Latest
Kalshi Lands Exclusive Prediction Market Partnerships With Five MLB Clubs
The Braves, Red Sox, Dodgers, Padres and Giants have struck exclusive multi-year partnerships with Kalshi, while MLB maintains an exclusive league-level partnership with Polymarket
CFTC
ForumEX Seeks CFTC Approval for Perpetual-Style ‘Cultural Attention’ Futures
Y Combinator-backed ForumEX is the latest startup to seek CFTC approval as a designated contract market, with plans to turn online attention around Kanye West, Donald Trump, GTA VI and other cultural subjects into perpetual-style futures
Regulation and Policy
Polymarket US Files AI Compute Contracts as CFTC Seeks Standards for Emerging ‘Digital Oil’ Market
The CFTC is seeking public comment on how AI compute derivatives should be listed and overseen, including questions around liquidity, benchmark reliability, manipulation and customer protections, as Kalshi, CME, ICE, Polymarket US and Liquid Compute race to build markets around future computing costs
Regulation and Policy
CFTC Readies Prediction Market Rules as Innovation Advisory Committee Weighs Market Limits, Consumer Safeguards
At Thursday’s inaugural IAC meeting, prediction market and derivatives executives broadly backed federal oversight and stronger consumer safeguards while clashing over self-certification, manipulation risks and which event contracts should be allowed
Weekly Volume Report
BMW Championship, US Open Drove Huge Week For Sports On Prediction Markets Volume
Prediction markets surged to $3.36B in weekly volume, with sports dominating 76.5% of trading across Kalshi and Polymarket Global.
Political Reports
- Trump Doubles Down on Mazzei in Oklahoma Governor Runoff After Prediction Markets Missed First Round
- Cook Moves Texas and Iowa Toward Democrats, but Prediction Markets Still See Different November Risks
- Prediction Markets Nail Alaska Primary, Get a Florida Surprise as November Map Starts to Take Shape
- Prediction Markets See Alaska Senate as a Coin Flip as Peltola Targets Crucial Democratic Pickup
- Florida Primaries Are Loaded With Prediction Markets, but Only a Few Races Are Actually Getting Serious Money
- Trump-Backed Graham Nordone Faces South Carolina Senate Runoff Test, Prediction Markets Pile Behind Her
Regulation & Policy
Kalshi Pulls Sports Mention Markets Amid Reported CFTC Probe, Leaves Others Live
Legal News & Updates
Kalshi Ordered to Halt Most Washington Event Contracts Under Sweeping Injunction
General
NFL Week 1 Odds and Predictions: Updated Daily
The Patriots vs. Seahawks opener has reached $361,015 in Kalshi game composite volume, making it Week 1’s most actively traded matchup. Seattle is trading at 62% against New England. The Chargers remain the slate’s strongest favorite at 82% against the Cardinals.
Legal News & Updates
Judge Grants CFTC’s Request for Preliminary Injunction Against Minnesota Law Citing Preemption Argument
The US DOJ and CFTC have secured a court order that temporarily blocks the enforcement of Minnesota’s statute banning prediction market trading just days before it was set to take effect.
Promo
Scott Jennings Leads Next Trump Press Secretary Prediction Markets as White House Considers Candidates
CNN contributor Scott Jennings leads the market to replace outgoing White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt, trading at 32% on Kalshi with $1.3 million in volume. President Trump has reportedly told advisers he would prefer a man for the role after four consecutive female press secretaries across his two terms.