Prediction Market Trading Volume, Categories and Data

Live Data
Weekly Notional Volume Total USD value of contracts traded during the last complete calendar week.
$6.0B
K Kalshi
$3.5B (59%)
P Polymarket
$2.5B (41%)
U Polymarket US
$5.9M (0%)
Active Markets Number of prediction markets currently open for trading on each platform.
385,249
K Kalshi
333,886 (87%)
P Polymarket
50,310 (13%)
U Polymarket US
1,053 (0%)
Weekly Transactions Total number of trades executed during the last complete calendar week.
44,506,988
K Kalshi
22,157,345 (50%)
P Polymarket
22,349,643 (50%)
U Polymarket US
— (—)
Open Interest Total USD value of unsettled contracts currently held by traders.
$986.6M
K Kalshi
$516.6M (52%)
P Polymarket
$455.8M (46%)
U Polymarket US
$14.2M (2%)
Last updated: April 16, 2026 at 1:25 PM PDT

Kalshi
CFTC Regulated
Volume (rolling)
24H $170.0M -37.5%
7D $1.9B +0.7%
30D $7.6B +23.4%
Top Categories (24h)
1 ⚽ Sports $136.0M
2 ₿ Crypto $19.9M
3 🏛️ Politics $2.7M
Top Markets (24h)
1
West Play-In: Golden State at Los Angeles C
🏀 Sports $15.6M
2
East Play-In: Orlando at Philadelphia
🏀 Sports $9.9M
3
Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kings
🏏 Sports $4.7M
Polymarket
Decentralized Platform
Volume (rolling)
24H $291.2M -28.8%
7D $2.7B -5.4%
30D $12.2B +25.0%
Top Categories (24h)
1 ⚽ Sports $91.8M
2 📦 Misc $70.7M
3 ₿ Crypto $51.8M
Top Markets (24h)
1
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner
⚽ Sports $10.7M
2
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF
⚽ Sports $9.1M
3
2026 NBA Champion
🏀 Sports $7.7M

Category Breakdown

Compare volume and activity across platforms by category

K

Kalshi Categories

CategoryMarketsVolumeChange
Politics9,441$2.7M-25.7%
Sports353,949$136.0M-35.5%
Crypto6,851$19.9M-50%
Economics4,026$1.3M-27.5%
Finance3,136$710.9K-43.3%
Tech493$123.0K+6.9%
Culture5,119$424.8K-5.2%
Weather832$884.8K-28%
Misc1,194$99.6K-5.5%
World5,165$404.6K-36.2%
P

Polymarket Categories

CategoryMarketsVolumeChange
Politics4,634$36.9M-11.4%
Sports19,370$91.8M-25.1%
Crypto6,348$51.8M-44.8%
Economics681$7.7M+0.1%
Finance1,024$1.3M-1%
Tech491$1.6M-0.3%
Culture835$3.4M-2%
Weather108$40.9K+1.4%
Misc22,663$70.7M-32.6%
Mentions9$1.2K+1.7%
K

Kalshi Categories

CategoryMarketsVolumeChange
Politics12,610$31.6M+26.6%
Sports825,409$1.6B+0.2%
Crypto33,349$264.2M+8%
Economics3,024$11.1M-51.6%
Finance8,132$3.5M-8.6%
Tech427$704.2K-17.4%
Culture3,356$2.7M-12.3%
Weather9,796$8.4M+16.5%
Misc2,010$337.0K+9.1%
World33,140$10.7M-30.6%
P

Polymarket Categories

CategoryMarketsVolumeChange
Politics4,262$413.5M-43.4%
Sports19,666$947.5M-3.1%
Crypto20,315$578.0M-6.2%
Economics656$61.1M+72.1%
Finance968$11.1M+11.8%
Tech574$10.2M+0.8%
Culture735$22.7M-21.2%
Weather123$1.0M+62.8%
Misc31,612$681.8M+44.1%
Mentions17$19.4K-46.7%
K

Kalshi Categories

CategoryMarketsVolumeChange
Politics65,791$118.9M-15.4%
Sports3,320,572$6.3B+20.7%
Crypto106,718$1.0B+48.9%
Economics6,884$72.6M+117.8%
Finance15,876$15.8M+134.2%
Tech977$3.2M-31.8%
Culture12,673$12.9M-50.2%
Weather28,132$33.0M+4.3%
Misc10,725$3.9M-70.4%
World183,290$58.6M+99.2%
P

Polymarket Categories

CategoryMarketsVolumeChange
Politics6,376$2.1B+12.1%
Sports68,391$4.4B+23.1%
Crypto74,508$2.8B+119%
Economics1,089$270.0M-38.1%
Finance2,468$151.2M-21.2%
Tech1,268$135.0M-60.2%
Culture1,336$121.7M-24.3%
Weather2,972$63.2M-37.5%
Misc104,162$2.1B+19.2%
Mentions66$2.3M-8.9%

Top Markets by Volume

Highest trading activity across platforms

1
West Play-In: Golden State at Los Angeles C
Kalshi 🏀 Sports
Golden State Warriors Outcome
$15.6M
Apr 15
Closed
1

West Play-In: Golden State at Los Angeles C

Kalshi
🏀 Sports Closed
Outcome Golden State Warriors
Volume $15.6M
2
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner
Polymarket ⚽ Sports
Spain 17%
$10.7M
$9.2M
Jul 19
Active
2

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Active
Spain 17%
France 16%
England 11%
Argentina 9%
Brazil 9%
Portugal 7%
Germany 5%
Netherlands 3%
Norway 2%
Japan 2%
Colombia 2%
Morocco 2%
Belgium 2%
Cape Verde 1%
Algeria 1%
Uzbekistan 1%
Iran 1%
Congo DR 1%
Saudi Arabia 1%
Curaçao 1%
New Zealand 1%
Qatar 1%
Switzerland 1%
South Korea 1%
Haiti 1%
South Alabama 1%
Croatia 1%
Uruguay 1%
Ecuador 1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina 1%
Scotland 1%
Egypt 1%
Turkiye 1%
Ghana 1%
Canada 1%
Paraguay 1%
Mexico 1%
Australia 1%
Ivory Coast 1%
South Africa 1%
Senegal 1%
Austria 1%
Jordan 1%
Tunisia 1%
Panama 1%
Sweden 1%
Iraq 1%
Cezchia 1%
Volume
$10.7M
Open Int.
$9.2M
Ends
Jul 19
3
East Play-In: Orlando at Philadelphia
Kalshi 🏀 Sports
Philadelphia 76ers Outcome
$9.9M
Apr 15
Closed
3

East Play-In: Orlando at Philadelphia

Kalshi
🏀 Sports Closed
Outcome Philadelphia 76ers
Volume $9.9M
4
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF
Polymarket ⚽ Sports
FC Bayern München Outcome
$9.1M
Apr 15
Closed
4

FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome FC Bayern München
Volume $9.1M
5
2026 NBA Champion
Polymarket 🏀 Sports
Oklahoma City Thunder 44%
$7.7M
$3.6M
Jun 30
Active
5

2026 NBA Champion

Polymarket
🏀 Sports Active
Oklahoma City Thunder 44%
San Antonio Spurs 15%
Boston Celtics 12%
Denver Nuggets 9%
Detroit Pistons 6%
Cleveland Cavaliers 4%
New York Knicks 4%
Los Angeles Lakers 2%
Houston Rockets 2%
Minnesota Timberwolves 2%
Golden State Warriors 1%
Portland Trail Blazers 1%
Phoenix Suns 1%
Orlando Magic 1%
Charlotte Hornets 1%
Atlanta Hawks 1%
Philadelphia 76ers 1%
Toronto Raptors 1%
Volume
$7.7M
Open Int.
$3.6M
Ends
Jun 30
6
Magic vs. 76ers
Polymarket 🏀 Sports
76ers Outcome
$7.3M
Apr 15
Closed
6

Magic vs. 76ers

Polymarket
🏀 Sports Closed
Outcome 76ers
Volume $7.3M
7
Warriors vs. Clippers
Polymarket 🏀 Sports
Warriors Outcome
$5.4M
Apr 15
Closed
7

Warriors vs. Clippers

Polymarket
🏀 Sports Closed
Outcome Warriors
Volume $5.4M
8
Fed decision in April?
Polymarket 📊 Economics
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting 99%
$4.9M
$14.9M
Apr 28
Active
8

Fed decision in April?

Polymarket
📊 Economics Active
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting 99%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting 1%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting 1%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting 1%
Volume
$4.9M
Open Int.
$14.9M
Ends
Apr 28
9
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A
Polymarket ⚽ Sports
Team Falcons Outcome
$4.8M
Apr 15
Closed
9

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Team Falcons
Volume $4.8M
10
Military action against Iran ends by...?
Polymarket 🏛️ Politics
April 17, 2026 100%
$4.7M
$20.0M
Apr 29
Active
10

Military action against Iran ends by...?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
April 17, 2026 100%
Volume
$4.7M
Open Int.
$20.0M
Ends
Apr 29
11
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket 🏛️ Politics
Gavin Newsom 27%
$4.7M
$11.2M
Nov 6
Active
11

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
Gavin Newsom 27%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8%
Kamala Harris 6%
Jon Ossoff 6%
Pete Buttigieg 4%
Josh Shapiro 4%
Andy Beshear 3%
Mark Kelly 3%
Jon Stewart 2%
J.B. Pritzker 2%
James Talarico 2%
Ro Khanna 2%
Hunter Biden 1%
Kim Kardashian 1%
LeBron James 1%
Zohran Mamdani 1%
Stephen A. Smith 1%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson 1%
MrBeast 1%
Liz Cheney 1%
Gretchen Whitmer 1%
Raphael Warnock 1%
Bernie Sanders 1%
Barack Obama 1%
Andrew Yang 1%
Chelsea Clinton 1%
Beto O’Rourke 1%
Oprah Winfrey 1%
Wes Moore 1%
Ruben Gallego 1%
Michelle Obama 1%
Phil Murphy 1%
Jared Polis 1%
Mark Cuban 1%
Cory Booker 1%
Hillary Clinton 1%
Gina Raimondo 1%
Rahm Emanuel 1%
George Clooney 1%
Tim Walz 1%
Jasmine Crockett 1%
John Fetterman 1%
Roy Cooper 1%
Chris Murphy 1%
Volume
$4.7M
Open Int.
$11.2M
Ends
Nov 6
12
Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kings
Kalshi 🏏 Sports
Punjab Kings 95%
$4.7M
Apr 19
Closing Soon
12

Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kings

Kalshi
🏏 Sports Closing Soon
Punjab Kings 95%
Mumbai Indians 6%
Volume
$4.7M
Open Int.
Ends
Apr 19
13
Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid
Kalshi ⚽ Sports
Bayern Munich Outcome
$4.5M
Apr 15
Closed
13

Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid

Kalshi
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Bayern Munich
Volume $4.5M
14
Bitcoin above ___ on April 15?
Polymarket ₿ Crypto
$70,000 Outcome
$3.5M
Apr 15
Closed
14

Bitcoin above ___ on April 15?

Polymarket
₿ Crypto Closed
Outcome $70,000
Volume $3.5M
15
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Polymarket 🏛️ Politics
JD Vance 19%
$3.4M
$38.6M
Nov 6
Active
15

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
JD Vance 19%
Gavin Newsom 17%
Marco Rubio 11%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 5%
Kamala Harris 5%
Jon Ossoff 4%
Donald Trump 2%
Pete Buttigieg 2%
Tucker Carlson 2%
Josh Shapiro 2%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson 1%
Kim Kardashian 1%
LeBron James 1%
Stephen Smith 1%
Gretchen Whitmer 1%
Elon Musk 1%
Pete Hegseth 1%
Ron DeSantis 1%
Zohran Mamdani 1%
Nikki Haley 1%
Tim Walz 1%
JB Pritzker 1%
Ivanka Trump 1%
Tulsi Gabbard 1%
Michelle Obama 1%
Jamie Dimon 1%
Wes Moore 1%
Donald Trump Jr. 1%
Andy Beshear 1%
Greg Abbott 1%
Ro Khanna 1%
Vivek Ramaswamy 1%
Glenn Youngkin 1%
Eric Trump 1%
Thomas Massie 1%
James Talarico 1%
Volume
$3.4M
Open Int.
$38.6M
Ends
Nov 6
16
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B
Polymarket ⚽ Sports
FURIA Outcome
$3.4M
Apr 14
Closed
16

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome FURIA
Volume $3.4M
17
Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP
Polymarket ⚽ Sports
Draw Outcome
$3.2M
Apr 15
Closed
17

Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Draw
Volume $3.2M
18
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B
Polymarket ⚽ Sports
FURIA Outcome
$3.1M
Apr 15
Closed
18

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome FURIA
Volume $3.1M
19
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket 🏛️ Politics
J.D. Vance 38%
$3.0M
$9.5M
Nov 6
Active
19

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
J.D. Vance 38%
Marco Rubio 21%
Tucker Carlson 5%
Ron DeSantis 3%
Donald Trump 2%
Donald Trump Jr. 2%
Thomas Massie 2%
Kim Kardashian 1%
Tom Brady 1%
Brian Kemp 1%
Vivek Ramaswamy 1%
Mike Pence 1%
Matt Gaetz 1%
Kristi Noem 1%
Erika Kirk 1%
Tulsi Gabbard 1%
Byron Donalds 1%
Eric Trump 1%
John Thune 1%
Elon Musk 1%
Ivanka Trump 1%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders 1%
Josh Hawley 1%
Katie Britt 1%
Elise Stefanik 1%
Rand Paul 1%
Marjorie Taylor Greene 1%
Pete Hegseth 1%
Steve Bannon 1%
Nikki Haley 1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 1%
Greg Abbott 1%
Ted Cruz 1%
Glenn Youngkin 1%
Joe Kent 1%
Volume
$3.0M
Open Int.
$9.5M
Ends
Nov 6
20
Eurovision Winner 2026
Polymarket 🎭 Culture
Finland 37%
$2.9M
$1.4M
May 15
Active
20

Eurovision Winner 2026

Polymarket
🎭 Culture Active
Finland 37%
France 11%
Denmark 10%
Australia 7%
Greece 6%
Israel 6%
Sweden 3%
Italy 3%
Ukraine 2%
Romania 2%
Estonia 1%
United Kingdom 1%
Armenia 1%
Albania 1%
Norway 1%
Germany 1%
San Marino 1%
Lithuania 1%
Poland 1%
Belgium 1%
Bulgaria 1%
Austria 1%
Switzerland 1%
Montenegro 1%
Serbia 1%
Portugal 1%
Cyprus 1%
Azerbaijan 1%
Luxembourg 1%
Czechia 1%
Georgia 1%
Latvia 1%
Croatia 1%
Malta 1%
Moldova 1%
Volume
$2.9M
Open Int.
$1.4M
Ends
May 15
21
F1 Drivers' Champion
Polymarket 🏁 Sports
Will George Russell be the 2026 44%
$2.8M
$1.1M
Dec 5
Active
21

F1 Drivers' Champion

Polymarket
🏁 Sports Active
Will George Russell be the 2026 44%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 31%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 7%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 5%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 3%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 3%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 2%
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 1%
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 1%
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 1%
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 1%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 1%
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 1%
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 1%
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 1%
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 1%
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 1%
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 1%
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 1%
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 1%
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 1%
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 1%
Volume
$2.8M
Open Int.
$1.1M
Ends
Dec 5
22
Rangers vs. Lightning
Polymarket 🏒 Sports
Rangers Outcome
$2.6M
Apr 15
Closed
22

Rangers vs. Lightning

Polymarket
🏒 Sports Closed
Outcome Rangers
Volume $2.6M
23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
Polymarket 🏛️ Politics
June 30, 2026 64%
$2.6M
$3.2M
May 30
Active
23

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
June 30, 2026 64%
May 31, 2026 49%
April 30, 2026 33%
April 22, 2026 16%
Volume
$2.6M
Open Int.
$3.2M
Ends
May 30
24
Golden State at Los Angeles C: Spread
Kalshi 🏀 Sports
Golden State by >2.5 Outcome
$2.5M
Apr 15
Closed
24

Golden State at Los Angeles C: Spread

Kalshi
🏀 Sports Closed
Outcome Golden State by >2.5
Volume $2.5M
25
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kings
Polymarket ⚽ Sports
- Completed match 98%
$2.4M
$969.4K
Apr 23
Closing Soon
25

Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kings

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Closing Soon
- Completed match 98%
Volume
$2.4M
Open Int.
$969.4K
Ends
Apr 23
26
Rybakov vs Boscardin Dias
Kalshi 🎾 Sports
Pedro Boscardin Dias Outcome
$2.3M
Apr 15
Closed
26

Rybakov vs Boscardin Dias

Kalshi
🎾 Sports Closed
Outcome Pedro Boscardin Dias
Volume $2.3M
27
Boulter vs Cristian
Kalshi 🎾 Sports
Katie Boulter Outcome
$2.3M
Apr 15
Closed
27

Boulter vs Cristian

Kalshi
🎾 Sports Closed
Outcome Katie Boulter
Volume $2.3M
28
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Polymarket ⚽ Sports
Gen.G Outcome
$2.1M
Apr 16
Closed
28

LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Gen.G
Volume $2.1M
29
New York M vs Los Angeles D
Kalshi ⚾ Sports
Los Angeles Dodgers Outcome
$2.1M
Apr 15
Closed
29

New York M vs Los Angeles D

Kalshi
⚾ Sports Closed
Outcome Los Angeles Dodgers
Volume $2.1M
30
Arizona vs Baltimore
Kalshi ⚾ Sports
Arizona Diamondbacks Outcome
$2.0M
Apr 15
Closed
30

Arizona vs Baltimore

Kalshi
⚾ Sports Closed
Outcome Arizona Diamondbacks
Volume $2.0M
1
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
Polymarket 🏛️ Politics
April 7 Outcome
$160.5M
Apr 6
Closed
1

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome April 7
Volume $160.5M
2
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner
Polymarket ⚽ Sports
Spain 17%
$110.5M
$9.2M
Jul 19
Active
2

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Active
Spain 17%
France 16%
England 11%
Argentina 9%
Brazil 9%
Portugal 7%
Germany 5%
Netherlands 3%
Norway 2%
Japan 2%
Colombia 2%
Morocco 2%
Belgium 2%
Cape Verde 1%
Algeria 1%
Uzbekistan 1%
Iran 1%
Congo DR 1%
Saudi Arabia 1%
Curaçao 1%
New Zealand 1%
Qatar 1%
Switzerland 1%
South Korea 1%
Haiti 1%
South Alabama 1%
Croatia 1%
Uruguay 1%
Ecuador 1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina 1%
Scotland 1%
Egypt 1%
Turkiye 1%
Ghana 1%
Canada 1%
Paraguay 1%
Mexico 1%
Australia 1%
Ivory Coast 1%
South Africa 1%
Senegal 1%
Austria 1%
Jordan 1%
Tunisia 1%
Panama 1%
Sweden 1%
Iraq 1%
Cezchia 1%
Volume
$110.5M
Open Int.
$9.2M
Ends
Jul 19
3
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket 🏛️ Politics
Gavin Newsom 27%
$39.8M
$11.2M
Nov 6
Active
3

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
Gavin Newsom 27%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8%
Kamala Harris 6%
Jon Ossoff 6%
Pete Buttigieg 4%
Josh Shapiro 4%
Andy Beshear 3%
Mark Kelly 3%
Jon Stewart 2%
J.B. Pritzker 2%
James Talarico 2%
Ro Khanna 2%
Hunter Biden 1%
Kim Kardashian 1%
LeBron James 1%
Zohran Mamdani 1%
Stephen A. Smith 1%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson 1%
MrBeast 1%
Liz Cheney 1%
Gretchen Whitmer 1%
Raphael Warnock 1%
Bernie Sanders 1%
Barack Obama 1%
Andrew Yang 1%
Chelsea Clinton 1%
Beto O’Rourke 1%
Oprah Winfrey 1%
Wes Moore 1%
Ruben Gallego 1%
Michelle Obama 1%
Phil Murphy 1%
Jared Polis 1%
Mark Cuban 1%
Cory Booker 1%
Hillary Clinton 1%
Gina Raimondo 1%
Rahm Emanuel 1%
George Clooney 1%
Tim Walz 1%
Jasmine Crockett 1%
John Fetterman 1%
Roy Cooper 1%
Chris Murphy 1%
Volume
$39.8M
Open Int.
$11.2M
Ends
Nov 6
4
Fed decision in April?
Polymarket 📊 Economics
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting 99%
$34.1M
$14.9M
Apr 28
Active
4

Fed decision in April?

Polymarket
📊 Economics Active
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting 99%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting 1%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting 1%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting 1%
Volume
$34.1M
Open Int.
$14.9M
Ends
Apr 28
5
2026 NBA Champion
Polymarket 🏀 Sports
Oklahoma City Thunder 44%
$28.9M
$3.6M
Jun 30
Active
5

2026 NBA Champion

Polymarket
🏀 Sports Active
Oklahoma City Thunder 44%
San Antonio Spurs 15%
Boston Celtics 12%
Denver Nuggets 9%
Detroit Pistons 6%
Cleveland Cavaliers 4%
New York Knicks 4%
Los Angeles Lakers 2%
Houston Rockets 2%
Minnesota Timberwolves 2%
Golden State Warriors 1%
Portland Trail Blazers 1%
Phoenix Suns 1%
Orlando Magic 1%
Charlotte Hornets 1%
Atlanta Hawks 1%
Philadelphia 76ers 1%
Toronto Raptors 1%
Volume
$28.9M
Open Int.
$3.6M
Ends
Jun 30
6
Military action against Iran ends by...?
Polymarket 🏛️ Politics
April 17, 2026 100%
$28.1M
$20.0M
Apr 29
Active
6

Military action against Iran ends by...?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
April 17, 2026 100%
Volume
$28.1M
Open Int.
$20.0M
Ends
Apr 29
7
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Polymarket 🏛️ Politics
JD Vance 19%
$22.4M
$38.6M
Nov 6
Active
7

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
JD Vance 19%
Gavin Newsom 17%
Marco Rubio 11%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 5%
Kamala Harris 5%
Jon Ossoff 4%
Donald Trump 2%
Pete Buttigieg 2%
Tucker Carlson 2%
Josh Shapiro 2%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson 1%
Kim Kardashian 1%
LeBron James 1%
Stephen Smith 1%
Gretchen Whitmer 1%
Elon Musk 1%
Pete Hegseth 1%
Ron DeSantis 1%
Zohran Mamdani 1%
Nikki Haley 1%
Tim Walz 1%
JB Pritzker 1%
Ivanka Trump 1%
Tulsi Gabbard 1%
Michelle Obama 1%
Jamie Dimon 1%
Wes Moore 1%
Donald Trump Jr. 1%
Andy Beshear 1%
Greg Abbott 1%
Ro Khanna 1%
Vivek Ramaswamy 1%
Glenn Youngkin 1%
Eric Trump 1%
Thomas Massie 1%
James Talarico 1%
Volume
$22.4M
Open Int.
$38.6M
Ends
Nov 6
8
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket 🏛️ Politics
J.D. Vance 38%
$21.7M
$9.5M
Nov 6
Active
8

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
J.D. Vance 38%
Marco Rubio 21%
Tucker Carlson 5%
Ron DeSantis 3%
Donald Trump 2%
Donald Trump Jr. 2%
Thomas Massie 2%
Kim Kardashian 1%
Tom Brady 1%
Brian Kemp 1%
Vivek Ramaswamy 1%
Mike Pence 1%
Matt Gaetz 1%
Kristi Noem 1%
Erika Kirk 1%
Tulsi Gabbard 1%
Byron Donalds 1%
Eric Trump 1%
John Thune 1%
Elon Musk 1%
Ivanka Trump 1%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders 1%
Josh Hawley 1%
Katie Britt 1%
Elise Stefanik 1%
Rand Paul 1%
Marjorie Taylor Greene 1%
Pete Hegseth 1%
Steve Bannon 1%
Nikki Haley 1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 1%
Greg Abbott 1%
Ted Cruz 1%
Glenn Youngkin 1%
Joe Kent 1%
Volume
$21.7M
Open Int.
$9.5M
Ends
Nov 6
9
The Masters 2026: Winner
Polymarket ⛳ Sports
Rory McIlroy Outcome
$21.6M
Apr 12
Closed
9

The Masters 2026: Winner

Polymarket
⛳ Sports Closed
Outcome Rory McIlroy
Volume $21.6M
10
Peru Presidential Election Winner
Polymarket 🏛️ Politics
Keiko Fujimori 65%
$21.4M
$2.8M
Jun 6
Active
10

Peru Presidential Election Winner

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
Keiko Fujimori 65%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 21%
Rafael López Aliaga 14%
Jorge Nieto 1%
Ricardo Belmont 1%
Alfonso López Chau 1%
José Williams 1%
Carlos Espá 1%
César Acuña 1%
Marisol Pérez Tello 1%
Vladimir Cerrón 1%
Fernando Olivera 1%
Mesías Guevara 1%
Yonhy Lescano 1%
Fiorella Molinelli 1%
Roberto Chiabra 1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa 1%
José Luna 1%
Mario Vizcarra 1%
Enrique Valderrama 1%
Volume
$21.4M
Open Int.
$2.8M
Ends
Jun 6
11
F1 Drivers' Champion
Polymarket 🏁 Sports
Will George Russell be the 2026 44%
$16.0M
$1.1M
Dec 5
Active
11

F1 Drivers' Champion

Polymarket
🏁 Sports Active
Will George Russell be the 2026 44%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 31%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 7%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 5%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 3%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 3%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 2%
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 1%
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 1%
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 1%
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 1%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 1%
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 1%
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 1%
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 1%
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 1%
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 1%
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 1%
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 1%
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 1%
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 1%
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 1%
Volume
$16.0M
Open Int.
$1.1M
Ends
Dec 5
12
Eurovision Winner 2026
Polymarket 🎭 Culture
Finland 37%
$15.7M
$1.4M
May 15
Active
12

Eurovision Winner 2026

Polymarket
🎭 Culture Active
Finland 37%
France 11%
Denmark 10%
Australia 7%
Greece 6%
Israel 6%
Sweden 3%
Italy 3%
Ukraine 2%
Romania 2%
Estonia 1%
United Kingdom 1%
Armenia 1%
Albania 1%
Norway 1%
Germany 1%
San Marino 1%
Lithuania 1%
Poland 1%
Belgium 1%
Bulgaria 1%
Austria 1%
Switzerland 1%
Montenegro 1%
Serbia 1%
Portugal 1%
Cyprus 1%
Azerbaijan 1%
Luxembourg 1%
Czechia 1%
Georgia 1%
Latvia 1%
Croatia 1%
Malta 1%
Moldova 1%
Volume
$15.7M
Open Int.
$1.4M
Ends
May 15
13
What price will Bitcoin hit in April?
Polymarket ₿ Crypto
$80,000 26%
$13.4M
$9.3M
Apr 30
Active
13

What price will Bitcoin hit in April?

Polymarket
₿ Crypto Active
$80,000 26%
$65,000 17%
$85,000 6%
$60,000 5%
$90,000 3%
$55,000 2%
$150,000 1%
$50,000 1%
$45,000 1%
$95,000 1%
$100,000 1%
$20,000 1%
$40,000 1%
$105,000 1%
$30,000 1%
$35,000 1%
$110,000 1%
$25,000 1%
Volume
$13.4M
Open Int.
$9.3M
Ends
Apr 30
14
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC
Polymarket ⚽ Sports
Paris Saint-Germain FC Outcome
$13.3M
Apr 14
Closed
14

Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Paris Saint-Germain FC
Volume $13.3M
15
Who will be the next governor of California?
Kalshi 🏛️ Politics
Tom Steyer 62%
$11.1M
Nov 3
Active
15

Who will be the next governor of California?

Kalshi
🏛️ Politics Active
Tom Steyer 62%
Matt Mahan 10%
Xavier Becerra 9%
Katie Porter 8%
Steve Hilton 6%
Chad Bianco 3%
Eric Swalwell 1%
Ché Ahn 1%
Kamala Harris 1%
Rick Caruso 1%
Antonio Villaraigosa 1%
Betty Yee 1%
Stephen Cloobeck 1%
Nicole Shanahan 1%
Rob Bonta 1%
Alex Padilla 1%
Ethan Agarwal 1%
Daniel Mercuri 1%
Kyle Langford 1%
Leo Zacky 1%
Tony Thurmond 1%
Butch Ware 1%
Eleni Kounalakis 1%
Toni Atkins 1%
Michael Younger 1%
Volume
$11.1M
Open Int.
Ends
Nov 3
16
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in April 2026?
Polymarket 📊 Economics
$95 99%
$10.9M
$8.5M
Apr 29
Active
16

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in April 2026?

Polymarket
📊 Economics Active
$95 99%
$90 75%
$85 61%
$100 56%
$105 37%
$80 28%
$110 22%
$115 18%
$75 13%
$120 12%
$125 9%
$70 8%
$130 7%
$140 5%
$150 2%
$160 2%
$200 1%
$170 1%
$60 1%
$50 1%
$20 1%
$40 1%
$30 1%
Volume
$10.9M
Open Int.
$8.5M
Ends
Apr 29
17
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF
Polymarket ⚽ Sports
FC Bayern München Outcome
$9.9M
Apr 15
Closed
17

FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome FC Bayern München
Volume $9.9M
18
Elon Musk # tweets April 7 - April 14, 2026?
Polymarket 🔬 Tech
280–299 Outcome
$9.4M
Apr 14
Closed
18

Elon Musk # tweets April 7 - April 14, 2026?

Polymarket
🔬 Tech Closed
Outcome 280–299
Volume $9.4M
19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
Polymarket 🏛️ Politics
June 30, 2026 64%
$9.2M
$3.2M
May 30
Active
19

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
June 30, 2026 64%
May 31, 2026 49%
April 30, 2026 33%
April 22, 2026 16%
Volume
$9.2M
Open Int.
$3.2M
Ends
May 30
20
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth
Polymarket ⚽ Sports
AFC Bournemouth Outcome
$8.4M
Apr 11
Closed
20

Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome AFC Bournemouth
Volume $8.4M
21
Magic vs. 76ers
Polymarket 🏀 Sports
76ers Outcome
$7.4M
Apr 15
Closed
21

Magic vs. 76ers

Polymarket
🏀 Sports Closed
Outcome 76ers
Volume $7.4M
22
2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner
Polymarket 🏛️ Politics
Chong Won-oh 89%
$7.4M
$456.4K
Jun 2
Active
22

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
Chong Won-oh 89%
Oh Se-hoon 8%
Park Ju-min 1%
Kang Hoon-sik 1%
Han Dong-hoon 1%
Cho Kuk 1%
Na Kyung-won 1%
Ahn Cheol-soo 1%
Seo Young-kyo 1%
Jeon Hyun-heui 1%
Cho Eun-hee 1%
Park Yong-jin 1%
Hong Ihk-pyo 1%
Park Hong-keun 1%
Volume
$7.4M
Open Int.
$456.4K
Ends
Jun 2
23
Magic vs. Celtics
Polymarket 🏀 Sports
Celtics Outcome
$7.2M
Apr 12
Closed
23

Magic vs. Celtics

Polymarket
🏀 Sports Closed
Outcome Celtics
Volume $7.2M
24
Next French Presidential Election
Polymarket 🏛️ Politics
Édouard Philippe 24%
$7.1M
$473.3K
Apr 29
Active
24

Next French Presidential Election

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
Édouard Philippe 24%
Jordan Bardella 23%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 7%
Marine Le Pen 6%
Dominique de Villepin 6%
David Lisnard 4%
Gabriel Attal 4%
François Hollande 3%
Bruno Retailleau 3%
Sarah Knafo 2%
Raphaël Glucksmann 2%
Élisabeth Borne 1%
Carole Delga 1%
Mathilde Panot 1%
Bernard Cazeneuve 1%
François Bayrou 1%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan 1%
Sébastien Lecornu 1%
Marine Tondelier 1%
François Asselineau 1%
Manuel Bompard 1%
Valérie Pécresse 1%
Fabien Roussel 1%
Laurent Wauquiez 1%
Clémence Guetté 1%
Olivier Faure 1%
Yaël Braun-Pivet 1%
Michel Barnier 1%
Ségolène Royal 1%
Clémentine Autain 1%
Xavier Bertrand 1%
Juan Branco 1%
Jean Castex 1%
François Ruffin 1%
Gérald Darmanin 1%
Éric Zemmour 1%
Volume
$7.1M
Open Int.
$473.3K
Ends
Apr 29
25
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A
Polymarket ⚽ Sports
Vitality Outcome
$6.9M
Apr 14
Closed
25

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Vitality
Volume $6.9M
26
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
Polymarket 🏛️ Politics
No Outcome
$6.9M
Apr 9
Closed
26

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome No
Volume $6.9M
27
Brazil Presidential Election
Polymarket 🏛️ Politics
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 40%
$6.7M
$1.8M
Oct 3
Active
27

Brazil Presidential Election

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 40%
Flávio Bolsonaro 40%
Renan Santos 6%
Fernando Haddad 5%
Camilo Santana 3%
Ronaldo Caiado 2%
Romeu Zema 2%
Tarcisio de Freitas 1%
Jair Bolsonaro 1%
Michelle Bolsonaro 1%
Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior 1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro 1%
Eduardo Leite 1%
Aldo Rebelo 1%
Geraldo Alckmin 1%
Volume
$6.7M
Open Int.
$1.8M
Ends
Oct 3
28
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Polymarket 🏛️ Politics
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30 1%
$6.5M
$12.3M
Apr 29
Active
28

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30 1%
Volume
$6.5M
Open Int.
$12.3M
Ends
Apr 29
29
Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner
Polymarket 🏛️ Politics
TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) Outcome
$6.4M
Apr 11
Closed
29

Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA)
Volume $6.4M
30
Elon Musk # tweets April 10 - April 17, 2026?
Polymarket 🔬 Tech
300–319 52%
$6.2M
$738.4K
Apr 17
Closing Soon
30

Elon Musk # tweets April 10 - April 17, 2026?

Polymarket
🔬 Tech Closing Soon
300–319 52%
320–339 22%
280–299 21%
340–359 5%
360–379 2%
400–419 1%
260–279 1%
380–399 1%
April 17, 2026 1%
440–459 1%
420–439 1%
480–499 1%
560–579 1%
460–479 1%
540–559 1%
520–539 1%
500–519 1%
Volume
$6.2M
Open Int.
$738.4K
Ends
Apr 17
1
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner
Polymarket ⚽ Sports
Spain 17%
$346.9M
$9.2M
Jul 19
Active
1

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Active
Spain 17%
France 16%
England 11%
Argentina 9%
Brazil 9%
Portugal 7%
Germany 5%
Netherlands 3%
Norway 2%
Japan 2%
Colombia 2%
Morocco 2%
Belgium 2%
Cape Verde 1%
Algeria 1%
Uzbekistan 1%
Iran 1%
Congo DR 1%
Saudi Arabia 1%
Curaçao 1%
New Zealand 1%
Qatar 1%
Switzerland 1%
South Korea 1%
Haiti 1%
South Alabama 1%
Croatia 1%
Uruguay 1%
Ecuador 1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina 1%
Scotland 1%
Egypt 1%
Turkiye 1%
Ghana 1%
Canada 1%
Paraguay 1%
Mexico 1%
Australia 1%
Ivory Coast 1%
South Africa 1%
Senegal 1%
Austria 1%
Jordan 1%
Tunisia 1%
Panama 1%
Sweden 1%
Iraq 1%
Cezchia 1%
Volume
$346.9M
Open Int.
$9.2M
Ends
Jul 19
2
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket 🏛️ Politics
Gavin Newsom 27%
$216.4M
$11.2M
Nov 6
Active
2

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
Gavin Newsom 27%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8%
Kamala Harris 6%
Jon Ossoff 6%
Pete Buttigieg 4%
Josh Shapiro 4%
Andy Beshear 3%
Mark Kelly 3%
Jon Stewart 2%
J.B. Pritzker 2%
James Talarico 2%
Ro Khanna 2%
Hunter Biden 1%
Kim Kardashian 1%
LeBron James 1%
Zohran Mamdani 1%
Stephen A. Smith 1%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson 1%
MrBeast 1%
Liz Cheney 1%
Gretchen Whitmer 1%
Raphael Warnock 1%
Bernie Sanders 1%
Barack Obama 1%
Andrew Yang 1%
Chelsea Clinton 1%
Beto O’Rourke 1%
Oprah Winfrey 1%
Wes Moore 1%
Ruben Gallego 1%
Michelle Obama 1%
Phil Murphy 1%
Jared Polis 1%
Mark Cuban 1%
Cory Booker 1%
Hillary Clinton 1%
Gina Raimondo 1%
Rahm Emanuel 1%
George Clooney 1%
Tim Walz 1%
Jasmine Crockett 1%
John Fetterman 1%
Roy Cooper 1%
Chris Murphy 1%
Volume
$216.4M
Open Int.
$11.2M
Ends
Nov 6
3
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
Polymarket 🏛️ Politics
April 7 Outcome
$169.0M
Apr 6
Closed
3

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome April 7
Volume $169.0M
4
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket 🏛️ Politics
J.D. Vance 38%
$136.0M
$9.5M
Nov 6
Active
4

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
J.D. Vance 38%
Marco Rubio 21%
Tucker Carlson 5%
Ron DeSantis 3%
Donald Trump 2%
Donald Trump Jr. 2%
Thomas Massie 2%
Kim Kardashian 1%
Tom Brady 1%
Brian Kemp 1%
Vivek Ramaswamy 1%
Mike Pence 1%
Matt Gaetz 1%
Kristi Noem 1%
Erika Kirk 1%
Tulsi Gabbard 1%
Byron Donalds 1%
Eric Trump 1%
John Thune 1%
Elon Musk 1%
Ivanka Trump 1%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders 1%
Josh Hawley 1%
Katie Britt 1%
Elise Stefanik 1%
Rand Paul 1%
Marjorie Taylor Greene 1%
Pete Hegseth 1%
Steve Bannon 1%
Nikki Haley 1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 1%
Greg Abbott 1%
Ted Cruz 1%
Glenn Youngkin 1%
Joe Kent 1%
Volume
$136.0M
Open Int.
$9.5M
Ends
Nov 6
5
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Polymarket 🏛️ Politics
JD Vance 19%
$117.4M
$38.6M
Nov 6
Active
5

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
JD Vance 19%
Gavin Newsom 17%
Marco Rubio 11%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 5%
Kamala Harris 5%
Jon Ossoff 4%
Donald Trump 2%
Pete Buttigieg 2%
Tucker Carlson 2%
Josh Shapiro 2%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson 1%
Kim Kardashian 1%
LeBron James 1%
Stephen Smith 1%
Gretchen Whitmer 1%
Elon Musk 1%
Pete Hegseth 1%
Ron DeSantis 1%
Zohran Mamdani 1%
Nikki Haley 1%
Tim Walz 1%
JB Pritzker 1%
Ivanka Trump 1%
Tulsi Gabbard 1%
Michelle Obama 1%
Jamie Dimon 1%
Wes Moore 1%
Donald Trump Jr. 1%
Andy Beshear 1%
Greg Abbott 1%
Ro Khanna 1%
Vivek Ramaswamy 1%
Glenn Youngkin 1%
Eric Trump 1%
Thomas Massie 1%
James Talarico 1%
Volume
$117.4M
Open Int.
$38.6M
Ends
Nov 6
6
Fed decision in April?
Polymarket 📊 Economics
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting 99%
$89.5M
$14.9M
Apr 28
Active
6

Fed decision in April?

Polymarket
📊 Economics Active
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting 99%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting 1%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting 1%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting 1%
Volume
$89.5M
Open Int.
$14.9M
Ends
Apr 28
7
2026 NBA Champion
Polymarket 🏀 Sports
Oklahoma City Thunder 44%
$84.8M
$3.6M
Jun 30
Active
7

2026 NBA Champion

Polymarket
🏀 Sports Active
Oklahoma City Thunder 44%
San Antonio Spurs 15%
Boston Celtics 12%
Denver Nuggets 9%
Detroit Pistons 6%
Cleveland Cavaliers 4%
New York Knicks 4%
Los Angeles Lakers 2%
Houston Rockets 2%
Minnesota Timberwolves 2%
Golden State Warriors 1%
Portland Trail Blazers 1%
Phoenix Suns 1%
Orlando Magic 1%
Charlotte Hornets 1%
Atlanta Hawks 1%
Philadelphia 76ers 1%
Toronto Raptors 1%
Volume
$84.8M
Open Int.
$3.6M
Ends
Jun 30
8
F1 Drivers' Champion
Polymarket 🏁 Sports
Will George Russell be the 2026 44%
$76.8M
$1.1M
Dec 5
Active
8

F1 Drivers' Champion

Polymarket
🏁 Sports Active
Will George Russell be the 2026 44%
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 31%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 7%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 5%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 3%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 3%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 2%
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 1%
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 1%
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 1%
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 1%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 1%
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 1%
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 1%
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 1%
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 1%
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 1%
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 1%
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 1%
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 1%
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 1%
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 1%
Volume
$76.8M
Open Int.
$1.1M
Ends
Dec 5
9
Eurovision Winner 2026
Polymarket 🎭 Culture
Finland 37%
$72.7M
$1.4M
May 15
Active
9

Eurovision Winner 2026

Polymarket
🎭 Culture Active
Finland 37%
France 11%
Denmark 10%
Australia 7%
Greece 6%
Israel 6%
Sweden 3%
Italy 3%
Ukraine 2%
Romania 2%
Estonia 1%
United Kingdom 1%
Armenia 1%
Albania 1%
Norway 1%
Germany 1%
San Marino 1%
Lithuania 1%
Poland 1%
Belgium 1%
Bulgaria 1%
Austria 1%
Switzerland 1%
Montenegro 1%
Serbia 1%
Portugal 1%
Cyprus 1%
Azerbaijan 1%
Luxembourg 1%
Czechia 1%
Georgia 1%
Latvia 1%
Croatia 1%
Malta 1%
Moldova 1%
Volume
$72.7M
Open Int.
$1.4M
Ends
May 15
10
US forces enter Iran by..?
Polymarket 🏛️ Politics
No Outcome
$71.9M
Mar 30
Closed
10

US forces enter Iran by..?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome No
Volume $71.9M
11
What price will Bitcoin hit in March?
Polymarket ₿ Crypto
No Outcome
$60.2M
Mar 31
Closed
11

What price will Bitcoin hit in March?

Polymarket
₿ Crypto Closed
Outcome No
Volume $60.2M
12
Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner
Polymarket 🏛️ Politics
TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) Outcome
$57.7M
Apr 11
Closed
12

Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA)
Volume $57.7M
13
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Polymarket 🏛️ Politics
No Outcome
$52.5M
Mar 30
Closed
13

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Closed
Outcome No
Volume $52.5M
14
Next French Presidential Election
Polymarket 🏛️ Politics
Édouard Philippe 24%
$28.1M
$473.3K
Apr 29
Active
14

Next French Presidential Election

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
Édouard Philippe 24%
Jordan Bardella 23%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 7%
Marine Le Pen 6%
Dominique de Villepin 6%
David Lisnard 4%
Gabriel Attal 4%
François Hollande 3%
Bruno Retailleau 3%
Sarah Knafo 2%
Raphaël Glucksmann 2%
Élisabeth Borne 1%
Carole Delga 1%
Mathilde Panot 1%
Bernard Cazeneuve 1%
François Bayrou 1%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan 1%
Sébastien Lecornu 1%
Marine Tondelier 1%
François Asselineau 1%
Manuel Bompard 1%
Valérie Pécresse 1%
Fabien Roussel 1%
Laurent Wauquiez 1%
Clémence Guetté 1%
Olivier Faure 1%
Yaël Braun-Pivet 1%
Michel Barnier 1%
Ségolène Royal 1%
Clémentine Autain 1%
Xavier Bertrand 1%
Juan Branco 1%
Jean Castex 1%
François Ruffin 1%
Gérald Darmanin 1%
Éric Zemmour 1%
Volume
$28.1M
Open Int.
$473.3K
Ends
Apr 29
15
Military action against Iran ends by...?
Polymarket 🏛️ Politics
April 17, 2026 100%
$28.1M
$20.0M
Apr 29
Active
15

Military action against Iran ends by...?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
April 17, 2026 100%
Volume
$28.1M
Open Int.
$20.0M
Ends
Apr 29
16
Peru Presidential Election Winner
Polymarket 🏛️ Politics
Keiko Fujimori 65%
$27.9M
$2.8M
Jun 6
Active
16

Peru Presidential Election Winner

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
Keiko Fujimori 65%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 21%
Rafael López Aliaga 14%
Jorge Nieto 1%
Ricardo Belmont 1%
Alfonso López Chau 1%
José Williams 1%
Carlos Espá 1%
César Acuña 1%
Marisol Pérez Tello 1%
Vladimir Cerrón 1%
Fernando Olivera 1%
Mesías Guevara 1%
Yonhy Lescano 1%
Fiorella Molinelli 1%
Roberto Chiabra 1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa 1%
José Luna 1%
Mario Vizcarra 1%
Enrique Valderrama 1%
Volume
$27.9M
Open Int.
$2.8M
Ends
Jun 6
17
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in April 2026?
Polymarket 📊 Economics
$95 99%
$27.3M
$8.5M
Apr 29
Active
17

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in April 2026?

Polymarket
📊 Economics Active
$95 99%
$90 75%
$85 61%
$100 56%
$105 37%
$80 28%
$110 22%
$115 18%
$75 13%
$120 12%
$125 9%
$70 8%
$130 7%
$140 5%
$150 2%
$160 2%
$200 1%
$170 1%
$60 1%
$50 1%
$20 1%
$40 1%
$30 1%
Volume
$27.3M
Open Int.
$8.5M
Ends
Apr 29
18
The Masters 2026: Winner
Polymarket ⛳ Sports
Rory McIlroy Outcome
$27.2M
Apr 12
Closed
18

The Masters 2026: Winner

Polymarket
⛳ Sports Closed
Outcome Rory McIlroy
Volume $27.2M
19
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Polymarket 🏛️ Politics
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30 1%
$26.3M
$12.3M
Apr 29
Active
19

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30 1%
Volume
$26.3M
Open Int.
$12.3M
Ends
Apr 29
20
Brazil Presidential Election
Polymarket 🏛️ Politics
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 40%
$25.6M
$1.8M
Oct 3
Active
20

Brazil Presidential Election

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 40%
Flávio Bolsonaro 40%
Renan Santos 6%
Fernando Haddad 5%
Camilo Santana 3%
Ronaldo Caiado 2%
Romeu Zema 2%
Tarcisio de Freitas 1%
Jair Bolsonaro 1%
Michelle Bolsonaro 1%
Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior 1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro 1%
Eduardo Leite 1%
Aldo Rebelo 1%
Geraldo Alckmin 1%
Volume
$25.6M
Open Int.
$1.8M
Ends
Oct 3
21
What price will Bitcoin hit in April?
Polymarket ₿ Crypto
$80,000 26%
$24.9M
$9.3M
Apr 30
Active
21

What price will Bitcoin hit in April?

Polymarket
₿ Crypto Active
$80,000 26%
$65,000 17%
$85,000 6%
$60,000 5%
$90,000 3%
$55,000 2%
$150,000 1%
$50,000 1%
$45,000 1%
$95,000 1%
$100,000 1%
$20,000 1%
$40,000 1%
$105,000 1%
$30,000 1%
$35,000 1%
$110,000 1%
$25,000 1%
Volume
$24.9M
Open Int.
$9.3M
Ends
Apr 30
22
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Polymarket 📊 Economics
Kevin Warsh 94%
$23.0M
$4.9M
Oct 30
Active
22

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Polymarket
📊 Economics Active
Kevin Warsh 94%
Judy Shelton 1%
Michelle Bowman 1%
Rick Reider 1%
Stephen Miran 1%
Scott Bessent 1%
Kevin Hassett 1%
Christopher Waller 1%
Jerome Powell 1%
Volume
$23.0M
Open Int.
$4.9M
Ends
Oct 30
23
UEFA Champions League Winner
Polymarket ⚽ Sports
Bayern Munich 34%
$20.1M
$1.2M
May 30
Active
23

UEFA Champions League Winner

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Active
Bayern Munich 34%
Arsenal 28%
PSG 26%
Atletico Madrid 11%
Club Brugge 1%
Volume
$20.1M
Open Int.
$1.2M
Ends
May 30
24
2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner
Polymarket 🏛️ Politics
Chong Won-oh 89%
$18.9M
$456.4K
Jun 2
Active
24

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
Chong Won-oh 89%
Oh Se-hoon 8%
Park Ju-min 1%
Kang Hoon-sik 1%
Han Dong-hoon 1%
Cho Kuk 1%
Na Kyung-won 1%
Ahn Cheol-soo 1%
Seo Young-kyo 1%
Jeon Hyun-heui 1%
Cho Eun-hee 1%
Park Yong-jin 1%
Hong Ihk-pyo 1%
Park Hong-keun 1%
Volume
$18.9M
Open Int.
$456.4K
Ends
Jun 2
25
What price will Ethereum hit in March?
Polymarket ₿ Crypto
No Outcome
$18.0M
Mar 31
Closed
25

What price will Ethereum hit in March?

Polymarket
₿ Crypto Closed
Outcome No
Volume $18.0M
26
Largest Company end of March?
Polymarket 💰 Finance
NVIDIA Outcome
$13.8M
Mar 30
Closed
26

Largest Company end of March?

Polymarket
💰 Finance Closed
Outcome NVIDIA
Volume $13.8M
27
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Polymarket 🏛️ Politics
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30 7%
$13.7M
$9.1M
Jun 29
Active
27

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Polymarket
🏛️ Politics Active
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30 7%
Volume
$13.7M
Open Int.
$9.1M
Ends
Jun 29
28
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC
Polymarket ⚽ Sports
Paris Saint-Germain FC Outcome
$13.3M
Apr 14
Closed
28

Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Closed
Outcome Paris Saint-Germain FC
Volume $13.3M
29
Which company has the best AI model end of March?
Polymarket 🔬 Tech
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026 Outcome
$12.9M
Mar 30
Closed
29

Which company has the best AI model end of March?

Polymarket
🔬 Tech Closed
Outcome Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026
Volume $12.9M
30
MLS Cup Winner 2026
Polymarket ⚽ Sports
Los Angeles FC 15%
$12.6M
$59.9K
Dec 18
Active
30

MLS Cup Winner 2026

Polymarket
⚽ Sports Active
Los Angeles FC 15%
Inter Miami CF 14%
Nashville SC 6%
FC Cincinnati 4%
Seattle Sounders FC 4%
New York City FC 3%
San Jose Earthquakes 3%
Charlotte FC 2%
Philadelphia Union 2%
Columbus Crew 2%
Minnesota United FC 2%
LA Galaxy 2%
New York Red Bulls 2%
Orlando City SC 1%
Real Salt Lake 1%
Houston Dynamo FC 1%
Colorado Rapids 1%
New England Revolution 1%
Sporting Kansas City 1%
CF Montréal 1%
St. Louis City SC 1%
D.C. United 1%
FC Dallas 1%
Portland Timbers 1%
Austin FC 1%
Chicago Fire FC 1%
Atlanta United FC 1%
Volume
$12.6M
Open Int.
$59.9K
Ends
Dec 18

How we collect data

DeFi Rate pulls prediction market data directly from platform APIs on a rolling basis. Kalshi data is sourced from the Kalshi REST API, which provides market-level contract data including volume, open interest, resolution status, and native category classifications. Polymarket data is sourced from the Polymarket GraphQL API, which exposes market-level trading activity, liquidity, and outcome probabilities across its decentralized order book. We also support ForecastX, Gemini and Polymarket US, though the data provided is limited in scope compared to Kalshi and Polymarket (international)

Data is fetched at 30-minute intervals, cleaned and stored on our end. All figures reflect each platform’s public API at the time of the most recent refresh.

Volume methodology

All volume figures are calculated on a rolling window basis, not calendar periods. A 24-hour rolling window captures all trades recorded in the 24 hours preceding each data pull. A 7-day window covers the trailing 7 days; a 30-day window covers the trailing 30 days. Figures update continuously and will differ from calendar-period totals (e.g., “volume this month”) published elsewhere.

Volume is denominated in USD. Kalshi reports native USD figures. Polymarket volume is denominated in USDC and converted to USD at a 1:1 rate, consistent with USDC’s peg.

Category taxonomy

Kalshi categories reflect the platform’s native classification system as returned by the Kalshi API. Polymarket does not enforce a rigid native taxonomy; categories displayed for Polymarket markets are assigned by DeFi Rate using a standardized classification schema mapped against market title and tag data. The schema assigns each market to one of the following categories: Politics, Sports, Crypto, Economics, Finance, Tech, Culture, Weather, Misc, and World. Markets carrying Polymarket’s native “mentions” tag are classified separately as Mentions. Category assignments are reviewed periodically and updated when platform tagging changes.

Leading outcome

The Leading column in the Top Markets table displays the current frontrunner for each market. For binary markets, this is the outcome trading above 50% implied probability. For multi-outcome markets, it is the outcome with the highest current implied probability. The probability figure shown reflects the last traded price for that contract. “Outcome” in place of a probability indicates the market has resolved and the displayed entry is the confirmed result.

Status definitions

Active markets are open for trading at the time of the data pull. Closed markets have passed their end date or been resolved by the platform. DeFi Rate does not distinguish between platform-level “expired” and “settled” statuses in the display layer; both appear as Closed.

Polymarket US top 30 markets

The Polymarket US Top 30 tab filters to markets accessible to US-based traders under Polymarket’s geofenced access rules. Polymarket restricts certain political and financial markets from US IP addresses; this view reflects the subset of the Polymarket top 30 reachable from a US connection at the time of the data pull. Availability is determined by Polymarket’s own access-control layer and may change without notice.

Change percentage

The change figure displayed alongside each volume metric is the percentage difference between the current rolling window and the equivalent prior period. For a 30-day reading, the comparison window is days 31–60 immediately preceding the current window. A positive value indicates higher volume in the most recent window; a negative value indicates lower volume. Change figures apply at the platform level, category level, and individual market level depending on context.

Market count figure

The Markets figure in the Category Breakdown table reflects the total number of discrete contracts within each category, not the number of parent events. On Kalshi, a single event (e.g., “NBA Champion 2026”) may contain multiple contracts — one per team — and each is counted separately. On Polymarket, each market URL corresponds to a single binary outcome and is counted as one market. Kalshi market counts are therefore not directly comparable to Polymarket market counts at the category level, though this is often used in the media.

Open interest

Open interest reflects the total value of unsettled contracts currently held by traders on a given market. It is pulled directly from each platform’s API and represents outstanding exposure at the time of the data pull, not cumulative traded volume. A dash (—) in the Open Int. column indicates the field was not returned in the API response for that market.