US Elections

Tracking prediction market coverage as it relates to US elections and midterms.

US Elections

GOP Turns Prime Georgia Senate Pickup Into a Primary Mess as Ossoff Holds Strong

A three-way Republican battle in the Georgia Senate primary has prediction markets breaking heavily for Democratic sitting Sen. Jon...

Pat Evans

May 19, 2026

US Elections

Markets Flip on Massie Ahead of KY-04 Vote: Can Trump-Backed Gallrein Pull Off Upset?

Tuesday’s Republican primary for the 4th House District in Kentucky is a raw test of the President Donald Trump revenge narrative playing out on prediction markets. Can a...

Pat Evans

May 19, 2026

US Elections

Louisiana Senate Markets Turn on Cassidy as Trump-Backed Letlow Gains Ground

Trump-backed Julia Letlow is the clear favorite over incumbent Sen. Bill Cassidy on prediction markets in the Louisiana GOP Senate...

Pat Evans

May 15, 2026

US Elections

Markets Aren’t Buying AOC‑Backed Rabb Surge in PA-03 Democratic House Primary

Pennsylvania’s 3rd Congressional District Democratic primary isn’t just a local House race anymore. It’s turned into the hottest early test of the party’s 2028 fault lines. ...

Pat Evans

May 13, 2026

US Elections

Kentucky GOP House Primary Odds Briefly Flip to Gallrein After Massie Scandal

A Kentucky House race has become perhaps the nastiest, priciest House primary of the cycle, a match between incumbent libertarian Rep. Thomas Massie and President Donald...

Pat Evans

May 13, 2026

US Elections

Markets Not Buying Dan Osborn Nebraska Upset Story Despite Tight Polls

Dan Osborn polls tied with Pete Ricketts in Nebraska Senate race, but prediction markets are not buying his...

Pat Evans

May 11, 2026

US Elections

Roy Cooper Is Making Prediction Markets Forget North Carolina Is Republican Territory

Former Democratic Gov. Roy Cooper has a sizeable lead in both polls and prediction markets in a state that has leaned...

Pat Evans

May 9, 2026

US Elections

Rob Sand Pushes Iowa Governor Odds Toward Democrats

Prediction markets are pricing Democrat Rob Sand as a real favorite in deep-red Iowa in the 2026 governor...

Pat Evans

May 8, 2026

Pratt emerges as celebrity challenger for LA mayor

US Elections

Reality Star Spencer Pratt Emerges as Real Contender in LA Mayor Markets

Los Angeles is in a weird phase as residents look toward electing its next mayor, with prediction markets now suggesting reality star Spencer Pratt is more than a sideshow in the race. As...

Pat Evans

May 7, 2026

US Elections

Ohio Governor Markets Leaning Blue Despite Ramaswamy Win in GOP Primary

Vivek Ramaswamy won the Republican Primary for the Ohio governor race, but prediction markets still favor Democrat Amy...

Pat Evans

May 6, 2026

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