US Elections

Tracking prediction market coverage as it relates to US elections and midterms.

California billionaire tax prediction markets

US Elections

California Billionaire Tax Qualifies for Ballot, Prediction Markets Still Bet Against It

The ballot push for a California billionaire tax has cleared one hurdle, but prediction markets still think it is a long...

Pat Evans

June 19, 2026

US Elections

Alabama Senate Runoff Gives Trump, Prediction Markets Another Easy Senate Primary Win

Prediction markets notched another Senate primary win tailing a Trump-endorsed candidate in...

Pat Evans

June 18, 2026

US Elections

Prediction Markets Miss On Another Trump Pick in Oklahoma

Prediction markets strongly backed Mike Mazzei for Oklahoma governor heading into Tuesday, where he placed second to force a...

Pat Evans

June 17, 2026

US Elections

Georgia Runoffs Offer Split Result For Prediction Markets

Prediction markets followed President Trump's endorsements heading into runoff elections, ending up with split results....

Pat Evans

June 17, 2026

South Carolina governor prediction markets

US Elections

Prediction Markets Reverse Course in South Carolina Governor Runoff

Prediction markets take a sharp turn in the South Carolina Republican governor runoff race ahead of the June 23...

Pat Evans

June 16, 2026

US Elections

Collins Takes the Georgia Senate Prediction Markets Lead Before the Runoff

On the morning of the Georgia Senate Republican runoff, prediction markets had already settled the...

Pat Evans

June 16, 2026

US Elections

Mazzei Odds Near 90% Ahead of Oklahoma Governor Primary

A crowded Republican field for Oklahoma governor has not deterred prediction markets from pricing Mike Mazzei as a runaway...

Pat Evans

June 15, 2026

US Elections

Prediction Markets Set To Test Trump Power Again In Alabama Senate Race

Prediction markets are giving Barry Moore a major edge around 80-84% over Jared Hudson in the Alabama Republican Senate...

Pat Evans

June 15, 2026

US Elections

Georgia Governor Prediction Markets Heavily Favor Jones as GOP Runoff Nears

While polls are split on Georgia Republican governor runoff, prediction markets appear certain on the...

Pat Evans

June 15, 2026

US Elections

Prediction Markets Call Platner Primary Win, But Maine Senate Is No Lock

Graham Platner cleared the Democratic Maine Senate primary despite tough stretch, but prediction markets are tightening ahead of...

Pat Evans

June 12, 2026

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