Prediction markets give France a 62% chance of beating Morocco in regulation time when the teams clash in the World Cup quarterfinals today. Les Bleus are priced at 78% to advance to the semifinals at Morocco’s expense, a market that also includes extra time and penalties, if necessary.
Prediction sites are also offering a wide range of props on the big game, which kicks off at 4 p.m. ET on FOX from Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts. We’ve highlighted the most interesting France vs. Morocco props and discussed where the value lies.
Kalshi and Polymarket are offering promos for this game. Get $10 on Kalshi with code RATE, or choose Polymarket for a $50 bonus on your first $20 deposit. Code RATE also applies.
France vs. Morocco, 4 p.m. ET
Kalshi vs. Polymarket props on France vs. Morocco (*trading available in 49 states)
You’ll find player props on big names like Kylian Mbappé, Ousmane Dembélé, Michael Olise, and Brahim Díaz at Polymarket and Kalshi. Both sites have published a long list of game props and team props, too.
| Market | Polymarket | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|
| Both Teams to Score (Yes) | 50% | 51% |
| Both Teams to Score (No) | 51% | 50% |
| Kylian Mbappé to Score | 54% | 54% |
| Ousmane Dembélé to Score | 28% | 30% |
| Soufiane Rahimi to Score | 17% | N/A |
| Michael Olise to Assist | 30% | 31% |
| Brahim Díaz to Assist | 12% | 11% |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 52% | 58% |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 49% | 44% |
Best France vs. Morocco props
Mbappé will aim to lead his team to another victory this afternoon. The France captain has scored seven goals in five games so far at this tournament. He hit the winner from the penalty spot in Les Bleus’ 1-0 victory over Paraguay in the previous round. Mbappé has now scored a goal every 63 minutes at this tournament, and he’s the second favorite to win the Golden Boot. He’s priced at 54% with Kalshi and Polymarket to find the back of the net in this game.
Dembélé, who won the Ballon d’Or last year, has found the back of the net four times for France at this tournament. Polymarket prices Dembélé at 28% to score against Morocco this afternoon. Polymarket lets you predict how many shots each forward will take, and Dembélé is trading at 53% to have over 2.5 shots. At Kalshi, you can back a player to either score or assist. Dembélé is priced at 47% in that market.
Olise leads the 2026 World Cup for assists. The Bayern Munich playmaker has set up five goals for his France teammates, and he’s trading at 30% with Polymarket to add another assist today. Morocco’s Brahim Díaz is hot on Olise’s heels. He assisted two goals in Morocco’s 3-0 win against Canada in the previous round, taking his tally to four. Kalshi prices Díaz at 11% to have an assist in this game.
Morocco striker Ismael Saibari was injured in that 3-0 win over Canada and will miss this game. Soufiane Rahimi scored after replacing Saibari against Canada, and he’s likely to start up front for the Atlas Lions this afternoon. Polymarket prices Rahimi at 17% to find the back of the net.
France beat Morocco 2-0 in the semifinals of the last World Cup. Les Bleus are trading at 13% with Kalshi and Polymarket to win this game 2-0. However, Morocco has scored in all of its World Cup games so far this summer, so both teams to score is trading at 50% with Polymarket in this game. That could be a popular option, as Morocco is quick and incisive on the counterattack.
Prediction markets expect France to win in regulation time, but Polymarket has 26% on this game going to extra time. Kalshi also lets you predict the method of victory or the method of finish – France to win in extra time, Morocco to win on penalties, either team to win on penalties, and so on. Corner props could also be popular. France has averaged 7.2 corners per game at this tournament, while Morocco has averaged 5.0, so backing over 9.5 corners looks interesting.
World Cup quarterfinals continue tomorrow
The World Cup quarterfinals will continue with a highly anticipated game between Spain and Belgium Friday. England will then face Norway, before Argentina takes on Switzerland.
For live World Cup pricing on Kalshi and Polymarket, plus all current sign-up offers, see our prediction markets promos. New users can enter promo code RATE for a $10 Kalshi bonus (after $10 in trades) or a $50 Polymarket bonus (deposit $20).
