US Elections

Tracking prediction market coverage as it relates to US elections and midterms.

Colorado primary elections prediction markets

US Elections

Prediction Markets Nail Progressive Wave in Colorado Primary Races

Prediction markets largely got the Colorado primaries right, picking up a progressive wave that started in New York and rolled into a Democratic stronghold where Phil Weiser, Melat Kiros...

Pat Evans

July 1, 2026

Texas Senate prediction markets Talarico Paxton

US Elections

Prediction Markets Still Favor Paxton as Talarico Turns Texas Senate Into Real Race

While a new poll fuels momentum of Democrat James Talarico and suggests the race for the Texas Senate seat could be competitive, prediction markets haven't wavered from Republican Ken...

Pat Evans

July 1, 2026

Letlow Louisiana Senate primary prediction markets

US Elections

Louisiana Adds to Trump, Prediction Markets Senate Win Streak

Prediction markets nailed another Trump-endorsed Senate primary win, despite struggles in governor races and a tight first...

Pat Evans

June 30, 2026

US Elections

Prediction Markets Suggest Progressive Wave Hits Colorado House Primary

Fifteen-term incumbent Colorado Rep. Diana DeGette faces her toughest primary challenge yet from Melat Kiros, with prediction markets and progressive momentum pointing toward an upset in...

Pat Evans

June 30, 2026

Bennet Weiser Colorado Democratic Governor primary

US Elections

Weiser Surges in Colorado Governor Primary as Prediction Markets Turn on Bennet

Colorado’s Democratic governor primary gets interesting late as prediction markets flipped toward Phil Weiser over Michael Bennet, setting up a closely watched Tuesday race shaped by...

Pat Evans

June 29, 2026

Louisiana Senate Republican prediction markets

US Elections

Prediction Markets Still Favor Letlow In Heated Louisiana Senate Runoff

Louisiana’s GOP Senate runoff is tightening on the ground, with John Fleming gaining ground on prediction markets favorite Julia...

Pat Evans

June 26, 2026

South Carolina prediction markets governor

US Elections

Prediction Markets Nail Wilson’s South Carolina Governor Runoff Blowout

Prediction markets correctly called Alan Wilson’s South Carolina GOP governor runoff blowout, as he turned an initial primary deficit into a decisive win after Pamela Evette led round...

Pat Evans

June 25, 2026