Kalshi's Celebrity Super Bowl Market: Final Odds & Results

ARCHIVED
Updated 1 month ago · 11:41 AM PST

Kalshi and Polymarket's "Who will attend the Big Game?" market let traders wager on which celebrities, athletes, and political figures would be spotted at Levi's Stadium for Super Bowl LX. The prop drew more than $17.7 million in volume across dozens of individual contracts — here's how the market resolved against reality. Contracts settled based on confirmed presence inside the stadium between kickoff and the final whistle, verified through credible reporting and social media documentation. Our tracker aggregated live pricing with probability charts, arbitrage detection, and cross-platform odds comparison, updating every 30 minutes through game day.

Largest Spread
0.00%
Consensus Leader
100.0%
Will Cardi B attend Super Bowl LX? +4.5%
Total Volume (Share)
$17.7M
K: 95.6% P: 4.4%
Momentum Leader
+64.0%
Will Kim Kardashian attend Super Bowl LX? All-time change

Current Odds Snapshot

Current probabilities across platforms with liquidity indicators

Sort:
WCB
Will Cardi B attend Super Bowl LX?
Vol $74.4K Spread
Agg 100.0%
↑ +4.5%
Cardi B
K 100.0%
Kalshi 100.0%
Vol $74.4K 0–100¢
WGN
Will Gavin Newsom attend Super Bowl LX?
Vol $110.4K Spread 0.0%
Agg 100.0%
↑ +26.5%
Gavin Newsom
K 100.0%
P 100.0%
Kalshi 100.0%
Vol $97.9K 0–100¢
Polymarket 100.0%
Vol $12.5K 99.9–100¢
WJB
Will Justin Bieber attend Super Bowl LX
Vol $22.2K Spread
Agg 100.0%
↑ +43.0%
P 100.0%
Polymarket 100.0%
Vol $22.2K 99.9–100¢
WKK
Will Kim Kardashian attend Super Bowl LX?
Vol $108.8K Spread
Agg 100.0%
↑ +64.0%
K 100.0%
Kalshi 100.0%
Vol $108.8K 0–100¢
WLG
Will Lady Gaga attend Super Bowl LX?
Vol $78.2K Spread
Agg 100.0%
↑ +49.0%
K 100.0%
Kalshi 100.0%
Vol $78.2K 0–100¢
WLD
Will Livvy Dunne attend Super Bowl LX
Vol $3.5K Spread
Agg 100.0%
↑ +50.0%
P 100.0%
Polymarket 100.0%
Vol $3.5K 99.9–100¢
WTB
Will Tom Brady attend Super Bowl LX
Vol $73.1K Spread 0.0%
Agg 100.0%
↑ +5.0%
Tom Brady
K 100.0%
P 100.0%
Kalshi 100.0%
Vol $61.8K 0–100¢
Polymarket 100.0%
Vol $11.3K 99.9–100¢
WAH
Will Anne Hathaway attend Super Bowl LX?
Vol $12.0K Spread
Agg 0.0%
↓ -17.0%
K 0.0%
Kalshi 0.0%
Vol $12.0K 0–1¢
WBO
Will Barack Obama attend Super Bowl LX?
Vol $46.3K Spread
Agg 0.0%
↓ -9.5%
K 0.0%
Kalshi 0.0%
Vol $46.3K 0–1¢
WBT
Will Barron Trump attend Super Bowl LX
Vol $5.7K Spread
Agg 0.0%
↓ -2.9%
P 0.0%
Polymarket 0.0%
Vol $5.7K 0.1¢
WBA
Will Ben Affleck attend Super Bowl LX?
Vol $282.4K Spread
Agg 0.0%
↓ -75.0%
K 0.0%
Kalshi 0.0%
Vol $282.4K 4–5¢
WBB
Will Bill Belichick attend Super Bowl LX
Vol $737 Spread
Agg 0.0%
↓ -43.0%
P 0.0%
Polymarket 0.0%
Vol $737 0.1¢
WBG
Will Bill Gates attend Super Bowl LX?
Vol $49.3K Spread
Agg 0.0%
↓ -13.0%
K 0.0%
Kalshi 0.0%
Vol $49.3K 0–2¢
WDA
Will Djo attend Super Bowl LX
Vol $481 Spread
Agg 0.0%
↓ -51.0%
P 0.0%
Polymarket 0.0%
Vol $481 0.1¢
WDA
Will Doechii attend Super Bowl LX?
Vol $67.3K Spread
Agg 0.0%
↓ -21.0%
K 0.0%
Kalshi 0.0%
Vol $67.3K 3–4¢
WDT
Will Donald Trump attend Super Bowl LX
Vol $1.6M Spread 0.0%
Agg 0.0%
↓ -2.6%
K 0.0%
P 0.0%
Kalshi 0.0%
Vol $1.3M 0–1¢
Polymarket 0.0%
Vol $315.5K 0.1¢
WDA
Will Drake attend Super Bowl LX?
Vol $115.7K Spread
Agg 0.0%
↓ -32.0%
K 0.0%
Kalshi 0.0%
Vol $115.7K 0–1¢
WEM
Will Elon Musk attend Super Bowl LX
Vol $102.0K Spread 0.0%
Agg 0.0%
↓ -32.7%
K 0.0%
P 0.0%
Kalshi 0.0%
Vol $95.5K 1–2¢
Polymarket 0.0%
Vol $6.5K 0.1¢
WEK
Will Erika Kirk attend Super Bowl LX?
Vol $46.0K Spread
Agg 0.0%
↓ -3.3%
P 0.0%
Polymarket 0.0%
Vol $46.0K 0.1¢
WJK
Will Jason Kelce attend Super Bowl LX?
Vol $1.1M Spread
Agg 0.0%
↓ -88.5%
K 0.0%
Kalshi 0.0%
Vol $1.1M 12–13¢
WJD
Will J.D Vance attend Super Bowl LX
Vol $472.6K Spread 0.0%
Agg 0.0%
↓ -13.6%
K 0.0%
P 0.0%
Kalshi 0.0%
Vol $259.3K 0–1¢
Polymarket 0.0%
Vol $213.3K 0.1¢
WJB
Will Jeff Bezos attend Super Bowl LX?
Vol $439.9K Spread 0.0%
Agg 0.0%
↓ -75.3%
K 0.0%
P 0.0%
Kalshi 0.0%
Vol $399.3K 2–3¢
Polymarket 0.0%
Vol $40.6K 0.1¢
WJB
Will Jill Biden attend Super Bowl LX?
Vol $33.0K Spread
Agg 0.0%
↓ -5.5%
K 0.0%
Kalshi 0.0%
Vol $33.0K 0–1¢
WKH
Will Kamala Harris attend Super Bowl LX?
Vol $37.3K Spread
Agg 0.0%
↓ -8.5%
K 0.0%
Kalshi 0.0%
Vol $37.3K 0–1¢
WKL
Will Kendrick Lamar attend Super Bowl LX?
Vol $50.1K Spread
Agg 0.0%
↓ -26.5%
K 0.0%
Kalshi 0.0%
Vol $50.1K 1–2¢
WKN
Will Kristi Noem attend Super Bowl LX?
Vol $49.8K Spread
Agg 0.0%
↓ -9.5%
K 0.0%
Kalshi 0.0%
Vol $49.8K 0–1¢
WLJ
Will LeBron James attend Super Bowl LX
Vol $2.2K Spread
Agg 0.0%
↓ -46.5%
P 0.0%
Polymarket 0.0%
Vol $2.2K 0.1¢
WLM
Will Lionel Messi attend Super Bowl LX?
Vol $136.2K Spread 0.0%
Agg 0.0%
↓ -34.8%
K 0.0%
P 0.0%
Kalshi 0.0%
Vol $98.9K 0–2¢
Polymarket 0.0%
Vol $37.3K 0.1¢
WMW
Will Mark Wahlberg attend Super Bowl LX?
Vol $11.1M Spread
Agg 0.0%
↓ -69.5%
K 0.0%
Kalshi 0.0%
Vol $11.1M 2–3¢
WMZ
Will Mark Zuckerberg attend Super Bowl LX
Vol $30.5K Spread
Agg 0.0%
↓ -17.8%
P 0.0%
Polymarket 0.0%
Vol $30.5K 0.1¢
WMD
Will Matt Damon attend Super Bowl LX?
Vol $295.1K Spread
Agg 0.0%
↓ -74.5%
K 0.0%
Kalshi 0.0%
Vol $295.1K 3–4¢
WNM
Will Nicki Minaj attend Super Bowl LX
Vol $1.8K Spread
Agg 0.0%
↓ -5.5%
P 0.0%
Polymarket 0.0%
Vol $1.8K 0.1¢
WPH
Will Paris Hilton attend Super Bowl LX?
Vol $53.8K Spread
Agg 0.0%
↓ -37.0%
K 0.0%
Kalshi 0.0%
Vol $53.8K 0–1¢
WPG
Will Paul George attend Super Bowl LX
Vol $1.5K Spread
Agg 0.0%
↓ -45.0%
P 0.0%
Polymarket 0.0%
Vol $1.5K 0.1¢
WPD
Will Pete Davidson attend Super Bowl LX?
Vol $236.4K Spread
Agg 0.0%
↓ -38.0%
K 0.0%
Kalshi 0.0%
Vol $236.4K 2–3¢
WSA
Will Sam Altman attend Super Bowl LX?
Vol $132.5K Spread 0.0%
Agg 0.0%
↓ -34.0%
K 0.0%
P 0.0%
Kalshi 0.0%
Vol $124.7K 2–3¢
Polymarket 0.0%
Vol $7.8K 0.1¢
WSS
Will Sydney Sweeney attend Super Bowl LX?
Vol $275.0K Spread
Agg 0.0%
↓ -61.5%
K 0.0%
Kalshi 0.0%
Vol $275.0K 0–1¢
WTS
Will Taylor Swift attend Super Bowl LX
Vol $212.0K Spread 0.0%
Agg 0.0%
↓ -14.7%
K 0.0%
P 0.0%
Kalshi 0.0%
Vol $199.0K 0–1¢
Polymarket 0.0%
Vol $13.0K 0.1¢
WTC
Will Timothée Chalamet attend Super Bowl LX?
Vol $269.1K Spread
Agg 0.0%
↓ -72.5%
Timothée Chalamet
K 0.0%
Kalshi 0.0%
Vol $269.1K 0–1¢
WTH
Will Tom Homan attend Super Bowl LX?
Vol $13.1K Spread
Agg 0.0%
↓ -8.5%
K 0.0%
Kalshi 0.0%
Vol $13.1K 0–1¢
WZA
Will Zendaya attend Super Bowl LX?
Vol $60.8K Spread
Agg 0.0%
↓ -14.5%
Zendaya
K 0.0%
Kalshi 0.0%
Vol $60.8K 3–5¢
Outcome Aggregated Spread Volume Kalshi Polymarket
WCB
Will Cardi B attend Super Bowl LX?
Cardi B
100.0%
↑ +4.5%
$74.4K
Kalshi 100.0%
0–100¢ Vol $74.4K
Polymarket
WGN
Will Gavin Newsom attend Super Bowl LX?
Gavin Newsom
100.0%
↑ +26.5%
0.0%
$110.4K
Kalshi 100.0%
0–100¢ Vol $97.9K
Polymarket 100.0%
99.9–100¢ Vol $12.5K
WJB
Will Justin Bieber attend Super Bowl LX
100.0%
↑ +43.0%
$22.2K
Kalshi
Polymarket 100.0%
99.9–100¢ Vol $22.2K
WKK
Will Kim Kardashian attend Super Bowl LX?
100.0%
↑ +64.0%
$108.8K
Kalshi 100.0%
0–100¢ Vol $108.8K
Polymarket
WLG
Will Lady Gaga attend Super Bowl LX?
100.0%
↑ +49.0%
$78.2K
Kalshi 100.0%
0–100¢ Vol $78.2K
Polymarket
WLD
Will Livvy Dunne attend Super Bowl LX
100.0%
↑ +50.0%
$3.5K
Kalshi
Polymarket 100.0%
99.9–100¢ Vol $3.5K
WTB
Will Tom Brady attend Super Bowl LX
Tom Brady
100.0%
↑ +5.0%
0.0%
$73.1K
Kalshi 100.0%
0–100¢ Vol $61.8K
Polymarket 100.0%
99.9–100¢ Vol $11.3K
WAH
Will Anne Hathaway attend Super Bowl LX?
0.0%
↓ -17.0%
$12.0K
Kalshi 0.0%
0–1¢ Vol $12.0K
Polymarket
WBO
Will Barack Obama attend Super Bowl LX?
0.0%
↓ -9.5%
$46.3K
Kalshi 0.0%
0–1¢ Vol $46.3K
Polymarket
WBT
Will Barron Trump attend Super Bowl LX
0.0%
↓ -2.9%
$5.7K
Kalshi
Polymarket 0.0%
0.1¢ Vol $5.7K
WBA
Will Ben Affleck attend Super Bowl LX?
0.0%
↓ -75.0%
$282.4K
Kalshi 0.0%
4–5¢ Vol $282.4K
Polymarket
WBB
Will Bill Belichick attend Super Bowl LX
0.0%
↓ -43.0%
$737
Kalshi
Polymarket 0.0%
0.1¢ Vol $737
WBG
Will Bill Gates attend Super Bowl LX?
0.0%
↓ -13.0%
$49.3K
Kalshi 0.0%
0–2¢ Vol $49.3K
Polymarket
WDA
Will Djo attend Super Bowl LX
0.0%
↓ -51.0%
$481
Kalshi
Polymarket 0.0%
0.1¢ Vol $481
WDA
Will Doechii attend Super Bowl LX?
0.0%
↓ -21.0%
$67.3K
Kalshi 0.0%
3–4¢ Vol $67.3K
Polymarket
WDT
Will Donald Trump attend Super Bowl LX
0.0%
↓ -2.6%
0.0%
$1.6M
Kalshi 0.0%
0–1¢ Vol $1.3M
Polymarket 0.0%
0.1¢ Vol $315.5K
WDA
Will Drake attend Super Bowl LX?
0.0%
↓ -32.0%
$115.7K
Kalshi 0.0%
0–1¢ Vol $115.7K
Polymarket
WEM
Will Elon Musk attend Super Bowl LX
0.0%
↓ -32.7%
0.0%
$102.0K
Kalshi 0.0%
1–2¢ Vol $95.5K
Polymarket 0.0%
0.1¢ Vol $6.5K
WEK
Will Erika Kirk attend Super Bowl LX?
0.0%
↓ -3.3%
$46.0K
Kalshi
Polymarket 0.0%
0.1¢ Vol $46.0K
WJK
Will Jason Kelce attend Super Bowl LX?
0.0%
↓ -88.5%
$1.1M
Kalshi 0.0%
12–13¢ Vol $1.1M
Polymarket
WJD
Will J.D Vance attend Super Bowl LX
0.0%
↓ -13.6%
0.0%
$472.6K
Kalshi 0.0%
0–1¢ Vol $259.3K
Polymarket 0.0%
0.1¢ Vol $213.3K
WJB
Will Jeff Bezos attend Super Bowl LX?
0.0%
↓ -75.3%
0.0%
$439.9K
Kalshi 0.0%
2–3¢ Vol $399.3K
Polymarket 0.0%
0.1¢ Vol $40.6K
WJB
Will Jill Biden attend Super Bowl LX?
0.0%
↓ -5.5%
$33.0K
Kalshi 0.0%
0–1¢ Vol $33.0K
Polymarket
WKH
Will Kamala Harris attend Super Bowl LX?
0.0%
↓ -8.5%
$37.3K
Kalshi 0.0%
0–1¢ Vol $37.3K
Polymarket
WKL
Will Kendrick Lamar attend Super Bowl LX?
0.0%
↓ -26.5%
$50.1K
Kalshi 0.0%
1–2¢ Vol $50.1K
Polymarket
WKN
Will Kristi Noem attend Super Bowl LX?
0.0%
↓ -9.5%
$49.8K
Kalshi 0.0%
0–1¢ Vol $49.8K
Polymarket
WLJ
Will LeBron James attend Super Bowl LX
0.0%
↓ -46.5%
$2.2K
Kalshi
Polymarket 0.0%
0.1¢ Vol $2.2K
WLM
Will Lionel Messi attend Super Bowl LX?
0.0%
↓ -34.8%
0.0%
$136.2K
Kalshi 0.0%
0–2¢ Vol $98.9K
Polymarket 0.0%
0.1¢ Vol $37.3K
WMW
Will Mark Wahlberg attend Super Bowl LX?
0.0%
↓ -69.5%
$11.1M
Kalshi 0.0%
2–3¢ Vol $11.1M
Polymarket
WMZ
Will Mark Zuckerberg attend Super Bowl LX
0.0%
↓ -17.8%
$30.5K
Kalshi
Polymarket 0.0%
0.1¢ Vol $30.5K
WMD
Will Matt Damon attend Super Bowl LX?
0.0%
↓ -74.5%
$295.1K
Kalshi 0.0%
3–4¢ Vol $295.1K
Polymarket
WNM
Will Nicki Minaj attend Super Bowl LX
0.0%
↓ -5.5%
$1.8K
Kalshi
Polymarket 0.0%
0.1¢ Vol $1.8K
WPH
Will Paris Hilton attend Super Bowl LX?
0.0%
↓ -37.0%
$53.8K
Kalshi 0.0%
0–1¢ Vol $53.8K
Polymarket
WPG
Will Paul George attend Super Bowl LX
0.0%
↓ -45.0%
$1.5K
Kalshi
Polymarket 0.0%
0.1¢ Vol $1.5K
WPD
Will Pete Davidson attend Super Bowl LX?
0.0%
↓ -38.0%
$236.4K
Kalshi 0.0%
2–3¢ Vol $236.4K
Polymarket
WSA
Will Sam Altman attend Super Bowl LX?
0.0%
↓ -34.0%
0.0%
$132.5K
Kalshi 0.0%
2–3¢ Vol $124.7K
Polymarket 0.0%
0.1¢ Vol $7.8K
WSS
Will Sydney Sweeney attend Super Bowl LX?
0.0%
↓ -61.5%
$275.0K
Kalshi 0.0%
0–1¢ Vol $275.0K
Polymarket
WTS
Will Taylor Swift attend Super Bowl LX
0.0%
↓ -14.7%
0.0%
$212.0K
Kalshi 0.0%
0–1¢ Vol $199.0K
Polymarket 0.0%
0.1¢ Vol $13.0K
WTC
Will Timothée Chalamet attend Super Bowl LX?
Timothée Chalamet
0.0%
↓ -72.5%
$269.1K
Kalshi 0.0%
0–1¢ Vol $269.1K
Polymarket
WTH
Will Tom Homan attend Super Bowl LX?
0.0%
↓ -8.5%
$13.1K
Kalshi 0.0%
0–1¢ Vol $13.1K
Polymarket
WZA
Will Zendaya attend Super Bowl LX?
Zendaya
0.0%
↓ -14.5%
$60.8K
Kalshi 0.0%
3–5¢ Vol $60.8K
Polymarket

Probability Over Time

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Aggregated (VWAP)
Volume
Kalshi
Polymarket
Cross-Venue Spread

Kalshi and Polymarket traders priced in which A-listers would be spotted inside Levi’s Stadium when the Seattle Seahawks faced the New England Patriots in 2026. Celebrity sightings have always been part of the Super Bowl spectacle, but prediction markets are turning that red-carpet tradition into a tradeable proposition. Think of them as celebrity prop bets — similar to the novelty wagers sportsbooks offer on the coin toss or national anthem length, except here you’re buying and selling shares on whether Tom Brady or Taylor Swift will actually be in the building. The other major difference, it’s open to all 50 states, including California where Super Bowl betting is not currently available.

Jay-Z, Kendall Jenner, and Leonardo Di Caprio were among the celebrities we spotted at the 2026 Super Bowl. Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton also caused a media storm after making their first public appearance as a couple at Levi’s Stadium. There was a strong Puerto Rican contingent supporting Bad Bunny, while sports stars like Tom Brady, the Manning brothers, Travis Kelce, and Roger Federer also enjoyed the big game.

Celebrities confirmed at the Super Bowl

The 2026 Super Bowl was undoubtedly a star-studded affair. Justin and Hailey Bieber, Jon Bon Jovi, Adama Sandler, Travis Scott, Nicky Gathrite, Jamie Foxx, Mike McGuiness, Kevin Costner, Chase DeMoor, MGK, and Alix Earle were all in attendance. Famous faces like Jessica Alba, Pedro Pascal, and Cardi B appeared during the halftime show, and Lady Gaga and Ricky Martin performed alongside Bad Bunny.

Chris Pratt, Rob Lowe, and Elizabeth Banks enjoyed the action too. We also spotted Coco Jones, Billie Joe Armstrong, Sofia Vergara, Eiza González, Keke Palmer, Jon Hamm, Brandi Carlile… The list of celebs just went on and on. However, one man generated the biggest buzz among traders. In the build-up to the Super Bowl, it was rumored that Mark Wahlberg would attend. The Hollywood star is a Patriots fan, so it seemed highly plausible.

Traders quickly wagered more than $24 million on whether Wahlberg would attend the game, exceeding the amount staked on 31 other celebrities. More was staked on Wahlberg attending than President Trump. In the end, he didn’t turn up, which may have been for the best, as his beloved New England Patriots suffered a heavy defeat.

Kalshi and Polymarket resolution criteria

These Super Bowl entertainment props work differently from traditional sports betting. On sites like Kalshi and Polymarket, traders buy and sell contracts that settle at $1 (Yes) or (No), rather than placing fixed wagers against a sportsbook. The price reflects the market’s real-time consensus probability — so a 92¢ contract implies a 92% chance of attending the Super Bowl.

For the celebrity attendance markets specifically, “attending” is defined as being physically present inside Levi’s Stadium between the start and end of the game. Resolution is sourced from major news agency reports and social media posts by the celebrities themselves. Pre-game and post-game appearances outside the stadium don’t count.

Super Bowl prop bets have expanded far beyond the coin toss and Gatorade color. The top tier of celebrity attendance odds at Super Bowl LX is driven by professional obligations (Brady, Kelce), political positioning (Newsom), established fandom (Affleck, Damon), and entertainment industry ties (Cardi B, Gaga).