Brazil heads to Philadelphia for the team’s second Group C match today, looking to right the ship after a disappointing 1-1 opening draw against Morocco.
Kalshi prices heavily favor the five-time world champions to secure a victory and regain control of the group against a resilient Haitian squad making its first World Cup appearance in 52 years. New Kalshi users can use promo code RATE to claim a $10 trading bonus for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
How to claim the Kalshi $10 bonus for USA vs. Australia
Enter the promo code RATE when creating a new Kalshi account to claim a $10 trading bonus for World Cup markets. Here are the steps to follow to sign up and claim the bonus:
- Download the Kalshi app: Install the free Kalshi app for your Apple or Android device, or visit the website and tap Sign Up.
- Enter promo code RATE: Add code RATE when you create a new account.
- Verify your identity: Supply the verification information requested and be prepared with a photo ID issued by the government.
- Fund the account: Deposit and trade at least $10 on any market using an available payment method, including a bank account, debit card, Apple Pay, or wire transfer.
- Place a first trade: Review the market rules and place a first trade on a World Cup market. The $10 bonus is applied after that trade settles.
Full terms and conditions are available on our Kalshi promo code guide.
| Promo Code | Eligible States |
|---|---|
| RATE | All States + DC, excluding NV |
2026 World Cup market odds: Brazil vs. Haiti
| Outcome | Prediction Odds | American Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Brazil Game winner | 89% | -809 |
| Haiti Game winner | 5% | +1900 |
| Draw | 8% | +1150 |
| Brazil vs. Haiti Spread: Brazil -2.5 | 52% | -108 |
| Brazil vs. Haiti Spread: Haiti +2.5 | 49% | +104 |
| Brazil vs. Haiti Game Totals: Over 3.5 Goals | 53% | -113 |
| Brazil vs. Haiti Game Totals: Under 3.5 Goals | 48% | +108 |
| Both Teams to Score | 39% | +156 |
Brazil vs. Haiti preview
Brazil enters its second Group C game looking to bounce back after a frustrating 1-1 opening draw against Morocco, putting them under immediate pressure to secure a win and get back on track for the knockout stages. They come up against a resilient Haitian side fresh off a narrow 1-0 loss against Scotland.
A tie today in Philadelphia will be decisive to the fate of the group.
The Grenadiers have shown they are ready for the world stage by qualifying for their first World Cup in 52 years, but will need a perfect defensive effort to slow down a Brazilian attack that remains incredibly dangerous under manager Dorival Júnior. Vinícius Júnior and Rodrygo are top goal threats for the Seleção, but watch out for the veteran leadership of 34-year-old Casemiro, whose composure in the midfield will be key in stopping Haiti’s counter-attacks.
The two nations have not met many times in major tournaments, but Brazil did have a dominant 7-1 victory in the 2016 Copa América Centenario with Philippe Coutinho scoring a hat-trick. If you want to make a trade other than the 90-minute moneyline, Polymarket has great liquidity on more general tournament results.
There’s a chance to buy outright shares on Brazil in group winner markets, or you could look at the “To Advance from Group C” market where a win for the South Americans in this fixture would go a long way to sealing their place in the Round of 32.
Brazil vs. Haiti props on Klashi
In Brazil vs. Haiti goal scorer markets, Brazil’s Júnior is trading as the biggest threat to score. He’s priced at 54% (-117) to score against a heavy underdog, but there is plenty of action across the rest of the board.
With the massive influx of World Cup volume, order books for these specific player props are showing excellent liquidity, allowing for tight spreads and solid value. Raphinha is seeing strong resistance right around the 48% (+108) mark, offering an appealing plus-money alternative for a player who logged 13 goals for Barcelona this past season.
On the other side, if you’re looking to fade a Brazilian clean sheet, Sunderland’s Wilson Isidor provides the most realistic path for a Haitian goal, trading as an intriguing longshot at 12% (+733).
| Market | Outcome | Prediction Odds | American Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Player goals | Vinícius Júnior over 0.5 goals | 54% | -117 |
| Player goals | Raphinha over 0.5 goals | 48% | +108 |
| Player goals | Bruno Guimaraes over 0.5 goals | 18% | +456 |
| Player goals | Wilson Isidor over 0.5 goals | 12% | +733 |
| Player goals | Marquinhos over 0.5 goals | 9% | +1011 |
Why trade Brazil vs. Haiti on Kalshi
Trading Brazil vs. Haiti on Kalshi is completely different than betting with your standard sportsbook. Kalshi is a prediction market exchange where you actively trade event contracts in real time as the match unfolds.
If Brazil scores early, you can sell your shares right away and make a profit. If Haiti’s defense is surprisingly good in the first half, you can buy shares cheaply before the market catches on. You can get in and out of positions easily, trading directly against others in the community rather than wrestling with the fixed betting lines of a traditional sportsbook.
You have total control over your capital. Don’t forget, as you explore these regulated exchanges, you can also take advantage of our Kalshi promo code RATE to claim a $10 bonus to build your World Cup trading capital.
NOTE: Prediction markets involve risk, and prices can move quickly before and during live events. Users should trade only with money they can afford to lose, review the rules for each market before buying shares, and avoid chasing losses.
