2027 Oscars Odds: Best Picture, Actor, Actress &amp; Director

NTM

Narnia: The Magician's Nephew

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 4.0%

↓ -25.5%

K 4.0%

Vol $0 0–8¢

Parallel Tales

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 3.5%

↓ -28.5%

K 3.5%

Kalshi 3.5%

Vol $0 2–5¢

Outcome	Aggregated	Spread	Volume	Kalshi
TO The Odyssey	79.5% ↓ -7.5%	—	$81	Kalshi 79.5% 78–81¢ Vol $81
PHM Project Hail Mary	78.0% ↑ +8.5%	—	$1	Kalshi 78.0% 76–80¢ Vol $1
DPT Dune: Part Three	76.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 76.0% 72–80¢ Vol $0
WHN Wild Horse Nine	70.5% ↑ +7.5%	—	$10	Kalshi 70.5% 67–74¢ Vol $10
DI Digger	69.0% ↑ +6.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 69.0% 66–72¢ Vol $0
FJ Fjord	68.0% ↑ +32.0%	—	$13	Kalshi 68.0% 66–70¢ Vol $13
TSR The Social Reckoning	44.0% ↑ +3.0%	—	$5	Kalshi 44.0% 41–47¢ Vol $5
TAO The Adventures of Cliff Booth	38.0% ↓ -4.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 38.0% 36–40¢ Vol $0
BH Being Heumann	32.5% ↑ +7.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 32.5% 30–35¢ Vol $0
DD Disclosure Day	31.5% ↓ -10.0%	—	$367	Kalshi 31.5% 31–32¢ Vol $367
1F 1949 / Fatherland	29.5% ↓ -10.5%	—	$98	Kalshi 29.5% 27–32¢ Vol $98
JOS Jack of Spades	29.0% ↑ +11.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 29.0% 26–32¢ Vol $0
CTH Cry to Heaven	28.0% ↓ -1.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 28.0% 25–31¢ Vol $0
BE Behemoth	27.0% ↑ +0.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 27.0% 24–30¢ Vol $0
AOA All of a Sudden	26.0% — +0.0%	—	$29	Kalshi 26.0% 23–29¢ Vol $29
JO Josephine	26.0% ↓ -7.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 26.0% 23–29¢ Vol $0
SAS Sense and Sensibility	25.0% ↑ +0.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 25.0% 22–28¢ Vol $0
SR Saturn Return	18.5% ↑ +0.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 18.5% 15–22¢ Vol $0
WE Werwulf	14.5% ↓ -10.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 14.5% 12–17¢ Vol $0
TDO The Death of Robin Hood	12.5% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 12.5% 9–16¢ Vol $0
TES The Entertainment System Is Down	11.5% ↓ -1.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 11.5% 8–15¢ Vol $0
AR Artificial	10.5% ↓ -6.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 10.5% 7–14¢ Vol $0
MI Michael	10.0% ↓ -2.5%	—	$9	Kalshi 10.0% 6–14¢ Vol $9
IN Ink	9.5% ↑ +2.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 9.5% 6–13¢ Vol $0
ILB I Love Boosters	7.0% ↓ -13.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 7.0% 6–8¢ Vol $0
TD The Drama	6.0% ↑ +1.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 6.0% 2–10¢ Vol $0
AD Avengers: Doomsday	5.5% ↑ +1.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 5.5% 2–9¢ Vol $0
NTM Narnia: The Magician's Nephew	4.0% ↓ -25.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 4.0% 0–8¢ Vol $0
PT Parallel Tales	3.5% ↓ -28.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 3.5% 2–5¢ Vol $0

Predictions for 2027 Best Picture Award

Current probabilities across platforms with liquidity indicators

Sort:

The Odyssey

Vol $375 Spread —

Agg 30.0%

↑ +0.5%

K 30.0%

Kalshi 30.0%

Vol $375 29–31¢

DPT

Dune: Part Three

Vol $242 Spread —

Agg 15.5%

↑ +7.0%

K 15.5%

Kalshi 15.5%

Vol $242 15–16¢

Digger

Vol $16 Spread —

Agg 11.5%

↑ +4.0%

K 11.5%

Kalshi 11.5%

Vol $16 11–12¢

WHN

Wild Horse Nine

Vol $232 Spread —

Agg 7.5%

↓ -0.5%

K 7.5%

Kalshi 7.5%

Vol $232 7–8¢

PHM

Project Hail Mary

Vol $81 Spread —

Agg 6.5%

↓ -1.5%

K 6.5%

Kalshi 6.5%

Vol $81 6–7¢

TSR

The Social Reckoning

Vol $112 Spread —

Agg 3.0%

↓ -5.0%

K 3.0%

Kalshi 3.0%

Vol $112 2–4¢

Disclosure Day

Vol $207 Spread —

Agg 2.5%

↓ -1.0%

K 2.5%

Vol $207 2–3¢

Fjord

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 2.5%

↑ +0.5%

K 2.5%

Vol $0 2–3¢

TAO

The Adventures of Cliff Booth

Vol $95 Spread —

Agg 2.5%

↑ +1.0%

K 2.5%

Vol $95 2–3¢

Behemoth

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 2.0%

↑ +1.0%

K 2.0%

Kalshi 2.0%

Vol $0 1–3¢

CTH

Cry to Heaven

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 1.0%

↑ +0.5%

K 1.0%

Kalshi 1.0%

Vol $0 0–2¢

1949 / Fatherland

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

↓ -3.0%

K 0.5%

AOA

All of a Sudden

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

↓ -1.0%

K 0.5%

Artificial

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

↓ -1.0%

K 0.5%

Avengers: Doomsday

Vol $1 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

— +0.0%

K 0.5%

Vol $1 0–1¢

ILB

I Love Boosters

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

— +0.0%

K 0.5%

Ink

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

— +0.0%

K 0.5%

Josephine

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

— +0.0%

K 0.5%

Michael

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

— +0.0%

K 0.5%

NTM

Narnia: The Magician's Nephew

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

↓ -1.0%

K 0.5%

SAS

Sense and Sensibility

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

— +0.0%

K 0.5%

TDO

The Death of Robin Hood

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

— +0.0%

K 0.5%

The Drama

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

— +0.0%

K 0.5%

TES

The Entertainment System Is Down

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

↓ -0.5%

K 0.5%

Tie

Vol $6 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

— +0.0%

K 0.5%

Vol $6 0–1¢

Werwulf

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

— +0.0%

K 0.5%

Outcome	Aggregated	Spread	Volume	Kalshi
TO The Odyssey	30.0% ↑ +0.5%	—	$375	Kalshi 30.0% 29–31¢ Vol $375
DPT Dune: Part Three	15.5% ↑ +7.0%	—	$242	Kalshi 15.5% 15–16¢ Vol $242
DI Digger	11.5% ↑ +4.0%	—	$16	Kalshi 11.5% 11–12¢ Vol $16
WHN Wild Horse Nine	7.5% ↓ -0.5%	—	$232	Kalshi 7.5% 7–8¢ Vol $232
PHM Project Hail Mary	6.5% ↓ -1.5%	—	$81	Kalshi 6.5% 6–7¢ Vol $81
TSR The Social Reckoning	3.0% ↓ -5.0%	—	$112	Kalshi 3.0% 2–4¢ Vol $112
DD Disclosure Day	2.5% ↓ -1.0%	—	$207	Kalshi 2.5% 2–3¢ Vol $207
FJ Fjord	2.5% ↑ +0.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 2.5% 2–3¢ Vol $0
TAO The Adventures of Cliff Booth	2.5% ↑ +1.0%	—	$95	Kalshi 2.5% 2–3¢ Vol $95
BE Behemoth	2.0% ↑ +1.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 2.0% 1–3¢ Vol $0
CTH Cry to Heaven	1.0% ↑ +0.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 1.0% 0–2¢ Vol $0
1F 1949 / Fatherland	0.5% ↓ -3.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
AOA All of a Sudden	0.5% ↓ -1.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
AR Artificial	0.5% ↓ -1.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
AD Avengers: Doomsday	0.5% — +0.0%	—	$1	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $1
ILB I Love Boosters	0.5% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
IN Ink	0.5% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
JO Josephine	0.5% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
MI Michael	0.5% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
NTM Narnia: The Magician's Nephew	0.5% ↓ -1.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
SAS Sense and Sensibility	0.5% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
TDO The Death of Robin Hood	0.5% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
TD The Drama	0.5% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
TES The Entertainment System Is Down	0.5% ↓ -0.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
TI Tie	0.5% — +0.0%	—	$6	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $6
WE Werwulf	0.5% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0

Predictions on 2027 Oscar for Best Actor

Current probabilities across platforms with liquidity indicators

Sort:

Tom Cruise

Vol $177 Spread —

Agg 28.5%

↑ +4.0%

K 28.5%

Kalshi 28.5%

Vol $177 25–32¢

John Malkovich

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 20.5%

↓ -3.5%

K 20.5%

Kalshi 20.5%

Vol $0 17–24¢

Adam Driver

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 6.5%

↑ +3.5%

K 6.5%

Kalshi 6.5%

Vol $0 6–7¢

Brad Pitt

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 4.0%

— +0.0%

K 4.0%

Vol $0 2–6¢

JOC

Josh O'Connor

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 4.0%

↓ -1.0%

K 4.0%

Vol $0 2–6¢

Sebastian Stan

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 4.0%

↓ -0.5%

K 4.0%

Vol $0 1–7¢

Keanu Reeves

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 3.0%

— +0.0%

K 3.0%

Kalshi 3.0%

Vol $0 1–5¢

Andrew Scott

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 2.5%

↓ -0.5%

K 2.5%

Vol $0 1–4¢

Channing Tatum

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 2.5%

↓ -0.5%

K 2.5%

Vol $0 1–4¢

Charles Melton

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 2.5%

↓ -0.5%

K 2.5%

Vol $0 1–4¢

Tie

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 1.5%

— +0.0%

K 1.5%

Kalshi 1.5%

Vol $0 1–2¢

Outcome	Aggregated	Spread	Volume	Kalshi
TC Tom Cruise	28.5% ↑ +4.0%	—	$177	Kalshi 28.5% 25–32¢ Vol $177
JM John Malkovich	20.5% ↓ -3.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 20.5% 17–24¢ Vol $0
AD Adam Driver	6.5% ↑ +3.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 6.5% 6–7¢ Vol $0
BP Brad Pitt	4.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 4.0% 2–6¢ Vol $0
JOC Josh O'Connor	4.0% ↓ -1.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 4.0% 2–6¢ Vol $0
SS Sebastian Stan	4.0% ↓ -0.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 4.0% 1–7¢ Vol $0
KR Keanu Reeves	3.0% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 3.0% 1–5¢ Vol $0
AS Andrew Scott	2.5% ↓ -0.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 2.5% 1–4¢ Vol $0
CT Channing Tatum	2.5% ↓ -0.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 2.5% 1–4¢ Vol $0
CM Charles Melton	2.5% ↓ -0.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 2.5% 1–4¢ Vol $0
TI Tie	1.5% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 1.5% 1–2¢ Vol $0

2027 Best Director odds and predictions

Current probabilities across platforms with liquidity indicators

Sort:

Christopher Nolan

Vol $114 Spread —

Agg 31.0%

↓ -2.0%

K 31.0%

Kalshi 31.0%

Vol $114 28–34¢

Martin McDonagh

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 12.5%

↓ -6.0%

K 12.5%

Kalshi 12.5%

Vol $0 10–15¢

David Fincher

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 7.5%

↓ -1.5%

K 7.5%

Kalshi 7.5%

Vol $0 7–8¢

PLC

Phil Lord & Christopher Miller

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 7.5%

↑ +3.5%

K 7.5%

Kalshi 7.5%

Vol $0 7–8¢

Steven Spielberg

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 6.5%

↓ -0.5%

K 6.5%

Kalshi 6.5%

Vol $0 6–7¢

Andrew Haigh

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 5.0%

↓ -2.0%

K 5.0%

Kalshi 5.0%

Vol $0 3–7¢

Danny Boyle

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 2.5%

↓ -4.5%

K 2.5%

Vol $0 0–5¢

Joel Coen

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 2.0%

↓ -5.0%

K 2.0%

Kalshi 2.0%

Vol $0 0–4¢

NHJ

Na Hong-jin

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 2.0%

↓ -5.0%

K 2.0%

Kalshi 2.0%

Vol $0 0–4¢

Tie

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

↓ -1.5%

K 0.5%

Outcome	Aggregated	Spread	Volume	Kalshi
CN Christopher Nolan	31.0% ↓ -2.0%	—	$114	Kalshi 31.0% 28–34¢ Vol $114
MM Martin McDonagh	12.5% ↓ -6.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 12.5% 10–15¢ Vol $0
DF David Fincher	7.5% ↓ -1.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 7.5% 7–8¢ Vol $0
PLC Phil Lord & Christopher Miller	7.5% ↑ +3.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 7.5% 7–8¢ Vol $0
SS Steven Spielberg	6.5% ↓ -0.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 6.5% 6–7¢ Vol $0
AH Andrew Haigh	5.0% ↓ -2.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 5.0% 3–7¢ Vol $0
DB Danny Boyle	2.5% ↓ -4.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 2.5% 0–5¢ Vol $0
JC Joel Coen	2.0% ↓ -5.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 2.0% 0–4¢ Vol $0
NHJ Na Hong-jin	2.0% ↓ -5.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 2.0% 0–4¢ Vol $0
TI Tie	0.5% ↓ -1.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0

2027 Oscar for Best Actress Award Predictions

Current probabilities across platforms with liquidity indicators

Sort:

Renate Reinsve

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 21.0%

↓ -1.5%

K 21.0%

Kalshi 21.0%

Vol $0 18–24¢

Sandra Hüller

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 14.0%

↓ -2.0%

K 14.0%

Kalshi 14.0%

Vol $0 11–17¢

Cynthia Erivo

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 7.0%

↓ -1.0%

K 7.0%

Kalshi 7.0%

Vol $0 4–10¢

Dakota Johnson

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 5.5%

↓ -0.5%

K 5.5%

Joan Collins

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 5.5%

↓ -0.5%

K 5.5%

Kirsten Dunst

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 5.5%

↓ -0.5%

K 5.5%

Natalie Portman

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 5.5%

↓ -0.5%

K 5.5%

Penélope Cruz

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 5.5%

↓ -0.5%

K 5.5%