Regulation & Policy

Tracking the rules shaping prediction and crypto markets — from CFTC oversight and state-level battles to federal legislation and legal challenges between platforms and regulators. We break down what the policy shift means for traders and the industry.

Minnesota lawmakers advanced a bill to ban prediction market platforms, classifying event contracts as illegal bets rather than derivatives

Regulation & Policy

Minnesota Senate Advances Prediction Market Ban, Challenges Derivatives Classification

A Minnesota Senate committee unanimously advanced legislation Tuesday that would ban offering prediction markets in the state, sending SF 4511 to the Senate Finance Committee as one of the...

Mike Breen

April 14, 2026

Kentucky governor vetoes key prediction market legislation

Regulation & Policy

Beshear Veto Blocks Prediction Market Crackdown in Kentucky But Override Threat Looms

Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear has vetoed a bill that would have threatened sanctions for gambling licensees who offered prediction markets to people in the state. While the Kentucky...

Derek Helling

April 14, 2026

Clarity Act debate over future control of finance

Crypto

Clarity Act Advances as Experts Warn of ‘Fragility at the Edges’

As negotiations around the Clarity Act quietly move forward, experts say the public debate over stablecoin yield is missing deeper tensions related to “micro-level fragility”...

Iliana Mavrou

April 14, 2026

New White House report could tip Clarity Act scales

Crypto

Clarity Act Odds Jump 15% as White House Backs Crypto in Yield Debate

Odds of Clarity Act legislation passing this year jumped around 15% following a new White House report that puts a major dent in banks' arguments against allowing stablecoin...

Alejandro Miguel

April 8, 2026

Democratic lawmakers are urging the CFTC to use existing authority under the Commodity Exchange Act to address controversial prediction markets on offshore platforms, raising questions about enforcement, jurisdiction, and U.S. user access

Regulation & Policy

Lawmakers Urge CFTC Crackdown on Offshore Prediction Markets

In letter to CFTC, Democratic members of Congress cite CEA authority to target offshore platforms like Polymarket, as enforcement precedent and U.S. access shape the case for...

Mike Breen

April 8, 2026

Regulation & Policy

Clarity Act Enters Final Window as Power Struggles Meet Political Clock

Preliminary timelines for when the Clarity Act will finally be signed into law continue to emerge from industry insiders, only to pass without result. Now, experts point to...

Iliana Mavrou

April 6, 2026

States are moving to tax prediction market platforms based on in-state user activity, even as federal regulators assert exclusive authority over how those markets operate

Regulation & Policy

Kentucky Leads New State Push to Tax Prediction Markets, Testing Limits of State Authority

Kentucky has become the first state to pass legislation explicitly taxing prediction market platforms, marking a shift in how states are approaching the fast-growing industry. The measure,...

Mike Breen

April 3, 2026

Regulation & Policy

CFTC Leaders Set Enforcement Priorities, Press Exchanges on Insider Trading and Manipulation

CFTC's David Miller: "We will aggressively detect, investigate, and, where appropriate, prosecute insider trading in the prediction...

Pat Evans

April 2, 2026

Congress is moving to tighten oversight of prediction markets, with new proposals targeting insider trading, sports contracts, and government participation

14 Prediction Market Bills and Counting Reveal Deep Divisions, Long Odds

14 prediction market bills have been introduced in 2026. Most focus on insider trading, war markets, sports markets and advertising. Analysts call the bills "messaging legislation", with no...

Mike Breen

April 1, 2026

Legal News & Updates

Texas Elevates Prediction Markets to 2027 Priority as Courts Shape the Rules

Texas Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick is pushing prediction markets onto the 2027 agenda as legal battles leave the regulatory framework unsettled. Federal preemption rulings may determine what comes...

Derek Helling

March 31, 2026

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