2027 Super Bowl Halftime: Who Will Headline?

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Updated 14 minutes ago · 9:43 PM PDT

Kalshi and Polymarket currently offer "Who will headline the Super Bowl?" contracts for the 2027 show, with JAY-Z leading the board at 46.5% probability of being named and Miley Cyrus, Harry Styles, and Justin Bieber sitting as the next most likely contenders. Total volume on the market sits at $191.0K. Our Super Bowl headliner tracker aggregates cross-platform odds for 2027 Super Bowl. Current probability synthesis from Kalshi and Polymarket. Stats and data updated every 30 minutes.

Largest Spread
39.95%
Justin Bieber
Current Favorite
46.5%
JAY-Z +41.5%
30D Volume (Share)
$191.0K
K: 99.0% P: 1.0%
Momentum Leader
+41.5%
JAY-Z YTD change

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Probability Over Time

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Current Odds Snapshot

Current probabilities across platforms with liquidity indicators

Sort:
JZ
JAY-Z
Vol $22.6K Spread
Agg 46.5%
↑ +41.5%
K 46.5%
MC
Miley Cyrus
Vol $16.4K Spread
Agg 39.0%
↑ +19.5%
K 39.0%
HS
Harry Styles
Vol $4.1K Spread 5.7%
Agg 26.0%
↑ +18.5%
K 26.0%
P 20.3%
JB
Justin Bieber
Vol $9.7K Spread 40.0%
Agg 17.5%
↑ +7.0%
P 57.5%
K 17.5%
MW
Morgan Wallen
Vol $1.1K Spread
Agg 4.5%
↓ -5.0%
K 4.5%
BB
Backstreet Boys
Vol $1.3K Spread
Agg 4.0%
↓ -2.0%
K 4.0%
SC
Sabrina Carpenter
Vol $1.6K Spread
Agg 4.0%
↓ -5.0%
K 4.0%
TTC
Tyler, The Creator
Vol $1.0K Spread
Agg 3.5%
↓ -2.5%
K 3.5%
AD
Adele
Vol $4.7K Spread
Agg 2.5%
↓ -3.0%
K 2.5%
AG
Ariana Grande
Vol $734 Spread
Agg 2.5%
↓ -5.0%
K 2.5%
BE
Billie Eilish
Vol $4.1K Spread
Agg 2.5%
↓ -3.0%
K 2.5%
DC
Doja Cat
Vol $1.1K Spread
Agg 2.5%
↓ -2.0%
K 2.5%
DR
Drake
Vol $1.7K Spread 4.7%
Agg 2.5%
↓ -4.5%
P 7.2%
K 2.5%
DL
Dua Lipa
Vol $2.5K Spread 15.3%
Agg 2.5%
↓ -5.0%
P 17.8%
K 2.5%
ID
Imagine Dragons
Vol $187 Spread
Agg 2.5%
↓ -2.5%
K 2.5%
KWY
Kanye West / Ye
Vol $7.0K Spread 3.6%
Agg 2.5%
↓ -2.5%
P 6.1%
K 2.5%
LG
Lady Gaga
Vol $1.3K Spread
Agg 2.5%
↓ -6.5%
K 2.5%
OU
Outkast
Vol $1.2K Spread
Agg 2.5%
↓ -2.5%
K 2.5%
PM
Post Malone
Vol $1.6K Spread
Agg 2.5%
↓ -6.5%
K 2.5%
TM
Tate McRae
Vol $1.2K Spread
Agg 2.5%
↓ -0.5%
K 2.5%
OR
Olivia Rodrigo
Vol $669 Spread
Agg 2.1%
↓ -16.4%
P 2.1%
MTS
Megan Thee Stallion
Vol $1.2K Spread
Agg 2.0%
↓ -3.0%
K 2.0%
ME
Metallica
Vol $5.8K Spread
Agg 2.0%
↓ -4.5%
K 2.0%
BL
BLACKPINK
Vol $11.0K Spread
Agg 1.5%
↓ -2.0%
K 1.5%
BT
BTS
Vol $11.6K Spread
Agg 1.5%
↓ -10.5%
K 1.5%
CB
Cardi B
Vol $150 Spread
Agg 1.5%
↓ -2.5%
K 1.5%
CR
Chappell Roan
Vol $5 Spread
Agg 1.5%
↓ -4.0%
K 1.5%
CB
Chris Brown
Vol $1.4K Spread
Agg 1.5%
↓ -3.5%
K 1.5%
CA
Christina Aguilera
Vol $6 Spread
Agg 1.5%
↓ -2.5%
K 1.5%
CO
Coldplay
Vol $9 Spread
Agg 1.5%
↓ -2.5%
K 1.5%
CE
Cynthia Erivo
Vol $2.5K Spread
Agg 1.5%
↓ -1.5%
K 1.5%
EA
Eagles
Vol $2.5K Spread
Agg 1.5%
↓ -1.5%
K 1.5%
FF
Foo Fighters
Vol $2.7K Spread
Agg 1.5%
↓ -5.0%
K 1.5%
GD
Green Day
Vol $48 Spread
Agg 1.5%
↓ -2.0%
K 1.5%
GNR
Guns N' Roses
Vol $15 Spread
Agg 1.5%
↓ -2.5%
K 1.5%
IS
Ice Spice
Vol $2.5K Spread
Agg 1.5%
↓ -2.0%
K 1.5%
KG
Karol G
Vol $26 Spread
Agg 1.5%
↓ -4.0%
K 1.5%
KP
Katy Perry
Vol $1.2K Spread
Agg 1.5%
↓ -1.5%
K 1.5%
LB
Lil Baby
Vol $2.6K Spread
Agg 1.5%
↓ -2.0%
K 1.5%
LW
Lil Wayne
Vol $20 Spread
Agg 1.5%
↓ -2.5%
K 1.5%
LP
Linkin Park
Vol $1.2K Spread
Agg 1.5%
↓ -1.5%
K 1.5%
MC
Mariah Carey
Vol $2.5K Spread
Agg 1.5%
↓ -1.5%
K 1.5%
OA
Oasis
Vol $982 Spread
Agg 1.5%
↓ -3.0%
K 1.5%
PJ
Pearl Jam
Vol $2.5K Spread
Agg 1.5%
↓ -2.5%
K 1.5%
PI
Pink
Vol $2.5K Spread
Agg 1.5%
↓ -2.5%
K 1.5%
RI
Rihanna
Vol $6 Spread
Agg 1.5%
↓ -2.5%
K 1.5%
SR
Sexyy Red
Vol $984 Spread
Agg 1.5%
↓ -2.0%
K 1.5%
SZ
SZA
Vol $984 Spread
Agg 1.5%
↓ -1.5%
K 1.5%
TS
Taylor Swift
Vol $22.5K Spread 10.5%
Agg 1.5%
↓ -11.0%
P 12.0%
K 1.5%
TP
T-Pain
Vol $1.0K Spread
Agg 1.5%
↓ -3.5%
K 1.5%
TS
Travis Scott
Vol $2.6K Spread
Agg 1.5%
↓ -6.0%
K 1.5%
ES
Ed Sheeran
Vol $15.1K Spread
Agg 1.0%
↓ -3.0%
K 1.0%
AD
AC/DC
Vol $4.5K Spread
Agg 0.5%
↓ -2.5%
K 0.5%
EJ
Elton John
Vol $2.5K Spread
Agg 0.5%
↓ -4.0%
K 0.5%
Outcome Aggregated Spread Volume Kalshi Polymarket
JZ
JAY-Z
46.5%
↑ +41.5%
$22.6K
Kalshi 46.5%
45–48¢ Vol $22.6K
Polymarket
MC
Miley Cyrus
39.0%
↑ +19.5%
$16.4K
Kalshi 39.0%
38–40¢ Vol $16.4K
Polymarket
HS
Harry Styles
26.0%
↑ +18.5%
5.7%
$4.1K
Kalshi 26.0%
24–28¢ Vol $3.9K
Polymarket 20.3%
11.6–29¢ Vol $178
JB
Justin Bieber
17.5%
↑ +7.0%
40.0%
$9.7K
Kalshi 17.5%
17–18¢ Vol $9.7K
Polymarket 57.5%
40.1–74.8¢ Vol $89
MW
Morgan Wallen
4.5%
↓ -5.0%
$1.1K
Kalshi 4.5%
4–5¢ Vol $1.1K
Polymarket
BB
Backstreet Boys
4.0%
↓ -2.0%
$1.3K
Kalshi 4.0%
3–5¢ Vol $1.3K
Polymarket
SC
Sabrina Carpenter
4.0%
↓ -5.0%
$1.6K
Kalshi 4.0%
3–5¢ Vol $1.6K
Polymarket
TTC
Tyler, The Creator
3.5%
↓ -2.5%
$1.0K
Kalshi 3.5%
2–5¢ Vol $1.0K
Polymarket
AD
Adele
2.5%
↓ -3.0%
$4.7K
Kalshi 2.5%
2–3¢ Vol $4.7K
Polymarket
AG
Ariana Grande
2.5%
↓ -5.0%
$734
Kalshi 2.5%
2–3¢ Vol $734
Polymarket
BE
Billie Eilish
2.5%
↓ -3.0%
$4.1K
Kalshi 2.5%
2–3¢ Vol $4.1K
Polymarket
DC
Doja Cat
2.5%
↓ -2.0%
$1.1K
Kalshi 2.5%
2–3¢ Vol $1.1K
Polymarket
DR
Drake
2.5%
↓ -4.5%
4.7%
$1.7K
Kalshi 2.5%
2–3¢ Vol $1.6K
Polymarket 7.2%
7.2–7.3¢ Vol $69
DL
Dua Lipa
2.5%
↓ -5.0%
15.3%
$2.5K
Kalshi 2.5%
2–3¢ Vol $2.0K
Polymarket 17.8%
14.5–21.1¢ Vol $444
ID
Imagine Dragons
2.5%
↓ -2.5%
$187
Kalshi 2.5%
2–3¢ Vol $187
Polymarket
KWY
Kanye West / Ye
2.5%
↓ -2.5%
3.6%
$7.0K
Kalshi 2.5%
2–3¢ Vol $6.6K
Polymarket 6.1%
2.6–9.5¢ Vol $406
LG
Lady Gaga
2.5%
↓ -6.5%
$1.3K
Kalshi 2.5%
2–3¢ Vol $1.3K
Polymarket
OU
Outkast
2.5%
↓ -2.5%
$1.2K
Kalshi 2.5%
2–3¢ Vol $1.2K
Polymarket
PM
Post Malone
2.5%
↓ -6.5%
$1.6K
Kalshi 2.5%
2–3¢ Vol $1.6K
Polymarket
TM
Tate McRae
2.5%
↓ -0.5%
$1.2K
Kalshi 2.5%
2–3¢ Vol $1.2K
Polymarket
OR
Olivia Rodrigo
2.1%
↓ -16.4%
$669
Kalshi
Polymarket 2.1%
1.3–2.9¢ Vol $669
MTS
Megan Thee Stallion
2.0%
↓ -3.0%
$1.2K
Kalshi 2.0%
1–3¢ Vol $1.2K
Polymarket
ME
Metallica
2.0%
↓ -4.5%
$5.8K
Kalshi 2.0%
1–3¢ Vol $5.8K
Polymarket
BL
BLACKPINK
1.5%
↓ -2.0%
$11.0K
Kalshi 1.5%
1–2¢ Vol $11.0K
Polymarket
BT
BTS
1.5%
↓ -10.5%
$11.6K
Kalshi 1.5%
1–2¢ Vol $11.6K
Polymarket
CB
Cardi B
1.5%
↓ -2.5%
$150
Kalshi 1.5%
1–2¢ Vol $150
Polymarket
CR
Chappell Roan
1.5%
↓ -4.0%
$5
Kalshi 1.5%
1–2¢ Vol $5
Polymarket
CB
Chris Brown
1.5%
↓ -3.5%
$1.4K
Kalshi 1.5%
1–2¢ Vol $1.4K
Polymarket
CA
Christina Aguilera
1.5%
↓ -2.5%
$6
Kalshi 1.5%
1–2¢ Vol $6
Polymarket
CO
Coldplay
1.5%
↓ -2.5%
$9
Kalshi 1.5%
1–2¢ Vol $9
Polymarket
CE
Cynthia Erivo
1.5%
↓ -1.5%
$2.5K
Kalshi 1.5%
1–2¢ Vol $2.5K
Polymarket
EA
Eagles
1.5%
↓ -1.5%
$2.5K
Kalshi 1.5%
1–2¢ Vol $2.5K
Polymarket
FF
Foo Fighters
1.5%
↓ -5.0%
$2.7K
Kalshi 1.5%
1–2¢ Vol $2.7K
Polymarket
GD
Green Day
1.5%
↓ -2.0%
$48
Kalshi 1.5%
1–2¢ Vol $48
Polymarket
GNR
Guns N' Roses
1.5%
↓ -2.5%
$15
Kalshi 1.5%
1–2¢ Vol $15
Polymarket
IS
Ice Spice
1.5%
↓ -2.0%
$2.5K
Kalshi 1.5%
1–2¢ Vol $2.5K
Polymarket
KG
Karol G
1.5%
↓ -4.0%
$26
Kalshi 1.5%
1–2¢ Vol $26
Polymarket
KP
Katy Perry
1.5%
↓ -1.5%
$1.2K
Kalshi 1.5%
1–2¢ Vol $1.2K
Polymarket
LB
Lil Baby
1.5%
↓ -2.0%
$2.6K
Kalshi 1.5%
1–2¢ Vol $2.6K
Polymarket
LW
Lil Wayne
1.5%
↓ -2.5%
$20
Kalshi 1.5%
1–2¢ Vol $20
Polymarket
LP
Linkin Park
1.5%
↓ -1.5%
$1.2K
Kalshi 1.5%
1–2¢ Vol $1.2K
Polymarket
MC
Mariah Carey
1.5%
↓ -1.5%
$2.5K
Kalshi 1.5%
1–2¢ Vol $2.5K
Polymarket
OA
Oasis
1.5%
↓ -3.0%
$982
Kalshi 1.5%
1–2¢ Vol $982
Polymarket
PJ
Pearl Jam
1.5%
↓ -2.5%
$2.5K
Kalshi 1.5%
1–2¢ Vol $2.5K
Polymarket
PI
Pink
1.5%
↓ -2.5%
$2.5K
Kalshi 1.5%
1–2¢ Vol $2.5K
Polymarket
RI
Rihanna
1.5%
↓ -2.5%
$6
Kalshi 1.5%
1–2¢ Vol $6
Polymarket
SR
Sexyy Red
1.5%
↓ -2.0%
$984
Kalshi 1.5%
1–2¢ Vol $984
Polymarket
SZ
SZA
1.5%
↓ -1.5%
$984
Kalshi 1.5%
1–2¢ Vol $984
Polymarket
TS
Taylor Swift
1.5%
↓ -11.0%
10.5%
$22.5K
Kalshi 1.5%
1–2¢ Vol $22.4K
Polymarket 12.0%
4–20¢ Vol $65
TP
T-Pain
1.5%
↓ -3.5%
$1.0K
Kalshi 1.5%
1–2¢ Vol $1.0K
Polymarket
TS
Travis Scott
1.5%
↓ -6.0%
$2.6K
Kalshi 1.5%
1–2¢ Vol $2.6K
Polymarket
ES
Ed Sheeran
1.0%
↓ -3.0%
$15.1K
Kalshi 1.0%
0–2¢ Vol $15.1K
Polymarket
AD
AC/DC
0.5%
↓ -2.5%
$4.5K
Kalshi 0.5%
0–1¢ Vol $4.5K
Polymarket
EJ
Elton John
0.5%
↓ -4.0%
$2.5K
Kalshi 0.5%
0–1¢ Vol $2.5K
Polymarket

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Kalshi lists 48 performers in the 2027 headliner futures market

The 2027 field is more than double the size of Kalshi’s 2026 headliner market, which listed roughly 20 performers before Bad Bunny was selected. Eleven names carry over from last year’s board, including Taylor Swift, Post Malone, JAY-Z, Miley Cyrus, Billie Eilish, Drake, Sabrina Carpenter, Dua Lipa, Foo Fighters, Morgan Wallen, and Metallica. Lady Gaga, who joined Bad Bunny on stage tonight to perform “Die With a Smile,” is also listed on the 2027 market.

Two names that have never headlined a Super Bowl halftime show stand out from the rest of the field.

Taylor Swift, Spotify’s most-streamed artist of all time, appeared on Kalshi’s 2026 headliner board but was not among the top five. Her Eras Tour grossed $2.08 billion and sold 10.2 million tickets across 149 shows — the highest-grossing concert tour in history — and she is already listed among early 2027 sportsbook favorites.

Post Malone finished second on Kalshi’s 2026 headliner market at 25%, behind only JAY-Z, and enters the 2027 cycle with nine RIAA diamond-certified singles, including “Sunflower,” the first song to reach double-diamond status. His Big Ass Stadium Tour grossed $198 million and sold 1.37 million tickets in 2025, with a Part 2 scheduled for summer 2026.

Neither artist has ever performed at a Super Bowl halftime show.

Who will win the Super Bowl?Who will attend the Super Bowl?Who will win Super Bowl MVP?
Who will advertise at the Super Bowl?What will the announcers say?What color will the Gatorade shower be?

2026 Super Bowl halftime controversy

Bad Bunny headlined the halftime show in 2026. More than 128 million people tuned in to watch the Puerto Rican artist perform hits from his Grammy-winning album, DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS. That made it the fourth-most-watched halftime show of all time, behind only Kendrick Lamar (2025), Michael Jackson (1993), and Usher (2024).

The show featured a host of guest performers and celebrity appearances. Lady Gaga and Ricky Martin both performed alongside Bad Bunny, while the likes of Cardi B, Young Miko, Karol G, Dave Grutman, Pedro Pascal, Jessica Alba, and Ronald Acuña Jr appeared during the spectacle.

Traders bet more than $47.3 million on Kalshi’s market for “Who will perform at the Big Game?” A similar market at Polymarket had more than $10 million in volume.

Did Cardi B perform or not? Polymarket said yes, Kalshi said no

The market expected Cardi B to perform during the halftime show in 2026. Trading volumes reached $2.6 million across Kalshi and Polymarket on her performing. Anyone that bought “yes” contracts on Cardi B would have been delighted when she appeared on a starry front porch during Bad Bunny’s show.

However, her brief cameo ended up causing a great deal of controversy. Cardi B danced to the music, but it’s unclear whether she was singing along. This presented prediction sites with a major conundrum.

Polymarket’s contract was settled as “yes,” as the company decided that she had performed, but Kalshi took a different approach. The site couldn’t decide whether she performed or not, so it issued partial payouts to all traders. Contracts were settled at the last price before trading was paused: $0.74 for “no” holders and $0.26 for “yes” holders.

Kalshi ultimately returned all the money to traders. The company cited the “ambiguity” over whether her attendance constituted a “qualifying performance.” Spokeswoman Elisabeth Diana said: “Under the full rules, singing and dancing counted as a performance, but just dancing in the background did not. In the as-broadcast performance, Cardi B was dancing and mouthing words to the song, but it was unclear if she was ‘singing.’”

The decision proved contentious. A Kalshi user filed a complaint with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), which regulates prediction markets. Polymarket’s decision to resolve the contract as “yes” was also disputed, as traders that opted for “no” argued that she didn’t perform. The appeal process is currently ongoing.

Kalshi and Polymarket resolution criteria

Before trading any halftime market, read how it resolves. Both Kalshi and Polymarket operate similarly, but resolution is settled differently.

Contracts trade between $0.01 and $1.00, and the price equals implied probability. A contract at $0.45 implies a 45% chance of that artist performing or making an appearance.

You buy Yes if you think Cardi B will perform, and No if you don’t she will sing. Winning contracts pay $1.00 per contract, and you can sell before settlement if the market moves your way.

Markets close before the performance starts and settle based on what actually happens.

Kalshi’s first song market is specific: a song counts as performed if it’s “at least reasonably begun.” Medleys count each song in order of appearance. Interludes, instrumentals, and sound checks don’t qualify. The market is mutually exclusive, so only one song can win.

Polymarket’s performer markets resolve based on media confirmation. Sources include Billboard, Variety, The Hollywood Reporter, official broadcaster coverage, and the performers’ own social media accounts. If an artist appears but no credible source confirms it, the market may not resolve as expected.

Both platforms use footage from the halftime show as the primary resolution source, supplemented by credible reporting. If the event is cancelled or delayed past a specified date, markets resolve to No.

These details matter. A brief instrumental intro before the first song won’t count on Kalshi, and a surprise performer who doesn’t get media coverage might not trigger a Yes on Polymarket.