢ Vol $235.1K
MH Mack Hollins	0.0% ↓ -0.6%	—	$232.6K	Kalshi — —	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢ Vol $232.6K
MJ Marcus Jones	0.0% ↓ -0.5%	—	$297.4K	Kalshi — —	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢ Vol $297.4K
MS Matthew Stafford	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$231.1K	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $231.1K	Polymarket — —
MW Milton Williams	0.0% ↓ -0.3%	—	$315.3K	Kalshi — —	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢ Vol $315.3K
NE Nick Emmanwori	0.0% ↓ -0.6%	—	$398.3K	Kalshi — —	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢ Vol $398.3K
NC Nico Collins	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$101	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $101	Polymarket — —
OH Omarion Hampton	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$5	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $5	Polymarket — —
PSI Pat Surtain II	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$157	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $157	Polymarket — —
PN Puka Nacua	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$18.2K	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $18.2K	Polymarket — —
RS Rashid Shaheed	0.0% ↓ -1.7%	—	$305.5K	Kalshi — —	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢ Vol $305.5K
RS Rhamondre Stevenson	0.0% ↓ -1.9%	0.0%	$642.9K	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $161.4K	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢ Vol $481.5K
RH RJ Harvey	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$34.3K	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $34.3K	Polymarket — —
SD Sam Darnold	0.0% ↓ -43.5%	0.0%	$3.7M	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $2.4M	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢ Vol $1.2M
SB Saquon Barkley	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$225	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $225	Polymarket — —
SD Stefon Diggs	0.0% ↓ -0.9%	0.0%	$534.5K	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $81.2K	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢ Vol $453.3K
TEJ Travis Etienne Jr.	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$3	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $3	Polymarket — —
TH TreVeyon Henderson	0.0% ↓ -0.6%	0.0%	$482.2K	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $13.1K	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢ Vol $469.1K
TL Trevor Lawrence	0.0% — +0.0%	—	$346	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $346	Polymarket — —
UN Uchenna Nwosu	0.0% ↓ -0.3%	—	$287.4K	Kalshi — —	Polymarket 0.0% 0.1¢ Vol $287.4K
ZC Zach Charbonnet	0.0% ↓ -0.5%	—	$8.1K	Kalshi 0.0% 0–100¢ Vol $8.1K	Polymarket — —

Probability Over Time

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Aggregated (VWAP)

Volume

Kalshi

Polymarket

Cross-Venue Spread

Kenneth Walker III was named the MVP of Super Bowl LX after inspiring Seattle to a 29-13 victory over New England. He was the standout offensive player in an otherwise defensive game, rushing for 135 yards and adding two catches for 26 yards. Walker became the first running back to win the Super Bowl MVP award since Denver’s Terrell Davis in 1998.

Prediction sites will launch contracts on the MVP for Super Bowl LXI in the build-up to the big game. You’ll find aggregated cross-platform odds for Super Bowl MVP on this page, with probability synthesis, arbitrage detection, and venue comparison.

2027 MVP market

Prediction sites usually wait until the Wild Card round to release contracts on the Super Bowl MVP. By that point, they know who the key contenders are – the standout QBs, WRs, and RBs for the strongest teams in the playoffs.

Here are some trends to keep in mind before buying contracts on the 2027 Super Bowl MVP market:

Quarterbacks dominate. They’ve won 14 of the past 20 Super Bowl MVP awards. For that reason, Sam Darnold and Drake Maye were the clear favorites in 2026, only for Walker to seize the award.
Defensive players rarely win. Only two defensive players have been named Super Bowl MVP in the past 20 years: Malcolm Smith in 2014 and Von Miller in 2016. If it’s not a QB, a wideout tends to win: Santonio Holmes in 2009, Julian Edelman in 2019, and Cooper Kupp in 2022.
MVPs come from the winning team. The MVP has come from the winning team every year except for 1971. Dallas Cowboys linebacker Chuck Howley was on the losing team that year, but he still claimed the award.

Where to bet MVP

Prediction markets offer sharper odds and greater flexibility than traditional sportsbooks. You can buy a Super Bowl MVP contract and then sell it whenever you like. If the market moves in your favor, you can simply hit the “Sell” button to lock in a guaranteed profit before the Super Bowl even begins. These are the best prediction sites for Super Bowl MVP betting:

Kalshi: You’ll benefit from deep liquidity if you buy Super Bowl MVP contracts at Kalshi. The site boasts stronger trading volume than its rivals, so it’s normally easy to open positions and exit trades.
Polymarket: This is another federally regulated prediction site, which gives you the chance to bet on the Super Bowl MVP award. The site is similar to Kalshi, as it operates on a nationwide basis, covering everything from sports to crypto and politics. The fee structure is different, so you may find certain trades cheaper on Polymarket.
DraftKings Predictions: The Boston-based sports betting giant has now expanded into prediction markets. DraftKings Predictions covers sports, stocks, commodities, and crypto, but it has fewer options than Kalshi and Polymarket. The site went live in 38 states in December 2025, but sports event contracts are only available in 17 of them.
FanDuel Predicts: This prediction site offers peer-to-peer action on sports, economics, crypto, finance, and other topics. Just bear in mind that sports event contracts are only offered in states that FanDuel Sportsbook isn’t available in.
Underdog Predict: A similar offering to DraftKings Predictions and FanDuel Predicts. You’ll find event contracts on NFL games and other big sporting events at this CFTC-registered site.

How Super Bowl MVP markets resolve

Kalshi and Polymarket both offer Super Bowl MVP contracts, but they use different market names and resolution rules. Understanding the settlement criteria is important if you’re trading on both platforms.

Kalshi lists the market as “Pro Football Championship Game MVP.” Each player contract resolves to Yes if that player wins the award, verified through the NFL (referred to as “the Governing League” in their rules). The market is mutually exclusive, meaning only one outcome can settle at $1.
Polymarket calls this prop “Pro Football Championship MVP” and includes more detailed edge-case rules. The market resolves based on the official Super Bowl LX MVP Award winner, with the NFL as the primary source. If co-MVPs are named (this has happened once, in Super Bowl XII), the market resolves to whichever player’s last name comes first alphabetically. If the game isn’t completed or no MVP is announced by February 22, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to “Other.”

The key difference: Polymarket explicitly addresses the co-MVP scenario and includes a deadline for resolution. Kalshi’s rules are simpler but don’t specify how ties would be handled. For most, this won’t matter, but it’s worth reading the full rules before taking a large position.

More NFL prediction markets:

Super Bowl Winner odds	Halftime Show Odds	Annoncer Mention Markets
Prediction Market Promos	Sports Prediction Markets

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Last 10 Super Bowl MVP winners

Super Bowl	Season	Player	Position	Team
LIX	2024	Jalen Hurts	QB	Philadelphia Eagles
LVIII	2023	Patrick Mahomes	QB	Kansas City Chiefs
LVII	2022	Patrick Mahomes	QB	Kansas City Chiefs
LVI	2021	Cooper Kupp	WR	Los Angeles Rams
LV	2020	Tom Brady	QB	Tampa Bay Buccaneers
LIV	2019	Patrick Mahomes	QB	Kansas City Chiefs
LIII	2018	Julian Edelman	WR	New England Patriots
LII	2017	Nick Foles	QB	Philadelphia Eagles
LI	2016	Tom Brady	QB	New England Patriots
50	2015	Von Miller	LB	Denver Broncos

Source: ESPN Super Bowl History

Patterns worth noting

The winning team’s quarterback is almost always the default choice. Only one player in Super Bowl history, Cowboys linebacker Chuck Howley in Super Bowl V, has won MVP from the losing side.

Patrick Mahomes owns three of the last six awards, showing how a single dominant quarterback can reshape MVP futures pricing. Brady similarly collected two in this window before retiring.

Wide receivers occasionally break through (Kupp, Edelman), but require monster statistical games. Kupp caught the game-winning touchdown. Edelman posted 10 catches for 141 yards in a defensive slugfest. Neither scenario is predictable pre-game.

For bettors, unless you’re fading both starting quarterbacks entirely, MVP futures heavily favor picking which signal-caller will be holding the Lombardi Trophy.