2027 Oscars Odds: Best Picture, Actor, Actress & Director

LIVE

Updated 59 minutes ago · 12:47 PM PDT

Prediction markets have The Odyssey as the frontrunner for a 2027 Best Picture nomination ahead of the Academy's January 21, 2027 announcement. The Oscars nominations market tracks the 99th Academy Awards, with Universal's $250M production, Nolan's prior Best Picture win for Oppenheimer, and a cast including Matt Damon, Tom Holland, Anne Hathaway, and Lupita Nyong'o driving the film's lead. Project Hail Mary has a 91.0% chance of being nominated, while Dune: Part Three is the next-strongest contender at 82.5% probability of being named. DeFi Rate aggregates live 2027 Oscars odds from Kalshi and Polymarket, updated hourly using volume-weighted average pricing (VWAP).

Largest Spread

0.00%

Current Favorite

98.0%

The Odyssey +11.0%

24H Volume (Share)

$667

Momentum Leader

+28.5%

Ink YTD change

Which Film Will Be Nominated for Best Picture?

Current probabilities across platforms with liquidity indicators

Sort:

The Odyssey

Vol $73 Spread —

Agg 98.0%

↑ +11.0%

K 98.0%

Kalshi 98.0%

Vol $73 97–99¢

PHM

Project Hail Mary

Vol $20 Spread —

Agg 91.0%

↑ +21.5%

K 91.0%

Kalshi 91.0%

Vol $20 90–92¢

DPT

Dune: Part Three

Vol $24 Spread —

Agg 82.5%

↑ +6.5%

K 82.5%

Kalshi 82.5%

Vol $24 81–84¢

WHN

Wild Horse Nine

Vol $25 Spread —

Agg 76.0%

↑ +13.0%

K 76.0%

Kalshi 76.0%

Vol $25 74–78¢

Digger

Vol $263 Spread —

Agg 63.5%

↑ +0.5%

K 63.5%

Kalshi 63.5%

Vol $263 63–64¢

Fjord

Vol $49 Spread —

Agg 62.5%

↑ +26.5%

K 62.5%

Kalshi 62.5%

Vol $49 61–64¢

Behemoth

Vol $38 Spread —

Agg 44.0%

↑ +17.5%

K 44.0%

Kalshi 44.0%

Vol $38 43–45¢

Ink

Vol $24 Spread —

Agg 35.5%

↑ +28.5%

K 35.5%

Kalshi 35.5%

Vol $24 35–36¢

Being Heumann

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 26.0%

↑ +1.0%

K 26.0%

Kalshi 26.0%

Vol $0 24–28¢

AOA

All of a Sudden

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 22.5%

↓ -3.5%

K 22.5%

Kalshi 22.5%

Vol $0 21–24¢

TAO

The Adventures of Cliff Booth

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 19.5%

↓ -22.5%

K 19.5%

Kalshi 19.5%

Vol $0 19–20¢

TSR

The Social Reckoning

Vol $44 Spread —

Agg 15.5%

↓ -25.5%

K 15.5%

Kalshi 15.5%

Vol $44 14–17¢

SAS

Sense and Sensibility

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 14.5%

↓ -10.0%

K 14.5%

Kalshi 14.5%

Vol $0 14–15¢

Josephine

Vol $46 Spread —

Agg 13.5%

↓ -19.5%

K 13.5%

Kalshi 13.5%

Vol $46 12–15¢

Michael

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 13.5%

↑ +1.0%

K 13.5%

Kalshi 13.5%

Vol $0 12–15¢

Artificial

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 12.0%

↓ -4.5%

K 12.0%

Kalshi 12.0%

Vol $0 11–13¢

JOS

Jack of Spades

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 12.0%

↓ -6.0%

K 12.0%

Kalshi 12.0%

Vol $0 9–15¢

CTH

Cry to Heaven

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 11.5%

↓ -17.5%

K 11.5%

Kalshi 11.5%

Vol $0 10–13¢

Saturn Return

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 10.5%

↓ -7.5%

K 10.5%

Kalshi 10.5%

Vol $0 10–11¢

Disclosure Day

Vol $6 Spread —

Agg 8.0%

↓ -33.5%

K 8.0%

Kalshi 8.0%

Vol $6 7–9¢

The Drama

Vol $1 Spread —

Agg 7.0%

↑ +2.0%

K 7.0%

Kalshi 7.0%

Vol $1 4–10¢

1949 / Fatherland

Vol $8 Spread —

Agg 5.5%

↓ -34.5%

K 5.5%

Kalshi 5.5%

Vol $8 5–6¢

Avengers: Doomsday

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 5.5%

↑ +1.0%

K 5.5%

Kalshi 5.5%

Vol $0 4–7¢

TES

The Entertainment System Is Down

Vol $5 Spread —

Agg 4.5%

↓ -8.5%

K 4.5%

Kalshi 4.5%

Vol $5 4–5¢

Werwulf

Vol $1 Spread —

Agg 4.0%

↓ -21.0%

K 4.0%

Kalshi 4.0%

Vol $1 3–5¢

ILB

I Love Boosters

Vol $6 Spread —

Agg 2.5%

↓ -17.5%

K 2.5%

Kalshi 2.5%

Vol $6 1–4¢

Parallel Tales

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 2.5%

↓ -29.5%

K 2.5%

Kalshi 2.5%

Vol $0 2–3¢

NTM

Narnia: The Magician's Nephew

Vol $36 Spread —

Agg 1.5%

↓ -28.0%

K 1.5%

Kalshi 1.5%

Vol $36 1–2¢

TDO

The Death of Robin Hood

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 1.5%

↓ -11.0%

K 1.5%

Kalshi 1.5%

Vol $0 1–2¢

Outcome	Aggregated	Spread	Volume	Kalshi
TO The Odyssey	98.0% ↑ +11.0%	—	$73	Kalshi 98.0% 97–99¢ Vol $73
PHM Project Hail Mary	91.0% ↑ +21.5%	—	$20	Kalshi 91.0% 90–92¢ Vol $20
DPT Dune: Part Three	82.5% ↑ +6.5%	—	$24	Kalshi 82.5% 81–84¢ Vol $24
WHN Wild Horse Nine	76.0% ↑ +13.0%	—	$25	Kalshi 76.0% 74–78¢ Vol $25
DI Digger	63.5% ↑ +0.5%	—	$263	Kalshi 63.5% 63–64¢ Vol $263
FJ Fjord	62.5% ↑ +26.5%	—	$49	Kalshi 62.5% 61–64¢ Vol $49
BE Behemoth	44.0% ↑ +17.5%	—	$38	Kalshi 44.0% 43–45¢ Vol $38
IN Ink	35.5% ↑ +28.5%	—	$24	Kalshi 35.5% 35–36¢ Vol $24
BH Being Heumann	26.0% ↑ +1.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 26.0% 24–28¢ Vol $0
AOA All of a Sudden	22.5% ↓ -3.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 22.5% 21–24¢ Vol $0
TAO The Adventures of Cliff Booth	19.5% ↓ -22.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 19.5% 19–20¢ Vol $0
TSR The Social Reckoning	15.5% ↓ -25.5%	—	$44	Kalshi 15.5% 14–17¢ Vol $44
SAS Sense and Sensibility	14.5% ↓ -10.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 14.5% 14–15¢ Vol $0
JO Josephine	13.5% ↓ -19.5%	—	$46	Kalshi 13.5% 12–15¢ Vol $46
MI Michael	13.5% ↑ +1.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 13.5% 12–15¢ Vol $0
AR Artificial	12.0% ↓ -4.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 12.0% 11–13¢ Vol $0
JOS Jack of Spades	12.0% ↓ -6.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 12.0% 9–15¢ Vol $0
CTH Cry to Heaven	11.5% ↓ -17.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 11.5% 10–13¢ Vol $0
SR Saturn Return	10.5% ↓ -7.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 10.5% 10–11¢ Vol $0
DD Disclosure Day	8.0% ↓ -33.5%	—	$6	Kalshi 8.0% 7–9¢ Vol $6
TD The Drama	7.0% ↑ +2.0%	—	$1	Kalshi 7.0% 4–10¢ Vol $1
1F 1949 / Fatherland	5.5% ↓ -34.5%	—	$8	Kalshi 5.5% 5–6¢ Vol $8
AD Avengers: Doomsday	5.5% ↑ +1.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 5.5% 4–7¢ Vol $0
TES The Entertainment System Is Down	4.5% ↓ -8.5%	—	$5	Kalshi 4.5% 4–5¢ Vol $5
WE Werwulf	4.0% ↓ -21.0%	—	$1	Kalshi 4.0% 3–5¢ Vol $1
ILB I Love Boosters	2.5% ↓ -17.5%	—	$6	Kalshi 2.5% 1–4¢ Vol $6
PT Parallel Tales	2.5% ↓ -29.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 2.5% 2–3¢ Vol $0
NTM Narnia: The Magician's Nephew	1.5% ↓ -28.0%	—	$36	Kalshi 1.5% 1–2¢ Vol $36
TDO The Death of Robin Hood	1.5% ↓ -11.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 1.5% 1–2¢ Vol $0

Predictions for 2027 Best Picture Award

Current probabilities across platforms with liquidity indicators

Sort:

The Odyssey

Vol $7.6K Spread —

Agg 55.5%

↑ +26.0%

K 55.5%

Kalshi 55.5%

Vol $7.6K 55–56¢

DPT

Dune: Part Three

Vol $2.4K Spread —

Agg 15.5%

↑ +7.0%

K 15.5%

Kalshi 15.5%

Vol $2.4K 15–16¢

Digger

Vol $125 Spread —

Agg 6.5%

↓ -1.0%

K 6.5%

Kalshi 6.5%

Vol $125 6–7¢

WHN

Wild Horse Nine

Vol $117 Spread —

Agg 6.5%

↓ -1.5%

K 6.5%

Kalshi 6.5%

Vol $117 6–7¢

PHM

Project Hail Mary

Vol $790 Spread —

Agg 4.5%

↓ -3.5%

K 4.5%

Kalshi 4.5%

Vol $790 4–5¢

Fjord

Vol $10 Spread —

Agg 2.5%

↑ +0.5%

K 2.5%

Kalshi 2.5%

Vol $10 2–3¢

Behemoth

Vol $29 Spread —

Agg 1.5%

↑ +0.5%

K 1.5%

Kalshi 1.5%

Vol $29 1–2¢

TAO

The Adventures of Cliff Booth

Vol $10 Spread —

Agg 1.5%

— +0.0%

K 1.5%

Kalshi 1.5%

Vol $10 1–2¢

1949 / Fatherland

Vol $0 Spread —

Agg 0.5%

↓ -3.0%

K 0.5%

Outcome	Aggregated	Spread	Volume	Kalshi
TO The Odyssey	55.5% ↑ +26.0%	—	$7.6K	Kalshi 55.5% 55–56¢ Vol $7.6K
DPT Dune: Part Three	15.5% ↑ +7.0%	—	$2.4K	Kalshi 15.5% 15–16¢ Vol $2.4K
DI Digger	6.5% ↓ -1.0%	—	$125	Kalshi 6.5% 6–7¢ Vol $125
WHN Wild Horse Nine	6.5% ↓ -1.5%	—	$117	Kalshi 6.5% 6–7¢ Vol $117
PHM Project Hail Mary	4.5% ↓ -3.5%	—	$790	Kalshi 4.5% 4–5¢ Vol $790
FJ Fjord	2.5% ↑ +0.5%	—	$10	Kalshi 2.5% 2–3¢ Vol $10
BE Behemoth	1.5% ↑ +0.5%	—	$29	Kalshi 1.5% 1–2¢ Vol $29
TAO The Adventures of Cliff Booth	1.5% — +0.0%	—	$10	Kalshi 1.5% 1–2¢ Vol $10
1F 1949 / Fatherland	0.5% ↓ -3.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
AOA All of a Sudden	0.5% ↓ -1.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
AR Artificial	0.5% ↓ -1.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
AD Avengers: Doomsday	0.5% — +0.0%	—	$235	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $235
CTH Cry to Heaven	0.5% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
DD Disclosure Day	0.5% ↓ -3.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
ILB I Love Boosters	0.5% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
IN Ink	0.5% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
JO Josephine	0.5% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
MI Michael	0.5% — +0.0%	—	$2	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $2
NTM Narnia: The Magician's Nephew	0.5% ↓ -1.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
SAS Sense and Sensibility	0.5% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
TDO The Death of Robin Hood	0.5% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
TD The Drama	0.5% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
TES The Entertainment System Is Down	0.5% ↓ -0.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
TSR The Social Reckoning	0.5% ↓ -7.5%	—	$47	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $47
TI Tie	0.5% — +0.0%	—	$1	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $1
WE Werwulf	0.5% — +0.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0

Outcome	Aggregated	Spread	Volume	Kalshi
TC Tom Cruise	36.5% ↑ +12.0%	—	$432	Kalshi 36.5% 36–37¢ Vol $432
AS Andrew Scott	13.5% ↑ +10.5%	—	$240	Kalshi 13.5% 12–15¢ Vol $240
JM John Malkovich	7.0% ↓ -17.0%	—	$51	Kalshi 7.0% 6–8¢ Vol $51
SS Sebastian Stan	2.0% ↓ -2.5%	—	$7	Kalshi 2.0% 1–3¢ Vol $7
BP Brad Pitt	1.5% ↓ -2.5%	—	$890	Kalshi 1.5% 1–2¢ Vol $890
JOC Josh O'Connor	1.5% ↓ -3.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 1.5% 1–2¢ Vol $0
AD Adam Driver	0.5% ↓ -2.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
CT Channing Tatum	0.5% ↓ -2.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
CM Charles Melton	0.5% ↓ -2.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
KR Keanu Reeves	0.5% ↓ -2.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
TI Tie	0.5% ↓ -1.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0

Outcome	Aggregated	Spread	Volume	Kalshi
CN Christopher Nolan	67.0% ↑ +34.0%	—	$278	Kalshi 67.0% 66–68¢ Vol $278
MM Martin McDonagh	4.5% ↓ -14.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 4.5% 4–5¢ Vol $0
DF David Fincher	3.5% ↓ -5.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 3.5% 3–4¢ Vol $0
PLC Phil Lord & Christopher Miller	2.0% ↓ -2.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 2.0% 0–4¢ Vol $0
AH Andrew Haigh	0.5% ↓ -6.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
DB Danny Boyle	0.5% ↓ -6.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
JC Joel Coen	0.5% ↓ -6.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
NHJ Na Hong-jin	0.5% ↓ -6.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
SS Steven Spielberg	0.5% ↓ -6.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
TI Tie	0.5% ↓ -1.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0

Outcome	Aggregated	Spread	Volume	Kalshi
RR Renate Reinsve	15.5% ↓ -7.0%	—	$45	Kalshi 15.5% 14–17¢ Vol $45
SH Sandra Hüller	9.0% ↓ -7.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 9.0% 7–11¢ Vol $0
CE Cynthia Erivo	4.5% ↓ -3.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 4.5% 2–7¢ Vol $0
PC Penélope Cruz	3.0% ↓ -3.0%	—	$1.4K	Kalshi 3.0% 1–5¢ Vol $1.4K
SJ Scarlett Johansson	2.5% ↓ -3.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 2.5% 1–4¢ Vol $0
DJ Dakota Johnson	0.5% ↓ -5.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
JC Joan Collins	0.5% ↓ -5.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
KD Kirsten Dunst	0.5% ↓ -5.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
NP Natalie Portman	0.5% ↓ -5.5%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0
TI Tie	0.5% ↓ -1.0%	—	$0	Kalshi 0.5% 0–1¢ Vol $0

2027 Oscars Odds: Best Picture, Actor, Actress & Director

Which Film Will Be Nominated for Best Picture?

Predictions for 2027 Best Picture Award

Predictions on 2027 Oscar for Best Actor

2027 Best Director odds and predictions

2027 Oscar for Best Actress Award Predictions