France and Sweden meet in the Round of 32 at New York New Jersey Stadium today, with a spot in the last 16 up for grabs in the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
The match kicks off at 5 p.m. ET on FOX.
Kalshi markets have the heavily favored French squad as the team to beat in this critical knockout-stage matchup. New users can use the Kalshi promo code RATE to claim a $10 trading bonus for the 2026 France vs. Sweden match.
How to claim the Kalshi $10 bonus for France vs. Sweden
Enter the promo code RATE when creating a new Kalshi account to claim a $10 trading bonus for World Cup markets. Here are the steps to follow to sign up and claim the bonus.
- Download the Kalshi app: Install the free Kalshi app for your iOS or Android device and begin the registration process. You can also visit the website and click on the Sign Up button.
- Enter the promo code RATE: Enter the Kalshi promo code RATE when prompted during the sign-up process.
- Verify your identity. You will need a valid driver’s license or passport to verify your identity.
- Fund your account: Deposit and trade $10 on any market using one of the accepted payment options, including a bank account, debit cards, Apple Pay, or wire transfer.
- Place your first trade. Review the market rules and make your first trade on the France vs. Sweden match or any other World Cup market. Kalshi will credit your account with the $10 bonus after the market settles.
Check out our Kalshi promo code guide for the full terms and conditions. Enter the Kalshi code for your state
| Promo Code | Eligible States |
|---|---|
| RATE | All States + DC, excluding AR, AZ, CT, IL, LA, MA, MD, MI, MT, NJ, NV, and OH |
2026 World Cup market odds: France vs. Sweden
| Outcome | Prediction Odds | American Odds |
|---|---|---|
| France to advance | 88% | -733 |
| Sweden to advance | 12% | +733 |
| Regulation time – France | 78% | -355 |
| Regulation time – Sweden | 8% | +1150 |
| Regulation time – Draw | 16% | +525 |
| Regulation time – France to win by 1.5 goals | 55% | -122 |
| Regulation time – Over 3.5 goals scored | 45% | +122 |
| Regulation time – Both teams to score | 23% | +335 |
| Goal scorer: Kylian Mbappe – France | 58% | -138 |
France vs. Sweden preview
Today’s Round of 32 brings a European heavyweight clash at MetLife Stadium, as tournament titans France look to assert their dominance over a durable Sweden side. Les Bleus breezed through the group stage unblemished, firmly putting themselves in the conversation about one of the tournament’s premier rosters.
France’s attacking depth, led by the explosive pace of Kylian Mbappé and the creative engine of Antoine Griezmann, makes them an absolute nightmare to game plan for. But Sweden is anything but a pushover.
The Blågult secured their spot in the knockout phase through meticulous defensive organization, deadly counter-attacks orchestrated by Dejan Kulusevski, and clinical finishing from Alexander Isak. This is an interesting tactical chess encounter with a Round of 16 berth up for grabs for two countries with long tournament histories.
The key to unlocking this market is how well Sweden’s low block can withstand the initial French storm. France has traditionally had the upper hand in this fixture, but Sweden’s physicality in set-piece situations may test a French defense that has looked vulnerable at times to balls into the box.
For traders looking to get the most out of their $10 Kalshi bonus, there are some compelling strategic angles outside of the standard match-winner contract. France’s chances in the outright World Cup winner market remain short, making them a heavily backed public favorite.
If you think we’re going to see a tight, low-scoring battle with Sweden taking the favorites all the way to extra time, then backing the Sweden “To Advance” market gives you great leverage at a huge discount to the outright match odds.
Why trade France vs. Sweden on Kalshi
Trading the France vs. Sweden game on Kalshi is a very different experience from traditional sports betting. Kalshi is a regulated financial exchange, meaning you buy and sell contracts on live events rather than place a fixed bet with your money.
If Kylian Mbappe gets on the scoresheet early, then the contract prices for France will jump through the roof, so you can cash in your shares and make a profit there and then, rather than having to wait till the final whistle.
On the flip side, if Sweden’s defense slows the game down in the second half, the shifting odds give you the chance to control your risk and exit your bet to preserve your money.
This fast-paced environment treats your sports knowledge like a tradable commodity, giving you full control of when to enter and exit the market, and you can check it out with a $10 trading bonus just for using the promo code RATE at signup.
NOTE: Prediction markets involve risk, and prices can move quickly before and during live events. Users should trade only with money they can afford to lose, review the rules for each market before buying shares, and avoid chasing losses.
