Prediction Market and Crypto News
Stay informed with the latest updates, analysis, and insights from the prediction markets and DeFi ecosystem.
Industry
Smarkets Latest Sports Betting Exchange to Seek CFTC Approval for Prediction Markets
U.K.-based Smarkets has applied to become a federally regulated prediction market exchange in the...
Mike Breen
March 6, 2026
Crypto
What Tokenized Asset Clarity Means for Future of Prediction Markets
New U.S. guidance on tokenized securities adds to a growing regulatory push toward blockchain finance, with potential ripple effects for prediction...
Valerie Cross
March 5, 2026
Industry
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair Nomination Official, Settling $807M Prediction Market
Next fed chair prediction markets attracted $806.9 million in volume across Kalshi and Polymarket, with traders pricing Kevin Warsh at 93% odds just before the official nomination came...
Valerie Cross
March 4, 2026
Crypto
Kraken Gains Federal Reserve Access, Earning Crypto a Seat at the U.S. Banking Table
Kraken's banking arm wins Fed master account access, putting crypto on the same payment rails as U.S. banks, and deepening the CLARITY Act...
Valerie Cross
March 4, 2026
Crypto
Trump Says Banks Are Trying to Undermine Crypto’s Agenda in Clarity Act Debate
Trump blames banks for delaying the Clarity Act as stablecoin yield debate stalls in the Senate. Prediction markets show 2026 passage...
Iliana Mavrou
March 4, 2026
Regulation & Policy
CFTC Chair Selig Announces Rulemaking Push: What it Means for Prediction Markets
CFTC Chair Selig confirmed plans to set self-certification standards and launch formal rulemaking for prediction markets on Tuesday. We break down what it means for the...
Valerie Cross
March 3, 2026
Regulation & Policy
Kalshi Codifies Death Settlement Rule in CFTC Filing Amid Iran Market Backlash
What’s in Kalshi’s rulebook update filing, plus a look at how other prediction exchanges handled Iranian Supreme Leader markets following Khamenei's...
Mike Breen
March 3, 2026
Industry
Kalshi’s AP Deal Is a Credibility Win, But Trust Issues Persist
The AP will provide official election data to Kalshi, but the backlash to the news exposes a widening gap between institutional credibility and public trust that prediction markets must...
Valerie Cross
March 3, 2026
Industry
Nasdaq Binary Options Filing Sets Up SEC vs. CFTC Coordination Test
The exchange’s Nasdaq 100 “yes-or-no” contracts would be listed as securities, not derivatives — potentially redefining how federal regulators divide oversight of prediction...
Jason Brow
March 2, 2026
Industry
Kalshi, Polymarket Combine for $17.9B February Volume as Polymarket Closes Gap
Both Kalshi ($9.93B) and Polymarket ($7.94B) posted MoM increases of nearly 4% in February. Meanwhile, Polymarket volume surged 32% WoW with help from Khamenei markets to close the gap on...
Valerie Cross
March 2, 2026