Prediction Market and Crypto News
Stay informed with the latest updates, analysis, and insights from the prediction markets and DeFi ecosystem.
Data
Kalshi Extends Volume Lead to Nearly $1B on Polymarket Crypto Dip
Both platforms hit March records, then diverged: Kalshi rose 6.4% in the week of March 30 while Polymarket fell 12%, widening Kalshi's notional volume lead to...
Valerie Cross
April 6, 2026
Legal News & Updates
Kalshi Ban Extended in Nevada, Setting Up Federal Showdown
A Nevada judge has renewed a temporary ban on prediction market trading in the state, as Kalshi will have appeal options to consider...
Derek Helling
April 4, 2026
US Elections
Louisiana Senate Race Gets Messy But Traders Signal Safe GOP Hold
Louisiana’s 2026 Republican Senate primary is one of the most politically charged races in the country, yet prediction markets are treating it like background noise so far. Incumbent...
Pat Evans
April 3, 2026
Regulation & Policy
Kentucky Leads New State Push to Tax Prediction Markets, Testing Limits of State Authority
Kentucky has become the first state to pass legislation explicitly taxing prediction market platforms, marking a shift in how states are approaching the fast-growing industry. The measure,...
Mike Breen
April 3, 2026
Industry
CFTC Sues Illinois, Arizona and Connecticut to Defend Exclusive Authority Over Prediction Markets
The Trump Administration is officially joining in on the fight between states and prediction markets, starting with Illinois, Arizona, and Connecticut. The CFTC announced its...
Pat Evans
April 2, 2026
Industry
Robinhood Sues Washington as Prediction Market Fight Escalates in Ninth Circuit
The first countersuit seeking injunctive relief against Washington officials comes from one of Kalshi’s distribution partners in offering prediction...
Derek Helling
April 2, 2026
Regulation & Policy
CFTC Leaders Set Enforcement Priorities, Press Exchanges on Insider Trading and Manipulation
CFTC's David Miller: "We will aggressively detect, investigate, and, where appropriate, prosecute insider trading in the prediction...
Pat Evans
April 2, 2026
Industry
Paradigm Builds Trading Terminal as Prediction Markets Go Institutional
A new Paradigm trading terminal, JPMorgan's public interest, and a string of institutional moves signal that prediction markets are maturing fast, and the competitive landscape is reshaping...
Valerie Cross
April 1, 2026
Featured News and Analysis
14 Prediction Market Bills and Counting Reveal Deep Divisions, Long Odds
14 prediction market bills have been introduced in 2026. Most focus on insider trading, war markets, sports markets and advertising. Analysts call the bills "messaging legislation", with no...
Mike Breen
April 1, 2026
Legal News & Updates
Texas Elevates Prediction Markets to 2027 Priority as Courts Shape the Rules
Texas Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick is pushing prediction markets onto the 2027 agenda as legal battles leave the regulatory framework unsettled. Federal preemption rulings may determine what comes...
Derek Helling
March 31, 2026