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2027 Super Bowl Halftime: Who Will Headline?
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Headliner market
Lowest ask across 2+ fresh venues marked BEST2027 Super Bowl Halftime: Who Will Headline?
Kalshi and Polymarket currently offer "Who will headline the Super Bowl?" contracts for the 2027 show, with JAY-Z leading the board at 46.5% probability of being named and Miley Cyrus, Harry Styles, and Justin Bieber sitting as the next most likely contenders. Total volume on the market sits at $191.0K. Our Super Bowl headliner tracker aggregates cross-platform odds for 2027 Super Bowl. Current probability synthesis from Kalshi and Polymarket. Stats and data updated every 30 minutes.
Predict who you think will headline the Super Bowl at the top prediction markets
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Probability Over Time
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Current probabilities across platforms with liquidity indicators
JZ
JAY-Z
Vol $22.6K
Spread —
Agg
46.5%
↑ +41.5%
K
46.5%
MC
Miley Cyrus
Vol $16.4K
Spread —
Agg
39.0%
↑ +19.5%
K
39.0%
HS
Harry Styles
Vol $4.1K
Spread 5.7%
Agg
26.0%
↑ +18.5%
K
26.0%
P
20.3%
JB
Justin Bieber
Vol $9.7K
Spread 40.0%
Agg
17.5%
↑ +7.0%
P
57.5%
K
17.5%
MW
Morgan Wallen
Vol $1.1K
Spread —
Agg
4.5%
↓ -5.0%
K
4.5%
BB
Backstreet Boys
Vol $1.3K
Spread —
Agg
4.0%
↓ -2.0%
K
4.0%
SC
Sabrina Carpenter
Vol $1.6K
Spread —
Agg
4.0%
↓ -5.0%
K
4.0%
TTC
Tyler, The Creator
Vol $1.0K
Spread —
Agg
3.5%
↓ -2.5%
K
3.5%
AD
Adele
Vol $4.7K
Spread —
Agg
2.5%
↓ -3.0%
K
2.5%
AG
Ariana Grande
Vol $734
Spread —
Agg
2.5%
↓ -5.0%
K
2.5%
BE
Billie Eilish
Vol $4.1K
Spread —
Agg
2.5%
↓ -3.0%
K
2.5%
DC
Doja Cat
Vol $1.1K
Spread —
Agg
2.5%
↓ -2.0%
K
2.5%
DR
Drake
Vol $1.7K
Spread 4.7%
Agg
2.5%
↓ -4.5%
P
7.2%
K
2.5%
DL
Dua Lipa
Vol $2.5K
Spread 15.3%
Agg
2.5%
↓ -5.0%
P
17.8%
K
2.5%
ID
Imagine Dragons
Vol $187
Spread —
Agg
2.5%
↓ -2.5%
K
2.5%
KWY
Kanye West / Ye
Vol $7.0K
Spread 3.6%
Agg
2.5%
↓ -2.5%
P
6.1%
K
2.5%
LG
Lady Gaga
Vol $1.3K
Spread —
Agg
2.5%
↓ -6.5%
K
2.5%
OU
Outkast
Vol $1.2K
Spread —
Agg
2.5%
↓ -2.5%
K
2.5%
PM
Post Malone
Vol $1.6K
Spread —
Agg
2.5%
↓ -6.5%
K
2.5%
TM
Tate McRae
Vol $1.2K
Spread —
Agg
2.5%
↓ -0.5%
K
2.5%
OR
Olivia Rodrigo
Vol $669
Spread —
Agg
2.1%
↓ -16.4%
P
2.1%
MTS
Megan Thee Stallion
Vol $1.2K
Spread —
Agg
2.0%
↓ -3.0%
K
2.0%
ME
Metallica
Vol $5.8K
Spread —
Agg
2.0%
↓ -4.5%
K
2.0%
BL
BLACKPINK
Vol $11.0K
Spread —
Agg
1.5%
↓ -2.0%
K
1.5%
BT
BTS
Vol $11.6K
Spread —
Agg
1.5%
↓ -10.5%
K
1.5%
CB
Cardi B
Vol $150
Spread —
Agg
1.5%
↓ -2.5%
K
1.5%
CR
Chappell Roan
Vol $5
Spread —
Agg
1.5%
↓ -4.0%
K
1.5%
CB
Chris Brown
Vol $1.4K
Spread —
Agg
1.5%
↓ -3.5%
K
1.5%
CA
Christina Aguilera
Vol $6
Spread —
Agg
1.5%
↓ -2.5%
K
1.5%
CO
Coldplay
Vol $9
Spread —
Agg
1.5%
↓ -2.5%
K
1.5%
CE
Cynthia Erivo
Vol $2.5K
Spread —
Agg
1.5%
↓ -1.5%
K
1.5%
EA
Eagles
Vol $2.5K
Spread —
Agg
1.5%
↓ -1.5%
K
1.5%
FF
Foo Fighters
Vol $2.7K
Spread —
Agg
1.5%
↓ -5.0%
K
1.5%
GD
Green Day
Vol $48
Spread —
Agg
1.5%
↓ -2.0%
K
1.5%
GNR
Guns N' Roses
Vol $15
Spread —
Agg
1.5%
↓ -2.5%
K
1.5%
IS
Ice Spice
Vol $2.5K
Spread —
Agg
1.5%
↓ -2.0%
K
1.5%
KG
Karol G
Vol $26
Spread —
Agg
1.5%
↓ -4.0%
K
1.5%
KP
Katy Perry
Vol $1.2K
Spread —
Agg
1.5%
↓ -1.5%
K
1.5%
LB
Lil Baby
Vol $2.6K
Spread —
Agg
1.5%
↓ -2.0%
K
1.5%
LW
Lil Wayne
Vol $20
Spread —
Agg
1.5%
↓ -2.5%
K
1.5%
LP
Linkin Park
Vol $1.2K
Spread —
Agg
1.5%
↓ -1.5%
K
1.5%
MC
Mariah Carey
Vol $2.5K
Spread —
Agg
1.5%
↓ -1.5%
K
1.5%
OA
Oasis
Vol $982
Spread —
Agg
1.5%
↓ -3.0%
K
1.5%
PJ
Pearl Jam
Vol $2.5K
Spread —
Agg
1.5%
↓ -2.5%
K
1.5%
PI
Pink
Vol $2.5K
Spread —
Agg
1.5%
↓ -2.5%
K
1.5%
RI
Rihanna
Vol $6
Spread —
Agg
1.5%
↓ -2.5%
K
1.5%
SR
Sexyy Red
Vol $984
Spread —
Agg
1.5%
↓ -2.0%
K
1.5%
SZ
SZA
Vol $984
Spread —
Agg
1.5%
↓ -1.5%
K
1.5%
TS
Taylor Swift
Vol $22.5K
Spread 10.5%
Agg
1.5%
↓ -11.0%
P
12.0%
K
1.5%
TP
T-Pain
Vol $1.0K
Spread —
Agg
1.5%
↓ -3.5%
K
1.5%
TS
Travis Scott
Vol $2.6K
Spread —
Agg
1.5%
↓ -6.0%
K
1.5%
ES
Ed Sheeran
Vol $15.1K
Spread —
Agg
1.0%
↓ -3.0%
K
1.0%
AD
AC/DC
Vol $4.5K
Spread —
Agg
0.5%
↓ -2.5%
K
0.5%
EJ
Elton John
Vol $2.5K
Spread —
Agg
0.5%
↓ -4.0%
K
0.5%
| Outcome | Aggregated | Spread | Volume | Kalshi | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
JZ
JAY-Z
|
46.5%
↑ +41.5%
|
—
|
$22.6K
|
Kalshi
46.5%
|
Polymarket
—
|
|
MC
Miley Cyrus
|
39.0%
↑ +19.5%
|
—
|
$16.4K
|
Kalshi
39.0%
|
Polymarket
—
|
|
HS
Harry Styles
|
26.0%
↑ +18.5%
|
5.7%
|
$4.1K
|
Kalshi
26.0%
|
Polymarket
20.3%
|
|
JB
Justin Bieber
|
17.5%
↑ +7.0%
|
40.0%
|
$9.7K
|
Kalshi
17.5%
|
Polymarket
57.5%
|
|
MW
Morgan Wallen
|
4.5%
↓ -5.0%
|
—
|
$1.1K
|
Kalshi
4.5%
|
Polymarket
—
|
|
BB
Backstreet Boys
|
4.0%
↓ -2.0%
|
—
|
$1.3K
|
Kalshi
4.0%
|
Polymarket
—
|
|
SC
Sabrina Carpenter
|
4.0%
↓ -5.0%
|
—
|
$1.6K
|
Kalshi
4.0%
|
Polymarket
—
|
|
TTC
Tyler, The Creator
|
3.5%
↓ -2.5%
|
—
|
$1.0K
|
Kalshi
3.5%
|
Polymarket
—
|
|
AD
Adele
|
2.5%
↓ -3.0%
|
—
|
$4.7K
|
Kalshi
2.5%
|
Polymarket
—
|
|
AG
Ariana Grande
|
2.5%
↓ -5.0%
|
—
|
$734
|
Kalshi
2.5%
|
Polymarket
—
|
|
BE
Billie Eilish
|
2.5%
↓ -3.0%
|
—
|
$4.1K
|
Kalshi
2.5%
|
Polymarket
—
|
|
DC
Doja Cat
|
2.5%
↓ -2.0%
|
—
|
$1.1K
|
Kalshi
2.5%
|
Polymarket
—
|
|
DR
Drake
|
2.5%
↓ -4.5%
|
4.7%
|
$1.7K
|
Kalshi
2.5%
|
Polymarket
7.2%
|
|
DL
Dua Lipa
|
2.5%
↓ -5.0%
|
15.3%
|
$2.5K
|
Kalshi
2.5%
|
Polymarket
17.8%
|
|
ID
Imagine Dragons
|
2.5%
↓ -2.5%
|
—
|
$187
|
Kalshi
2.5%
|
Polymarket
—
|
|
KWY
Kanye West / Ye
|
2.5%
↓ -2.5%
|
3.6%
|
$7.0K
|
Kalshi
2.5%
|
Polymarket
6.1%
|
|
LG
Lady Gaga
|
2.5%
↓ -6.5%
|
—
|
$1.3K
|
Kalshi
2.5%
|
Polymarket
—
|
|
OU
Outkast
|
2.5%
↓ -2.5%
|
—
|
$1.2K
|
Kalshi
2.5%
|
Polymarket
—
|
|
PM
Post Malone
|
2.5%
↓ -6.5%
|
—
|
$1.6K
|
Kalshi
2.5%
|
Polymarket
—
|
|
TM
Tate McRae
|
2.5%
↓ -0.5%
|
—
|
$1.2K
|
Kalshi
2.5%
|
Polymarket
—
|
|
OR
Olivia Rodrigo
|
2.1%
↓ -16.4%
|
—
|
$669
|
Kalshi
—
|
Polymarket
2.1%
|
|
MTS
Megan Thee Stallion
|
2.0%
↓ -3.0%
|
—
|
$1.2K
|
Kalshi
2.0%
|
Polymarket
—
|
|
ME
Metallica
|
2.0%
↓ -4.5%
|
—
|
$5.8K
|
Kalshi
2.0%
|
Polymarket
—
|
|
BL
BLACKPINK
|
1.5%
↓ -2.0%
|
—
|
$11.0K
|
Kalshi
1.5%
|
Polymarket
—
|
|
BT
BTS
|
1.5%
↓ -10.5%
|
—
|
$11.6K
|
Kalshi
1.5%
|
Polymarket
—
|
|
CB
Cardi B
|
1.5%
↓ -2.5%
|
—
|
$150
|
Kalshi
1.5%
|
Polymarket
—
|
|
CR
Chappell Roan
|
1.5%
↓ -4.0%
|
—
|
$5
|
Kalshi
1.5%
|
Polymarket
—
|
|
CB
Chris Brown
|
1.5%
↓ -3.5%
|
—
|
$1.4K
|
Kalshi
1.5%
|
Polymarket
—
|
|
CA
Christina Aguilera
|
1.5%
↓ -2.5%
|
—
|
$6
|
Kalshi
1.5%
|
Polymarket
—
|
|
CO
Coldplay
|
1.5%
↓ -2.5%
|
—
|
$9
|
Kalshi
1.5%
|
Polymarket
—
|
|
CE
Cynthia Erivo
|
1.5%
↓ -1.5%
|
—
|
$2.5K
|
Kalshi
1.5%
|
Polymarket
—
|
|
EA
Eagles
|
1.5%
↓ -1.5%
|
—
|
$2.5K
|
Kalshi
1.5%
|
Polymarket
—
|
|
FF
Foo Fighters
|
1.5%
↓ -5.0%
|
—
|
$2.7K
|
Kalshi
1.5%
|
Polymarket
—
|
|
GD
Green Day
|
1.5%
↓ -2.0%
|
—
|
$48
|
Kalshi
1.5%
|
Polymarket
—
|
|
GNR
Guns N' Roses
|
1.5%
↓ -2.5%
|
—
|
$15
|
Kalshi
1.5%
|
Polymarket
—
|
|
IS
Ice Spice
|
1.5%
↓ -2.0%
|
—
|
$2.5K
|
Kalshi
1.5%
|
Polymarket
—
|
|
KG
Karol G
|
1.5%
↓ -4.0%
|
—
|
$26
|
Kalshi
1.5%
|
Polymarket
—
|
|
KP
Katy Perry
|
1.5%
↓ -1.5%
|
—
|
$1.2K
|
Kalshi
1.5%
|
Polymarket
—
|
|
LB
Lil Baby
|
1.5%
↓ -2.0%
|
—
|
$2.6K
|
Kalshi
1.5%
|
Polymarket
—
|
|
LW
Lil Wayne
|
1.5%
↓ -2.5%
|
—
|
$20
|
Kalshi
1.5%
|
Polymarket
—
|
|
LP
Linkin Park
|
1.5%
↓ -1.5%
|
—
|
$1.2K
|
Kalshi
1.5%
|
Polymarket
—
|
|
MC
Mariah Carey
|
1.5%
↓ -1.5%
|
—
|
$2.5K
|
Kalshi
1.5%
|
Polymarket
—
|
|
OA
Oasis
|
1.5%
↓ -3.0%
|
—
|
$982
|
Kalshi
1.5%
|
Polymarket
—
|
|
PJ
Pearl Jam
|
1.5%
↓ -2.5%
|
—
|
$2.5K
|
Kalshi
1.5%
|
Polymarket
—
|
|
PI
Pink
|
1.5%
↓ -2.5%
|
—
|
$2.5K
|
Kalshi
1.5%
|
Polymarket
—
|
|
RI
Rihanna
|
1.5%
↓ -2.5%
|
—
|
$6
|
Kalshi
1.5%
|
Polymarket
—
|
|
SR
Sexyy Red
|
1.5%
↓ -2.0%
|
—
|
$984
|
Kalshi
1.5%
|
Polymarket
—
|
|
SZ
SZA
|
1.5%
↓ -1.5%
|
—
|
$984
|
Kalshi
1.5%
|
Polymarket
—
|
|
TS
Taylor Swift
|
1.5%
↓ -11.0%
|
10.5%
|
$22.5K
|
Kalshi
1.5%
|
Polymarket
12.0%
|
|
TP
T-Pain
|
1.5%
↓ -3.5%
|
—
|
$1.0K
|
Kalshi
1.5%
|
Polymarket
—
|
|
TS
Travis Scott
|
1.5%
↓ -6.0%
|
—
|
$2.6K
|
Kalshi
1.5%
|
Polymarket
—
|
|
ES
Ed Sheeran
|
1.0%
↓ -3.0%
|
—
|
$15.1K
|
Kalshi
1.0%
|
Polymarket
—
|
|
AD
AC/DC
|
0.5%
↓ -2.5%
|
—
|
$4.5K
|
Kalshi
0.5%
|
Polymarket
—
|
|
EJ
Elton John
|
0.5%
↓ -4.0%
|
—
|
$2.5K
|
Kalshi
0.5%
|
Polymarket
—
|
Compare the best prediction market bonuses
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Trade $10, Get $25
T&C’s apply.
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Risk Disclaimer
Kalshi lists 48 performers in the 2027 headliner futures market
The 2027 field is more than double the size of Kalshi’s 2026 headliner market, which listed roughly 20 performers before Bad Bunny was selected. Eleven names carry over from last year’s board, including Taylor Swift, Post Malone, JAY-Z, Miley Cyrus, Billie Eilish, Drake, Sabrina Carpenter, Dua Lipa, Foo Fighters, Morgan Wallen, and Metallica. Lady Gaga, who joined Bad Bunny on stage tonight to perform “Die With a Smile,” is also listed on the 2027 market.
Two names that have never headlined a Super Bowl halftime show stand out from the rest of the field.
Taylor Swift, Spotify’s most-streamed artist of all time, appeared on Kalshi’s 2026 headliner board but was not among the top five. Her Eras Tour grossed $2.08 billion and sold 10.2 million tickets across 149 shows — the highest-grossing concert tour in history — and she is already listed among early 2027 sportsbook favorites.
Post Malone finished second on Kalshi’s 2026 headliner market at 25%, behind only JAY-Z, and enters the 2027 cycle with nine RIAA diamond-certified singles, including “Sunflower,” the first song to reach double-diamond status. His Big Ass Stadium Tour grossed $198 million and sold 1.37 million tickets in 2025, with a Part 2 scheduled for summer 2026.
Neither artist has ever performed at a Super Bowl halftime show.
| Who will win the Super Bowl? | Who will attend the Super Bowl? | Who will win Super Bowl MVP? |
| Who will advertise at the Super Bowl? | What will the announcers say? | What color will the Gatorade shower be? |
2026 Super Bowl halftime controversy
Bad Bunny headlined the halftime show in 2026. More than 128 million people tuned in to watch the Puerto Rican artist perform hits from his Grammy-winning album, DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS. That made it the fourth-most-watched halftime show of all time, behind only Kendrick Lamar (2025), Michael Jackson (1993), and Usher (2024).
The show featured a host of guest performers and celebrity appearances. Lady Gaga and Ricky Martin both performed alongside Bad Bunny, while the likes of Cardi B, Young Miko, Karol G, Dave Grutman, Pedro Pascal, Jessica Alba, and Ronald Acuña Jr appeared during the spectacle.
Traders bet more than $47.3 million on Kalshi’s market for “Who will perform at the Big Game?” A similar market at Polymarket had more than $10 million in volume.
Did Cardi B perform or not? Polymarket said yes, Kalshi said no
The market expected Cardi B to perform during the halftime show in 2026. Trading volumes reached $2.6 million across Kalshi and Polymarket on her performing. Anyone that bought “yes” contracts on Cardi B would have been delighted when she appeared on a starry front porch during Bad Bunny’s show.
However, her brief cameo ended up causing a great deal of controversy. Cardi B danced to the music, but it’s unclear whether she was singing along. This presented prediction sites with a major conundrum.
Polymarket’s contract was settled as “yes,” as the company decided that she had performed, but Kalshi took a different approach. The site couldn’t decide whether she performed or not, so it issued partial payouts to all traders. Contracts were settled at the last price before trading was paused: $0.74 for “no” holders and $0.26 for “yes” holders.
Kalshi ultimately returned all the money to traders. The company cited the “ambiguity” over whether her attendance constituted a “qualifying performance.” Spokeswoman Elisabeth Diana said: “Under the full rules, singing and dancing counted as a performance, but just dancing in the background did not. In the as-broadcast performance, Cardi B was dancing and mouthing words to the song, but it was unclear if she was ‘singing.’”
The decision proved contentious. A Kalshi user filed a complaint with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), which regulates prediction markets. Polymarket’s decision to resolve the contract as “yes” was also disputed, as traders that opted for “no” argued that she didn’t perform. The appeal process is currently ongoing.
Kalshi and Polymarket resolution criteria
Before trading any halftime market, read how it resolves. Both Kalshi and Polymarket operate similarly, but resolution is settled differently.
Contracts trade between $0.01 and $1.00, and the price equals implied probability. A contract at $0.45 implies a 45% chance of that artist performing or making an appearance.
You buy Yes if you think Cardi B will perform, and No if you don’t she will sing. Winning contracts pay $1.00 per contract, and you can sell before settlement if the market moves your way.
Markets close before the performance starts and settle based on what actually happens.
Kalshi’s first song market is specific: a song counts as performed if it’s “at least reasonably begun.” Medleys count each song in order of appearance. Interludes, instrumentals, and sound checks don’t qualify. The market is mutually exclusive, so only one song can win.
Polymarket’s performer markets resolve based on media confirmation. Sources include Billboard, Variety, The Hollywood Reporter, official broadcaster coverage, and the performers’ own social media accounts. If an artist appears but no credible source confirms it, the market may not resolve as expected.
Both platforms use footage from the halftime show as the primary resolution source, supplemented by credible reporting. If the event is cancelled or delayed past a specified date, markets resolve to No.
These details matter. A brief instrumental intro before the first song won’t count on Kalshi, and a surprise performer who doesn’t get media coverage might not trigger a Yes on Polymarket.
